2/ Altseason: Live - My Coin-Picking StrategyThe "Altseason: Live" experiment has unofficially begun. While many are debating if altseason will happen at all, I prefer to act. We may not see a classic, market-wide surge across all coins. The market has changed. But I believe that targeted, explosive opportunities always exist.
In this post, I won't be giving signals. I will share something much more valuable- my methodology for selecting coins for this final push. This is the exact approach I'm using right now.
Principle #1: Finding the 'Right' Cycle
I've long observed how major players profit from altcoin cycles. In every asset that shows exponential growth, I almost always see three distinct phases: Pre-Pump, Pump, and Super-Pump.
This isn't chaotic growth; it's a managed process. We've seen numerous examples over the past year. Let's look at the RSR chart as a textbook example of such a cycle.
My task is to find coins that have completed their accumulation phase and are now in the "Pre-Pump" stage.
Principle #2: Detecting the 'Footprints' of a Major Player
How can you tell if a major player is in a coin and ready to make a move? I look for what I call "candles with long wicks."
When you see an abnormally long lower wick on a chart with increased volume, it often means one thing: someone is trying to buy a large amount, but there isn't enough liquidity in the order book. The price drops, they sweep up everything available, and the price snaps back up.
For me, this is a clear sign—there's a "whale" here. They are defending their level and continuing to build a position to distribute at much higher prices.
Principle #3: Risk Management and the First Trades
Based on these two principles, I've gone through my extensive watchlist and selected my first targets. My choice fell on MAV and RONIN. On their charts, I saw the exact patterns I was looking for.
I want to be perfectly honest: this is aggressive trading. To achieve my ambitious goal, I will be taking risks. But I am only risking an amount that I am mentally prepared to lose. You have to understand: this is the crypto market, these are altcoins, often with low liquidity, and this is all happening on centralized exchanges. The risks are maximal.
What's Next?
The goal is set. The first steps have been taken. I will try to act carefully but decisively.
I'm documenting every step of this experiment. You'll be able to see everything with your own eyes, including my real PnL and open positions, on my regular livestreams.
Thank you for your attention. Fasten your seatbelts; we're taking off.
Best regards EXCAVO
OTHERS trade ideas
/3.5 The Winner's Psychology & The Hunt for Trade
Introduction: The Dangerous Time of Euphoria
I want to start by thanking you for the phenomenal support for the "Altseason: Live" experiment. We closed Round 1 with a +92% profit on the initial capital from just two trades.
But I need to be brutally honest with you: the most dangerous time is just beginning. Let's be clear: for these two months, I won't be chasing a conservative 3% per month. I will be trading quite aggressively.
That's why, in the coming weeks, you will see various coins "pump" without any logic. Your inner FOMO will be screaming at you: the feeling that you're late, you're in the wrong coin, you've missed out. In this frenzy, many will jump on a moving train. And my forecast remains: sometime around July 17th to 21st, the market will brutally shake out these passengers.
My Philosophy: The Battle with the Main Enemy—My Own Euphoria
After a huge win like +92% on the portfolio, it's very easy to get caught up in the "winner's high." A dangerous confidence appears, the feeling that you've figured out the market and that it will always be like this. This is a trap.
That is why I did something that might seem illogical: I cut my position size for the next trades by a factor of four.
Why? To tame that euphoria. To prove to myself that discipline is more important than elation. To remember that my win rate is not 100%, and a single losing trade on a wave of overconfidence can wipe out all the previous hard work. The most important thing is my inner calm.
Of course, when I talk about "calmness" in the context of futures, leverage, and altcoins, it sounds ridiculous. I get that. But striving for inner composure is the only shield a trader has.
My core principle remains unchanged: Fear losing more than you fear missing out on gains.
The Hunt for Leaders: My Methodology for Picking the Next Trade
Rebranding and New Tokenomics:
When a project undergoes a rebrand, it almost always means the team has a plan. The pressure from old sellers decreases, and the probability of a subsequent rally is high.
' Smart Money' Footprints (Accumulation):
This is my favorite pattern. Long periods of accumulation at certain levels, anomalous volumes, and candles with long wicks—all of this indicates that a major player has entered a position and is preparing for a breakout.
New Listings and Unique Patterns:
Projects recently listed on top exchanges don't have the "baggage" of disappointed holders. Over the years, I've noticed certain unique patterns in their charts that have a high probability of leading to growth.
The Art of the Entry: Hunting for the Entry Point
I try to enter positions with limit orders, and I always wait for a pullback. I look for an entry on a local correction when panic is shaking out the random passengers.
Hunt for your entry point. That is the most important thing.
The Golden Rule: Not a Single Step Without a Stop-Loss
Trading without a stop-loss is suicide. Accepting a small, planned loss is not a weakness but a part of the professional game.
What's Next?
I've already missed one coin I wanted to trade—it took off without me. I didn't chase it. Now, I am patiently waiting and searching for the next setup that meets ALL of my criteria.
The "Altseason: Live" experiment continues. You can watch everything in real-time on my streams. The hunt is on.
Thank you for your attention.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Altcoins Waking Up? Here’s What the Charts Are Telling Us!Altcoin Watch: Momentum Is Building!
A major shift is unfolding in the OTHERS chart, it just broke above its previous high and is on track to form a golden cross, a strong technical signal that often leads to a rally.
But here's the key: a confirmed breakout needs a solid close above the 50% retracement level (from the cycle top to the latest low). That’s when things can really turn bullish.
Right now, the broader altcoin market hasn’t truly taken off. We’re still early.
This is the time to scan the charts. Look for altcoins that are showing similar strength and structure.
🔍 One standout? CRYPTOCAP:LINK is already flashing signs of what's to come.
#Altseason2025
3/ Altseason: Live - My System: Cut Losses, Let Profits RunIntroduction: The Whole Truth About Trading
The "Altseason: Live" experiment is in full swing. Before we continue, I want to show you something important. Not just the wins, but the complete picture.
This is real trading. With big wins and unavoidable losses. And this single screenshot contains my entire philosophy.
My Core Strategy: Cut Your Losses, Let Your Profits Run
My main job as a trader comes down to two simple rules:
Hold my winning positions for as long as possible.
Cut my losing positions as quickly as possible.
Look at the screenshot again. The losing trades on SAGA (-90) and PUMP(−595) were closed fast.
The moment I realized the setup wasn't working, I got out. No hope, no emotions. This is the cost of doing business.
Now, look at MAV (+4,302) and RONIN(+3,254)
I let them run because they were following the plan. These two trades brought in +$7,556 in profit, more than covering all the small losses and securing a great overall result. This is how the system works.
The Winner's Psychology: The Battle with Euphoria
After a series like this, it's easy to get a "winner's high" and believe you're invincible. That's a trap. That's why, after the first wins, I deliberately cut my position size for the next trades by four times. To tame that euphoria and remember that discipline is more important than overconfidence.
My main principle remains : Fear losing more than you fear missing out.
The Hunt Continues: The Current Position
This system isn't a theory from the past. It's working right now. As of this moment, I have one open position in :
GETTEX:WOO , which is already showing over 2121 in unrealized profit.
I plan to manage this trade by the same rules and will likely close it within the next 1-3 days.
What's Next?
I'm not looking for dozens of trades. I'm looking for a few high-quality setups where I can apply my system. I use limit orders to enter on pullbacks, and I always use a stop-loss.
The experiment continues. You can follow it all in real-time on my streams, where I broadcast my trading terminal.
Thank you for your attention. The hunt for Trade #3 has already begun.
Best regards EXCAVO
1/ Altseason: Live - My Game Plan for the 2 Hottest Months
Many of you will remember my forecasts over the past year: first, I said we had a year left, then six months. Now, looking at the market, I can say with confidence, we have about two months left until the end of this bull cycle.
Bitcoin is hitting new all-time highs, while most altcoins are just starting to lift off the bottom. Today, I want to break down exactly why I believe this period isn't just the end of the cycle, but the most concentrated period of risk and opportunity in our entire careers.
In this post, I will share my vision of what's about to happen and how I'm personally preparing for this final act.
The FOMO Phase: The Psychology of the Final Push
Everyone understands that something is happening in crypto right now. But most have already "missed the train" on Bitcoin. They either failed to buy in or sold too early. What's next?
- The Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) is reaching its peak. Those who sold at $70k now see that the price could fly to $100k. Buying into Bitcoin now feels too late and too risky.
- A chaotic search for projects that haven't "popped" yet. The crowd's attention shifts to altcoins that haven't shown explosive growth.
- Liquidity starts to jump around feverishly. Every day, we see random projects pump 30-40%. A game of "guess who's next" begins, and the market turns into an orchestra without a conductor.
The Technical Picture: Cycles Don't Lie
This isn't my first, second, or even third altseason. And experience shows that what is happening now is logical.
BTC Dominance: We are seeing capital begin to flow from Bitcoin into altcoins. First into the large-caps (ETH, SOL), then into the mid-caps, and finally, into the small-cap projects. The BTC.D and ALT/BTC pair charts confirm this every cycle.
The Timeline: My cycle analysis points to September as the final destination. This gives us approximately two months for the main event.
New Factors: Of course, this cycle is different. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the arrival of giants like BlackRock, and the RWA narrative all add new dynamics. BlackRock is already heavily invested in Ethereum, and they will start to defend and pump their asset, and I believe they will do so regardless of the classic cycle theories.
The Double-Edged Sword: The Greatest Opportunity and a Deadly Trap
It is precisely in this short period of desperation and greed that the biggest gains are made.
The Opportunity: Assets can fly by hundreds of percent in a matter of weeks. This is the moment that all crypto traders dream of.
The Trap: It is also during this period that 95% of participants will lose money. Why? They have no plan. They will buy at the peak of euphoria and sell at the bottom in a panic, getting stuck in their positions for years. I still receive messages from people who bought Solana or ETH at the last cycle's peaks.
My personal principle is this: it's better to leave some profit on the table than to give in to emotion and lose everything. I will be strictly adhering to my timeline, regardless of market euphoria.
My Answer: Live Trading
To simply watch from the sidelines this time is a crime against your own capital. To act without a clear plan is financial suicide.
That's why I've decided to go a step further. I'm launching "Altseason: Live"- a public experiment where I will show, with real money, how to manage risk and seize this unique opportunity.
This will be more than just analysis. This will be real-time trading, and I plan to show key moments and trades live on stream.
I will reveal all the details, including the streaming platform and the terms for participation, in the coming week.
The next few weeks will determine who emerges from this cycle as a winner. Make sure you are following and have notifications turned on, so you don't miss the main announcement.
The question is, what balance should I start the experiment with? 100/1000/2000/10000$
Best regards EXCAVO
ALTS Season is coming Hello, I hope you are all well
Today I'm going to share this idea with you. This chart shows the liquidity of altcoins below the top 10
I expect to see an upward trend from these areas and targets, as depicted in the chart.
Don't forget to manage your risk. This is not investment advice. Altcoins are highly risky, and you could lose all your money
Good luck to everyone 🤍
$OTHERS rejected from $320 B resistance. What is next?CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS Rejected at $320B: Is the Altseason on Pause?
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS just got rejected at the $320B resistance after a decent pump — the kind that usually signals the start of an altseason. But if we dig into the indicators, warning signs are flashing:
- MACD is sitting in overbought territory.
- RSI is heavily extended, signaling potential exhaustion.
- EMA 100 & 200 are colliding with the top of a previous downtrend channel — a zone that historically acted as strong resistance.
The rejection was sharp. So what's next? Are we entering a range between $320B and $260B? It's quite possible. The aIf you wantltcoin market now sits at a decision point: either it keeps pushing higher or takes a breather — potentially pausing the rally until September.
Historically, August is a slow month in the West. People go on vacation, volumes drop, and markets tend to cool off. This seasonal pattern supports the idea of a consolidation phase before a stronger second leg of altseason kicks off in mid-September and carries into Q4.
I’m not posting too many ideas lately because the market landscape has changed. The new players aren’t just trading — they’re manipulating flows with massive capital to hunt retail liquidity.
They’re also using far more sophisticated tools than our classic MACD and RSI — including AI-powered indicators and multi-layered analytics that are beyond retail reach.
In this new environment, predictions are harder and risk is higher.
🧠 Do Your Own Research (DYOR), stay sharp, and don’t blindly trust social influencers.
Altcoins Market Cap: We on the Verge of a 5T Exposion!Hey crypto traders! Let’s dive into this monthly chart of the Altcoins Market Cap. You won’t believe what’s brewing!
We’re currently approaching a critical channel support at 200B, a level that might act as a springboard for massive rally — check out the jumps from channel support in 2019 and 2023! Each time the market cap hit this support, it skyrocketed, and now we’re at that pivotal moment again.
The chart projects a jaw-dropping target of $5T within the next 24 months if history repeats itself!
The price action shows we’re testing the lower boundary of this ascending channel, with the market cap sitting around 239.65B. A bounce here could send altcoins on a parabolic run, potentially hitting 5T by mid-2026. But if support fails, we might see a dip toward 100B — let’s keep an eye out!
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 175B (channel support)
Resistance: 1.55T, 5T (projected target)
Breakdown Risk: 100B
Are altcoins about to explode to 5T, or will we see a deeper correction? Drop your thoughts below!
PS take a look at others vs. btc price action here:
$OTHERS: Decision Time for AltcoinsDecision Time for Altcoins
Unless something drastic changes — like Trump firing Powell and cutting rates to 0% — the chart suggests a potential correction.
MACD is overheated, RSI is overbought, and we're hitting major resistance. An ABCD or extended ABCDEF pattern seems likely, with a upside target around $260B amd a downside support at $230B in total altcoin market cap.
Of course, the market can always choose to ignore the signals and continue its uptrend directly to the next resistance at $260B.
Stay sharp. Let’s see how it unfolds.
DYOR.
#Altcoins #Crypto #Bitcoin #ETH #MACD #RSI #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #DYOR #PriceAction
Next goalFrom a general view of the chart, we find, according to the analysis, that this rise is not a motive, but rather a correction, and this indicates that there is another strong decline coming soon unless it breaks the analysis failure area specified above.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
A Mini Rally and a Mega Rally expectation for Others MCapHi all,
This is how I follow Others Mcap.
If we break the ascending channel to the down, this idea will be invalid.
As long as the price keeps in the channel up, we should touch the upper channel band at some point which is Target #1 for me for a risk adjustment. I expect it to be in mid/late August. Then a small correction like 5-8 weeks. By beg. of October, I expect Others to start MEGA rally till end of the year.
These are just my opinions and not a financial advise.
DYOR!
Cheers!
OTHERS data points to biggest ALT-Season Good Day Investors and traders,
This the OTHERS on the weekly and I have taken some measured moves in what could be expected in time and price.
The OTHERS chart in my opinion is the last form of the higher risk curve which generally happens at the very end of cycles The others does not include the top ten crypto, so it a very good form of risk on.
I have been looking at the OTHERS chart fairly often of recent times because this is the time for it to really outshine Bitcoin and lead the market with fairly explosive gains.
I have marked a couple of possible time lines that could occur and both seem to be lining up in sort of way or another. From what I can see, others has one big wave remaining, and it’s the one you don’t want to miss
The Indicators
Fibonacci retracement
I have placed a potential take profit zone from the 1.272 to the 1.618 levels and anywhere in between. I have added an up trending channel that OTHERS would have to hold to stay somewhat relevant or then could be susceptible to adjustment.
2.RSI
I have measured the first breakout of the RSI from the 2015-17 and 2019-21 bull runs along with this one so far. The one more relevant to us is 2015-17 as this is the cycle we are more closely following. There seems to be a recurring trend of 90 plus bars before a top to OTHERS. One more thing that really stands out to me in the RSI this the first time it has shown a very strong bearish divergence. normally it seems to maintain or gain strength. right to the very end. time will reveal the real issue here.
3. ISO
The average sentiment oscillator to also show very consistent data for us. I have two measurements. The one points to late July and the the other late October. To me this could be the potential ALT-season time frame from July as it fizzles in the October time frame.
My suggestion to you is follow what you have been taught so far, do not get greedy, take profits when they are there and trust your game plan and stick to it. ALT- SEASON can you a lot of money, or lose you a lot of money. By design, its there to take any profits you have may have, or catch any late coming stragglers. Don’t get caught up in the hoopla.
Once again, I ask you for you input, I really want to hear from you.
Check my bio for more links and information
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
Altseason 2025 – Wave 3 in playIn this Elliott Wave setup, Wave 2 appears to be bottoming out now. As Bitcoin dominance shows signs of declining, capital rotation into altcoins could ignite the powerful Wave 3. Historically, Wave 3 is the most explosive phase, often driving sharp, sustained gains across the altcoin market.
Altcoin Season - Just around the corner!!!In this analysis I share my hypothesis on #OTHERS CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as to why the big awaited alt season is right around the corner !
After analysing how the Trump mania season unfolded, I could see plenty of similarities:
1. Price filled the supply before the last retrace - gray rectangle
2. Then it broke the downtrend line and made a decent move up - red dot
3. Price correction to the 618 retrace on fib AND in the supply -> became demand from #1
4. RSI formed a hidden bullish divergence, marking a potential start of the rally
5. Time passed from #2 trendline breakout to the big impulse -> around 50 days
-> now we are around 60 days, which means more time to accumulate, bigger impulse
In an ideal scenario, the total OTHERS cap (all crypto excluding top 10) should at least reach the last high of 450 billions, and to pour some hopium, to around 600-700 billions...
So if you filled your bags around recent prices on your alts, you should expect at least 10-20x imo!
Is Alt season dead? - June 2025Let me start by saying, Youtube influencers are lying to you. The collective narrative (from those links shared with me) talk almost exclusively about the same set of narratives for triggering “alt season”:
M2 money supply. The printer will be turned on any minute.
The FED is going to cut rates, the market will then explode.
Institutions are buying the dip! “Blackrock fills Ethereum long positions” etc
A dollar collapse.
The real season begins in 2026, stack now!
It is the same rubbish time and time again. Rarely will one of those influencers << Look left << to tell you the News as it is written on the chart.
Let me tell you the News…
The highly anticipated "alt season," where alternative cryptocurrencies (alt coins) significantly outperform Bitcoin, faces considerable challenges to deliver the much awaited “alt season” where everything blows up. However I’ve long argued those days are behind us, we’re not going to see an “alt season” again, at least not in the sense many understand the term "alt season".
Alt season refers mainly to those tokens that reside outside the top ten crypto tokens. The total market cap of this cohort outside the top 10 is referred to as INDEX:OTHERS total, as is shown in the main chart. Now I’ve long argued corrections for Ethereum to $700 and below, Litecoin to $20 and lower, generally legacy tokens should perform the worst during this bull market, that outlook does not change.
Why so pessimistic?
Headline 1 - Support and resistance
It is that simple. look left. Each alt season closed a monthly candle above the monthly 7 SMA and monthly 10 SMA (Green areas) before getting underway. Not only has this not happened during this bull market, support from the rising channel has failed and if the current monthly candle closes as it (in 7 days), then past support shall confirm as resistance. This would mean a collapse back to the 2017 market top of circa $50 billion.
Headline 2 - Bitcoin halving
The truth is “alt season” began in May 2024, that is if you’re a believer in the halving cycles. If you’re a believer then you must accept this bull market comes to an end in 90 days.
The orange vertical lines represent each Bitcoin halving, occurring in August 2016, June 2020, and lately May 2024. The so called “alt season” would follow the halving for a 518 day period. There is only 90 days left for alt tokens to do their stuff before this cycle comes to an end. However, influencers only seem to talk about how great 2026 is going to be and how now is the time to start stacking. Instead 2025 is really going to create a whole new number of bag holders of dead projects.
Headline 3 - The number of circulating tokens
In January 2017 there was 8885 tokens, the good ole days.
June 2020, still only 19,500 tokens
Fast forward to June 2025 and we have 17.45 million tokens. Utterly ridiculous.
The sheer proliferation of alt coins, now numbering in the millions, creates an overwhelming supply that far outstrips demand. This fragmentation of liquidity means that even when some tokens see brief pumps, it's often selective with only a handful of projects having strong narratives or specific utility that truly thrive.
The simple truth is the market must kill off millions of those dud projects to free liquidity to the few that matter. If you really must know where the money is going to come from that causes growth in the remaining winners, it is from the realisation that a number of those projects are dead. That includes projects such as Ethereum and Litecoin. Both those charts share an important distinction no one wants to talk or hear about.
There are projects out there that’ll buck the trend, do you know which ones they are?
Not everything will collapse to zero.
Ww