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GDM2025 trade ideas

XAUUSD – New Week Technical Bias (Market Open) Bias Overview: Current outlook remains aligned with previous bullish analysis, supported by the broader Ascend Sequence on higher timeframes. Price Expectations: Anticipating a micro decline toward Price Zone A as a potential springboard for a bullish continuation. While less likely, a deeper pullback into Price Zone B may occur before the rally unfolds — still within acceptable structure for HTF bullish intent. Execution: Will rely on micro-timeframe confirmations and reaction behavior within these zones to finalize entry decisions following market open. Invalidation will be break and bearish structure below the ascending sequence Channel. Summary: Maintaining bullish bias while awaiting refined entry opportunities at defined price zones. Structural invalidation remains below key support and Sequence Line levels. [b ]🔒 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and strategic insight purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and confirm with your personal trading plan before executing trades.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Olamitrades1
2
This is a good video7.14 . 25 this is a great video because there are so many examples of patterns to look at and there weren't that many markets that I was following and about 3 or 4 of the markets actually had dramatic movement in the direction you would expect and this is an example of setting up your pattern and letting the pattern take care of you as it gives you the probable Direction the market would take and there would have been no significant drawdowns or retest associated with stops... As was seeing in the coffee Market.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin
GC Ready to Bleed? This Setup Has Teeth.As we head into the new trading week, GC presents a clean, disciplined short setup developing right below Friday’s key high. Price tapped the Previous Day High ($3,368) and supply zone before rejecting, failing to hold bullish momentum into the weekend close. The market structure is currently defined by: - A strong upward trend line (supporting the latest rally) - A bearish order block/supply zone - Two Fair Value Gaps below - A failure to sustain above PDH This confluence builds a narrative of exhaustion to the upside, especially with no aggressive buyers stepping in after PDH was swept. We're not short yet this setup needs confirmation. But once it breaks, it's clean. Entry (Trigger) - $3,353.0 A clean break below the ascending trend line, ideally with a 1H close through it. This confirms structure shift and bearish intent. - TP1: $3,344.0 → Top of the unfilled FVG zone - TP2: $3,337.6 → Previous Day Low (PDL) and liquidity target Kill Switch (Invalidation Level) - $3,371.6 If the market opens strong and pushes through the PDH and supply zone, the short idea is invalid. No shorts above here. Confluences - PDH Rejection - Strong wick and reversal from $3,368 shows supply dominance. - Trend line Weakness – Price stalling right at the trend line heading into open. Any gap down or weak open will break it. - FVG Below – Unfilled inefficiency sitting directly beneath current price this is a natural magnet. - Volume & Momentum Divergence – Last push into highs had lower volume, suggesting buyer fatigue. - Time-Based Edge – Sunday night liquidity traps often lead into London session reversals ideal timing for trend line break & FVG sweep. - Clean Invalidator – No ambiguity: reclaim the highs = setup is off. Timing & Execution Plan This is not a trade to rush into at Sunday open. We want the 1H candle to close below $3,353.0 or a rejection + retest structure. The key sessions to monitor are: - Sunday Night (Low Liquidity) - Observe gaps or traps - London Open (8:00–9:00 UK) - Look for momentum or stop run - NY Open (13:30 UK) - Final confirmation if London doesn't move it Only act on confirmation. No guesswork. No front-running. Let the setup play out. If the market opens strong and climbs above $3,371.6, we’re no longer looking short. In that case: - Supply zone is invalidated - Trend line is reclaimed - FVG becomes invalid magnet We stand aside and reassess the long side on intraday demand reclaims or wait for a deeper correction to re-engage. This setup is a textbook bearish, high-probability, low-risk, confirmation-driven. It has everything we look for: structure break, inefficient price gap, prior liquidity sweep, and a defined invalidation. All that’s left is for the market to open and print. If it confirms, it moves fast.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by stakkd
Gold - Bullish and here's whyPrice traveled within the Red Fork, until it broke the CIB Line, which is indicating a Change In Behavior. From there on, sideways action, until the break of the Red U-MLH happened. After the close above the Red U-MLH, price has tested it the 3rd time now. At the time of writing, the Bar looks like a PinBar. So it has good sepparation from the bottom, or a long Down-Wick. That's indicates good strenght. To me this looks like a good long trade, but as everytime, play it save and don't let greed eat your brain ;-)
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
Gold Futures Trading Plan / July 21, 2025Overview This trade plan reflects a comprehensive view of gold futures (GC) going into the week of July 21, 2025. The analysis draws from current macroeconomic factors, positioning data, technical structure, and live order flow behavior. Every component has been evaluated to ensure the bias is not emotional or speculative but firmly evidence based. Macro Environment • Real US 10Y TIPS yields remain above 2.00%, historically a bearish regime for gold. • The US Dollar Index (DXY) is firming, adding pressure to metals. • Absence of geopolitical or systemic financial stress weakens safe-haven demand. • The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish tone, with no near-term easing signaled. Positioning Overview (as of July 15, 2025) • Funds: Net long ~213,000 contracts, increasing their long exposure. • Commercials: Net short ~250,000 contracts, adding to short exposure. • Retail: Net long ~37,000 contracts, aligning with fund sentiment. This positioning suggests a crowded long environment with commercial hedging at elevated prices. Historically, such divergence has preceded local reversals in gold. > Commercials are unloading gold to the euphoric buyers >Retail is joining long side = late to the party Funds are late, commercials are patient. If we break higher and fail, that’s my cue to fade. Demand & Flows • India: Gold imports declined to a 14-month low in June. • China: Volume at the Shanghai Gold Exchange remains stable but subdued. These indicators reflect softness in physical demand from key global buyers. Technical Snapshot • Price is compressing within 3330–3375. • Point of control (POC) near 3358. • Repeated rejections near 3375 with weakening volume. • Negative divergence seen in cumulative volume delta (CVD). Order Flow Observations • Absorption noted near 3365–3380, with price stagnation despite aggressive buying. • Lack of delta follow-through into highs. • Spoofing behavior detected around 3372–3375, consistent with trap formation. Trade Thesis This is a macro-aligned short idea based on positioning, absorption at resistance, and weakening momentum into overhead supply. Execution Framework (example scenario) This is a non-binding conceptual entry framework for educational purposes only. • Initial scale-in: ~3367.5 (light test) • Main entry zone: ~3371.5 (if absorption continues) • Optional add-on: ~3374.5 (if spoofing holds and no breakout occurs) • Risk: Hypothetical invalidation above ~3385.5 • Targets: • T1: ~3348 (value area) • T2: ~3332 (prior support) Note: Actual execution must depend on real-time confirmation and discipline. This example is not financial advice or a live signal. Sentiment Bias Currently biased short if price fails to break 3375 with conviction. Trade invalidates on sustained strength through absorption zones. Probability: High
COMEX:GC1!Short
by theoneelena
2
Gold Bulls Loading Up – Our Short Squeeze Trigger is Set!🚨 Gold Bulls Loading Up – Our Short Squeeze Trigger is Set! We’re flipping the script on COMEX_MINI:MGC1! After a prolonged downtrend and textbook wedge compression, our breakout long is LIVE – but not without trapping the late shorts first. 💥 Entry: $3,312.1 🛑 Stop: $3,288.4 🎯 Target: $3,458.9 🧮 Risk/Reward: 6.19 Price just bounced at the retest of the wedge apex, and volume is confirming the move. If this holds, we’re riding momentum all the way up – and letting short pressure fuel the breakout. 📈 Trendline breached. ⏳ Time compression converging. ⚠️ If you’re still short, watch your stops!
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by JoshuaDanford
1
GOLD: Pre-market PrepSo for gold today, I see a lot of confluence around the prior week's high, prior day's high, and the prior value area high. We also had a poor high last Friday that we've clearly broken through. Right now, we're in balance up above these key levels. My immediate plan is to continue going long up to the prior month's value area high. If we get a pullback to the confluence area, I want to take it up from there. If the market opens and we accept back into the previous area, I'll be looking to go short from that area and take it down. That's my main analysis for gold today. Let’s trade smart, peace!
COMEX:GC1!
by JBradleyTrades
GOLD - GC | Weekly Recap & Plan 13.07.2025🟡 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Outlook Symbol: GC1! Date: Week of July 8–12, 2025 Timeframes Used: 4H, Daily, Weekly, HTF structure 🔍 What Happened Last Week? Gold saw a strong rejection from a confluence of two HTF trendlines, signaling resistance. But that move was absorbed by: 🟦 Daily Demand (blue zone) 🔵 Daily Swing Liquidity (blue line) This builds a bullish structure on the daily chart. 🧭 Scenarios I'm Watching Scenario 1 — Minor Pullback: 🔹 Price may revisit the Daily Gap (pink line) and find support for continuation. Scenario 2 — Deeper Pullback: 🟣 Price could retrace into the HTF bullish trendline (purple) before resuming upside. 🗞️ Bonus Macro Scenario: Powell Resignation? There are growing rumors that Fed Chair Powell might resign this week. 📈 If that happens, I expect strong bullish momentum in Gold — → very limited retracement, and → potential straight breakout into new highs. 🎯 Targets for the Week: ✅ 1st Target: W C DOL (purple line) → acts as a primary take profit area. ✅ 2nd Target (Expansion): EQHs / DOL (extended purple levels) Game Plan: Watch for LTF confirmation on both retracement zones. Maintain bullish bias unless Daily Demand fails. If Powell resigns, be ready for breakout setups.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL