U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED🕵🏻♂️
The Natural gas has been trading bullish for 7 days in a row since last Wednesday, reaching the 3.6000 resistance level. Primarily this happened due to a warm weather in the U.S. states, that supports the demand on gas. Despite warmer-than-normal summer weather, analysts expect energy firms to inject more gas into storage than usual in coming weeks. Record-high output in June, likely to be surpassed in July, and reduced gas flows to LNG export plants since April's peak, support this trend.
Technically chart shows us a bearish divergence on 1-h timeframe. I suppose the price to slowly decline towards major support level of 3.0000 with minor rebounds. The 2nd option is the rebound from 3.4000 support level with a first target of 3.6000.
NATGASUSD trade ideas
Natgas long term target 4Natural Gas (NATGAS) | 4H Chart Analysis
We are seeing a strong technical setup developing on Natural Gas. Price has recently bounced off a key ascending trendline support around the 3.00–3.10 area, with clear higher timeframe structure still intact.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around 3.10, after confirming support at the rising trendline.
Stop Loss: Below 2.94 support (invalidates the bullish setup).
Targets:
TP1: 3.32 (first resistance, previous highs)
TP2: 3.57
TP3: 3.79
Final TP: 4.04
Trade Rationale:
Strong trendline support and recent bullish reaction.
Clear stepwise resistance levels to take profit along the way.
Risk well-defined below previous swing lows and support.
Things to Watch:
A daily close below 2.94 would invalidate this long setup.
Monitor for bullish volume on up-moves and news catalysts (storage data, weather, etc.).
Personal note:
This is not financial advice, just sharing my technical view for educational purposes. Please do your own research and manage your risk!
Natural Gas Price Drops by 7%Natural Gas Price Drops by 7%
As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas is trading around $3.333/MMBtu, although yesterday morning the price was approximately 7% higher.
According to Reuters, the decline in gas prices is driven by:
→ Record-high production levels. LSEG reported that average gas output in the Lower 48 rose to 107.2 billion cubic feet per day so far in July, surpassing the previous monthly record of 106.4 billion cubic feet per day set in June.
→ Favourable weather forecasts. Although the peak of summer heat is still anticipated, forecasts indicate that temperatures over the next two weeks may be lower than previously expected.
As a result, today’s XNG/USD chart appears bearish.
Technical Analysis of the XNG/USD Chart
The chart indicates that since mid-May, natural gas prices have been fluctuating within a descending channel (marked in red), with July’s peak (E) highlighting the upper boundary of the pattern.
A key resistance area is now represented by a bearish gap, formed between:
→ the former support level at $3.525;
→ the $3.470 level – which, as the arrow suggests, is already showing signs of acting as resistance.
Under these conditions, it is reasonable to assume that the price may continue forming a downward market structure A-B-C-D-E, consisting of lower highs and lows, potentially moving towards the channel’s median – which approximately corresponds to July’s low (around the $3.200 level).
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Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas Spot Well trying to read this complex correction again and assuming this is larger x wave or f wave if diametric in intermediate degree and time confirmation yet to come if next high previous fall not passed with in that time, then new low again possible, Let see. Not a sebi registered analyst, just personal view
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH WEDGE WORKED OUT. WHAT'S NEXT?U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH WEDGE WORKED OUT. WHAT'S NEXT?
Today, the market opened 2.66% below its closing price on Friday. The current price has already fallen on 4.8% since the closing on Friday, and it is now above the 3.400 support level. I expect further decline, however, with a possible rebound from the current level and pullback towards the SMA50, with a final target of 3.000.
NATURAL GAS - REBOUND FROM THE MAJOR TRENDLINE AND ANOTHER LONG CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
Last week on Wednesday and Thursday we observed the false breakout of the major trendline. Eventually, Thursday ended up bullish, gaining 4.8% day-to-day. On Friday the asset has been trading majorly sideways, retesting the major trendline (pic 1). Technically, looks like the divergence on RSI, MACD and Momentum works out as well as the bullish wedge (pic 2). Fundamentally, we still have warm temperature weather forecasts in the U.S. and bullish Thursday's EIA report. Additionally, today the market opened with a bullish gap and continues to grow, which is a good signal for the buyers.
Considering major levels here, I decided to open long positions:
🔼 a market buy order at 3.4556 with
❌a stop loss at 3.2995 and
🤑a take profit at 3.7927
At 3.6000 would be reasonable to reduce long position on a half. Thank you for the attention!
Heatwave Fuels Breakout as Fundamentals AlignNatural Gas has reclaimed the spotlight with a sharp move above $3.56, breaking through a key resistance level as a heatwave grips large parts of the United States. With above-average temperatures forecast to persist into late July, demand for cooling remains elevated, significantly boosting power consumption across the board.
Supply remains tight despite elevated production levels. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) feedgas volumes are rising as export demand holds strong, keeping domestic stockpiles in check. While some temporary relief in demand could arrive next week, the broader outlook remains bullish. Weather models suggest persistent heat, and traders are increasingly positioning for sustained tightness in the balance of supply and demand.
Technical Setup:
• Key level breached: $3.48 (100-day EMA) decisively broken
• Current price zone: Approaching $3.57, the next major pivot
• Momentum: If bulls secure a weekly close above $3.57, the market could enter a longer-term uptrend with $3.65 and $3.80 in sight.
Takeaway: Natural gas traders should monitor weather patterns and storage data closely. Sustained heat could keep the rally intact, but short-term pullbacks may offer entry points for trend-followers.
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME TRADING IDEA UPDATE -
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME🔥
The XNGUSD goes quite well, as predicted. It held the trendline and moving upwards slowly, but surely. Short-term support here is the EMA20 on 4h timeframe. The asset is just below 3.600 resistance level and sma200. Since the July 10, the asset seems to be moving within the ascending channel (pic 2). I expect that the price will break the 3.6000 resistance level, will go towards upper channel border and then, after quick retest, move towards 3.8000. Not a trading advice! Trade cautiously!
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XNGUSD rebounded after tested the accending supportFundamental view:
Total US natural gas consumption rose 0.8% to 75.1 Bcf/d. Power sector demand increased 1.0% to 43.8 Bcf/d, driven by higher temperatures and increased air conditioning use. While total supply averaged 112.5 Bcf/d, down 0.6% from the previous week. Dry production decreased 0.6% to 106.2 Bcf/d. Net imports from Canada fell 1.4% to 6.3 Bcf/d. Rig count for natural gas fell by 1 to 108 rigs, indicating a slight reduction in drilling activity.
As a result, the working gas underground continued to increase above the 5-year average, nearly reaching its highest level in 5 years.
However, the higher-than-expected temperature and the demand from the EU, ASIA countries could support the price in the long term.
Technical view:
XNGUSD rebounded to $3.39/MMBtu on July 11, 2025, up 1.45% from the previous day, but is down 3% over the past month. Prices remain 45% higher year-over-year, reflecting a strong medium-term uptrend.
The price is consolidating above $3.20–$3.25 support, with a descending wedge pattern forming—often a precursor to a bullish reversal. The 100-period SMA is below the 200-period SMA, confirming a bearish bias, and the price is trading below both. The Stochastic Oscillator is oversold, and RSI is near technical bounce territory, but both indicate lingering bearish momentum.
A breakout above the wedge and the 100/200 EMA resistance, especially above $3.60, could trigger a rally toward $3.80 or even $4.00. Oversold momentum indicators and potential seasonal demand spikes could support this move.
Failure to hold $3.20–$3.25 support or persistent rejection at EMA resistance could push prices to $3.00 or even $2.70. Bearish momentum, increased inventories, or weak demand would reinforce the downside.
XNGUSD Technical Update – What the Chart Is Telling Us NowIn this video, I break down the current XNGUSD (Natural Gas) chart using pure price action analysis on the daily timeframe.
This update builds on my previous post, where I shared a comprehensive outlook supported by fundamentals, including supply/demand imbalances, geopolitical risks, and long-term LNG export growth.
In this video, I focus purely on the technical picture—highlighting key levels, market structure, recent consolidation, and where I see potential opportunities unfolding next.
📈 If you're trading or investing in Natural Gas, this is a must-watch update to stay in tune with the current market dynamics.
Remember: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Potential Scalp Bearish Reversal Natural GasHello fellow traders, I will be giving my daily trade setups. I will be focusing day trading and scalping opportunities. I would like these posts to help others. Risk management is key.
Natural Gas appears to have made a bearish reversal divergence. Looking to short the bearish engulfing. I will be looking for a 2% drop down the 3.20, which is a previous support.
NATURAL GAS formed Head and Shoulders patternCAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
🔍 From a longer-term perspective, I noticed that a Head and Shoulders pattern 🪖🩻 is about to form. This pattern has been forming since December 2024 and in the long term 🕰️ means no good for those who play long here 📉.
🙋♂️ Personally, I will stay aside for now and observe 👀. The asset may head towards the 3.0000 support level 🪙, where I expect a potential rebound 🔄, possibly even a retest of the trendline from below ↩️.
⏳ In the long term, the asset may even move towards the 2.0000 support level 🚨, but I will need more observation and data to be sure 🧪.
🕊️ Time will show. Thank you for the attention! 🙏
Waiting for $3: Patience Before Positioning in GasYes, the attempt to catch the bottom in natural gas ended in failure. Let it be a lesson for the future. Just because something looks cheap and low doesn’t mean it can’t go even lower — and the question is whether your margin and nerves can handle the drawdown. In short — it's a bad path.
It’s too late to short, too early to go long.
I think we’ll most likely head toward the $3 level, and from there we’ll see: will it break or hold? Ideally, I’d like to wait for a proper long setup at that level.
XNGUSD POSSIBLE LONG OPPORTUNITY
Us natural gas has been falling since June 20th and stopped a decline nearby the 3.3900 level with minor false breakouts of it. Currently we observe the reversal bullish wedge pattern, which is supported by a divergency on rsi on 4-h timeframe. Yesterday natural gas trading session opened with a gap downside, however, later, closer to the American session we observed buying volumes and the asset managed to hold above the 3.3900, which makes it interesting to go long.
If the price breaks above the MA50 at 3.4824, would be nice to set a
🔼buy stop order at 3.5144 with a
💰take profit at 3.8000 and a
❌stop loss at 3.2494, below the trendline.
The risk-reward ratio is 1:1.08.