Downloading...
Download

U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSDOverall bearish market structure in the higher time frames - High wicks exhausting the buyers ( sellers stepping in? ) - RSI crossing over ( potential for a market direction change ) - Testing Supply zone but failing to break through - Tested Major Fib levels and currently consolidation and unable to break through - Currently in the 30 minute time frame is this the retracement to then fall towards the downsides - Stop Loss is placed from the ATR number which was 32. - Take Profit at next demand zone Any questions or wanting to follow more of my trades, don't hesitate to drop me a message
Short
by BNAFX
Surprise halt by the RBA. A positive for the AUD.After a surprise halt by the RBA, where the Bank kept the cash rate unchanged, MARKETSCOM:AUDUSD reversed sharply higher. Where it may go next? Let's dig in. FX_IDC:AUDUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
AUDUSD Today July 8th 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point cut in the official cash rate, lowering it from 3.85% to 3.60%. This would be the third rate cut in 2025, reflecting easing inflation and a slowing economy. Key Details for July 8, 2025: 2:30 AM WAT: Release of NAB Business Confidence data for Australia. 5:30 AM WAT: Announcement of the RBA Cash Rate decision, expected to be cut to 3.60% from 3.85%. Release of the RBA Rate Statement, outlining the rationale behind the decision. RBA Press Conference follows, providing further insights and answering questions. Market Expectations and Impact: Major banks including Westpac, Commonwealth Bank, NAB, and ANZ unanimously forecast this 25 bps cut due to softer inflation and subdued economic growth. The rate cut is expected to ease borrowing costs, potentially saving mortgage holders . The RBA aims to balance supporting growth while maintaining inflation within its 2–3% target band. Summary Timeline (WAT) Time Event Expected Outcome 2:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Indicator of business sentiment 5:30 AM RBA Cash Rate Announcement Cut from 3.85% to 3.60% 5:30 AM RBA Rate Statement Explanation of decision 5:30 AM RBA Press Conference Q&A and further guidance This rate cut is part of a broader easing cycle, with markets pricing in multiple cuts through the rest of 2025 as inflation remains manageable but economic growth slows. 2. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Has been falling in 2025 alongside expectations of RBA rate cuts, AU10Y=4.232% OCR=3.85% TO TRIM IT TO 3.60% TODAY. US10Y=4.383% USD IRT=4.25%-4.5% 3. Interest Rates Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate: Recently cut from 3.85% to 3.60% in July 2025, with expectations of further easing (potentially down to ~3.6% by year-end). US Federal Reserve Rate: Held steady at 4.25%–4.50% as of mid-2025, with a slower pace of cuts compared to Australia. 4. Interest Rate Differential and Impact on AUD/USD The interest rate differential (US rate minus Australian rate) currently favors the US by approximately 0.65–0.9 percentage points (Fed rate ~4.25–4.50% vs. RBA ~3.60%). This narrowing differential from earlier wider gaps has weighed on the AUD, as higher US rates attract capital flows, supporting the USD. However, the recent RBA rate cuts and easing inflation in Australia have softened the differential, giving some support to the AUD. Other factors influencing AUD/USD include US tariffs, China’s economic outlook (as Australia’s key trading partner), and global risk sentiment. The AUD/USD is expected to remain sensitive to the interest rate differential and central bank policies. Further RBA cuts could weaken the AUD if the US Fed maintains higher rates. Conversely, any signs of US rate cuts or easing trade tensions could boost the AUD. Inflation trends, China’s economic health, and geopolitical factors will also play key roles. In essence: The interest rate differential between the US and Australia currently favors the US, supporting the USD over the AUD, but recent RBA easing and falling Australian bond yields have narrowed this gap, providing some support to the AUD/USD pair . Traders closely watch upcoming economic data and central bank decisions for direction. #AUDUSD #RBA #FEDS #BONDS #AU10Y #US10Y
Short
by Shavyfxhub
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 7 - 11 JulyMarket Insights: RBA Cut in Focus, UK GDP Weakens, Canada Jobs, FOMC Clues, Tariff Deadline From rate decisions to rising unemployment and tariff deadlines, this week’s macro landscape is shaped by evolving dynamics and shifting momentum. If you’re trading FX, commodities, or indices — this is a moment to pay close attention. In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s biggest events: — RBA Interest Rate Decision — UK GDP Growth Rate — Unemployment Rate in Canada — FOMC Minutes — Tariff Deadline Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUD/USD30 Mins Frame 🧠 Technical Overview: The pair is moving in a clear downtrend, as confirmed by the descending trendline connecting multiple lower highs. Every bullish attempt has been rejected at this trendline, showing strong seller pressure. 🧩 Key Technical Elements: 1. Downtrend Line: Accurately drawn across descending highs. Price has tested and rejected from this line multiple times, confirming its strength as a dynamic resistance. 2. Supply Zone: Highlighted in red between 0.6565 and 0.6575. Price entered this zone and was immediately rejected, reinforcing bearish sentiment. 3. Entry Point: Sell at 0.6560, after price failed to break above both the supply zone and trendline resistance. 4. Stop Loss: 0.65850, placed just above the supply zone and the previous high — a safe level to exit if the setup fails. 5. Target Levels: First Target: 0.65365 – a minor support level and reasonable short-term target. Major Target: 0.65157 – a stronger previous support and potential reversal point. 📉 Expected Price Action: As long as the price stays below the trendline and supply zone, further downside is expected. The most recent price action shows a false breakout above resistance followed by a sharp drop, typical behavior in a downtrend. 🔥 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): First Target: Risk: 0.65850 – 0.6560 = 25 pips Reward: 0.6560 – 0.65365 = 23.5 pips → R:R ≈ 1:1 Major Target: Reward: 0.6560 – 0.65157 = 44.3 pips → R:R ≈ 1.8:1 ✅ Solid R:R ratio especially toward the major target. ✅ Conclusion: This is a technically sound short setup in line with the dominant downtrend. The rejection from both the supply zone and trendline strengthens the bearish case. Suitable for short- to medium-term traders, with clearly defined risk management.
Short
by IbrahimTarek
3
AUDUSD • Premium Supply Zone (Resistance): • Price is projected to revisit the supply zone between 0.65650–0.65800, which previously led to strong bearish displacement. • This zone is likely to attract institutional sell orders. • Current Price Structure: • Market is retracing upward within a bearish internal structure. • Expectation: A “lower high” formation before a continuation to the downside. • Sell Setup Projection: • Price likely to induce buyers near the mid-range before sweeping them and shifting bearish. • Anticipated move: Price into premium zone → rejection → continuation toward 0.64700 demand area (gray box). • Liquidity Engineering: • Potential internal liquidity being built up to fuel a deeper drop. • Smart money may use this retracement to trap breakout traders before driving price down. ⸻ 🧠 Smart Money Narrative: 1. Retracement into premium for better risk-to-reward shorts. 2. Inducement of breakout buyers before reversal. 3. Short continuation toward demand zone and potential liquidity pockets below. 4. Strategic zone to watch: 0.65700 area for high-probability shorts
Short
by RayForexlyfe
AUDUSD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25📊AUDUSD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT 📊
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUD/USD 2H – Price Action Buy SetupAfter a strong bullish push, price pulled back into a previous demand zone near 0.65000, where buyers had clearly stepped in before. The previous resistance around 0.6510 was broken and now appears to be acting as support — a classic sign of a break and retest. The current bullish rejection candle near the zone confirms buying interest. ✅ Entry: Around 0.6500 ❌ Stop Loss: Below the recent low / demand zone (~0.6485) 🎯 Take Profit: 0.6550 and 0.6567 (previous swing high Price is now forming higher lows and pushing upward — watching for continuation toward the next resistance. #AUDUSD #PriceAction #BreakAndRetest #ForexSetup #SupportResistance #TrendContinuation #ForexAnalysis
by maswifelix1999
AUDUSD(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6506 Support and resistance levels: 0.6572 0.6547 0.6531 0.6481 0.6466 0.6441 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6531, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6547 If the price breaks through 0.6506, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6481
Long
by NicolaZhu
AUDUSD – bullish momentum returns, ready for a breakout?AUDUSD is showing clear strength after rebounding from a key support zone. The bullish structure remains intact with a series of higher lows, and the ascending trendline continues to hold. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy retracement before the market gathers momentum for the next leg up. On the news front, the pair is supported by strong Australian employment data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady. This has slightly weakened the US dollar, giving AUD room to recover. If buying pressure holds, AUDUSD could break through the overhead resistance and enter a new bullish phase. Now is the time for traders to watch price action closely and wait for a clear confirmation signal!
Long
by Rocky_trade_
AUD USD long to close out the week? With the S&P pushing new highs, the VIX below 17 and recent dovish comments from WALLER. I feel the stage could be set for a positive end to the week. The WALLER comments having moved the needle towards USD weakness into the weekend. I've left the JPY alone due to potentially strange movent ahead of weekend elections. The trade is a 20 pip stop loss with a 25 pip profit target. I've chosen the AUD to long because at the time of placing the trade, it's the currency that has momentum against the other currencies. It sounds simple but the risk to the trade is USD strength. If it's ongoing, I will close the trade before end of day to avoid weekend risk.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog