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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Short
by ForexMasters2000
AUD/USD Technical Outlook: Rising Channel Faces Resistance Near The Australian Dollar remains in an upward-sloping channel against the U.S. Dollar on the daily timeframe. Price action has recently bounced from channel support near 0.6500, a key psychological and technical level, and is attempting to regain traction within the structure. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July 2023 – April 2024 decline at 0.6558 is currently acting as resistance, coinciding with the upper half of the rising channel. A break above this could see momentum extend toward the 78.6% retracement zone near 0.6730. The 50-day SMA is crossing above the 200-day SMA, forming a golden cross—typically a bullish continuation signal—though price is slightly below both moving averages, implying short-term indecision. From an indicator perspective: RSI hovers around 50, showing a neutral bias and confirming the consolidation phase. MACD is flat and converging near the zero line, signaling weakening momentum and a possible pause or reversal. A daily close below channel support could expose the 0.6450–0.6400 zone next, while sustained strength above 0.6558 could re-ignite bullish interest targeting the 0.6700–0.6730 region. Overall, AUD/USD remains technically constructive as long as the channel holds, but traders should watch closely for a breakout or breakdown confirmation from current levels. -MW
by FOREXcom
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap. resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and. could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6543 Why we like it: There is n overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6587 Why we like it: There is. pullback resistance. Take profit: 0.6492 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD good structure for higher bullish OANDA:AUDUSD whats next, we are have DESCENDING CHANNEL breaked, its followed by bullish push, but its not make to much in my op, at end price is make revers, its stop at end on strong sup zone (0.64900). We are have in last day-two RBA and RBNZ today, price is start pushing looks like zone 0.64900 can be taked for valid zone, from which now expecting higher bullish push in next periods. SUP zone: 0.65100 RES zone: 0.66300, 0.66600
Long
by DepaTrading
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W 29 | Y25💼 AUDUSD SHORT & LONG – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W 29 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW AUDUSD is currently trading around a previously mitigated Daily and 4H Order Block zone. Price has shown signs of short-term bearish momentum on lower timeframes (1H & 15m), but the broader structure still allows for bullish re-entries from deeper discounted levels. We’re entering a key decision zone with potential for both short and long opportunities, depending on intraday confirmation. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily OB – Previously Mitigated Larger structure still holds room for bullish continuation if key internal supports hold. ✅ 4H OB – Mitigated with Initial Rejection ✅ 1H & 15m OBs – Valid for Intraday Shorts Clean bearish structure on intraday timeframes. Potential shorts available 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles Risk per trade: Max 1% Only act at planned levels — never chase RR minimum: 1:2 Use scaling techniques on intraday shorts, and hold conviction for swings when structure confirms 🧠 Your risk plan is your protection. Without it, your strategy is meaningless. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight “Bias is flexible. Discipline is not.” Adapt to what price gives — but never abandon your risk framework. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 Both short and long opportunities are valid this week. 📌 Choose your bias based on structure + confirmation. 📌 Let the order flow lead and risk management guide. ❤️ Stay sharp, stay structured. I’ll see you at the very top. 🎯 Trade consistent. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers! Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The U.S. June CPI came in at 2.7%, matching market expectations, while core CPI was 2.9%, slightly below the expected 3.0%. Overall, the figures were in line with forecasts, but the prices of essential goods rose. Companies appear to be gradually passing on the rising import costs to consumers, indicating that the effects of tariffs are starting to filter through. - U.S. President Trump announced a trade agreement with Indonesia, under which Indonesia will pay a 19% tariff on all exports to the U.S., while U.S. exports to Indonesia will be exempt from tariffs. - President Trump also granted a 50-day grace period on sanctions against Russia. Major Economic Events This Week + July 15: U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI) + July 16: U.K. June CPI, U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI) + July 17: Eurozone June CPI AUDUSD Chart Analysis The pair continues a modest upward trend along the channel. As previously mentioned, a move toward the 0.69000 level is expected. However, there may be a brief pause around the 0.67000 resistance zone. This pullback is likely to be minor, and in the longer term, the 0.69000 level remains a potential target.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6650 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6588 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 0.6481 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support, which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6550 1st Support: 0.6492 1st Resistance: 0.6590 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD Strong bullish momentum inside this Channel Up.The AUDUSD pair has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up pattern and on Monday almost hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded. This is the start of its new Bullish Leg. Based on the previous ones, it should complete a +2.70% rise at least. As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we are bullish, targeting 0.66555. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDUSD 4H: Sell Zone Confirmed📉 AUDUSD Analysis – Current Trend & Trade Opportunity Hello Traders, I’ve prepared an updated analysis for the AUDUSD pair. At the moment, AUDUSD has shifted out of its previous bullish structure and has now entered a bearish trend. Based on this shift, I’m planning to enter a limit sell trade at the level shared below: 🔹 Limit Sell Entry: 0.65232 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.65576 🔹 Targets: • TP1: 0.64591 • TP2: 0.64591 • TP3: 0.63738 🔸 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.27 Considering the trend reversal, I’m looking to open a position from these levels. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Short
by TraderTilki
6
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Attempts Fresh ClimbMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Attempts Fresh Climb AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6485 support. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6485 and recovered against the US Dollar. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6535 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase above 0.6550. The Aussie Dollar tested the 0.6585 zone before the bears appeared and pushed it lower against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 0.6560 and 0.6550 support levels. The recent low was formed at 0.6485 and the pair is rising again. The bulls pushed it above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6588 swing high to the 0.6485 low. The pair is now consolidating above the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the resistance is near the 0.6535 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming at 0.6535. The first major resistance might be 0.6550 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level. An upside break above it might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6560 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6585 resistance zone. If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6510 level. The next support could be 0.6485. If there is a downside break below 0.6485, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6440 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6420. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUD/USD: Short Setup to 0.6450This trade idea is rooted in a data-driven approach, leveraging a rare asymmetry in the economic calendar and specific quantitative models to identify a high-clarity opportunity. 📊 The Thesis by the Numbers My model assigns clear probabilities to the potential scenarios for this week, based on the scheduled U.S. data releases. 60% Probability: Base Case (USD Strength). Triggered by a U.S. Core CPI reading at or above 0.3% MoM. 30% Probability: Alternative Case (USD Weakness). 10% Probability: Wildcard Scenario (Risk-On Rally). 🧠 The Data-Driven Rationale This setup scored a -5 on my quantitative thesis model, indicating a strong bearish conviction. The core of this is the one-sided event risk. With Australia's calendar completely empty, the AUD is a sitting duck. Meanwhile, a volley of tier-one U.S. data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) is expected to confirm a robust economy. This fundamental divergence, combined with a technical picture of price coiling below long-term resistance, creates the conditions for a catalyst-driven drop. ⛓️ Intermarket & Statistical Edge Further analysis of market correlations and forward-looking models reinforces the bearish bias. 🌐 Correlations: The positive correlation of AUD/USD with equities (SPY: +0.31) suggests that a strong USD report, which could pressure stocks, would create a direct headwind for the Aussie. 🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation: While the mean outcome is neutral, the model's 5th percentile for price is down at 0.6503 , highlighting the statistical risk of a significant downside move if the catalyst fires. ✅ The Trade Setup 📉 Bias: Bearish / Short 👉 Entry: Watch for a bearish reversal pattern on the 1H or 4H chart within the $0.6550 resistance zone. ⛔️ Stop Loss: A decisive daily close above the 0.6622 resistance level. 🎯 Target: 0.6458 (June low-day close). Good luck, and trade safe.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Heading into pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6587 1st Support: 0.6492 1st Resistance: 0.6634 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD - RBA Rate Cut and Tariff Deadline in FocusIn a week that is light on economic data and events, with a heavy emphasis towards what happens next once President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause ends on Wednesday (July 9th), the AUDUSD currency pair has more than most for traders to focus on. This is due to the fact the RBA, the Australian central bank, decides early Tuesday morning (0530 BST) whether to cut interest rates for the third time in a row from 3.85% to 3.6%, as is widely expected by markets, given that inflation has eased in recent months back into the RBA’s 2-3% target range. This announcement is closely followed by the RBA press conference (0630 BST), which could also be an important influence on the direction of AUDUSD depending on the comments Governor Bullock makes regarding future rate moves, economic growth and tariffs. In terms of trade tariffs, President Trump last week suggested that he is unlikely to extend the 90 day pause, although he has changed his mind before. He also indicated that letters are being sent to trading partners outlining tariffs of between 10-70% on imports depending on whether he believes the country has been negotiating in good faith or not. These new tariffs are due to go into force on August 1st, so there is potentially still time for more twists and turns in this story and AUDUSD volatility may well increase across the trading week ahead as it plays out. AUDUSD touched an 8 month high at 0.6590 last Tuesday (July 1st) before running into a wall of profit taking and eventually closing the week at 0.6550. Given the risk events facing traders that were just outlined above, this type of price action may not be that surprising. Looking at how this week has started for AUDUSD, early trading in Asia has seen fresh selling to potential support around 0.6500 (see technical update below), which at the time of writing (0730 BST), is still holding, although bounces have so far been limited. Technical Update: Preparing For The Week Ahead With potential for a rate cut in Australia and concerns over tariff news this week, it perhaps isn’t too much of a surprise AUDUSD price corrections are materialising as a reaction to recent strength. While this decline may continue over the short term, traders are perhaps more focused on the potentially positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows that have materialised since April 9th 2025, which the chart below shows. Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern will continue over coming sessions but being aware of support and resistance levels that may hold or exaggerate future price moves may be useful to know in advance. Potential Support Levels: After price strength, especially if new recovery highs within an uptrend pattern have been posted, it may prove to be Fibonacci retracement levels that act as support to any future price weakness. Calculating these on the period of price strength seen between May 12th up to the July 1st high, the 38.2% retracement level stands at 0.6501. With the current setback now moving towards 0.6501 this morning, traders may be watching how this potential support level performs on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks lower might lead to a more extended phase of weakness that could prompt tests of 0.6473, the 50% retracement, even 0.6446, the deeper 62% retracement level. Potential Resistance Levels: Having seen new highs recently posted, which was the highest AUDUSD trade since mid-November 2024 (see the chart below), we can look at the weekly perspective to establish the next possible resistance levels. As the chart shows, the latest AUDUSD activity has recently tested weekly resistance at 0.6550, which is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of September 2024 to April 2025 weakness. It should be noted, in a similar way to last week, that it is possible AUDUSD may see trading activity above this 0.6550 resistance, but as we are using a weekly timeframe, it is this upcoming Friday's weekly close above this level that is required to suggest possibilities of a successful upside closing break. Much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but weekly closes above 0.6550 if seen, may lead to further price strength towards 0.6688, the November 2024 high. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
AUDUSD holds bullish structureAUDUSD is currently trading around 0.6576, maintaining a clear uptrend with higher lows and strong respect for the ascending trendline. A consolidation pattern is forming just below the key resistance zone at 0.6600–0.6617, suggesting a potential breakout if price stays above the support at 0.6546. On the news front, the Australian dollar is supported by expectations that the RBA will keep interest rates high, while the USD is under slight pressure following weaker U.S. job data this week. Additionally, improving consumer data from China – Australia’s major trading partner – is further boosting AUD sentiment. If the price breaks above 0.6617, AUDUSD could extend its rally into next week. Buyers are in control – have you planned your entry yet?
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2