MicroStrategy Incorporated - Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock
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MicroStrategy Incorporated - Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock stock forum
It's a bit rich for Saylor to post on X over the weekend to HODL and look toward what huge gains the future has in store, when his own directors and management team have been actively selling the stock this year. He should compose his call to action as an internal email before chastising retail shareholders.
When MSTR has an mNAV under 2.0 (caused in part by past heavy dilution), retail investors see other products like BITX with 2x BTC exposure plus monthly dividends as a kicker.
MSTR has barely managed to breakeven the last 90 days while the rest of the market has been on fire, with names like COIN and NVDA up over 75% during the same period. So I think the fast money crowd has taken flight and chasing the latest darling stocks. MSTR may have its day in the sun again eventually and those same investors will come flooding back.
Or it may not. MSTR truly is at an inflection point due to new tax obligations, new high capital costs, and an impatient retail investor base.
MSTY of course is its own hybrid that performs best when MSTR stays within a defined range, oscillating up and down without breaking out. MSTY collects income by selling covered calls and keeps the call premium if MSTR doesn't rally too much. Excess premiums earned are returned to investors monthly. By law the ETF must return a minimum of 90% of income generated each month to investors in order to maintain their ETF tax status. All ETFs fall under that guideline.
MSTY offers little in the way of downside protection, only cushioned by the call premiums collected. Conversely, its upside is very limited due to the upside cap of the covered calls written.
MSTY's share price, by design, is going to significantly underperform MSTR during strong periods for MSTR. I'm not sure I've seen it trade above $30 in the last 12 months ever. It has mostly been range bound between $20 - $25, with the price resetting at each monthly dividend payout.
The higher the volatility in MSTR, the higher the call premiums MSTY can collect, especially when the stock stays rangebound.
The problem is that a great deal of volatility has come out of MSTR in the last 6 months, which has hurt MSTY returns as compared to the prior 6 month period. Lower volatility means lower premiums on the calls they sell, which has been reflected each month in their recent dividend payouts.
For maximum income generation potential, MSTY needs MSTR to thrash around violently in place like a fish out of water, not take off like a rocket or fall off a cliff.
Owning shares in MSTY is actually a bet that MSTR will underperform BTC over the long term and it will behave violently in the process (large up/down swings) yet return to near the baseline for the month before call expiration. That is when maximum income is generated.
take a look and LMK what you folks with a truly analytical eye, think.(no trolls just for troll's sake, please) His approach reminds me a bit of FX Evolution, or Crypto Currently, but this video is just about MSTR, which is an interesting focus. With his many comparison charts, he makes a case that we are in just one of many MSTR lower divergence cycles, and (while past returns are no guarantee of future gains) that he thinks we are simply "due" for another bull run.
1] I hope he's right, of course.
2] why did MSTR decouple from BTC on or around May 12th, while BTC went for a new ATH?
3] why has MSTR been on the ropes lately while BTC made an ATH, when everyone KNEW it would have blow-out earnings with the new unrealized gains rule?