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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.46 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 147.15 Recommended Stop Loss - 149.17 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€” WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY H1 I Bearish Reversal off the 61.8%Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 147.90, a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 146.78 an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 149.05, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โ€˜Companyโ€™, โ€˜weโ€™) by a third-party provider (โ€˜TFA Global Pte Ltdโ€™). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
The Day AheadFriday, July 25 โ€“ Financial Market Summary (Trading Focus) Key Data Releases: US June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets. July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook. UK July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending. June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation. Japan July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJโ€™s ultra-loose stance. June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure. Eurozone Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds. France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentimentโ€”important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc. June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook. Central Bank: ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate pathsโ€”could shift EUR and European yields. Earnings โ€“ Market Movers: HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends. Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focusโ€”guidance may affect tech/media sentiment. Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometerโ€”insight into EV strategy, China exposure. NatWest: UK-focused bankโ€”comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment. Eni: Energy majorโ€”production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR. Trading Implications: Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias. Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations. UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence. Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY Fibo Support Test NearbyUSD/JPY continues to brew traps on both sides of the pair as last week's push up to fresh three-month highs has been followed by a decisive snap back in the pair. The drive behind the move is also of interest, as Japanese election results over the weekend haven't been completely digested by Japanese markets, as they were closed on Monday for a public holiday. So the next 24 hours will be key for seeing the way that this theme gets priced-in. In USD/JPY, there's a support level nearby in the form of the 61.8% retracement of the September-January move. Notably, this was the price that caught the low last Wednesday after the Trump-fueled sell-off took over in the USD, just after the threat to fire Jerome Powell. Fears of a more dovish Fed make sense for USD-weakness as that could pressure further unwind of the carry trade. But with the LDP losing a majority in the upper chamber, it seems that greater political vulnerability would make for a more difficult road for the Bank of Japan to hike rates. Nonetheless, the response to support is what matters here, and there's quite a bit of structure lurking below the Fibonacci level, with 146.54 and 145.93 both of note, and that's before the 145.00 level comes back into play. - js
by FOREXcom
USDJPY 2H Analysis : Trendline Break or Double the Supply?๐Ÿง  Market Context: The market has recently undergone a liquidity grab followed by a temporary bullish reaction, indicating that large players (institutions or market makers) are manipulating price around sensitive zones before committing to a direction. ๐Ÿงฑ Key Technical Zones & Observations: ๐ŸŸฉ 1. Liquidity Filled Zone (Smart Money Move) Location: Around July 17. Explanation: Price dropped impulsively into a pre-marked liquidity pocket. This filled buy-side liquidity resting below previous lows. Implication: Smart money has now captured trapped breakout sellers. Expectation of reversal or bullish mitigation. ๐ŸŸง 2. Central Zone (Supply/Distribution Area) This zone was tested multiple times, signaling it as a supply-rich region. Acted as a base for previous strong bearish move. If the trendline is broken, price may retest this Central Zone, potentially acting as resistance again. ๐ŸŸฉ 3. QFL Formation (Quantity Following Line) Nature: Base breakout with a fast snap-back indicates institutional demand. The structure signals a failed breakdown or liquidation trap. Actionable Insight: Strong bounce potential here, ideal for sniper long entries if market structure shifts bullish. ๐ŸŸฆ 4. Trendline (Critical Validation Tool) The descending trendline from July 18 has acted as dynamic resistance. Multiple rejections validate its significance. Main Conditional Setup hinges on this trendline: Break = Bullish structure shift No break = Trend continuation (retest of demand or breakdown) ๐Ÿ” 5. Previous Reversal Completed Price action has printed a reversal model (possibly Wyckoff-style accumulation or spring). Completion of the pattern aligns with upcoming directional decision. โœ… Conditional Trade Scenarios: ๐Ÿ”บ Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline Setup: Price breaks and closes above the trendline with volume and momentum. Action: Buy on retest of broken trendline or confirmation candle. Targets: Short-term: 147.50 Major: 148.00 โ€“ strong resistance/supply zone Validation: Structure shift + momentum + rejection of prior supply. ๐Ÿ”ป Condition 2: Rejection from Trendline (Trendline Holds) Setup: Price respects the trendline and fails to break. Action: Short on bearish engulfing/rejection. Plan: "Double the supply zone" as per your label. Targets: 146.20 โ†’ 146.00 zone This respects the previous price memory and liquidity void. ๐Ÿง  Deeper MMC Insight: The market is in indecision phase, balancing between continuation and reversal. Institutional footprints (QFL + liquidity fills + trendline rejections) suggest preparation for a trap-spring-accumulate or distribution-breakdown move. Watch for fakeouts around the trendline โ€“ MMC logic says market makers often induce both directions before committing. ๐Ÿงญ Trade Management Tips: If long: Protect below the QFL base. If short: Watch for manipulation around the Central Zone. Wait for confirmation: Donโ€™t pre-enter before structure validates direction.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY Structure Analysis โ€“ Liquidity Filled, Rejection + Target๐Ÿง  Overview: This 2-hour chart of USDJPY highlights a clear bearish structure following a smart money-driven move. The price action reflects market maker behavior, liquidity manipulation, trendline rejections, and strategic zone targeting. Let's break down the key elements for todayโ€™s USDJPY analysis. ๐Ÿ” Key Technical Breakdown: 1. ๐Ÿฆ Liquidity Grab & Fill (July 17th) The marked green zone shows an aggressive liquidity sweep where the price dipped sharply into a previous demand zone, triggering stop losses and collecting institutional orders. This movement represents a classic "liquidity fill", often engineered by market makers to trap retail buyers/sellers. After sweeping liquidity, price quickly reversed upwards โ€” a signal that large buy orders were triggered and filled. 2. ๐ŸŽฏ Central Zone as a Distribution Region The market retraced to the "Central Zone", highlighted on the chart, which acted as a distribution area: Price consolidated and created indecision before rejecting sharply again. This zone reflects a short-term supply where institutional players may have offloaded positions. Key clue: This consolidation occurred below the major trendline, increasing its strength as resistance. 3. ๐Ÿ”ป QFL Zones (Quasimodo Failure Levels) Two QFL levels are marked, which denote structure breaks and retracements in MMC/SMC strategy: First QFL marks a major support break โ€“ a signal of shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Second QFL confirms continued lower lows formation โ€“ solidifying bearish market structure. These levels are critical in identifying market intent and anticipating future moves. 4. ๐Ÿ“‰ Descending Trendline Rejection The descending trendline drawn from recent highs is being respected continuously: Price tested the trendline multiple times but failed to break above. These rejections represent seller dominance and validate the trendline as a dynamic resistance. A break above this line would invalidate the current bearish structure. 5. ๐ŸŽฏ Next Target โ€“ Major Demand Zone (145.00โ€“145.20) Price is heading toward a major demand zone marked in green around 145.000: This area is a strong buy-side liquidity zone, where institutional buyers may show interest again. If this zone is tapped, we may see either: A bounce (bullish reaction), or A breakdown and continuation lower if bearish momentum continues. Traders should monitor this area closely for price action signals (engulfing candles, rejection wicks, or bullish divergence). ๐Ÿง  Strategic View: Bias: Bearish, unless trendline breaks with strong volume. Ideal Entry: Look for short entries on lower timeframe pullbacks into minor resistance (like trendline or last supply zone). Target Area: 145.00 โ€“ ideal zone to book profits or switch bias. Invalidation: A break and close above the descending trendline + central zone. ๐Ÿ”‘ Confluences in This Analysis: Concept Details โœ… Liquidity Grab Trap & Fill strategy at prior lows โœ… Central Zone Bearish distribution and rejection โœ… Trendline Repeated resistance rejections โœ… Structure Lower lows and QFL confirmations โœ… Target Area Clear next demand zone identified โš ๏ธ Risk Note: As always, wait for confirmation before entering trades. The market may fake out near zones. Use proper risk management (1-2% risk per trade) and adjust your strategy as new candles form. ๐Ÿ“Œ Conclusion: This chart paints a textbook scenario of how institutional movements and structure-based analysis (MMC/SMC) can offer high-probability setups. We expect further downside toward the 145.00 region before any significant reversal. Keep an eye on reaction from this demand zone for the next play.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY: A Bullish Thesis for Trend ContinuationThis analysis outlines a data-driven, bullish thesis for USD/JPY, identifying a strategic long entry within an established market trend. The setup is supported by a combination of fundamental catalysts and a clear technical structure. ๐Ÿ“ฐ The Fundamental Picture The primary driver for this trade will be the high-impact US economic data scheduled for release. This release is expected to inject significant volatility into the market. Fundamentally, this trade is a play on the deep policy differences between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. While the Fed's future steps are a topic of debate, the Bank of Japan's policy remains one of the most accommodative in the world, creating a long-term headwind for the Japanese Yen. This dynamic provides a strong fundamental basis for relative US Dollar strength against the Yen. ๐Ÿ“Š The Technical Structure Chart analysis reveals that USD/JPY is in a confirmed and healthy uptrend. The current price action indicates a constructive pullback, presenting a strategic opportunity to join the dominant trend at a favorable price. The proposed entry point is positioned at a key technical level that offers a low-risk entry. Technical indicators support the continuation of the trend, suggesting that momentum remains with the bulls. โœ… The Trade Plan This trade is structured with a clear and favorable risk-to-reward profile, aiming to capitalize on the established trend. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Entry: 146.343 โ›”๏ธ Stop Loss: 145.233 ๐ŸŽฏ Take Profit: 148.560 โš–๏ธ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Long
by MaxellAguiran
USDJPY Analysis : Smart Money Setup & MMC Concept + Target๐Ÿ“Œ Chart Overview: This 4H USDJPY chart presents a multi-phase market structure analysis rooted in MMC (Major-Minor-Central) framework, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and liquidity mapping. The price is currently trading around 147.39, and the chart outlines two possible scenarios labeled 1 (bullish continuation) and 2 (bearish rejection). ๐Ÿ” Key Zones & Technical Elements Explained: ๐Ÿ”น 1. 2x Supply Zone (Support Reaction) Price rebounded sharply from the double-tested demand zone marked around 146.00โ€“146.50. This zone has historical significance and has acted as a base for previous bullish momentum. The sharp V-shaped recovery suggests strong buying interest at institutional levels, hinting at a potential bullish continuation. ๐Ÿ”น 2. QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) Zone A notable zone where previous bullish structure broke down. Itโ€™s now being retested from below. The QFL structure acts as a hidden supply zone or potential liquidity trap. Watch for price rejection here, especially if it aligns with liquidity sweep patterns. ๐Ÿ”น 3. Minor & Major Structural Levels Minor zone: A smaller consolidation and reaction zoneโ€”used to observe minor trend shifts or scaling entries. Major zone: Sitting around 148.50โ€“149.00, this is your Next Reversal Zone. It overlaps with a historical resistance area and could lead to a significant reaction. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Projected Scenarios: โœ… Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Price breaks above the Central Zone and holds. After breaching the minor resistance, it climbs towards the Major Reversal Zone (148.50โ€“149.00). There, we look for: Either a reversal trade setup (liquidity grab + bearish confirmation). Or continuation beyond 149.00, especially if supported by USD strength/fundamentals. ๐Ÿšซ Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection Price fails to hold above the Central Zone. Rejection at QFL or Minor levels sends the pair back into the mid-147s and potentially down to retest the 2x Supply Zone again. Breakdown from there could lead to a move towards 145.50โ€“146.00, forming a potential double bottom or deeper retracement. ๐Ÿงฉ Technical Insights Summary: Trend Context: Short-term bullish recovery from demand, but macro trend still uncertain. Key Confluence: 2x Supply โ†’ Strong demand. QFL + Central โ†’ Key breakout/rejection zones. Major Zone โ†’ High-probability reversal area. Bias: Neutral to Bullish, favoring Scenario 1 if price sustains above 147.50. Watch for: Candlestick rejections in Major Zone. Break-and-retest behavior in Central Zone. USD-related news near July 30โ€“31 (highlighted below chart).
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY M SIBI SELL SHORTUSDJPY M SIBI SELL SHORT - Market in Monthly TF market is bearish - Market in weekly TF is bullesh - Market in Daily TF fully bullesh - IN Monthly SIBI when market is present on our AOI then shift to LTF find a Valid Market Structurer Shift with Valid OBI / LTF SIBI / BPR , - when market is in our OBI / LTF SIBI / BPR after Liquidity Swap then Entry in our AOI with proper Tight SL with Open Target for a big Movement Catch . Partly Profit book our nearest HTF Liquidity ..... ********************Enjoyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy KGB Priyabrat Behera ICT Trader & Advance Mapping SMC Trader
Short
by kgb_priyabrat_behera
USD/JPY Drops as Market Awaits Powell's RemarksIn todayโ€™s trading session, the USD/JPY pair is showing renewed weakness, currently trading around 147.76 โ€” down more than 0.68% from the previous session. The decline is driven by falling U.S. Treasury yields and cautious investor sentiment ahead of an upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which is weighing on the U.S. dollar. From a technical perspective, USD/JPY has broken its short-term uptrend and is approaching a key support level at 147.60. If this level fails to hold, the bearish momentum could extend further.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen