USDCAD: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD is going to retrace from a key daily resistance.
A bearish imbalance candle that the price formed after its test
during the Asian session provides a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
Goal - 1.3707
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USDCAD trade ideas
Remains Below 1.3700 Ahead of CPI Data from the US and CADUSD/CAD Remains Below 1.3700 Ahead of CPI Data from the US and Canada
USD/CAD continues to decline ahead of inflation data from both the US and Canada.
The US inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.7% year-over-year in June, up from 2.4% recorded in May.
Meanwhile, Canada’s CPI is forecasted to increase by 1.9% year-over-year in June, up from 1.7% in May.
USD/CAD is trading around 1.3690 during the European session on Tuesday, following two days of gains. The pair is declining as the US dollar (USD) continues to weaken ahead of the June CPI data from the US. The inflation figures will provide new insights into the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary outlook.
📉 Market Outlook for USD/CAD – Possible Drop on CPI Release
The USDCAD is still in a downtrend, and a sharp drop could occur with today’s CPI data release. Currently, there are two Buy Side Liquidity zones above and Sell Side Liquidity below, with the price balanced around the VPOC zone, which will soon decide the direction after the CPI announcement today.
Market liquidity still holds a FVG below, and with CPI data expected to favor USD, this could trigger a sharp drop towards this liquidity zone, possibly nearing CP OBS at 1.3600, followed by a potential rebound.
If price breaks CP zone, it may head toward a strong OB zone near 1.35xxx. Therefore, caution is advised when monitoring these OB zones.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 1.36000
SL: 1.35500
TP: 1.36500 → 1.37000 → 1.37500 → ????
💬 What are your thoughts on USD/CAD ahead of the CPI data release? Do you expect a strong bounce or a continued decline? Share your views and join the conversation below!
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USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.37200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.37200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Consolidates Gains
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3750 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.3775 resistance.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3715 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.3775 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3774 and recently declined below the 1.3750 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3735. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3774 swing high to the 1.3695 low. But the bulls are active near the 1.3700 level.
If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3735 level. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.3755 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level.
If there is an upside break above 1.3755, the pair could rise toward 1.3775. The next major resistance is near the 1.3800 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward 1.3880.
Immediate support is near the 1.3715 level and a key bullish trend line. The first major support is near 1.3675. A close below the 1.3675 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3650. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3620 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Potential bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.3690
1st Support: 1.3619
1st Resistance: 1.3856
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3742
1st Support: 1.3600
1st Resistance: 1.3792
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
uptrendIt is expected that after some fluctuation and correction, the upward trend will continue. A break and consolidation above the resistance trend line will be a confirmation of the upward trend.
Otherwise, a continuation of the downward trend with a break of the green support range will be possible.
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3742
1st Support: 1.3600
1st Resistance: 1.3792
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3681
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3645
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3782
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD is showing signs of bullish recovery✏️ OANDA:USDCAD has broken the Trendline structure to form a corrective uptrend. The price is still above the 20 SMA, indicating that the market's bullish momentum is still strong. The bullish wave may extend to 1.385. Pay attention to the reaction at the 1.375 liquidity candle wick zone for a positive DCA strategy.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 1.365
Resistance: 1.375-1.385
BUY Now: 1.365 (Strong support zone)
BUY Trigger: break and close above 1.375
Target: 1.385
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Heading into pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3782
1st Support: 1.3673
1st Resistance: 1.3858
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD / U.S. Dollar – Canadian Dollar (4H) – ABC Bearish PatterUSDCAD / U.S. Dollar – Canadian Dollar (4H) – ABC Bearish Pattern Completion at PCZ
Pattern Overview:
Pattern Type: ABC Bearish (Potential Reversal)
Asset: USDCAD
Timeframe: 4H
Trade Type: Short Bias – Rejection observed near PCZ zone
🔎 Key Levels
XA: 1.37880 → 1.35574
AB: 1.35574 → 1.37742
BC: Completed right into the PCZ, aligning with 127.2% and 161.8% projection zones
Rejection confirmed below 1.3774, entering pullback
📐 Fibonacci Extensions & Key Ratios
127.2% Projection: 1.37368
161.8% Extension: 1.37855
Retracement Target Zone (PCZ/Support):
50.0% = 1.36842
61.8% = 1.36629
💡 Price Action & Setup
The price has completed a textbook ABC structure into a confluence projection zone (PCZ), showing signs of exhaustion at 1.3774. This area aligns with a previous swing high and fib confluence, now acting as resistance.
The first leg of the pullback is underway, and momentum is favoring a deeper move toward the 1.3680 – 1.3660 PCZ, which aligns with key fibs and 200 SMA support.
🧠 Market Sentiment
DXY consolidating near highs – potential exhaustion
Crude oil stabilizing supports CAD
CAD correlation is enhancing bearish weight on this pair post-ABC
📊 Next Potential Movement
Targeting the 1.3680–1.3660 support cluster
If PCZ fails to hold on any retest → potential continuation down toward 1.3600 swing
Resistance to watch: 1.3737–1.3750 (any candle close above this weakens setup)
🛡 Risk Management
Short entries from the 1.3760–1.3770 area are valid
Stop-loss ideally above 1.3790 (beyond 161.8%)
Scaling out near 1.3680 and 1.3660, both technical targets and 200 SMA confluence
📌 Conclusion
Price completed a high-probability ABC Bearish structure and is now reacting from a strong confluence zone. While confirmation is still unfolding, momentum favors downside, and all eyes are on the next leg toward the PCZ support range.
“Bearish patterns are warnings, not guarantees. But confluence zones give them authority.”
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance at lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3706
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3746
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 1.3653
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Tricky USDCAD . let the market decide - we follow Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3753
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3796
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3709
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD 4H Bearish SetupThe USDCAD chart shows a clear bearish breakdown from the ascending channel. Price has broken below support near 1.3720, confirming a shift in structure.
Key Analysis:
Bearish Momentum: Break below the channel and current market structure signals downside pressure.
Immediate Resistance: 1.3725–1.3745 zone (yellow area) where price previously rejected.
Support Levels:
1.3639 / 1.3638: Short-term support — possible temporary bounce area.
1.3560: Main target — previous demand zone.
Trade Idea:
Sell below 1.3720
TP1: 1.3639
TP2: 1.3560
SL: Above 1.3750 (above resistance zone)
Summary:
Bias remains bearish as long as the price stays below 1.3725–1.3750 resistance zone. Confirmation of further downside expected on break below 1.3638.
Let me know if you want this as a signal format or turned into an image.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3644
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3781
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD bearish view
OANDA:USDCAD again on this pair, first analysis accurate, in new look having bearish view, price in PA moving, still we having nice structure, price is now come back in channel, looks like breaking first channel, which will take for confirmation and sign for bearish expectations.
SUP zone: 1.37400
RES zone: 1.36400, 1.36100
USD/CAD) strong bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar vs Canadian Dollar) on the daily timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the trade
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Breakout from Descending Channel:
Price has broken out above a descending trend channel (marked with black lines).
This breakout suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a bullish correction phase.
2. Key Support Zone (Yellow Box):
The yellow zone marked as “support level” was a strong consolidation area.
Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, forming a solid base for further upside.
3. Bullish Price Action:
Price has closed above the previous resistance (now support), signaling bullish intent.
Current candle structure confirms strength with bullish continuation patterns.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 56.38, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought.
Suggests there is room for further upside before exhaustion.
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Target Levels:
Target Point 1: 1.37968 (near-term resistance)
Target Point 2: 1.38615 (intermediate target)
Target Point 3: 1.39064–1.39090 (longer-term resistance near the 200 EMA)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Break and retest of the yellow support area (~1.368–1.371)
Target Zone: 1.379 – 1.390
Invalidation: Break below the yellow support zone
Confluence: RSI strength + breakout of downtrend channel + structural support
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)