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US 500 (SPI) / US DollarUS 500 (SPI) / US DollarUS 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

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SPIUSD trade ideas

20% in 60 daysSince the 90's we have seen many times where the broader market (SPX) has seen a pretty significant pull back, more than 10% and then a rally. Almost every time the market rose more than 20% in 60 days or less has been a good place to take profits. Clearly everything is super bullish right now, and I am not saying this will be the top, I am simply saying, we could experience a correction driven by profit taking. In an uptrend, you want to be a buyer on pull backs, so a pull back could give us another longer term opportunity
FX:SPX500
by OfficialTradeTalk
1
Risk environment to remain positive? S&P continuation?Despite all the recent tariff concerns, inflation concerns and Middle East worries. The S&P continues to push all tine highs. And 'risk surprises' not withstanding, is likely to do so. Backed up by a solid start to ratings season, especially from Netflix. In the currency space, that should mean the JPY remains weak. And I'm cutoutting recent JPY strength due to profit taking ahead of weekend elections. But moving into the new week, i'll be looking for JPY short opportunities.
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
S&P 500 (US500) maintains strong bullish momentum.S&P 500 (US500) maintains strong bullish momentum. Technical Outlook S&P 500 (US500) holds a strong bullish structure, continuing to print higher highs and higher lows above diverging EMAs, signaling sustained upward momentum. RSI has eased from overbought levels, now hovering below 70, while price consolidates sideways near recent highs, a typical pause before potential continuation. ADX remains elevated above DI+ and DI-, with DI+ above DI–, confirming trend strength and ongoing bullish momentum. A breakout above the 6300 all-time high would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target near 6500 based on the flagpole projection. Conversely, a drop below 6200 may trigger a deeper pullback toward the 6050 support zone. Fundamental Outlook Corporate earnings, particularly in the tech sector, continue to exceed expectations, providing significant support to the index. Analysts project continued earnings growth for S&P 500 companies, with profits expected to grow by approximately 9% year-over-year in 2025, reinforcing confidence in the index’s rising fundamental valuation. Markets are now pricing in earlier Fed rate cuts, driven by evolving economic data and political pressure. Economic data such as stronger-than-expected retail sales and unemployment claims, though the latter could reduce the likelihood of imminent rate cuts, signal robust consumer demand, which should continue to support economic growth. by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SP:SPXLong
by WiseLeoTrading
S&P overbought sideways consolidation supported at 6207 Fed Signals Rate Cut Ahead US Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller called for a quarter-point interest rate cut this month, citing cooling inflation and minimal upside price risks. His dovish stance diverges from the broader FOMC consensus, which still views the labor market as resilient. UK-Germany Defense Pact UK PM Keir Starmer signaled potential alignment with Germany to purchase US weapons for Ukraine, following the signing of the “Kensington Treaty.” The accord emphasizes mutual defense cooperation, raising expectations of deeper UK involvement in European security initiatives. Intel Concerns with Spain US lawmakers raised concerns over intelligence sharing with Spain, due to the country's reliance on Huawei for its wiretap infrastructure, highlighting geopolitical tech tensions. Trump Authorizes Epstein Testimony Release President Donald Trump has authorized the release of grand jury testimony from the Epstein case, yielding to public and political pressure for greater transparency. S&P 500 Outlook: Waller’s call for a rate cut adds bullish momentum for equities, especially rate-sensitive sectors like tech and real estate. While geopolitical tensions and defense headlines introduce headline risk, the dovish Fed signal is likely to dominate sentiment in the near term. Expect S&P 500 support near 6207 with upside potential if more Fed officials echo Waller’s stance. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6336 Resistance Level 2: 6383 Resistance Level 3: 6420 Support Level 1: 6207 Support Level 2: 6160 Support Level 3: 6113 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
US stocks hold near record highs on strong 2Q earnings Despite elevated valuation pressures, US equities remain near all-time highs. While tariff concerns persist, resilient US economic data continues to support the market's upward momentum. United Airlines reported a 1.7% YoY increase in 2Q revenue, citing easing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties and a double-digit rebound in corporate demand. Meanwhile, earnings and share performance among mega-cap stocks have also been strong. Netflix (NFLX) beat market expectations with 2Q revenue of $11.08 billion and EPS of $7.19. At the same time, Nvidia (NVDA) reached a fresh all-time high on renewed optimism over a potential resumption of exports to China. After testing the support at 6285, US500 rebounded and approached its previous high again. The index holds above EMA21, suggesting the continuation of bullish momentum. If US500 remains above both EMA21 and the support at 6285, the index could breach the 6320 high. Conversely, if the US500 breaks below the support at 6285, the index could retreat further toward 6200.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by inkicho_exness
S&P 500 - Sell in May, return anther day. The truth - 2025No doubt everyone has heard a variation of the phrase: “Sell in May, return another day.” In Wikipedia it is written: “Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory (sometimes known as the Halloween indicator) that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the other months. In such strategies, stock holdings are sold or minimised at about the start of May and the proceeds held in cash” A public comment from last year: “Over 100 years ago, the (practical) reason to sell in May and September, was to pay seasonal workers to seed the field (May) and to harvest (September). Caravans of landlords and farm owners went to New York to sell stocks and withdrew money from the banks to do payrolls so for people without agricultural business, i'll say it's okay to hold in May” If we are to take all this at face value then we should be unwinding our long term positions until the Autumn? What does the chart say? On the above monthly chart of the S&P 500 each vertical line marks the month of May going back to 2012. That is a dataset of 13 points. The facts: 1) From the month of May onwards, 11 from 13 periods returned positive price action of not less than 10%. Selling in May was a bad choice. 2) 2015 and 2022 saw corrections of 15% from May onwards. However in both examples the correction was erased within 12 months as the index continued the uptrend. In summary, 86% of the time a minimum return of 10% was seen before the year end. Amazing odds. Furthermore, corrections up and until the end of April (like we’re now seeing) represented some of the best long opportunities. Sell in May go away? I suggest it should be: Buy in June and watch it boom! Ww
SP:SPX
by without_worries
81
US500 trending higher as the US earnings season gains momentum. Fundamental US500 is pushing higher as the US 2nd quarter earnings season gains momentum under President Trump's second administration amidst tariffs. Big tech earnings will have a significant impact on the index price action. Technical Bullish momentum is gaining as the uptrend remains strong. The RSI is approaching the overbought region however a break above the 6,333 key resistance level sees the index trading at all time highs with resistance levels at 6,475 and 6,670. A move below 6,230 sees a possible move towards supports at 6,150, 6,080 and subsequently 6,000. by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by WiseLeoTrading
1
SPX500 in a Powerful Wave 3 Expansion – New Highs on the HorizonMarket Analysis – SPX500 (S&P 500 Index CFD) The SPX500 is currently exhibiting a strong bullish structure, consistent with the characteristics of an Elliott Wave 3 extension. This wave phase is typically the most powerful and impulsive part of a bullish cycle, often driven by increasing market confidence, strong macroeconomic fundamentals, and institutional accumulation. After completing a textbook corrective Wave 2, the index has broken key resistance levels with strong momentum, confirming the beginning of Wave 3. What sets this phase apart is its capacity to generate accelerated gains, often surpassing expectations and historical highs. Key signs supporting the Wave 3 hypothesis: High volume breakout from consolidation zones. Higher highs and higher lows structure on multiple timeframes. Confirmation from supporting indicators such as RSI holding above 50 and MACD showing strong upward momentum. What’s next? As long as market structure remains intact and no significant bearish divergence appears, we can expect multiple new all-time highs to be formed during this wave. Traders should look for retracement entries using Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2% or 50% pullbacks) to ride the trend while managing risk carefully. Outlook: Bullish bias remains strong. Strategic buying during minor corrections could offer favorable risk-reward setups throughout the progression of this wave.
FX:SPX500Long
by ew_17i
06/30 Weekly Gamma Exposure Outlook🧠 SPX Weekly Outlook — Gamma Breakout + Short Week Setup The bulls finally broke through after weeks of painful grinding — and they did so with force. 📈 Thursday & Friday brought a textbook gamma squeeze as SPX sliced through the long-standing 6100 call wall , triggering sharp upside acceleration. We are now firmly in positive Net GEX territory. 🔺 Entire GEX structure has shifted higher. 🎯 New squeeze zone at 6225 , with major call resistance near 6200 . 🔍 What Just Happened? 📊 The 6060–6120 zone acted as a tough resistance range for weeks — until last week’s breakout. 💥 Put skew collapsed , suggesting downside hedges are being unwound. 📉 VIX and IV keep dropping , confirming a shift toward lower-volatility environment . 🧲 Strong Net GEX across expiries created sustained upward dealer pressure → we’re in long gamma mode . ✅ Bullish Bias — But Stay Tactical We're in a bullish gamma regime , so dips are likely to be bought. Key pullback zone to watch: 6125–6060 . 🛠️ Strategy Ideas: • Wait for a 6060–6125 retest before re-entering longs • Use shorter-DTE bull put spreads or 0DTE gamma scalps above 6130+ • Scale out or trim risk near 6200–6225 ⚠️ Risks to Watch We’re overextended short-term. 🚨 Losing 6130–6125 could spark a quick flush to 6050 . Bearish signals to monitor: • IV spike or renewed put buying • Loss of 6100 = no-man’s land without confirmation • Consider short-term debit put spreads if breakdown confirms 🗓️ Short Trading Week Note 🇺🇸 U.S. markets closed Friday, July 5 for Independence Day. This compresses flows into 4 sessions. Expect: 📌 Early week dealer hedging 📌 Possible positioning unwind on Thursday 💡 Weekly Trade Idea — Structure in Place 💼 Setup: • Put Butterfly below spot • 3x Call Diagonal Spreads above spot (5pt wide) • Slight net negative delta , 11 DTE 🎯 Why it works: • Leverages IV backwardation • Profits from time decay • Favors a stable or modestly bullish week • Takes advantage of horizontal skew (July 11 vs July 14) 💰 Profit Target: 10–20% return on ~$1,730 risk. Take profits before time decay kills the center valley — don’t overstay. 🏃💨 📌 Final Thoughts: The 6100 breakout was technically & gamma-structurally significant , but big moves often retest before continuing. Let price breathe. Stay aligned with gamma exposure profile. 🔄
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
3
Congress passes H.R 1 into law. About the new bill.🔵 In what's been an eventful last few weeks congress passed H.R 1 which is essentially Trump's 900 page mega bill Act. Both Democrats and Republicans ultimately united against each other over the bill with Vice President Vance casing the tiebreaking vote giving Senate Republican's the large legislative victory. 🔵 To note is that independent-minded Republican Lisa Murkowski, senator of Alaska had some concerns with the bill before GOP negotiators we're able to acquire her vote for the 50-50 votes. Murkowski's primary issue was with the legislation's changes to Medicaid and federal food assistance funding which she was concerned would hurt her home state understandably. Republican's originally tried to sway her vote by adding language to shield Alaska from the full effect of the legislation's Medicaid and SNAP cuts. 🔵 Parliament opposed that as it violated the Byrd Rule which is there to determine the legislation that can go into a budget reconciliation package as well as passing with only GOP votes. Least to say the amendment was reworked many times in order for the waivers for the SNAP funding cuts to apply more broadly than just Alaska and Hawaii. Parliament rejected the prior amendment and language which targeted just the two states understandably. 🔵 With the rework the new SNAP provisions are planned to reduce food assistance funding more slowly in about 10 states with the number ultimately being decided by a formula and based on the error rate in delivering food assistance benefits in a year. After an arduous process the amendment was passed and Republican's secured the vote with Murkowski saying it was an agonizing process. 🔵 When speaking with reporters afterwards Murkowski noted that the process was stressful with them operating under an artificial timeline in reference to the pressure Trump put on the Senate to pass the bill. 🔵 Her concern was as follows: “Rather than taking the deliberative approach to good legislating, we rushed to get a product out. This is important. I want to make sure that we’re able to keep in place the tax cuts from the 2017 Jobs Act,” said Murkowski when asked about her support for the bill and why it was hard for her to come around to giving her vote. 🔵 “I struggled mightily with the impact on the most vulnerable in this country when you look to the Medicaid and the SNAP provisions,” said Murkowski. This point highlights just how the effort to push the bill through was met with haste and pressure notably. 🔵 The bill itself is projected to add $2.8 trillion to the federal deficit by 2034. Main reason for that would be thanks to a reduction in revenues as well as interest cost which could have the deficit rise by a potential $5 trillion if some temporary provisions become permanent. Interest payments on the national debt are also expected to increase significantly by 2034. 🔵It should be noted that these numbers and estimates are based on a "current law" baseline and are largely thanks to tax cuts in the bill with Economist having differing opinions on the economic impact of the bill. Time will tell us how estimates go but least to say this is a large turnaround from what many we're expecting with even DOGE's Elon Musk opposing the Bill and forming a new party in strong opposition. 🔵 The tax and spending bill will see spending increase and phase in a cut to Medicaid of an estimated $1 trillion over the next decade with the CBO projecting roughly 11.8 million more American's t hat would become uninsured within the next 10 years compared to the current law. This could lead to many losing healthcare services due to medical cost with states as well likely needing to adjust their own programs and having to take on a larger share of the cost whether that means reducing services or even closing some facilities. 🔵 The bill has many key changes but in summary it solidifies many tax breaks from Trump's first term with an estimated $4.5 trillion in tax cuts alongside tax deductions on tips, overtime and auto loans with deductions for adults that make under $75,000 and a boost to the child tax credit from $2,000 to $2,200 though millions of families at lower income levels would still not receive the full credit as one of the credit's, requirements is a minimum earned income of $2,500. In 2022 alone an estimated 18 million children under age 17 (26 of all children) were ineligible for the full child Tax credit because the family income was not high enough as reported by Columbia University's Center on Poverty and Social Policy. 🔵 To say in the least the new bill has many implications for the country and the next few months and years will definitely represent those changes and how the country shifts and adjusts to this with many having differing opinions understandably. I'll definitely keep you guys posted through it all but definitely a lot to see so much happen so quick and only time will tell and show us just how things play out simply put. The market itself is still continuing within this ascending channel, especially since we got that convergence with the 200 EMA and broke that $6,130 resistance. $6,300 is what I'm expecting resistance to hit the strongest so definitely gonna keep an eye there as traders process the news and changes. 🔵 Have to go but grateful as always for the support, definitely a long idea here but wanted to focus on some important points though the bill itself has so many changes it's hard to go over every one but you get the point. This is a big changes and we'll definitely see things shift a lot over the next few months and years and as always we'll keep posted with things. Thanks as always and all the best. Best regards, ~ Rock'
SP:SPX
by Rocksorgate
1
Bearish drop?S&P500 is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit. Entry: 6,237.85 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 6,268.46 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 6,187.51 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by VantageMarkets
More upside after correction for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went a little more up (diagonal) just as I've said in my outlook. Next week we could see the start of a bigger correction down (grey wave 4) and a break of the dotted trendline. Or the diagonal is a leading diagonal wave 1 and grey wave 3 extends more. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait to see if price breaks the dotted trend line (for shorts) or not (for longs). If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this trading week, the S&P 500 Index has shown a predominantly downward/upward course of action and created a new Key Resistance at 6280. Currently, the index exhibits a bullish bias, with the Outer Index Rally objective set at 6420. However, it is crucial to note that the current price action may cause prices to see in a new light from their current fluctuation to push toward the Mean Support at 6200 before resuming their upward movement.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Technical Analysis – Potential Correction AheadThe S&P 500 is approaching critical historical resistance levels, just as economic headwinds begin to resurface — particularly the expiration of tariff ceasefire agreements and renewed trade tensions. These overlapping factors could signal an upcoming technical correction. 🔹 From a technical standpoint: The index is forming a classic multiple-top pattern, typically associated with weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversals. However, we remain cautious and will only consider a bearish scenario if the 6200 support level is broken on a daily close. 📉 Proposed Trading Plan: • Short entry: Only if the daily close is below 6200 • Stop-loss: Daily close above the last top • Targets in order: • 5800 • 5500 • 5250 ⚠️ Note: Despite the bearish setup, we do not recommend rushing into selling without confirmation of support break.
SP:SPX
by Lawrence-Sherif
ASCENDING WEDGE ON WATCH - ELLIOTT WAVE 3 NEARLY COMPLETEThe WAVE 3 extension can go further but it seems likely that coinciding with earnings this month we will have the potential for the start of WAVE 4 retracement. The possible resignation of Jerome Powell could further intensify the charts. AlphaTrend is an advanced trading indicator that leverages proprietary tools, real-time data, and custom metrics to give traders a competitive edge. Designed for all experience levels, it works instantly—no advanced charting skills required. ADVANCED and PRO versions are available. (See below) 🔍 How It Works At the core of AlphaTrend is Dynamic Reversion Bands — a sophisticated real-time system that adapts to price action by automatically adjusting to evolving market conditions. These bands act like a roadmap, helping traders identify: Mean reversion trade opportunities Trend strength Emotion-driven market conditions (like FOMO) The system is rooted in Mean Reversion Theory: If an asset's price deviates significantly from its historical average, it tends to “revert” back to that average over time. Traders can use this behavior to spot potential buying or selling opportunities: Overbought Conditions: If the price moves too far above the mean, it may signal a pullback—traders might sell or short. Oversold Conditions: If the price drops well below the mean, it may be undervalued—traders might buy in anticipation of a bounce. ⚪🟡🔴🟡⚪ Dynamic DOTS AlphaTrend visualizes market overextension through dynamic DOTS: White DOTS = Average conditions Yellow DOTS = Above average conditions Red DOTS = Extreme conditions The DOTS update in real time as the candle is forming—appearing, disappearing, and shifting color based on current intensity levels. Once the candle closes, however, the DOTS do not repaint. This ensures clarity and confidence in every signal. This is crucial, as many indicators repaint and revise data after the fact, undermining traders’ trust. With AlphaTrend, once a candle closes, the data remains permanently fixed. 📊 Adaptability and Market Insight AlphaTrend adapts to any timeframe, but performs best on longer-duration candles, where signals are fewer but more reliable. Multi-interval displays (e.g., 1hr, 4hr, Daily) are highly recommended. That being said it does tend to give strong signals on all time frames even down to 1 min candles.
SP:SPX
by QuantAi-Trend