It's high time to make the header optional.Maybe there's a good chance.
OK, LaRSI on the monthly chart shows that the share of alts could rise significantly.
But there is a bullish correlation with bullish sentiment in the stock market.
However, the candle has gone below the 100 SMMA for the first time.
But at the same time a bullish momentum is forming at this point.
I suggest waiting for the end of the month.
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But real strength can only be demonstrated
if the candles break out of this channel. Where they are now.
The 10.7%-11% level will be critical.
As usual, no need to call anyone on anything.
OTHERS.D trade ideas
Do you believe in miracles?Others dominance is crazily undervalued way beyond anyone's imagination, it's been a crazy 4 year bear market for alts. Big question is, when will it end. Can't fathom this industry getting killed by exchanges, just look at others.d go man, crazy low.
If this were the equivalent to 2019/2020 and 2015/2016, any buy in this range is a one in a lifetime opportunity.
If this is like December 2016, well, that would save us years of struggle. Hard to tell what's going to happen but I still believe Trump will give us an extended bullrun that will peak when the FIFA world cup is on somewhere around July 4th 2026.
Great depression? this goes way beyond that, what more of a great depression do you want. Just brutal.
Very similar to January 2016You are looking at the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding the Top 10 cryptocurrencies (OTHERS.D) on a weekly timeframe. This chart is often used as an "Altcoin Index" to gauge the strength of the broader cryptocurrency market beyond the major players like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Here's my observation about being in a period similar to January 2016.
The technical analysis on this chart is built around a few key concepts:
1. Long-Term Ascending Channel: The dominant feature is a large parallel ascending channel that has contained the altcoin market cap's movements since 2015. The upper line has acted as a resistance level during bull market peaks, and the lower line has served as a major support level during bear market bottoms.
2. Historical Fractal (The "January 2016" Idea): My idea centers on a historical comparison, or a "fractal."
- The first white arrow points to a period in late 2016. At this time, the altcoin market cap found a bottom right on the support line of the ascending channel. This bottoming phase preceded the explosive 2017 bull run.
- The second white arrow points to a projected time in late 2025 / early 2026. The chart suggests that the market is currently in a similar bottoming pattern near the same long-term support line.
3. Falling Wedge: I've drawn a large falling wedge pattern starting from the peak in late 2021. This is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting that the long downtrend could be nearing its end. The price is currently interacting with the apex of this wedge, a critical decision point.
4. Price Projection: The orange and blue bar patterns are copies of the price action that followed the 2016-2017 bottom. By pasting this fractal to the current time, the chart visualizes a potential future where history rhymes, leading to a massive new bull market for altcoins extending into 2027 until the end of the roaring 20s.
The Bullish Case (According to the Chart)
The argument presented by this analysis is clear:
• The altcoin market is at a historically strong support level (the bottom of the ~10-year channel).
• This is the same support level that kicked off the massive 2017 bull market.
• The market is consolidating within a falling wedge, which has a higher probability of breaking to the upside.
If this analysis holds true, the current period could be seen as a significant accumulation zone before the next major market expansion, much like the period around January 2016 was.
Important Considerations and Risks
While this is a compelling technical setup, it's crucial to maintain a balanced perspective. Here are some factors to consider:
• Past Performance is Not a Guarantee: This is the most important principle in financial markets. While historical patterns can provide valuable insight, they do not guarantee future results.
• Market Dynamics Have Changed: The cryptocurrency market of 2025 is fundamentally different from that of 2016.
• Maturity and Size: The market is significantly larger and includes substantial institutional investment, which can alter market behavior and volatility.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as interest rates and inflation, now have a much stronger influence on the crypto market than they did in its earlier days.
• Regulatory Environment: Increased global regulatory scrutiny can introduce uncertainty and risks that were not present in the 2016-2017 cycle.
• Subjectivity of Technical Analysis: The trendlines and patterns are drawn based on an analyst's interpretation. Another analyst might draw them slightly differently, leading to a different conclusion.
Conclusion
The idea that "we're in January 2016 all over again" is a valid interpretation based on the technical patterns in this chart. The analysis points to the altcoin market being at a critical long-term support level, similar to the setup that preceded a major historical bull run.
This chart lays out a clear bullish roadmap. However, everyone should treat it as a potential scenario, not a certainty. I'll continue to monitor if the price respects these historical levels so that you guys are mindful of the broader market and macroeconomic factors that could influence the outcome.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on the technical analysis presented in the user-provided image. It should not be construed as financial advice. All investment decisions carry risk, and you should conduct your own research.
#OTHERS.D ~ Do you believe in Castles in the SKY?I believe that the Others dominance metric divided by an ounce of real money #Gold gives us a valuable insight into the fabled altseasons.
Because as this chart shows theres only been 4 in actuality
and you normal get a double bubble in a cycle.
So I believe we are at the cusp of turning things around as most people have given up on the concept of altcoins ever pumping again.
But it was just the business cycle #PMI that has depressed prices for the past few years.
ALTCOINS: Market bottomed and about to surge.The Altcoin market is almost oversold on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 30.160, MACD = -0.160, ADX = 18.210) but this very same 1W RSI pattern has emerged numerous times before an altcoin market surge (Altseason). How high it can go depends on whether the Fed will cut on its next meeting or not. Nevertheless, this level is an excellent opportunity to start investing in altcoins.
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Altcoin dominance, excluding the top 10Altcoin dominance, excluding the top 10, indicates we're nearing a potential reversal area. However, it's unclear whether the reversal will occur at the OB or the deviated low. Therefore, it might be better to start accumulating altcoins from the OB to the range low keeping a stop-loss in mind in case of adverse news. Personally, I'm not a fan of longterm holding.
Comparing Stables Vs ALTSLeft Chart (USDT.D + USDC.D % – Stablecoin Dominance)
This chart shows the combined dominance of USDT and USDC—essentially how much of the total crypto market is parked in stablecoins.
Price is testing a resistance level at 6.70%.
If this level breaks and holds, it suggests risk-off sentiment—more capital is fleeing into stablecoins, implying fear or uncertainty in the market.
🟥 Red droplets = selling pressure or caution (bearish for crypto).
🟡 Yellow moons = previous consolidation or indecision levels (potential reversal zones).
🔍 Right Chart (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 – "Altcoin Dominance")
This represents how much of the market cap is held by smaller altcoins, excluding the top 10.
It’s hovering just above a key support at ~7.41%, but clearly in a downtrend.
If this support breaks, it suggests that altcoins are bleeding harder, which typically happens during risk-off periods.
🟥 Red droplets = potential continuation of downtrend.
🟡 Moons/suns = recent consolidation before breakdown.
📉 Conclusion / Interpretation:
If stablecoin dominance breaks above 6.70%, and altcoin dominance breaks below 7.41%, it confirms a risk-off move.
This suggests traders are rotating out of altcoins and into stablecoins, anticipating volatility or downside in the broader crypto market.
For risk management: 🧯 Likely not the time to add to altcoin positions unless you're betting on a reversal at these levels.
Actions Nightmare Is About To Be FinishedHello, Skyrexians!
Recently I shared this article about CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D where I pointed out that this chart is about to print another one lower low. Now it's happening, but this is wave 5 and now it's time to look for the altcoins bear market bottom.
Here we have 4h time frame and the internal structure of the final wave 5. Our main reversal signal can be divergence on Awesome Oscillator, and now it can happen if this drop will be decelerated. Price is inside the large green box - reversal zone. If we will see 3 rising columns on the histogram it's going to be the reveal signal with the yellow Elliott waves structure. This structure can be changed if price continues going down now without pullbacks. In this case I will recalculate waves and may be it will reach 7%. Also it shall match with BTC dominance which also has some space to go up. It shall at least retest the high at 65.5% (potential shortened wave 5).
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Altcoins Are Ready For Big DropHello, Skyrexians!
It's very important when BTC, USDT and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D dominances analysis perfectly matches with each other. I bet for Bitcoin and Tether dominance growth in the upcoming weeks and dump for altcoins.
Let's take a look at the 2 days time frame. Price was not even able to reach 0.38 Fibonacci level, but reached wave 4 top inside wave 3. In conjunction with zero line cross on Awesome Oscillator it's enough to say that we are in the wave 5 now. This dump will continue at least 7.5% low retest with the maximum target at 6.7%.
Very important, I see significant sentiment shift from bullish to bearish. When such article like this will collect more support than hate altseason will be ver close!
My previous analysis which played out well:
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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OTHERS.D 40% GROWTH IS IMMINENT!Hello everyone!
In this analysis I provide you the explanation behind the potential 40% growth of OTHERS.D and the resulting explosion of majority of altcoins in the coming weeks/months.
Right now OTHERS.D shows oversold conditions which are marked by weekly RSI below 40 and weekly MACD cross, which signals about soon reversal, the last time we had a MACD cross from red to green, we saw September 2024 - January 2025 rally, where most of altcoins and memecoins surged at 3x-10x from the lows, especially the MEMES and AI sector.
I would suggest loading strong altcoins which held their lows and didnt dip much since the August 5 lows. Lets see how this unfolds and hope for these massive green candles on our favorite alts!
ALT Dominance | Altseason Brewing? | (May 2025)ALT Dominance | Watching for Reversal | Altseason Brewing? | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing off a key support zone. While BTC has led most of the market, this could be a turning point where alts start catching up — possibly marking the early phase of a broader altseason.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Bullish on ALT Dominance
Entry Zone: Around 8% dominance
Targets:
✅ 10%
✅ 11%
✅ 13%
✅ 16%+ (longer-term speculative target)
Invalidation: Breakdown below current support would delay or invalidate this setup
3️⃣ Key Notes:
Altcoin dominance has been trending down for weeks, but now we’re sitting at support and forming a potential reversal structure. If this bounce holds, we could see strength across alts relative to BTC and ETH.
However, it’s not guaranteed — some coins may outperform while others lag. It's all about selectivity and timing.
⚠️ Important caution: Weekend price action tends to be unreliable. Low volume opens the door for fake breakouts, stop-loss hunts, and manipulation. If you're considering new entries, it might be wise to wait until normal volume returns.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Monitoring closely into next week. If dominance begins pushing past 10% with strength, I’ll look to update this with a list of top outperformers and possible trade setups.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.