Bull Rally Losing steam as international factors weigh in. The Bull rally that we saw in Nifty in the last one month or so is losing a little steam as international factors related to escalating Russia and Ukraine war and International Tariff war start to weigh in. This made it difficult for Nifty to hold on to levels above 25000 after making a high of 25116 in the current rally. After making a high it is any substantial rally would try to consolidate and find a reasonable bottom from where it can launch again. Verifying a solid support is necessary for rally to move forward.
The supports for Nifty currently are at: 24515, 24185 (Mother line important support), 23945, 23689 (Father line important support). If 23689 is broken the bears will be very active again and can potentially drag down nifty to 23214, 22902 or even 22666. So 24185 and 23689 are important levels for Nifty to hold.
The Resistances for Nifty currently are at: 24838, 25116 (Important Resistance level, recent high). Sustaining above 25116 and Nifty closing above it can enable next leg of the rally which can take us in future to next resistance levels of 25438, 25641, 25845 and 26K+ levels.
The market might be speculating Russian response to Ukraine Drone attack. The scale of Russian attack if it happens will determine the movement of market. The local factors are mostly in favour of Indian markets. So long term investors should not worry. Traders and short term investors should avoid taking unnecessary risk as situation on international front. Geo-Political risk in the subcontinent, at Israel front and Between Russia and other EU nations should be on the hindsight of any decision making. Additionally there are rising number of COVID cases in India which can also become a factor which can effect market sentiment.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
