Nas100USD (LONG)
Price had been respecting the resistance trendline for months/years.
USD is at it support level which means indicies will go short
Perfect correlation.
NDX trade ideas
One last squeeze and NAS100 could explode into the next rallyThe NAS100 is currently coiling within a tight consolidation range, showing signs of tension building up. After a strong push upward, price has been moving sideways in a narrowing structure. This build-up around the high, a compression of buyers and sellers in a low-volatility squeeze could be an indication that we could use. This kind of price action typically signals that buyers are gaining control, squeezing out sellers with each dip.
The lack of deep pullbacks combined with increasingly shallow sell-offs shows fading bearish momentum. Which is often typical during a buildup phase before a breakout. If buyers can push price above with a strong close, it could trigger breakout momentum and lead to a continuation of the larger bullish trend.
Ideally, if price reacts positively and forms bullish confirmation, it would set up a solid continuation entry, with upside potential toward the next target of 23.400.
Until then, bulls are watching closely for signs of commitment. The breakout is yet to be confirmed, but the squeeze is on, and the pressure is building.
What will happen next?
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isnโt financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USNAS100 Outlook โ CPI Data to Confirm Breakout or PullbackUSNAS100 โ Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of CPI
USNAS100 continues to show strong bullish momentum, trading above 22,905 and recently printing a new all-time high (ATH).
As long as price remains above this level, the next upside target is 23,170, followed by 23,300.
Market Focus โ CPI Data Today:
โข Expected: 2.6%
โข Below 2.6% โ bullish reaction likely
โข Above 2.6% โ bearish pressure expected
โข Exactly 2.6% โ could trigger a short-term bearish pullback
Key Risk Level:
A confirmed break below 22,905 would signal weakness and open the door for a correction toward 22,615.
USNAS100 โ Bearish Below 22900 as Earnings & Tariffs Hit MarketUSNAS100 โ Bearish Bias Ahead of Earnings, PPI & Tariff Tensions
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are slightly lower as traders weigh rate outlook, tariff developments, and major earnings reports.
๐ Earnings in Focus:
Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS , Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS , and Bank of America NYSE:BAC are set to report today.
JPMorgan Chase NYSE:JPM and Citigroup NYSE:C posted strong results yesterday, but expressed caution over U.S. tariff policies.
๐ Tariff Watch:
Trump announced a 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, with more deals anticipated ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. The EU is reportedly preparing retaliatory measures if negotiations stall.
๐ง Technical Outlook:
The Nasdaq100 shows bearish momentum as long as it trades below 22900 and 23010, with potential downside targets:
Support: 22720 โ 22615 โ 22420
Resistance: 23010 โ 23170
To shift back to a bullish trend, price must stabilize above 22900 and break 23010.
Key Events Today:
โข Corporate Earnings
โข Tariff Developments
โข U.S. PPI Report
US100 (Nasdaq 100) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)The US100, which is heavily concentrated in technology and growth companies, has been a significant driver of overall market performance in recent times. Its future trajectory is intricately linked to a combination of macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and evolving technological narratives.
Key Factors Shaping the Outlook:
Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics:
Cooling Inflation: If inflation continues to moderate (as indicated by CPI, PCE, and other economic data), central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve, will have more flexibility to consider easing monetary policy.
Interest Rate Expectations: Lower interest rates are generally a boon for growth stocks. They reduce the cost of borrowing for companies and increase the present value of their future earnings, which makes their (often higher) valuations more palatable. Conversely, any resurgence in inflation that forces a "higher for longer" interest rate stance could put significant downward pressure on the US100. As of mid-2025, the market has largely priced in the expectation of potential rate cuts later in 2025 or early 2026, but this remains highly data-dependent and subject to change with each new economic report.
C orporate Earnings and AI Enthusiasm:
Tech Earnings Season: The performance of the major tech titans within the Nasdaq 100 (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla) during their quarterly earnings reports will be critical. Continued strong earnings beats, particularly from companies that are leading the charge in Artificial Intelligence (AI), will reinforce investor confidence and support higher valuations.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Narrative: The intense excitement and significant investment surrounding AI remain a powerful tailwind for the US100. Companies demonstrating clear pathways to monetize AI, or those establishing dominant positions in AI infrastructure and applications, are likely to continue seeing robust performance. However, any signs of the AI narrative losing steam, or a perception of an AI "bubble," could trigger profit-taking or a broader market correction.
Economic Growth and Consumer Behavior:
U.S. Economic Health: A resilient U.S. economy, characterized by healthy GDP growth and a strong labor market, provides a conducive environment for corporate revenues. A "soft landing" scenario (where inflation is tamed without triggering a recession) is the most favorable outcome for the US100.
Consumer Spending: Strong consumer confidence and sustained spending directly benefit sectors like e-commerce, software services, and consumer electronics, which are heavily represented in the Nasdaq 100.
Valuation Considerations:
While many Nasdaq 100 companies have delivered impressive earnings growth, their valuations (e.g., P/E ratios) are, for some, elevated compared to historical averages. This implies that there might be less margin for error in future earnings reports or unexpected shifts in the economic landscape. A "valuation reset" could occur if growth projections fail to materialize or if interest rates remain higher than currently anticipated.
Geopolitical and Global Factors:
Global Trade & Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade dynamics, geopolitical tensions (e.g., US-China relations, regional conflicts), and potential supply chain disruptions can introduce unforeseen volatility and impact global economic growth, which, in turn, affects the predominantly international-facing tech sector.
Overall Future Outlook (from a mid-July 2025 perspective):
The US100's future outlook appears cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by the enduring strength of underlying technology trends and the transformative potential of AI. The index has demonstrated remarkable resilience and continues to be favored by growth-oriented investors.
Upside Potential: Could be fueled by sustained strong earnings from its tech giants, especially those leading in AI, coupled with clear indications of forthcoming interest rate cuts.
Downside Risks: The index remains highly susceptible to shifts in interest rate expectations (e.g., if inflation proves stickier than anticipated), any disappointments in high-profile tech earnings, or a broader economic downturn. Given its concentration in high-growth, high-beta stocks, the US100 is prone to more significant fluctuations in both upward and downward market moves compared to broader, more diversified indices.
Investors and traders will be closely monitoring key economic data (inflation, employment), central bank communications, and the performance of bellwether tech companies for crucial clues about the index's direction.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work
NASDAQ Short OpportunityPrice formed a distribution schematic 1 and currently forming the LPSY at OTE Level
NASDAQ Rebounding on its 1H MA50.Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded today on its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), third time since Friday's and Thursday's bounce. A Channel Up is emerging and based on the 4H RSI it is a medium-term bullish reversal off the Pivot trend-line, similar to June 20 - 30.
As you can see, that Channel Up targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension before breaking below the 1H MA50 to start a lengthy consolidation. Based on that, we are targeting 23650 (Fib 2.618 ext) on the short-term.
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25-07-03 NDX 22867 - Recovery done/Correction aheadImpulsive recovery with nice 1 to 5 structure.
Expect maybe last 3-5% upward, then correction down to 20'600.
NASDAQ Outlook โ Coming WeeksIn the coming weeks, we may see a potential downward move in the NASDAQ, provided that it fails to hold above the current level at 23,100.
If the index remains unstable below this level, a sharp decline toward the 22,800 zone is likely.
USTEC 1H โ Bullish Continuation Play๐ฅ USTEC 1H โ Bullish Continuation Play
Price pulled back into a strong demand zone and ascending channel support. We're in a clear bullish trend, and this retest offers a high-probability continuation setup.
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Demand zone confluence
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Previous resistance turned support
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Trendline + bullish wick rejection
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Clean structure with 1:3+ potential
๐ฏ Targeting 23,250+ while SL remains below 22,990
Strategy: TCB โ Trend Phase (Pullback Entry)
Checklist Score: 100% โ
A+ setup
Bias: Bullish โ continuation expected
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SellRejection Level
Daily Volume
Market Structure Shift
London US Session
Trend Line Break
Untapped Order Point
Nasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech Earnings
The earnings season is gaining momentum. This week, major technology companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) are scheduled to release their quarterly results.
Given that 85% of the 53 S&P 500 companies that have already reported have exceeded analystsโ expectations, it is reasonable to assume that market participants are also anticipating strong results from the big tech names. The Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) set an all-time high last week โ a level that may be surpassed (potentially more than once) before the end of August.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Price movements have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the following dynamics observed:
โ The bearish signals we highlighted on 7 July did not result in any significant correction. This may be interpreted as a sign of a strong market, as bearish momentum failed to materialise despite favourable technical conditions.
โ Buyers have shown initiative by gaining control at higher price levels (as indicated by the arrows): the resistance at 22,900 has been invalidated, while the 23,050 level has flipped to become support.
โ A long lower shadow near the bottom boundary of the channel (circled on the chart) underscores aggressive buying activity.
Should the earnings and forward guidance from major tech firms also come in strong, this could further reinforce the sustainable bullish trend in the US equity market.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NQ, PM session (Tuesday) (long into short idea)Most likely price will make one more pullback before dropping into sell-side liquidity.
The laggish price action tells us that NQ is not really done IMO. I think a retracement into the 15m Gap is doable for NQ.
Keep watching NQ afterwards, We want to see a sudden drop to confirm our down movement.
USNAS100 signs of a potential bearish trend Nasdaq Composite ended Friday little changed, recovering from a brief dip triggered by financial reports suggesting that former President Donald Trump is pushing for new tariffs. This geopolitical uncertainty is adding pressure to tech-heavy indices, with broader market sentiment turning cautious.
The price action on USNAS100 currently appears weak, showing early signs of a potential bearish trend in the upcoming week. However, before further downside, we may see the price retest key resistance levels.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis.
US100 H1 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.US100 currently trades at 22830 whatโs the next potential move on this asset? A reversal to 23024 high or a further decline to 22680. Letโs watch out and see how price reacts at that level.
NASDAQ Inverted Head & Shoulders Retest Before Bullish MomentumI see a possible retest of an Inverted Head and Shoulders on M15 TF before the bullish momentum resumes. The SL and TP are just a rough estimation. Price could dip a bit lower than that.
But my overall bias is bullish.
NASDAQ Is looking for a massive break-out to 24000!Nasdaq (NDX) is most likely taking advantage of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support and after hitting it, it appears that the price will look for a way above the Parabola.
This might be similar to what took place after the May 07 test of the 4H MA50. The price broke above that parabolic pattern and peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are looking for 24000 as a potential Target in the next 2 weeks.
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US100 SELL OPPORTUNITY A sell opportunity is envisaged as price dropped from the ALL TIME HIGH of 23000. I am shorting it with my target placed at 22524
Take advantage of this opportunity
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
NASDAQ Index broke and closed above a resistance of a horizontal
parallel channel on a daily.
It confirms a bullish trend continuation and a highly probable growth
to the next strong resistance.
Goal - 23300
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NAS 100 Potential PullbackHi there,
NAS100 has the potential to drop as it keeps testing the resistance zone in the range of 23100. This looks more like bull exhaustion than a reversal. The 22695.50 is the target for a bias of 22499.12
The overall bigger trend is bullish, with price highs aiming as far as 23717.44, 24837.28, and 26222.31, making this a potentially massive bullish trend, and it will take time to reach those highs.
Happy Trading, ๐
K.
