#NDQ - Monthly Targets: 23721.73 or 21387.86?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22554.80 Support: 22276.15 Resistance: 22835.11
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 23028.36
Target 2: 23221.62
Target 3: 23471.67
Target 4: 23721.73
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22082.06
Target 2: 21887.98
Target 3: 21637.92
Target 4: 21387.86
USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQ 100 – Is Upside Momentum Still Evident?Tough talk on tariffs at the back end of last week and over the weekend from President Trump ahead of his 90 day pause deadline, which is due to end tomorrow (July 9th), helped to put a small dent in trader sentiment, slightly undermining the recent strong upside momentum seen in the US 100 index.
This led to a sell off from fresh all time highs of 22908 registered on July 3rd to a low of 22600 yesterday evening, as the letters sent by the US administration outlining import tariffs of 25% sent to Japan, South Korea and another 12 nations were unveiled.
However, the moves have been relatively muted since then as traders remain optimistic that there is still time for negotiation to agree trade deals given that the new tariffs won’t go into effect until August 1st, providing a potential further 3 weeks to move things along.
Looking forward, in a relatively quiet week for data and central bank speakers, the next moves in the US 100 index towards the Friday close may be dictated by updates on trade deals between the US and EU, and the US and India, both of which have been reported as moving closer to agreement. Technical trends could also be an important factor.
Technical Update: Is Upside Momentum Still Evident?
Future tariff news has the potential to continue to be a very important sentiment driver for global equities, particularly within the tech sector, which the US 100 index reflects within its constituents.
As a result, it can be useful to assess potential support and resistance levels within the US 100 index that traders may be focusing on to gauge the next possible direction for prices.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Since posting the April 2025 low at 16290, the US 100 index has rallied by over 40% in only a 13-week period. While this has reflected positive sentiment during this time, traders may well now be questioning if this upside momentum can continue, or if it might stall, even leading to price weakness.
As such, being aware of potential resistance levels against which to judge current price strength that might be able to hold and possibly reverse this latest activity back to the downside, may prove important.
Having previously been strong enough to hold recent price strength, the 22908 July 3rd all-time high, may now represent an area where sellers can be found again, and as such, this marks a potential first resistance focus.
However, closing breaks above 22908 might suggest a more extended phase of price strength, with traders then possibly looking to 23429, the upper weekly Bollinger band and on breaks above this, even towards 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension of the February to April 2025 price decline, as the next resistance levels.
Possible Support Levels:
Of course, just because a 40% advance in prices has been seen, doesn’t guarantee it will continue and traders may be trying to focus on support levels that if broken on a closing basis over the coming days, might suggest risks of a more extended decline in price.
Looking at the daily chart above, it might be suggested that the first support is currently represented by 22201, the level of the rising Bollinger mid-average. Closing breaks below 22201 could in turn lead to further price declines to test 22053, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May 23rd to July 3rd price strength, even 21787, the deeper 50% retracement.
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Wedge Cracks + Tariff Heat = Bearish Setup On US100The US100 is showing signs of potential reversal after completing a harmonic ABCD pattern near the wedge resistance. The price has broken below the rising wedge support, indicating bearish momentum.
Bearish Confluences:
1) Completed the ABCD pattern
2) Rsisng Wedge Breakdown
3) Clear Bearish RSI Divergence, showing weakening momentum at highs.
Targets:
TP1: 22180
TP2: 22050
TP3: If the price breaks below 22050, then TP3 will be 21650
NASDAQ - Bullish BiasHTF Overview: 4H shows strong bullish intent with momentum driving price higher. Clear upside direction supported by sustained breaks in structure.
Liquidity Note: Noticed a key liquidity zone beneath current price (marked in blue). Although deeper mitigation was possible, price remained bullish.
MTF Refinement (30M): Dropped to the 30M for structural clarity and saw an earlier reaction. A bullish OB was formed and respected — now monitoring it for a potential mitigation.
LTF Execution Plan: If the 30M OB is revisited, I’ll be looking to the 1M/5M for confirmation (CHoCH or BOS) before executing long positions.
Mindset: Momentum is with the bulls — just waiting for smart money to confirm their next move.
Bless Trading!
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,770.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
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US100 Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
US100 is weaker than we
Expected and failed to break
The key horizontal level
Around 22868.6 and we are
Now seeing a bearish rejection
So we are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NQ: Upcoming Weekly analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Tariff On/Off: The noise will continue this week as well. Europe will be the target this week.
Uncertainty OR Eternity pause? Market might tend towards Eternity pause which is positive for stocks and equities.
2- New Earnings season: This will be on the driver seat for the next few weeks. Positive earnings for major stocks will impact positively NQ and vice-versa.
3- Macroeconomic data:
CPI and PPI will be relevant for July rate cut. Lower and inline inflation will be very good for July Rate cut; hence very good for Equities. Higher inflation data will be bad.
Also, Consumer sentiment and Inflation expectations, later in the week, will be very relevant.
So from FA Analysis, US equities might go either direction based on data outcomes.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF: Direction is Buy!
The weekly close was irrelevant; it was inside the bullish green candle. Price must break and close below or above the master weekly candle to establish clear direction.
So nothing to trade from weekly perspective.
Daily TF: Direction is Neutral!
Same as weekly TF, we got an irrelevant daily close, inside the previous daily green candle (red dotted lines).
Price must break and close either below or above the dotted red lines for a clear direction.
Hourly TF: Direction is Neutral!
Based on the Weekly and Daily TF, clearly price is consolidating and looking for FA data to make decision on the next move.
Price is making LL-LH-HL-HH... and switching from one side to another reinforcing the consolidation.
Here are two scenarios:
Scenario 1: Good earnings, macroeconomic data and lower inflation will trigger a new ATH.
Scenario 2: Bad earnings, macroeconomic data and higher inflation will trigger a retrace.
Happy green week!
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Swing-low support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,250.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 22,921.84 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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NAS100 - Bearish Triangle Breakdown Forming!NAS100 - Bearish Triangle Breakdown Forming!
A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed on the NAS100 30-min chart, signaling potential volatility ahead. We’re nearing the apex of the triangle, and price action suggests a possible bearish breakout.
🎯 Entry: 22,750.00
🎯Target: 22,400.40
⛔ Stop Out: 22,850.88
The risk/reward setup is favorable if the breakout follows through. Keep a close eye on volume confirmation as price exits the triangle.
What do you think about this triangle formation? Will the breakdown hold, or could bulls trap the shorts again?
💬 Share your opinion below and let’s discuss the setup!
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Nasdaq Surges to New Highs – 23,200 and 24,000 in Sight? (READ)By analyzing the Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index is currently trading around the 22,700 zone and has followed the main analysis perfectly so far — continuing to print new all-time highs.
According to the original outlook, as long as the index holds above 22,150, we can expect further bullish continuation toward the next targets at 23,200 and 24,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Double TopSet up forming on the hourly chart on the Dow. When or if we close bellow the 15:00 bar and if we don't trade above the recent highs in the meantime, it will be our trigger for selling short. Because its a big bar I believe there will be a price engineering from the big boys, therefore I will place a sell limit order a 50% retracement in relation to the 15:00 bar from yesterday in order to get in a optimum level.
short on nas100I'm looking to short US 100 around the 22,840–22,850 supply zone, where price has previously shown strong rejection. I’m expecting a reversal from this resistance area, targeting the 22,660 level as my take profit. My entry is around the current price, and I’ve placed my stop loss just above the zone at 22,875 to manage risk. This setup gives me a clean structure and a solid risk-reward ratio for the move down.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NasdaqNon-commercials (hedge funds, asset managers, etc.) are adding significant long exposure.
This usually reflects confidence in continued upside, often in line with strong tech earnings, soft landing narratives, or a dovish Fed.
Bias: Bullish
Large speculators significantly increased long exposure on Nasdaq futures, showing strong confidence in continued upside momentum. This aligns with recent tech-led rallies and soft-landing expectations.
NASDAQ Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 22,750 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 22,750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Nasdaq 100 Index 2-Hour Chart Analysis2-hour candlestick chart for the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) on the NASDAQ exchange. The chart spans from May to August, showcasing a significant upward trend with notable fluctuations. Key indicators include a recent price of 22,861.53, representing a 0.72% increase. The chart features technical analysis elements such as support and resistance levels, highlighted by green and red boxes, and a downward arrow suggesting a potential price movement.
NASDAQ going to 23500 by August.Nasdaq (NDX) is trading above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, staging a very structured uptrend that has recently gotten out of a 1D Golden Cross.
As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, we might get a repeat of the November - December 2024 rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level from he August 2024 Low.
That whole July - October 2024 pattern is quite similar to the February - June 2025 of today. A quick pull-back is possible at this stage but by the end of August, we expect the index to test at least the 23500 level.
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USNAS100 Bullish Ahead of NVIDIA Milestone – 23010 in SightUSNAS100 – Outlook
The index continues its bullish momentum, supported by strong tech performance — notably NVIDIA surpassing a $4 trillion market cap.
As long as the price holds above 22880, the trend remains bullish toward:
23010 Then extended targets near 23170
However, a 1H close below 22815 would signal weakness, potentially opening the way for a retracement toward: 22705 And 22615, especially if tariff tensions escalate.
Resistance: 23010, 23170
Support: 22815, 22705, 22615