A long-term hold: PAYTM stockHello,
One 97 Communications Ltd. or PAYTM engages in the development of digital goods and mobile commerce platform. It operates through the following segments: Payment, Commerce, Cloud, and Others. The company was founded by Vijay Shekhar Sharma on December 22, 2000 and is headquartered in Noida, India.
The company's revenue continues to grow over time. During the 4th Quarter ended 31st March 2025, PAYTM reported revenu of $224M up from $214Mn in the previous quarter (Up 5% QoQ). The company is also now close to break-even from a profit after tax metric. PAT* of $(3) Mn, an improvement of $22 Mn QoQ. The business generated a net payment margin of $68mn including UPI incentive.
To continue driving value growth, the company states that they will be focusing on the below pillars;
Merchant payments
Consumer acquisition
International business
Financial services
Looking at the The Paytm Q4 FY25 report reveals several compelling opportunities for growth and profitability. The expanding merchant ecosystem, now at 12.4 million devices, provides a strong foundation for deeper financial services penetration, particularly merchant lending, which has seen consistent growth and high repeat rates. With India’s MSME sector largely underpenetrated in digital payments, there is a vast opportunity to deploy innovative payment solutions, especially in tier-2 and tier-3 cities. Additionally, the company’s focus on new products like the Solar and Mahakumbh Soundbox positions it well to enhance merchant engagement and retention. The financial services segment, buoyed by better asset quality and growing lender partnerships, offers room for scale in both lending and wealth management. Furthermore, regulatory prospects such as the introduction of MDR on UPI payments for large merchants could open new monetization pathways. International expansion, though longer-term, presents another avenue for replicating Paytm’s tech-driven financial services model in other markets.
While the situation looks positive, there are a few risks for this company.
Regulatory uncertainty
Credit cycle sensitivity
Competitive pressure
Security risks as Paytm scales its plartforms.
Dependence on incentives
The above risks are likely to delay or limit Paytm’s ability to achieve sustained profitability and growth across its payment, lending, and financial services segments. From a technical perspective, we see PAYTM as a long term buy or hold seeing long term opportunity for massive growth in the company.
