TON/USDT - Bullish Channel in H4 (27.07.2025)The TON/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance โ 3.770
2nd Resistance โ 3.989
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TONUSDT trade ideas
Lingrid | TONUSDT Potential Rebound from Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OKX:TONUSDT is testing support after pulling back from the consolidation zone and forming a higher low above key structure. The chart shows a breakout from the downward trendline followed by a corrective retracement back toward confluence support. As long as price stays above 2.903, a bounce and renewed move toward 3.595 remains the base case. Structure favors bullish continuation after the retest of the breakout level.
๐ Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break and hold above 3.200
Buy zone: 2.903 โ 3.050
Target: 3.595
Invalidation: Break below 2.903
๐ก Risks
Failure to hold confluence of upward trendline and horizontal support
Weak follow-through above 3.2 could indicate distribution
Resistance at 3.595 may trigger renewed selling before breakout
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. Iโm excited to read your thoughts!
TON: The Bullish harmonic pattern could push TON back upTON: The Bullish harmonic pattern could push TON back up
On the Daily Chart, TON completed a strong harmonic upward move near 2.7500.
The price has been holding in this area since early February 2025.
It looks like this was the end and the price is rallying before making another upward move.
I am looking for two targets.
The first is near 4.60 which also corresponds to a strong structure area and the second is near 6 where the price spent a long time around this area.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Toncoin Update ยท A Closer Look ยท Major Move in the MakingConsider this, Toncoin has been growing steadily for fourteen days straight. The growth is slow, steady and patterned, but it keeps on happening. Notice no strong sudden jump but still, straight up. This is how the bottom is missed.
At times, we buy and we are waiting for a sudden jump but this almost never happens. The way it works, in a bull market, we get a long drawn out build-up of bullish momentum. After weeks, or sometimes even months, of prices slowly rising, then we get the sudden jump. This is to say that we are getting close.
Toncoin will continue in this pattern for days, can be weeks or even months; but at one point, there will be a major advance producing such amazing growth. Consider Bitcoin Cash on the daily timeframe for an example.
There is one more thing we need to do but I will leave this for a different publication. We need to consider the true all-time high potential.
As you might be aware, we've been looking together at "conservative" and "easy" targets for the next high and bullish wave, we are leaving this approach behind. Now it is wise for us to consider 'true' potential, 'optimistic' and 'real' targets, the highest possible, etc. So we are going to be looking at how far up Toncoin can go in the coming years and months.
Your support is highly appreciated.
The action now indicates that a major move is in the cards for this pair. If you want to catch one of those waves where you see +100% or +200% within weeks, you can sit on your TON tokens, this will be it.
It is going to happen but keep in mind that patience is key.
After you buy you hold, wait long and the market takes care of the rest. The wait is worth it when you consider the amazing profits and results that can be achieved. You deserve the best.
Keep going; keep in insisting; keep trying, keep learning, keep pushing, keep growing. We are going to achieve our goals. If you stay around long enough, the market will give you exactly what you want.
Money? peace of mind? More time to do the things you like?
Not having to leave your home to work? It is possible with Crypto.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
TON/USDT - ATH !!!TON/USDT has been in a sideways consolidation phase for over 100 days, tightly ranging between the $2.90โ$3.50 zone. This prolonged accumulation is forming a solid base structure, often seen before major trend reversals in high-cap altcoins.
Recent price action is beginning to show early signs of bullish momentum, with buyers gradually stepping in and volume starting to rise. This area is historically significant and marks a high-probability entry zone, especially if the market confirms the breakout.
TON/USDT | Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Toncoin chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that, as per yesterdayโs analysis, the price climbed to $3.36 before facing a slight correction โ which is perfectly normal since every strong bullish trend needs a healthy pullback. The $3.05โ$3.20 zone could serve as a good accumulation area for buyers, and we may soon witness another impressive rally from Toncoin! Based on the previous analysis, the next targets are $3.63, $4.20, and $4.68.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
#TON Update #4 โ July 18, 2025#TON Update #4 โ July 18, 2025
Toncoin (TON) has completed its correction following the last impulsive move and is now pushing upward again. Technically, the next major target sits around the $3.35 level.
However, before reaching that level, TON faces a resistance at $3.27 โ a level that has been tested multiple times in the past and may cause a temporary pullback.
On the TON/BTC pair, the price still hasnโt broken above the 200 MA band, which remains a limiting factor for bullish momentum.
For short-term traders:
Entry: $3.17
Target: $3.27
Potential Gain: 3%
This setup may offer a quick profit opportunity, but caution is advised.
TONUSDT continue up!Looking for an Impulse Up โ TONUSDT Outlook
TONUSDT is showing momentum to the upside as it continues its current structure, possibly developing another impulsive leg.
Itโs important to follow your own trading plan and maintain proper risk-reward (RR) discipline.
This idea is shared for educational purposes only to support your learning.
Got questions? Feel free to drop them in the comments!
TONUSDT Technical Analysis โ Bearish Shift with Clean TargetMarket Context:
TONUSDT recently showed strong bullish momentum, breaking multiple structure levels (noted as BOS โ Break of Structure), indicating a clear uptrend. However, the most recent price action reveals a sharp rejection from the resistance zone around 3.55โ3.60, marking a significant trend reversal.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3.55 โ 3.60
Price tested this zone and was strongly rejected, forming a potential top.
Demand Zone: 2.88 โ 2.99
This zone provided previous accumulation and serves as a probable liquidity area and downside target.
Target: 2.989
The chart marks this as the near-term bearish objective, aligning with the volume node and prior demand.
Technical Signals:
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure):
Confirmed bullish structure earlier, but the latest BOS downward indicates a possible trend reversal.
Volume Profile (VRVP):
Shows high volume nodes around 3.00, suggesting strong market interest at lower levels โ acting as a magnet for price.
Bearish Market Structure:
After the peak, the lower highs and lower lows pattern reflects short-term bearish dominance.
Liquidity Grab & Selloff:
The spike above resistance likely induced liquidity before a rapid selloff โ classic distribution behavior.
Outlook:
If the market fails to reclaim levels above 3.35, a bearish continuation toward 2.989 remains likely.
The demand zone (2.88โ2.99) is a critical area where buyers may re-enter โ look for reversal signals here.
Conclusion:
TONUSDT has shifted from bullish to bearish in the short term. A clean rejection from resistance and strong structural breaks suggest a move toward the 2.989 demand zone. Traders should watch for confirmation of support or continuation upon reaching this level.
TONUSDT Analysis โ Trendline Breakout Target To Reversal Area๐ง Market Sentiment & Context:
TONUSDT (Toncoin vs USDT) is currently trading at $3.13, showing signs of compression within a well-defined MMC structure. After forming a clear QFL (Quick Flip Level) base, the market is approaching a decisive breakout level, with a strong rejection or breakout likely in the coming days.
This chart displays confluence from trendlines, channel breaks, central zones, and QFL demand zones, providing multiple layers of structure-based decision-making. Here's a deeper dive ๐
๐ Technical Breakdown โ What the Chart Is Telling Us:
๐ธ 1. Major Trendline Resistance โ Bearish Control Zone
The descending trendline drawn from prior highs is acting as dynamic resistance.
Price tested this line recently and faced rejection, showing that sellers are still active.
However, the consolidation below the trendline suggests accumulation, not panic selling โ a classic sign of smart money positioning before a breakout.
๐ธ 2. Previous Channel Structure โ Broken & Retested
The price previously moved inside a slightly rising parallel channel, reflecting a slow and steady bullish phase.
The channel has now been broken, but TON quickly reclaimed structure via a strong bullish engulfing candle from the QFL base, hinting that this was a liquidity grab (stop hunt) before the real move.
๐ธ 3. QFL (Quantity Following Line) โ Institutional Demand Zone
The QFL base at around $2.85โ$3.00 was created after a swift sell-off followed by immediate bullish response.
This is a high-probability MMC reversal structure, where large buyers typically enter.
Since this QFL held firm, it has created a solid foundation for bullish momentum, provided the trendline is eventually broken.
๐งญ What's Happening Now โ Price Action Update:
Price is caught between two major Central Zones:
Lower Zone: $2.85 โ $3.15 (Support)
Upper Zone: $3.50 โ $3.70 (Resistance)
The current movement shows price creating higher lows, indicating bullish pressure building beneath the trendline.
Volume remains low, which means the market is waiting for a catalyst (news or breakout) before a directional push.
๐ Key Reversal Zone Ahead โ Eyes on $4.20 to $4.40
If price breaks and closes above the descending trendline and crosses the upper central zone, we can anticipate a strong bullish move toward the Next Reversal Zone marked around $4.20โ$4.40.
This zone has historical confluence as:
Previous strong supply zone
Psychological round number
Fibonacci extension alignment
This will likely be the profit-booking area for swing traders and early buyers from the QFL zone.
๐ Trade Scenarios Based on MMC:
โ
Bullish Scenario (High Probability If Breakout)
Price breaks the trendline โ Pullback โ Retest of $3.50โ$3.60 zone
Bullish continuation to $4.20โ$4.40 Reversal Zone
Ideal entry on retest after breakout
Stop-loss below $3.00
โ Bearish Scenario (If Rejected Again)
Rejection from trendline leads to re-test of lower Central Zone
Breakdown of QFL level (~$2.85) would invalidate bullish setup
Potential drop toward $2.60 zone for liquidity sweep
๐ง MMC-Based Observations:
๐น MMC Element ๐ Explanation
๐บ Trendline Key resistance from macro downtrend
๐ฉ Central Zones Neutral battleground for buyers/sellers
๐ป Channel Break Confirmed bearish momentum earlier, now tested
โ
QFL Strong base, showing early smart money entries
๐ฏ Reversal Zone High-risk area, expect volatility and profit-taking
๐ Strategic Summary:
Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above $3.00)
Confirmation Needed: Daily candle close above trendline & $3.50 zone
Target 1: $3.85
Target 2: $4.20โ$4.40 (main reversal)
Invalidation: Close below $2.85 (QFL loss)
๐จ Final Thoughts:
TONUSDT is showing clear smart money footprints via the QFL formation and trendline pressure. The setup is ideal for MMC-based breakout traders waiting for confirmation before entering. Volume spike + trendline break will likely spark the next impulsive rally.
Stay patient, and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
TONUSDT Analysis โ Trendline Breakout | Liquidity| Arc + Target๐ Chart Summary:
The TONUSDT 30-minute chart presents a clean smart-money setup after a trendline breakout, volume absorption, and liquidity fill, supported by a beautifully formed ARC accumulation pattern. This structure hints at institutional involvement and a strategic roadmap for the next probable moves.
๐ Technical Components Breakdown
1๏ธโฃ Trendline Breakout โ Shift in Structure
Price had been following a descending trendline with multiple touches, establishing bearish market structure.
Eventually, that trendline was violently broken to the upside, signaling a change in character (CHOCH) โ one of the first signs of a potential bullish reversal.
The breakout candle was strong, with a wide body and notable bullish volume. This often indicates institutional interest or engineered breakout via a stop-hunt.
2๏ธโฃ Volume Absorption โ Smart Money Accumulation
After the breakout, the price didn't immediately rally. Instead, it consolidated with wicks on both sides โ a sign of volume absorption.
This is where smart money absorbs opposing orders, typically absorbing sellers before a larger directional move.
This consolidation confirmed the idea of liquidity engineering โ they trap liquidity (shorts) and use it as fuel.
3๏ธโฃ Liquidity Filled โ Stop Hunt Behavior
A sharp wick into previous highs grabbed resting liquidity, filling orders and sweeping stop losses.
This action invalidated weak resistance, setting up the platform for a larger move.
๐ง Conceptual Structure โ ARC Play & Reversal Dynamics
โ
ARC Formation โ Rounded Accumulation Base
The light green arc highlights the rounded bottom, a common technical pattern representing accumulation over time.
This kind of base often indicates that smart money is building positions silently, especially after a significant downtrend.
In this context, the ARC acts as a dynamic support, and the structure mimics the reversal of market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
๐ FMFR Zone โ โFirst Move Fake, Then Reversalโ
Labeled FMFR zone between 3.22โ3.26 signifies a potential trap setup.
The expectation is a manipulated downward move (fakeout) that will be quickly reversed, catching breakout sellers off-guard.
Smart traders can use this as a high-probability re-entry zone by waiting for wick rejection, engulfing candles, or bullish divergences.
๐ Short-Term Targets & Zones
๐ฉ Next Mini Reversal Zone โ 3.38 to 3.42
This is a probable area for minor pullback or distribution, especially for scalpers or short-term trades.
Price may stall here due to earlier supply and psychological round levels.
๐ฆ Remaining Liquidity Zones โ 3.55 to 3.63
Higher timeframe liquidity remains uncollected above.
If bullish momentum continues with support from volume and structure, expect price to sweep these levels next.
These zones are ideal for medium-term swing targets.
๐งพ Trade Setup Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Item Details
Entry On rejection/confirmation within FMFR zone (3.22โ3.26)
Stop-Loss Below arc support or structural low (3.18 area)
TP1 3.38 (Mini reversal zone)
TP2 3.55 (Liquidity target 1)
TP3 3.63+ (Extended target)
๐ Market Psychology in Action
Fear/Greed Play: Initial selloff invited fear, smart money accumulates quietly via the arc. Fakeout traps greed and late shorts.
Trap-Reversal Model: FMFR zones exploit retail stops, offering entries for institutional players.
Liquidity Mapping: The chart clearly maps how price is attracted to uncollected liquidity zones โ a classic order flow approach.
TON/USDT : Get Ready for a new Rally! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Toncoin chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has finally managed to grow over 3% as expected, and is currently consolidating above the $3 level. Weโll have to see how far this bullish momentum can continue โ but to be honest, I expected a stronger move considering the market rally and Bitcoin repeatedly hitting new ATHs. Still, no worries โ once Bitcoin takes a breather, altcoins will likely begin their powerful runs! Based on previous analysis, the next targets are $3.15, $3.63, $4.20, and $4.68 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Toncoin Update v2.0 ยท How To Trade For Maximum ProfitsI am keeping the same chart drawings for simplicity. We continue to move forward on Toncoin and this is one of the trio we track and trade: Notcoin, Toncoin & Dogs.
Daily TONUSDT is now trading above EMA55. When this happened back in February 2024 Toncoin produced its biggest advance ever. The same is likely to repeat multiplied by ten.
(I just updated the targets for your convenience. $12 & $18 have been added to the chart.)
ยป July 2024 TONUSDT moves daily above EMA55.
ยป EMA89 is now sitting at $3.10. This resistance level is also about to be conquered. This simply means that the bullish bias is fully confirmed.
ยป MA200 is still a bit further away but once TONUSDT moves above this level, currently at $3.59, we can expect long-term growth. That is, six months or more. Can be 8, 9, 12, 14, 16, etc. Just beyond six.
"Toncoin will move straight up," this is just a way of saying things. There will always be some days red, some days green, some red some green but the trend, tendency and bias is bullish.
When you see prices rising and you start to enjoying higher profits do not be scared by sudden drops. These are shakeouts and only meant to scare you. Hold strong.
Toncoin can turn red 2 days, 3 days, even 6 days or 9 days and still remain 100% bullish and as soon as the retrace ends you will get additional growth.
It is all fine and great in the Crypto market.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
TON/USDT Monthly Structure Flip โ Smart Money Targets $3.30+ Aft๐ Key Observations:
Current Price: 2.974 USDT
Support Zone (Demand Area):
Strong demand zone around 2.870 - 2.800 USDT.
Price previously reacted multiple times from this zone, showing strong buyer interest and BOS confirmations.
Resistance Zone (Supply Area):
The next significant resistance lies in the range of 3.306 - 3.400 USDT.
This zone previously caused a BOS to the downside, making it a critical level to monitor for potential profit-taking or reversals.
Market Structure:
Price is currently consolidating just above the demand zone after a bullish BOS.
Recent BOS confirms a shift in structure from bearish to bullish bias.
Potential Price Path:
If price sustains above the 2.870 support, a bullish move targeting the 3.306 level is likely.
Expect short-term retracements within the structure but with a medium-term bullish bias.
Liquidity Mapping:
Liquidity is likely resting above the 3.088 local highs and the 3.306 major resistance.
Smart money may push price to these levels to mitigate orders or engineer exit liquidity.
๐ Educational Perspective:
This chart is a strong representation of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), particularly the use of BOS as confirmation for directional bias. Traders can look to:
Use the demand zone for potential long entries.
Watch for confirmation (like bullish engulfing or internal BOS) within the zone.
Manage trades toward the premium zone near 3.3 for a favorable risk-reward.
TON - the hidden GEM of this cycle?โก๏ธ Hello, everyone! While Bitcoin is reaching new heights, crypto gurus everywhere are already predicting an altseason. Whether it will actually happen is anyone's guess. But it's definitely worth being prepared and keeping an eye on a couple of tokens.
One such token is TON. After its hype on tapalki, the price corrected, forming a GAP at the top at $4.87 - $4.10. And as we know, 99% of GAPs close sooner or later.
An attempt was made to close it, but it was unsuccessful. And the token price reached its sloping support, which led to an 81% rebound in March.
Interestingly, did this coincide with a new wave of market growth? ๐ค
โ๏ธ Let's take a deeper look at what the metrics and indicators are showing us:
Support/Resistance - the first thing to pay attention to. The price reached key support with the largest area of interest. At levels of $2.97 - $2.76. This, combined with other factors such as support and positivity in the market, could push for strong growth.
Volume - TON is one of the few tokens that did not experience a decline in sales during the correction. Instead, it experienced growing purchase volumes throughout the decline. This creates a large divergence with the price.
Money Flow - is also an extremely interesting indicator. In complete divergence with the price, an ascending flag pattern has formed here. This shows that liquidity continues to flow in. And the previous rebound to $4.22 saw an even greater influx of liquidity than the rebound to $7.22 in December 2024.
๐ Conclusion:
TON seems like an unremarkable token until you take a closer look. And I understand why investors have such faith in the asset.
1. Great growth potential. Almost 200% to ATH, which is simply fantastic for an asset with such a high capitalization.
2. TON could be the first real step towards the mass adoption of Web3 in society. They have their own messenger with a billion users, and they have already shown how easy it is to integrate them all into cryptocurrencies. All that remains is not to lose people this time.
โก๏ธ Have a nice day, everyone, and write in the comments what you think about the future of TON!