UNF1! trade ideas
NQ Weekly Recap-Projection 13.07.2025NQ Weekly Recap + Outlook
1️⃣ Recap:
NQ made a new All-Time High, but the breakout ended up being a deviation. Price got rejected and started pulling back.
This signals potential weakness and suggests price may want to explore lower levels.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
📍Target: Daily Swing low (Blue line)
📍Deeper target: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Purple zone)
I’ll look for LTF confirmations around these zones to position for potential longs.
3️⃣ Bullish Catalyst Watch:
There’s increasing speculation that Powell may resign this week.
If that happens, we could see:
✅ Strong bullish momentum
✅ Little to no retracement
✅ Immediate push into new ATHs
Weekly Plan Summary:
🔸 Scenario 1 - Pullback Continuation:
Look for reactive long setups at Daily Swing or W FFVG zone.
🔸 Scenario 2 - Powell Resignation:
Expect a breakout move with momentum — potentially no retrace.
Stay nimble. Trade what the chart confirms, not what the news promises.
NASDAQ: Time For A Pullback?In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the NASDAQ for the week of July 14 - 18th.
The NASDAQ had a strong week, until Tariff Tensions Friday arrived.
This by itself doesn't mean we should start looking for sells. Just like the S&P 500, I'm expecting short term bearishness, as price goes from ERL to IRL.
With Tuesday CPI Data coming, this short term consolidation is to be expected until the news is announced.
Let the markets pick a direction, and flow with it.
Have a plan of action in place so you can react to the price action promptly!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
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NQ Range (07-08-25)White arrow is stall/drop zone and yellow is strong short. The O/N continues to reset any drops that happen in most Reg Sessions. It appears to me that a weak/fake Euphoric Stage is being played out. The idea of chasing the NAZ (after the O/N redirect) is the game, no chase and the game will end. The O/N has been redirecting for about 2 years (can continue). Again, the recent 25% drop was erased with a Tweet & news release (10 min 2,000 point) move and a few O/N's. Just feels like a fake chase play since the pop of the bottom.
NASDAQ – Decision Point is Now: Breakout or Breakdown?📈🔍 NASDAQ at Key Inflection – Momentum or Meltdown? ⚠️💥
Hey Traders,
The NASDAQ 100 is now standing right at the make-or-break zone: 22,655. This level marks a critical retest of the recent breakout, and what happens here could define the next major move.
🔵 The Setup:
After a strong bounce and sharp rally from below 18K, we've climbed back into the tight ascending structure. But momentum is slowing…
This zone could produce either a bullish continuation to new highs — or a brutal rejection that unwinds the entire move.
📍 Structure Speaks:
Holding above 22,655 = likely continuation
Breakdown = deeper pullback toward 20,000 and lower channel support
Momentum names like NVIDIA are doing the heavy lifting again — but can they sustain the market alone?
📊 What I'm Watching:
Bullish path = measured target ~25,000+
Bearish path = test of the broader trendline near 20,000 or even the 18,200 region
Macro signals still mixed — stay nimble, not married to one bias
⚠️ Stay Sharp:
Just like in crypto, the Nasdaq can punish both bulls and bears when it enters chop mode. Structure and discipline remain your best defense.
I’ve updated the chart — fresh out the oven 🍞 — and more market ideas are following, including BTC, ETH, and BTC Dominance.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Eyes on the Gap – Discipline Over FOMO NQ📌 Waiting for High-Probability Levels to Engage
Right now, price has been stuck in a multi-week range, coiling just beneath major resistance and above strong demand. I’m not forcing trades — I’m waiting for price to reach the key gap zone and confirmed strong support near 22,781.75.
No reason to act until the market gives me a clear setup.
The real move will come from the edges — not the middle.
🔹 Support Confluence: Gap fill zone + Strong Support label
🔹 Range Context: Price capped under ATH & recycling between session highs/lows
🔹 Bias: Bullish only after sweep or confirmed hold of the lower zone
💬 Discipline is waiting when others get chopped up in the middle. Let the trap spring — then strike.
#PlaymakerTrading #GapZone #SmartMoneyLevels #NQFutures #MarketStructure #SupportAndResistance
MNQ at the Supply Buffet. Will It Eat or SpitMNQ is hovering just under local highs after a textbook rally into a potential supply shelf. Price is compressing into a wedge between short-term resistance and dynamic trend line support. This is where the market reveals its hand either we break clean and run, or we roll over and unwind the entire move.
Here’s my full breakdown including swing entries, scalp options, confluence layers, and what I’m watching through the Tokyo, London, and NY sessions.
Primary trend: Bullish
Current condition: Compression under resistance (23,100 zone)
Market posture: Still within the ascending channel, but showing signs of indecision
We’re stacked on top of well-respected demand levels and riding a well-tested trend line. But price has now spent 5 sessions ranging just under short-term supply, and that opens up both breakout and breakdown scenarios depending on how it reacts in this key zone.
BULLISH SCENARIO — Trend Continuation
This play assumes the channel holds and buyers defend the 22,700 breaker block.
Primary Entry: 22,700 (Key reclaim level / breaker block)
Aggressive Entry: 22,950 (early reaction from structure front-run)
TP1: 23,500 (equal highs and channel extension)
TP2: 24,000 (clean trend extension target)
SL: 22,000 (below trend line and deep value failure)
Confluences:
Breaker block support from July 3 demand leg
Anchored VWAP from July 7 sits just above entry zone
Perfect alignment with channel midpoint and dynamic support
Buyers defended 22,700 multiple times during NY and London sessions
Macro still favouring tech risk-on
This is the continuation play. If 22,700 holds, I expect a swift push through supply with high reward potential.
BEARISH SCENARIO — Structural Breakdown
This play assumes the trend line and 22,700 level give way, confirming a change in structure.
Trigger: Clean 15m or 30m close below 22,700 and no buyer reclaim
Entry on Retest: 22,680–22,700 zone after breakdown
TP1: 22,200 (mid-trend demand base)
TP2: 21,900 (deep value demand zone)
SL: Above 22,800 (back inside structure = idea invalid)
Confluences:
Overhead supply has held 4+ sessions
Multiple liquidity sweeps above 23,100 with no follow-through
Momentum divergence + distribution signs on 5m-15m
London session often traps longs just before breakdowns
This isn’t about calling tops it’s about recognising when support fails. If 22,700 goes, the dominoes start falling.
Scalper Setup (Tokyo/London Focus)
For intraday traders hunting reactive entries with tight stops.
Short Idea:
Setup: Price sweeps into 23,090–23,130 zone during low liquidity (Tokyo/London premarket)
Trigger: Rejection wick or bearish engulfing on 5m–15m
TP: 22,950 or 22,700
SL: 23,150
Long Idea:
Setup: Quick drop into 22,950–22,900 front-run zone (pre-NY)
Trigger: Bullish engulfing or delta flip
TP: 23,100–23,200
SL: 22,850
Chart Structure Summary:
23,090–23,130 Short-Term Supply, Resistance shelf, range ceiling
22,700–22,750 Breaker Block Key structure to hold for bulls
22,200–22,400 Mid Demand Base, Trend structure, good R/R long
21,900–22,050 Deep Value Demand, Swing long zone, last line for bulls
Strategy Notes:
Use 15m for structure, 5m for entry, and 1H to confirm trend
Volume delta and order flow helps confirm traps/sweeps
Watch VWAP if price holds above, bias remains up
Don’t trade blindly into supply without confirmation let it reject or break
This isn’t just a supply test it’s a decision point for the next 300+ ticks.
The market is either:
Absorbing above demand and about to explode, or slowly distributing before a trend break.
As always don’t marry a bias. Let the levels do the talking. React, don’t predict. Let me know in the comments how you’re planning to play this.
A Bearish July for Nasdaq?I hadn’t anticipated the -212 point move unfolding during the After Hours session—I'd mapped that reaction for the upcoming New York AM session open. That said, with momentum already in play, I’m maintaining my short bias. Price appears poised to revisit the July lows, with a high probability of trading through them and pressing further beneath the Monthly VWAP. I’m eyeing continuation to the downside as long as structure confirms the move.
NASDAQ Futures: Consolidation Signals Potential Bearish Trend NeCurrent Price: 22959.0
Direction: SHORT
Targets:
- T1 = 22400
- T2 = 22200
Stop Levels:
- S1 = 23150
- S2 = 23320
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in NASDAQ Futures.
**Key Insights:**
NASDAQ Futures are currently consolidating after reaching new highs earlier this quarter. This period of range-bound activity is marked by a decreasing daily trading range, suggesting market indecision among investors. The emergence of lower highs and lower lows in recent sessions signals a potential bearish momentum in the near term, with key support levels being monitored closely.
Additionally, macroeconomic factors such as global geopolitical tensions and tariff developments are contributing to investor caution. Recent data highlights the sensitivity of this asset to broader market sentiment. A break below key support might further solidify bearish sentiment, creating downside momentum.
**Recent Performance:**
In recent weeks, NASDAQ Futures rallied to achieve an all-time high but have since moved into a phase of consolidation. Price action has narrowed considerably, with the daily range contracting to 158 points from 192 points, reflecting decreasing volatility. The consolidation reflects growing caution in the market amidst an environment of tightening economic conditions and continued uncertainty.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts have pointed out that consolidation following a strong rally is not uncommon. However, technical indicators are showing early signs of weakness. NASDAQ Futures currently trade near critical support levels aligned with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). A breakdown below these levels could trigger a more significant correction to the downside. Resistance at $23,200 remains strong, and the inability to breach this level confirms bearish sentiment. Furthermore, a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts could prolong this period of weak momentum or further amplify the downside risks.
**News Impact:**
Recent market news includes heightened geopolitical tensions and the continued ripple effects of economic tariffs. These developments have dampened sentiment across equity markets, contributing to heightened caution and consolidation trends. Investors should carefully analyze updates on these fronts, as any resolution or escalation has the potential to swing markets significantly.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the consolidation observed in the NASDAQ Futures and the emerging signs of bearish momentum, a short position with targets at $22,400 and $22,200 is recommended. This setup is aligned with technical indicators and key macroeconomic concerns currently influencing market dynamics. Stop levels are set at $23,150 and $23,320 to manage risk in case of unexpected bullish reversals.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23039.75
- PR Low: 23004.50
- NZ Spread: 78.75
No key scheduled economic events
High 200+ range volatility during Asian hours
Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 7/11)
- Session Open ATR: 301.79
- Volume: 48K
- Open Int: 268K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Analysis ICT Liquidity Search Break-Out TradePrice is expected to open not just 1, but inside 2 previous days.
We have 2 options:
1) ICT silver bullet up my bum trader strategy traders are waiting
for liquidity search breaking highs or lows then reversing.
2) Break-out trades waiting for price to break and close above or below
24hour range and trade in direction of break-out.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22923.00
- PR Low: 22900.50
- NZ Spread: 50.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/9)
- Session Open ATR: 303.33
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23353.00
- PR Low: 23336.00
- NZ Spread: 38.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 7/22)
- Session Open ATR: 260.85
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$NQ Supply and Demand Zones 7/21/25 This chart is for SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ posting for the YT community.
www.tradingview.com
We are building more levels although we have approached and created a new ATH.
Would love to see a retest of the levels below, especially with the momentum of leaving some levels untested and untouched. We have the 50% mark at 23310 that has been left and is also an untested wick level.
We have news from Wed and on!
Looking for Entry on NASDAQ - LONG The most traded price on /NQ Futures continuous contract in June was about 22000. With this ramp today and using Fibonacci from the April low - the .786 retracement puts at exactly 22000. That is confluence - as well this volume shelf should hold price. The Dow Futures /YM have been down over the last couple of weeks, the /ES only slightly up its all divergent which means nothing except fuel for longs taking shorts out looking at technical charts.
Trade wars? Tesla or Apple earnings - both have tariff risks. When and if we get there I will be looking to get long at 22000.
There is one more thing - there remains at a virgin point of control at 22050 as well - this adds to the confluence.
Its early on this this trade idea, I've revising the fib levels daily - however today it did give me this confluence - so I'm sharing it. Its possible we go to 25000 first- but unlikely.
NQ Short Setup: Contrarian Trade into Supply ZoneDouble top forming near 23,424.75 with supply overhead at H4 S2 Pivot – 23,439.25.
🎯 Entry: 23,432.00 (mid-range)
📘 TP: 23,393.00
🔴 SL: 23,439.25
⚠️ Risky fade play against bullish earnings momentum and looming trade deal deadline.
— Tactical short. High risk, high tension. Stay sharp.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23203.75
- PR Low: 23245.50
- NZ Spread: 93.25
No key scheduled economic events
In range to continue pushing ATH
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 7/21)
- Session Open ATR: 266.36
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 274K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23811
- Mid: 22096
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Using LuxAlgo SMC Free indicatorSometimes Indicators helps calculates the swing points without any effort especially during live trading.
POC is part of a tool called Volume Profile. In this case, Im using select Fixed Range VP to identify short term POC to see where PA can bounced from.
When markets moving sideways or in a Trading Range, PA tends to be choppy.
Nobody knows about the future, if they claimed to know, just run away. Here are some probabilities how PA would do next.