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DXY 1D – Tipping Point: News or Price Action?Hey Guys, The DXY index is currently moving within a downtrend. This trend is unlikely to reverse unless it breaks above the 98.950 level. Sure, key fundamental data could shift the trend, but without those news catalysts, a reversal at this point doesn’t seem realistic. Don’t forget—98.950 is a critical threshold for the DXY. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by TraderTilki
8
DXY Tests Key Support – What’s Next for the Dollar? The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar’s performance against a basket of major currencies, recently broke below its 50-month moving average based on the monthly chart —a significant technical signal. After this drop, the index is now bouncing off a key support zone near 96.50. This area has acted as a pivot point in past cycles, and a sustained bounce could indicate the dollar regaining strength. If risk sentiment fades—due to weaker equity markets, geopolitical tensions, or stronger U.S. data—the dollar might find new momentum. On the flip side, failure to hold 96.50 could open the door toward the 90.00 zone, a major long-term support level. Such a move would likely reflect expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy or further deterioration in economic confidence. For now, price action near 96.50 will be decisive. A rebound could shift sentiment back in favor of the dollar, while a deeper decline may trigger broader adjustments in FX markets. Traders should closely monitor upcoming macro data and risk sentiment for cues on the next leg.
TVC:DXYLong
by fwalbaum
1
DXY (LONG) Elephant in room: To all the fake Business Development Managers in SA; claiming to have database/business they dont have, then jumping broker to broker every 3months to just get money knowing very well you cannot meet the requirement to claim you can have caused the following 1) International brokers to not hire South Africans anymore 2) Some good brokers to leave the country therefore jobs opportunities to be lost. We complain about lack of employment and opportunities while we are greatly the cause Be Better have integrity, professionalism and be hournest, your selfish acts have a greater negative impact than you can imagine.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by MR_US30_ZAR
DXY-Technical Analysis DAILY Timeframe 📊 DXY – Technical Analysis (1D Timeframe) 🔷 Overall Trend: The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a strong downtrend for several months, forming multiple confirmed Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. However, recent price action is showing signs of momentum loss and potential exhaustion from sellers near the current lows. 🟡 Market Structure: Price recently formed a lower low, but momentum indicators are showing bullish divergence — suggesting the downward pressure is weakening. A small bullish reversal candle has printed, indicating potential short-term buying interest. There is no confirmed bullish CHoCH yet, but structure is starting to slow down and compress — signaling a possible shift. 📉 Indicators (RSI ): RSI is rebounding from oversold territory, showing potential early reversal signals. The confirms bullish divergence and shows fading bearish momentum. Overall, sellers are showing reduced strength, increasing the chance of a corrective move to the upside. 🔹 Key Levels: Immediate resistance zones: 🔹 97.23 and 97.73 — key levels to watch for bullish continuation. Major support: 🔻 96.34 – 96.50 — current low area that if broken, will confirm further downside. ✅ Conclusion: While DXY remains structurally bearish, the recent bullish divergence, loss of selling momentum, and RSI recovery suggest the potential for a short-term correction or bounce. A confirmed CHoCH and break above 97.73 would signal a potential shift to bullish structure. If price fails to break resistance and drops below 96.34, the bearish trend is likely to continue. 🟢 Scenario Table: Scenario Trigger Implication Bullish shift Break above 97.73 with CHoCH Potential trend reversal Continuation bearish Break below 96.34 Downtrend continuation Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asse
TVC:DXYLong
by AliSMA25
Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect🇺🇸💣 Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect 📉⚠️ Hey Traders, FXPROFESSOR here with a deep-dive update on the Dollar Index (DXY) – and this one hits both technicals and macro geopolitics. 🧠 Macro Context: For decades, the U.S. strategically outsourced much of its basic manufacturing capacity to China—everything from screws, cables, plastics, and circuit boards. This freed America to focus on high-margin sectors like technology, finance, and defense innovation. But this efficiency came at a cost: dependency. You can't be the military and economic hegemon of the world if you don’t manufacture your own basic components. That’s the foundation of hard power—and Trump understands this well. 🔁 Now Trump is trying to reverse that. He knows America can’t win long-term without reclaiming production and export competitiveness – and a strong dollar kills that dream. So what’s the play? ✅ Trump brings the volatility ✅ Fed stays cautious ✅ Dollar weakens... but without actual rate cuts That’s the scary part 👇 📉 💵 Dollar Strength vs. Treasury Stress This is also why the U.S. Treasury market is under stress. If the U.S. wants to rebuild domestic production, reduce trade deficits, and support massive fiscal spending, it needs to weaken the dollar and attract internal capital—not depend on foreign buyers of debt. A strong dollar = trade imbalance, hollowed industry, and rising debt service costs. A normalized dollar = controlled exports, internal manufacturing, and a potential realignment of global capital flows. 📉 The Chart: "The Year of the Normalized Dollar" 🟡 This is a continuation of the same chart I published over a year ago. Key Rejection Zone: 100.965 (former support, now resistance) Current Trajectory: Approaching my long-held target at 94.677 Macro Message: The dollar is dropping without a Fed pivot Worrying Signal: If we hit major support while the Fed stays tight... the entire market may need to reprice expectations. That could shake equities and crypto alike. 🧊 This is not a clean-cut dollar short anymore . It’s already priced in, and that’s why I’m spooked. 🧭 What I’m Watching: Will Trump’s trade war accelerate this move? Will Powell finally cut in September—or double down? Will the support at 94.5 hold, or break and open a much larger macro shift? This chart is no longer just technical. It’s political. It’s strategic. It’s a chessboard for hegemony. 🎥 FULL 20-min video breakdown is now live! I cover DXY, Bitcoin, tech stocks, gold, silver, DAX, BTC.D and much more Watch it if you want the full map of what I’m thinking this week. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TVC:DXY
by FX_Professor
2
DXY DOLLAR INDEX The DXY has declined from its current high 114.54 to 96.59 reflecting a weaker dollar against a basket of major currencies including the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Despite this decline, the dollar remains supported by strong US economic growth and higher US 10-year bond yields, which have widened the yield gap with other developed economies . The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy has been relatively hawkish, with fewer rate cuts priced in compared to other central banks, helping to underpin the dollar. Trade tensions and tariff uncertainties continue to create volatility, but the dollar benefits from safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties Composition of the DXY Basket: Euro (EUR): 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% British Pound (GBP): 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% context Drivers: US economic strength, Fed policy, bond yield differentials, trade tensions, and safe-haven flows keeping dollar on support hold. Ongoing US tariff announcements and trade policy changes have contributed to volatility and risk aversion, pressuring the dollar lower. US Economic Policy the Market is concerned about fiscal policy, Federal Reserve independence, and rising US debt which have led to reduced demand for US assets, further weighing on the dollar. Interest Rate Differential: The US Fed funds rate remains at 4.50%-4.25%, but with global central banks adjusting policy, the relative appeal of the dollar has diminished. Conversely, a sustained move above 98.00 could signal a reversal and renewed dollar strength. hope we can get back to 100 aagin. #dollar
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
Dollar Index-Stops At Gap ResistanceAfter just a temporary setback in stocks and a brief move higher in the dollar earlier this week, we’re once again seeing a strong reversal across the board. This comes after Donald Trump extended the July 9th tariff deadline to August 1st, giving more time for trade negotiations with various countries. That brought some optimism back into the markets, and if stocks continue to gain, the dollar index is likely to remain in its downtrend. In fact, the dollar index stopped right at the June 26th gap near the 97.70 resistance level. We believe that the corrective price action from July 1st could now be coming to an end, and the market may resume lower—especially if we get a breakout below the corrective channel support near 97. GH
TVC:DXYShort
by ew-forecast
Continuation of DXY bullish narrative, who says NO?Like I said in my last published post, dxy is bullish for now till we see otherwise. The first TP has been reached, more than 100 pips bagged, the trade is still on but I'm looking at a possiblity of compounding here. I told you guys, this trade will make you a huge amount of money if you're willing to ride it with me. This means bearish EURUSD AND GBPUSD et al. Trade accordingly. We may have a final sweep of 97.260 area. You can wait for that sweep before entering. I'm not, I won't be on chart then but the stop will hold. Few pips won't change the trade idea will it? Follow me as my trades are usually market order, so you'll see them on time and enter on time. Enjoy
TVC:DXYLong
by UGBOR
US dollar, Trump has done it!Since the start of 2025, the US dollar has established itself as the weakest major currency on the Forex market, falling by over 11% against a basket of major currencies. If we extend the reference period to include Donald Trump's return to the presidency, the slide even reaches 12%. This spectacular decline is no accident, but the fruit of a strategy deliberately implemented by the Trump administration. The stated aim is clear: to restore the commercial competitiveness of American companies, boost exports and restore the price advantage of products made in the USA. In this respect, the fall of the US dollar on the FX has fulfilled its mission. Can we now envisage a low point for the US dollar on the FX? 1) US dollar: the battle for currency competitiveness has been won for US companies, and this should have a positive impact on the second-quarter results of S&P 500 companies published this July Indeed, the fall in the dollar translates directly into a much more favorable environment for exporting groups, particularly those which generate the bulk of their sales in Europe or Asia. The conversion of foreign currencies into dollars mechanically boosts revenues and margins. For many multinationals, this factor is likely to contribute to strong earnings releases in the second quarter, as the reporting period takes place this summer. Beyond the immediate impact on corporate accounts, the greenback's depreciation is also encouraging a more structural trend towards reindustrialization and support for domestic production. The effects of this dynamic can already be seen in certain manufacturing segments, which are regaining international market share. Nevertheless, this scenario is not without its downsides: a weak dollar makes imports more expensive, especially raw materials, and weighs on companies dependent on foreign inputs. On the whole, however, the exchange rate policy implemented since January represents a successful gamble by Donald Trump to boost American competitiveness. 2) Technical analysis: can we anticipate a low point for the US dollar? The crucial question today is whether the US dollar can pull back further, or whether a technical and fundamental bottom is emerging. From a technical analysis point of view, the DXY index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of currencies weighted 57% by the euro and 13% by the yen, remains anchored in a bearish trend. Some of the theoretical targets evoked by Elliottist analysis have been reached, but not all. However, long-term supports are visible on monthly charts: an uptrend line, particularly visible on the arithmetic scale, could act as a short-term stabilizer. Note that a potential bullish divergence is also possible on the weekly timeframe. But a bullish reversal pattern is still lacking to speak of a major low point, so let's not put the cart before the horse. 3) Scenarios and stakes for the rest of the year for the US dollar on FX Beyond technical considerations, the persistent weakness of the US dollar acts as a revealing indicator of the tensions between trade policy and financial stability. On the one hand, a dollar under pressure is a powerful lever for supporting exports and consolidating US growth in an uncertain global context. On the other, a prolonged fall in the greenback fuels concerns about international confidence in dollar-denominated assets, and makes imports more expensive, which could rekindle inflationary pressures. This dilemma lies at the heart of the forthcoming trade-offs between the White House and the Federal Reserve. For investors and companies exposed to Forex, several scenarios are conceivable. If the U.S. political agenda leads to a trade compromise, and if second-quarter publications confirm the robustness of the U.S. economy, the dollar is likely to find a technical floor around the supports identified on the DXY. In this scenario, a stabilization phase, or even a moderate rebound, could set in during the second half of the year. Conversely, if the trade stimulus policy is accompanied by a hardening of relations with Europe and China, or if the Fed is slow to react, the downward momentum could be prolonged. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
DXYTHE DOLLAR INDEX . key data report ,22nd the fed chairman Powell speaks and on 24th we are expecting Unemployment Claims. watch this data as they will shape the trade directional bias. Key Factors Behind Today's Drop 1. Rising Global Risk Appetite and Strong Foreign Currencies Investors are showing increased appetite for non-dollar assets today. The euro, yen, and pound have all strengthened—most notably, the dollar fell nearly 1% against the yen after political developments in Japan and a positive outlook in Europe. European optimism was boosted by encouraging business survey results, while political clarity in Japan lifted the yen and added further selling pressure on the dollar. 2. Lower U.S. Treasury Yields Softening U.S. yields contributed to the dollar’s weakness. Lower yields typically make the dollar less attractive relative to other currencies, further encouraging outflows. Investors are reassessing Federal Reserve rate cut odds and show caution ahead of the July 31 Fed meeting. 3.Uncertainty Over Tariffs and U.S. Policy Heightened anxiety around upcoming U.S. tariffs (with an August 1 deadline) and erratic policy signals are dampening confidence in the dollar as a safe haven. Speculation over Fed independence, including market chatter about potential challenges to Chair Powell’s role, has hurt trust in U.S. monetary policy stability, fueling additional dollar selling. Conclusion The dollar index’s drop from its ascending trend line today is the result of a perfect storm of increased foreign currency strength, risk-seeking investor sentiment, declining U.S. yields, persistent policy and tariff uncertainty, All of these factors have combined to drive sellers selling momentum ,they will continue to push the index to its lowest levels and my structure is giving me 94-94.5 level. trading is 100% probailty,trade with caution.
TVC:DXYShort
by Shavyfxhub
USD Snapback - Long-Term Trendline Back in-PlayThe trendline that originated in 2001 and connected to the 2020 high came in to hold the lows in July of 2023, and then again on Easter Monday. That level also held as support in June albeit temporarily, as bears grinded a sell-off into the Q2 close. In early-Q3 trade, that trendline was resistance on a few different occasions, until buyers could eventually take it out. And then last week, on the heels of Trump's threat to fire Jerome Powell, price hurriedly pulled back until, eventually, support arrived via that same trendline projection, which is shown in black on the chart. Now that trendline is back in-play as a test of today's lows. Given the persistent failure from USD bulls to fire anything more than a pullback, combined with the very clear push for USD-weakness from the current administration, it can be difficult to muster a bullish fundamental bias. But - this move had become very one-sided with that sell-off in the first-half of the year so the way that buyers respond to these support tests will be key for whether or not the currency can finally show a reversal theme for more than a couple of weeks. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom