Time to buy SILVER?Please LIKE, COMMENT, or SHARE for your SUPPORT.
For those that know me, I've been looking at gold and silver very closely over the years. I last purchased them during the crash of 2020 with an average cost of $17 an ounce of silver and $1450 an ounce of Gold. I used the dollar cost average method to build my positions. I then sold the gold at $2050 an ounce and silver at $25.50 an ounce. This was a 50% profit move for silver and a $40% profit for gold.
All we can do as traders are enter and exit a position where it is statistically accurate based on the trend that we're in. We use indicators, other technical tools and news to spot changes in the trend early on and then build our positions when the market meets our criteria. Since then I have waited for Gold and Silver to look more attractive.
Over the last year, the velocity of currency was quickly on the rise. In other words, people were coming out of their homes and spending all their hoarded money. By creating more dollars, the supply of the total dollars rose in comparison to all the GOODS/SERVICES and ASSETS in the world. This is important since those are the true wealth of an economy. This wealth is not inflatable like the dollar. Yes, it could be inflated by the dollar causing its price in dollars to rise but you cannot create more of this type of wealth with a click of a button.
The Fed at the time was regarding inflation as "transitory," and there was still no end in sight to bond purchasing and artificially inflating the market. In simpler terms, there was no end to the money printer. The better bet seemed to be in real estate, stocks, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. I jumped ship until the Fed announced rate hikes and a smaller balance sheet. Why? Because investors were willing to in a sense "bet on the Fed." There needed to be a reduction in printing. It's begun but still not enough to fully combat the monster of inflation that is coming and what's already here.
Between the COVID impact, people not working, and being supported by the government through STIMULUS checks and other government funding programs, inflation was due to kick in at some point. This is because nothing is free. This is true even if the governments give us "free money." That money did not exist before it showed up in our accounts. Essentially, they are opening a new credit line for each person they give a check. This was not just happening in America but all over the world. The world did not gain more resources but the means to purchase those resources has been growing rapidly.
With 7.89 billion people in the world plus some who have already died and received a check, imagine what that would do when unleashed back into the world economy. America is currently flashing the yellow light to slow down the money printing while every other nation is still on the green light. This can be reflected in the US Dollar index which is a measure of a hand full of currencies vs. the dollar. Today, as these things are going on, the index shows the dollar strengthening. This is not because it can purchase more things but because the values of other currencies are going down.
Traditional markets like the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and the S&P500 are not looking good. This is usually when some look for a way to hedge their positions since we don't know which way the market will go in the short term. Traditionally one way that is done is with precious metals like GOLD and SILVER. Right now, gold priced in silver is becoming more expensive. As the Gold/Silver ratio rises, it is often more desirable to hold more silver than gold and vice versa in hopes of stabilization of this ratio.
In a world of high inflation, storing one's wealth in fiat currencies is like storing your money in the S&P 500 but in reverse. Inflation is skyrocketing all over the world. Even Russia, because of the money printing, oil hikes, and the stress of war, suffered double-digit inflation. It seems like it won't be long before inflation in the US enters the double digits as well.
Enter every trade at your own risk. A trade can be short-term to long-term. Have a strategy set with rules for both short and long-term trades. Stick to it based on the fundamentals if you're looking at something to invest in for the long term. For a short to medium trade, look for a good setup and expect a shorter timeframe in which you hold your position. As you can see, the three different ways to trade are short-term, mid-term, and long-term and each requires a different approach. Even if you hedge your position in dollars, don’t forget that its purchasing power is evaporating through inflation.
None of this is investment advice.
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