USD/JPY(20250724)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office."
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.60
Support and resistance levels:
147.70
147.29
147.02
146.18
145.92
145.51
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.60, consider buying in, with the first target price at 147.02
If the price breaks through 146.18, consider selling in, with the first target price at 145.92
JPYUSD trade ideas
Major resistance ahead?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 147.67
1st Support: 145.89
1st Resistance: 149.03
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Smart Money Analysis – Bearish OutlookAfter a confirmed 1-hour bearish divergence @149.202, price initiated a downward structure. We saw a bounce from a bearish 4H Order Block (OB) @147.356, but this bounce did not invalidate the initial bearish divergence structure.
Price then broke below that 4H OB slightly, before retracing back into the same OB zone, forming another 4H bearish OB at that level, indicating reinforced institutional interest. This was followed by a clean CHoCH @146.943, confirming further bearish pressure.
Price reacted next from a bullish 4H OB @146.496, initiating a short-term retracement.
📌 Expectations:
🔁 We expect price to retrace back into the newly created 4H bearish OB @147.626, which is a refined point of interest.
📉 If that level holds as expected, the bearish move is likely to continue towards the next bearish OB sitting around 145.148, which is a potential demand exhaustion zone.
🧠Summary of Key Zones:
1H Bearish Divergence: 149.202
Initial 4H Bearish OB: 147.356
CHoCH Confirmation Level: 146.943
Bullish OB Reaction: 146.496
Expected Retracement POI (4H OB): 147.626
Final Bearish Target OB: 145.148
⚠️Risk Management Note:
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts and market structure observation.
Always use proper risk management — risking no more than 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Ensure your stop-loss and lot sizes match your account equity.
News events and volatility can invalidate technical zones quickly.
Trade safe. 🧠💼📉
$USDJPY looking primed for another leg up.FX:USDJPY looking primed for another leg up.
The weekly chart shows a textbook Stage 2 uptrend, holding strong above the 200 EMA. After a healthy pullback, the price is now testing a key pivot level around 147.60, which aligns with a major support zone.
On the 4-hour chart, the Stochastic oscillator is approaching oversold territory, suggesting the recent selling pressure may be exhausted. A bounce from this support could be the catalyst for a move back to the 155-160 resistance area.
#USDJPY #Forex #FX #Trading #Bullish
USDJPY Possible long for 149.60#usdjpy started rally from the start of the month of July. Price consolidate in range between 142.85-10. Then started rally. price again consolidate in range between 147.15-145.76 area. Market build energy and institutional add further longs and broke above the daily resistance line 148.60. Need to sell off / retracement to test demand zone range 146.37-145.78 area to test and filled remaining institutional orders for long. Buying area 146.37-145.76. stop loss: 145.60. Target: 149.60
Japan's coalition loses majority, yen higherThe Japanese yen has started the week with strong gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.71, down 0.73% on the day.
Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba's ruling coalition failed to win a majority in the election for the
upper house of parliament on Sunday. The result is a humiliating blow to Ishiba, as the government lost its majority in the lower house in October. The stinging defeat could be the end of the road for Ishiba. The Prime Minister has declared he will remain in office, but there is bound to be pressure from within the coalition for Ishiba to resign.
The election result was not a surprise, as voters were expected to punish the government at the ballot box due to the high cost of food and falling incomes. The price of rice, a staple food, has soared 100% in a year, causing a full-blown crisis for the government, which has resorted to selling stockpiled rice from national reserves to the public.
The election has greatly weakened Ishiba's standing, which is bad news as Japan is locked in intense trade talks with the US. President Trump has warned that he will impose 25% tariffs on Japanese goods if a deal isn't reached by August 1. Japan is particularly concerned about its automobile industry, the driver of its export-reliant economy.
The Bank of Japan meets on July 31 and is widely expected to continue its wait-and-see stance on rate policy. The BoJ has been an outlier among major central banks as it looks to normalize policy and raise interest rates. However, with the economic turbulence and uncertainty due to President Trump's erratic tariff policy, the Bank has stayed on the sidelines and hasn't raised rates since January. Japan releases Tokyo Core CPI on Friday, the last tier-1 event before the rate meeting.
USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 145.369 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and the pair
Already made a bullish
Rebound and is consolidating
In a local range so as we
Are bullish biased we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UJ shortsThe dollar is looking weak, I expect UJ to fall as well.
UJ showed some strong weakness last Wednesday following the drop in price of the dollar.
Looks like supply is in control atm, I would like to see price breaking the newest low to confirm the bearishness on UJ.
When it does, I'll start looking for new short opportunities when price mitigates the current move.
USDJPY Possible BEARISH setup🚀 USDJPY UPDATE: Bearish Setup
Summary:
Analysing price action from yesterday, breakout from the Daily timeframe accumulation zone has materialized with strong conviction.
TRADE SETUP Metrics:
- Entry: ✅
- Stop loss - Above Resistance Zone
- Target 1: (R:R 1:2)🎯
- Target 2: (R:R 1:3)🎯
- Target 3: (R:R 1:4)🎯
Technical Anticipations:
- Price action to show a Bearish follow-through
- Resistance zone to hold
Position Management:
- partial profits secured at Target 1
- Stop loss adjusted to breakeven upon reaching Targets
- Full Exit at Target 3
LIKE or COMMENT if this idea sparks your interest, or share your thoughts below!
FOLLOW to keep up with fresh ideas.
Tidypips: "Keep It Clean, Trade Mean!"
USD/JPY - Pattern & SMA PerspectiveDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Can demand/trend hold to jump over the 150.000 barrier?
1) Daily 200SMA @ 149.600 may cause serious pressure.
2) Will price hold above 1HR-200SMA in case of selling pressure?
3) The pattern suggests bullish continuation with limited downside.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
USDJPY - Trade The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been trading within a range between $140 and $150 round numbers and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the range.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish Bias on USD/JPYBearish Bias on USD/JPY
Pair: USD/JPY
Bias: Bearish
Entry Type: Pending Sell Limit Order
Entry Zone: 147.54
Stop Loss: 148.10
Take Profit: 145.17
Technical Rationale:
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The chart shows a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside after a prolonged bullish move. The most recent lower low and lower high formation confirms a shift in market sentiment.
Supply Zone (Order Block):
Price is retracing back into a 2H supply zone (highlighted red), which is aligned with a bearish order block around 147.54–148.10. This zone represents institutional selling interest from a previous strong sell-off.
Liquidity Grab / Sweep:
Prior to the drop, there was an internal liquidity sweep above a local high, potentially indicating a buy-side liquidity grab. The retracement may now be engineered to tap into this supply zone to mitigate orders before a continuation downward.
Premium Pricing:
Using a FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Fibo level reference, this supply zone sits in the premium pricing area, ideal for institutional short positioning in SMC theory.
Confluence:
Bearish break of structure
Return to supply zone
Liquidity sweep before drop
Fair value gap alignment
SIMPLEST SELL SETUP YOU'VE EVER SEEN...POTENTIAL USDJPY SHORTSHey hey Tradingview community!!! Hope you are all doing amazing! Just wanted to do a very detailed and complex breakdown for potential swing short opportunities I see for USDJPY...let's dive in!!
OK so first....lol
I'm kidding. Very simple. Look at the chart. Mark those zones to look for shorts. Swing trading opportunity...Love you all!!
Cheers!
OH...if you need the RSI settings it is the 7 period deviation. Cheers pt. 2!