Goldman Says $4K – My Chart Says Sell💥📉 Gold Analysis – Divergences, Resistance, and a Short Bias 🪙⚠️
Hey Traders,
As promised in the latest video, here's the official chart update for Gold – and the message is clear: I'm short.
📊 What I See on the Chart
We're now well below the 3,446 resistance, with early signs of weakness showing up across multiple timeframes. I’ve laid out both the 2-Day and 4H charts in this post, and here’s what I’m tracking:
⚠️ Technical Warning Signs:
🔻 2D chart: Six bearish divergences
– RSI, Stochastic, CCI, OBV, MFI, and MACD all flashing red
📉 1D chart: Same thing — six divergences, telling me momentum is fading
⏳ 4H chart: Price action breaking trendlines, and support at 3,237 looks shaky
🚨 If that breaks, my main support zone is at $3,000 – and that’s where I believe we’re heading.
This is not just a pullback. This is the kind of confluence you can’t ignore if you trade technically.
🔁 Sentiment Shift
Back in December '22 and again earlier this year, I was long Gold – and it was the right call. But now?
📌 This chart has gone from momentum to exhaustion.
📌 I see less demand, softer momentum, and strong bearish divergence stacking across every major timeframe I watch.
🎯 Trade View
✅ I’m short Gold.
🎯 Targeting the $3,000–3,050 zone.
📉 Invalidated if we reclaim and close above $3,446 with strength.
It’s that simple. Nothing personal – just structure, divergence, and flow.
🧠 The Chart vs. The Narrative
Recently, I saw a note from Goldman Sachs forecasting $4,000 Gold. Maybe they’re right.
But I’ll be honest with you – I don’t buy the media hype.
I'm not here for the headlines.
I'm a chart guy. Always have been. Always will be.
The chart is the map to the treasure – and that’s the only thing I follow.
🧠 I cover this and the broader macro setup (Dollar, BTC, DAX, Tech, BTC.D, and more) in the full 20-min video just dropped. If you haven’t watched it yet, go catch up — it explains the logic and why this isn’t just a gold story.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Gold Futures
GOLD1! trade ideas
Shorting gold again Well, it does look like there is still some room for a short trade that might actually hit.
Personally, iam not 100% confident in this trade, but i would have liked to see more confirmations before taking the short entry, yet still i think it is still worth the risk.
if you want more confirmations then here is the thing, wait the price to close below this yellow line, and i mean a close not a wick, then wait the price to pullback and take a short position.
my confidence in this setup is 6 out of 10.
New Week on Gold! Will the Bullishness continue?I was bullish on gold and price ended up doing as expected last week and looking for it to continue this week. But i have to sit on hands for now to see how they want to play Monday. Will they move to create a Low for the week first? or will they break out to start early on new highs? I have to see some type of confirmation first. Then we can get active.
GOLD TRADING IDEA FOR 14-18 JULY 2025The price of Gold currently at the H4 liquidity control area at 3376. It's seem like there candlestick H4 rejection at that area but still not valid for market structure shift direction.
If the candlestick breakout above at H4 liquidity control ,I will looking opportunity for long position with target at next H4 liquidity control at 3390 or extension target at 3410.
short term SELL
Price retracement before the price going up.
If small timeframe show market structure shift or develop bearish engulfing pattern at H1 0r m30 below 3376 . The target will be h4 liquidity control at 3354 or 3320 depend on how price act at that area.
Gold Trade Setup – Long Invalidated, Watching Retest for ShortGold has been consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, recently pressing against a descending resistance line that has rejected price several times. I was favoring the upside, but our long setup was invalidated — the stop loss at $3,330 was hit.
Price is now retesting ascending support, and I'm shifting focus to a short opportunity, using our previous long entry level (~$3,333) as a key area of interest for entries.
Here’s the updated plan:
Short Entry: Around $3,333
Stop Loss: $3,340
Take Profit: $3,303
Remaining cautious but opportunistic — the larger structure is vulnerable and could break further if support fails.
Retail trapped. Volume confirmed. Liquidity targeted.🔻 We are in a highly reactive zone where emotional long entries and early short SLs create perfect liquidity magnets.
🔍 Key Levels & Zones:
• Early Short SL Zone → 3337.2
• Retail FOMO Entry Block → 3251.9
• Volume-based Rejection Point → 3392.0 (SL/TP sweep)
• TP1 & TP2 Zones → 3251.9 / 3208.0
• Bonus TP → 3159.9 → Complete sweep of long SLs and demand exhaustion
• Final Trap Exit Zone → 3157.4 — Institutional reload zone
💡 Volume confirms this cycle of:
• Trap > SL hunt > Emotional entry > Volume fade > Dump > Accumulation > Reversal
🧠 This is NOT financial advice. I post to share deeper insight into manipulation mechanics & sniper-level liquidity structure analysis.
If you’re still trading candles, you’re playing retail games. Start seeing the architecture.
🧷#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #VolumeStrategy #TradingPsychology #RetailTrap #SniperMindset
Gold Futures Short Bias Into NY CloseGC is stalling beneath the 3330–3336 resistance cluster after failing to break out during NY session. Price rejected the fair value gap (3312–3318) and is now compressing just above the mean-reversion anchor (LWN). There’s no momentum reclaim from buyers, and structure suggests weakness into Friday.
We’re positioning short into expected downside continuation.
Key Levels
Reactive Resistance Cluster: 3330–3336
FVG (rejected): 3312–3318
Mean-Reversion Anchor (LWN): 3290–3300
Absorption Shelf (Target Zone): 3275
PDH/PDL (provisional): 3325 / 3280
VWAP: Flattened, near 3302
Short Setup (Active)
Entry: 3332
Stop: 3340
TP1: 3305 – Mean reversion
TP2: 3288 – LWN sweep
TP3: 3275 – Absorption shelf
Staakd Setup: 1:5.7 R:R to final target
Bias confirmed by rejection from inefficiency and absence of buyer follow-through
QM Probabilities
Bear Move 60–65% Structure favoUrs continued rejection + flush to 3275
Bull Move 35–40% Requires reclaim of 3318 + aggressive close above VWAP
Range/Flat Possible pre-close Tight range unless displaced overnight
Staakd Bias:
Structure is holding beneath resistance. Without a reclaim of 3318, we remain short-biased into Friday with eyes on 3275. Probability favours continuation unless buyers reclaim initiative fast.
Follow for post-close recap and updated levels ahead of Friday's NY open and we hope your trades worked out how you expected today.
Early impulsive action got me active! This was a move I was looking to happen yesterday but got slapped trying. It just rocks out like that some time and you have to wait for the next opportunity. In this move early and looking for it to continue if it can hold well above yesterdays high. Trailing stop with every 50 ticks cause anything can happen turning price around and I dont want to give to much back.
Extremely bullish on gold I am long Gold, 1hr breaker after attacking sellside mutiple times, dxy is correcting right now as well. its wednesday so we could see mid week reversal, we also have equal highs. We are also inversing a 1hr fvg (RED) which adds confluence with the breaker. solid setup, invalidation is 3303 and tp is 3372.
Mixed market for GOLDHard to frame an idea for gold because the dxy looks strong and gold looks strong as well, indicating to me a mixed market. Sitting on the sidelines for gold is probably the better bet right now because we just had a sweep of buyside liquidty and tapped back into a daily fvg. Notice the candles, and how they didnt close above the swing high. So because gold looks bullish and dxy looks bullish, im not interested in gold for tuesday trading. But if i had to pikc, we continue up for gold and attacck that buyside/ eqaul highs
Gold will make a Low for the Week before Pushing BullishOn my previous Update I mention that we should have support off this H4 Gap. My problem with it s it immediately reacted to it when the market opened back up. well before the killzone. So I feel like this is a fake out to go short for now. they will make a low for the week then we will see it set up for the bullish move.
GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025🪙 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan
📊 Market Context:
Price is currently forming an accumulation pattern.
The purple zone marks a key weekly demand zone, and I expect a potential bounce from that level.
I'm closely watching for trendline deviations to determine the directional bias.
🎯 Game Plan:
If price drops below the trendline and bounces from the weekly demand, I’ll look for longs targeting the bearish trendline.
If price taps the bearish trendline and shows clear rejection, I’ll look for shorts targeting the bullish trendline.
I'll wait for LTF confirmations before entering any position.
✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
GC1! Breakout Confirmation & Bullish Continuation Potential Gold Futures Analysis – Breakout Confirmation & Bullish Continuation Potential
After an extended consolidation within a descending channel, Gold has successfully broken out, aligning with the overall bullish bias evident from the broader market structure.
Key Observations:
Overall Bias: Bullish, supported by higher-timeframe structure and trendline confluence.
Breakout Confirmation: Clean breakout above the descending channel, showing increased bullish momentum.
200 SMA Flip: Price reclaimed the 200-period SMA, reinforcing a shift in sentiment.
Key Zone Retests: The market is expected to retest the previous resistance (now support) around the 3345–3350 zone before any continuation.
Volume & RSI: Rising volume and RSI above 50 support further bullish continuation, with a short-term target toward the 3418 region.
Plan Ahead: I anticipate a short pullback to the support zone followed by bullish continuation if price holds above the breakout structure.
Follow @GoldenZoneFX For more content and valuable insights.
GOLD! Pre-Market Analysis For Friday July 18th!In this video, we'll present pre-market analysis and best setups for Friday July 18th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Sweep On levels and Confirmation of Bullish pressure! Now that we have a sweep on levels we are looking for bullish pressure to continue. They have closed the 4Hr bullish. Being that it is Friday keeping expectation low cause price can break out and push hard or it can end up being Rotational. I feel there is a move here. We just have to wait for it to line up inside of the killzone. NOFOMO Mayn!
Gold Futures ($GC1!) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 618🟡 Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 0.618 Fib in Bullish Breakout Context
⏳ Pre-US Session Playbook
We're currently watching Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) for a potential short opportunity into the US session open. While the broader structure has broken bullish, we're anticipating a bearish retest scenario from a key Fibonacci level — aligning cleanly with last week’s breakout structure.
No positions have been taken yet — we are setting up for the US session — and are closely monitoring price action near the 0.618 retracement zone before committing.
📍 Setup Breakdown
• 0.618 Fib Retracement from the last bearish impulse aligns with:
○ Recent volume shelf resistance
○ Retest zone from prior breakout
○ An overextended local push into thin volume above 3380
• Bullish Context:
○ HTF breakout from descending wedge structure remains valid
○ Macro buyers still in control
○ Upside continuation risk is high if sellers don’t show up
• Short Bias Conditions:
○ Rejection or absorption in the 3385–3390 zone
○ Weak follow-through above 0.618 (failed breakout scenario)
○ Breakdown of LTF higher low structure post-test
🧠 Strategy Commentary
Although we’re in bullish breakout mode, this is a tactical short setup — a fade into prior structure with clear invalidation. We're not fighting trend, but looking to short into exhaustion at a defined level, with tight risk parameters.
Confluence Factors:
• 0.618 fib alignment
• VRVP volume shelf
• Prior breakout structure retest
• LTF divergence or absorption confirming the fade
🎯 Trade Parameters (Planned)
• Entry Zone: ~3385–3390
• Stop Loss: Tight, 3395–3400
• Target Zone: 3342–3337 (full structure retest)
📌 Patience is key — this remains a setup until confirmed. We'll post live if and when conditions are met.
Let the market come to you.