TRADING IDEA - US CRUDE OIL - BEARISH FLAG, CONCERNS ON GLOBAL EFOREXCOM:USOIL
The US Crude Oil prices went down yesterday, mostly because of the tariffs and concerns on demand.
Here is what the Bloomberg is writing: " OPEC+ is discussing a pause in its oil production increases from October is fueling concerns about a slowdown in global energy demand. In addition, the intensification of US tariffs risks slowing global economic growth and energy demand after President Trump ramped up tariffs on numerous countries this week, including a 50% tariff on Brazil."
So, despite the pause in oil production increase, which is supposed to be bullish factor the oil prices, we may see the slowdown in global economy and supposedly a recession because of Trump's tariffs. This is a long-term bearish factor for the oil. I think that we will see another bearish impulse here, according to what we observe on the chart.
There is a nice bearish flag and i am planning to short it with a target nearby 6,540.00 support level.
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 6615.3 with
❌a stop loss at 6680.9 and
🤑a take profit at 6544.0
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
USCRUDEOIL trade ideas
Crude oil under pressure after OPEC+WTI Crude oil had rejected the 20-moving average area, having reversed off the $68 price area after the OPEC+ announcement about the upcoming production increase. The short-term energy outlook forecast from eia.org had lowered the expected fair price for CL futures based on supply and demand estimation for 2025 - the average price is projected around $60 with a possibility to drive lower.
COT reports show the increasing short position for commercial traders, which had almost reached the new bottom - a potential short signal for the oil.
Given the weak sentiment (we’ve seen the massive drop of oil futures after the resolution of Israel-Iran situation) and overall downtrend, we can project the downside move as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
Crude oil shock trend direction
💡Message Strategy
During the European trading session on Monday, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange recovered the previous losses and rebounded to around $67.50 per barrel. Although OPEC+ confirmed that the increase in oil production in August will be higher than expected, oil prices still rebounded.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and tested around 78. The K-line closed with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillating upward pattern.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil failed to continue to hit a new low and showed a rebound rhythm. The oil price crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend entered a transition period. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crossed the zero axis, and the red column indicated that the bullish momentum was sufficient. At present, the price is running in a wide range, with a range of 65.50-67.80. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will repeatedly test the upper edge of the range within the range.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:67.00-67.50,SL:65.50,Target:70.00
Usoil buy trade am holding since last week📈 USOIL Trade Update – Long Position Holding Strong Since Last Week 🔥
Guess I didn't post this last week...
Caught this buy from the demand zone around $64.16, with a clean structure shift and bullish momentum confirmation.
The market is respecting structure with higher highs and higher lows forming beautifully. As price approaches my target zone, I’m locking in profits and managing risk. Trade has been running smoothly for days 💪🏽
SL at break even now, Holding patiently for that final push to the $70+ area. Let's see how the market reacts at that key zone.
WTI Oil Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan for Big Gains!🚨 Ultimate WTI Oil Heist Plan: Bullish Breakout Strategy for Big Profits! 🚀💰
🌟 Hello, Wealth Chasers & Market Mavericks! 🌟
Hola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🗺️
Get ready to execute the Ultimate WTI / US Oil Spot Heist using our 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥, blending sharp technicals with powerful fundamentals! 📈💡 This swing trade plan targets the energy market’s bullish potential, but stay sharp—volatility lurks! 🚨 Follow the chart setup for a long entry, and let’s aim for those juicy profits while dodging the high-risk ATR zone where the market “police” might trap overzealous traders. 🏦⚠️
📊 The Heist Plan: WTI / US Oil Spot (Swing Trade)
Entry 📈:
The breakout is your signal! 🎯 Wait for the Moving Average crossover and a confirmed pullback at $68.00 on the 2H timeframe. Once it triggers, go long and ride the bullish wave! 🐂 Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑:
Protect your capital like a pro! 💪 Place your stop loss below the recent swing low at $65.00 (2H timeframe, candle body wick). Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of positions. Rebels, beware—straying too far from this level could burn you! 🔥
Target 🎯:
Aim for $73.80 or exit early if momentum fades. Scalpers, stick to long-side trades and use a trailing stop to lock in gains. 💰 Swing traders, follow the plan and secure profits before the market consolidates or reverses. 🏴☠️
📊 Market Context & Key Drivers
The WTI / US Oil Spot market is currently consolidating with a bullish bias 🐂, driven by:
Fundamentals: Check macroeconomic data, seasonal trends, and intermarket correlations. 📉
COT Report: shows net-long positions increasing, signaling bullish sentiment. 📅
Sentiment & Quantitative Analysis: Market mood leans positive, but overbought risks loom near the ATR zone. ⚠️
Stay informed! 📰 Monitor news releases, as they can spike volatility. Avoid new trades during major announcements and use trailing stops to protect open positions. 🔒
📊 Pro Tips for the Heist
Scalpers: Go long with tight trailing stops to safeguard profits. 💸
Swing Traders: Stick to the plan, adjust stops based on risk, and exit before the high-risk ATR zone ($73.80+). 🚪
Risk Management: Never risk more than you can afford. Tailor your lot size and stop loss to your account size. 🛡️
Stay Updated: Market conditions shift fast—keep an eye on fundamentals and sentiment to stay ahead. 👀
📊 Why Join the Heist?
This Thief Trading Style plan is your ticket to navigating the WTI market with confidence! 💪 Boost this idea to strengthen our trading crew and share the wealth-making vibe. 🚀💥 Like, follow, and stay tuned for more high-octane strategies! 🤑🐱👤
Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis, not personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. Markets are dynamic—stay vigilant and adapt to new developments. 📡
Let’s make this heist legendary! 🌟💰 See you at the next breakout! 🤝🎉
WTI Crude Oil: Double Engulf + H&S Breakdown Points to $40Hello guys! Let's dive into WTI!
The weekly chart of WTI Crude Oil reveals a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern playing out over a long-term descending channel. Price recently got rejected from the upper trendline, showing weakness despite a short-term bounce.
- Engulfed 1 & 2:
Two major engulfing zones failed to hold as support, turning into strong resistance.
- Bearish Scenario in Play:
After the recent upside move into resistance, price is likely to follow one of two paths:
- Continuation Within the Channel:
Rejection from the upper bound of the descending channel leads to a stair-step decline toward the $47–52 zone.
- Final Rejection from Supply Zone ($83–89):
A larger corrective push could test this area before a full collapse toward the long-term demand zone.
Main Target:
The blue shaded region ($36–47) stands out as a strong long-term demand zone, where buyers may finally step in.
____________________
Invalidation point:
Unless crude oil breaks above the $89 zone with strong volume, all signs point to further downside.
The chart structure favors a slow bleed with temporary bounces, ultimately targeting the $40s.
(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:
You have a clear triangle breakout happening.
The chart shows two bullish target positions marked with blue arrows.
Based on your chart:
Current Price Zone: Around 66.20 - 66.25
Target Levels:
✅ First Target: 67.00
✅ Second Target: 68.00 - 68.10
---
Summary Trading Idea:
Breakout above resistance trendline confirmed.
First resistance and partial target at 67.00
Final target near 68.00 - 68.10, where the next significant resistance lies.
Let me know if you want stop-loss suggestions or a detailed entry strategy.
Momentum Cools as Oil Eyes Reentry From $67.6FenzoFx—Crude Oil bounced from $66.2, a support backed by the volume profile point of interest, but lost momentum after hitting the bearish FVG.
Currently trading near $68.2 with Stochastic overbought. A pullback to $67.6 can offer a low-risk reentry. The bullish bias remains intact above $65.2, with $70.3 as the next target.
Crude oil continues to fluctuate upward
💡Message Strategy
OPEC+, led by Asian countries, announced on Saturday that it would increase production by an additional 548,000 barrels per day from next month, more than 30% higher than market expectations of 411,000 barrels per day, accelerating the pace of resumption of production after the production cuts in 2023.
In addition to supply-side factors, demand prospects are also affected by trade concerns. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said that the country-specific tariffs that the Trump administration intends to implement will officially take effect on August 1, later than the previously scheduled July 9, leaving trading partners with a short breathing space.
Market concerns about the impact of this policy on crude oil consumption have intensified, especially among importing countries, mainly Asian countries.
Confidence in the Asian market remains, and Saudi Arabia raises prices to Asia
Despite the increase in supply, OPEC+ still emphasized in its statement that "the global economic outlook is stable and the market fundamentals are healthy." As a signal of confidence, Saudi Arabia has raised the prices of major crude oil varieties for Asian customers, indicating that it believes that the Asian market has the ability to absorb additional supply.
According to OPEC+ representatives, the alliance will consider whether to increase supply by another 548,000 barrels per day in September at its next meeting on August 3, thereby fully restoring the 2.2 million barrels per day quota cut last year.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward and tests around 75 in the medium term. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective trend remains upward. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakened. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
After the short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuates and consolidates, it turns into an upward rhythm. The moving average system is arranged in short positions, and the short-term objective trend is upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis, and the bullish momentum is full. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise after a slight rebound during the day.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:66.00-67.00,SL:65.00,Target:69.00-70.00
Oil Bulls Watch $67.0 for Breakout ConfirmationFenzoFx—Crude Oil trades slightly above the bullish FVG at $66.5, showing sideways momentum on the 1-hour chart. The $65.5 support is backed by volume interest and could drive prices higher.
If this level holds, bulls may target a retest of the descending trendline. For confirmation, a close above the $67.0 resistance is needed.
Please note that a close below $66.5 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 67.303.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 71.215.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI Oil H4 | Falling toward a multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 64.84 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 61.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 69.36 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Crude Oil -DAILY- 21.07.2025Oil prices were steady after their first weekly decline this month, as attention shifted to U.S. trade negotiations and the European Union’s push to tighten restrictions on Russian energy exports. The EU is preparing new sanctions, including a lower price cap on Russian crude, limits on fuel refined from Russian oil, banking restrictions, and bans targeting an Indian refinery and Chinese firms. Despite western sanctions, Russian oil continues flowing to China and India. Meanwhile, diesel margins in Europe remain strong, signaling tight supply.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil has failed to break below the major technical support area, which consists of the 50-day simple moving average and the 50% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. The Stochastic oscillator has been in the neutral level since last week hinting that there is potential for the price to move to either direction in the near short term. On the other hand, the Bollinger bands have contracted rather massively showing that volatility has dried up therefore, the recent sideways movement might extend in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
USOIL: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
USOIL
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry - 66.40
Stop - 65.95
Take - 67.48
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Crude fall - short termI am anticipating crude to fall these marked levels because:
1. Strong Opening Gap which usually closes after some time
2. Liquidity levels are at the same place as the Opening Gap.
3. Oil price has to fallback a bit more and consolidate a bit more to have a healthy patterns to rise until potential 90.
USOIL Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 66.40
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 65.78
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 67.32
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WTI Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
USOIL
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USOI
Entry Point - 68.66
Stop Loss - 69.40
Take Profit - 67.23
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️