USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
📈 Risk Management Principles
🔑 Core Execution Rules
Max 1% risk per trade — protect your capital, preserve your edge
Set alerts — let price come to your levels, not the other way around
Minimum 1:2 RR — if the reward doesn’t justify the risk, it’s not worth it
Focus on process, not outcomes — the outcome is random, your process is not
🧠 Remember: The edge lies in execution, not prediction. Your strategy is only as good as your discipline to follow it.
🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day
"The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency."
Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking.
🏁 Final Words from FRGNT
📌 USDCAD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation are all in place.
📌 The opportunity is there — now it’s about how you show up to execute.
🎯 Trade with clarity. Act with conviction. Manage with precision.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD oversold consolidation, resistance at 1.3760The USDCAD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the previous resistance zone, suggesting a temporary sideways consolidation within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 1.3760, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 1.3760 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.3670, followed by 1.3650 and 1.3620 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.3760 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.3785, then 1.3800.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 1.3760 Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/CAD H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/CAD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3724 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3660 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3781 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN)
💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!
"Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!"
🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics):
Entry Zone (Pullback Heist):
📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest!
📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum!
"Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!"
🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades).
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size!
🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING:
"Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!"
📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers):
Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment).
Overbought but institutional demand holding strong.
"Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!"
⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT:
News = Volatility = Police Ambush!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
"Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!"
🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
4 HOUR CONFIRMATION- USDCAD ENTRY UPDATEPrice tapped in our Weekly Demand ideal 👌 for long buys.
Previously i anticipated a trend shift H4 as guide , cmp price just break our int previous high meaning change a in trend as we anticipated
Now waiting for price to drop to our int demand then we rise or the breaker block can hold - major reactions
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I Targe 50% CLSYo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
USD/CAD) Down Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on a potential double-top formation at strong resistance, followed by a drop toward support:
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Analysis Overview
Trend Structure: Downward-sloping channel with lower highs and lower lows.
Confluence Area: The current rally is approaching both the upper channel boundary and a significant horizontal resistance zone (~1.3660–1.3700).
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Key Technical Elements
1. Resistance & Double-Top Setup
The price nears the resistance zone (yellow) where it previously reversed (noted by red arrows).
A cap-and-float pattern (double/top-like structure) is projected: price pushes higher, hesitates, tests resistance again, then fails—a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
2. EMA 200 Interaction
The 1-hour EMA 200 (blue line at ~1.3635) sits just below current price.
A failure to sustain above this level reinforces the bearish case.
3. RSI Overextension
RSI (14) is around 64–69, indicating near-overbought conditions on this timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback.
4. Price Targets
Initial target: Lower channel boundary near 1.3556 (highlighted support).
Extended target: Beneath to 1.3540, aligning with the broader Demand zone.
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Proposed Trade Setup
Step Action Level
Entry Short near top of resistance/channel (after double-top confirmation) 1.3680–1.3700
Stop-Loss Above recent high and channel resistance ~1.3720
Take Profit 1 Near EMA 200/lower channel bounce ~1.3556
Take Profit 2 Extended move to demand zone ~1.3540
Estimated Move ~1.15% drop from midday highs –
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Risk & Event Factors
Scheduled Canadian or U.S. data releases (icons shown) could introduce volatility and disrupt technical patterns.
A breakout above ~1.3720 would invalidate this bearish thesis and shift bias bullish.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Expecting a cap-and-float double-top formation at key resistance near 1.3660–1.3700, followed by a trend continuation drop toward 1.3556–1.3540. The bearish setup is supported by a down-channel structure, EMA 200 failure, and overbought RSI conditions.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USD/CAD(20250718)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Kugler: It is appropriate to keep the interest rate policy stable for "a while".
② Daly: Whether to cut interest rates in July or September is not the most critical.
③ Bostic: It may be difficult to cut interest rates in the short term.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3735
Support and resistance levels:
1.3827
1.3792
1.3770
1.3700
1.3678
1.3644
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 1.3770, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.3792
If it breaks through 1.3735, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.3700
USDCAD bearish view
OANDA:USDCAD again on this pair, first analysis accurate, in new look having bearish view, price in PA moving, still we having nice structure, price is now come back in channel, looks like breaking first channel, which will take for confirmation and sign for bearish expectations.
SUP zone: 1.37400
RES zone: 1.36400, 1.36100
USDCAD is breaking the trendline againOnce again, FX_IDC:USDCAD is breaking its medium-term downside resistance line, drawn from the current highest point of this year. If the rate remains above it, we may see a few more bulls stepping in. Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Bullish rise?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3660
Why we like it:
There is a a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3780
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US Dollar Strengthens Following Trump’s Tariff DecisionUS Dollar Strengthens Following Trump’s Tariff Decision
US President Donald Trump has announced his decision to impose new tariffs:
→ For Canada, tariffs are set at 35%. They are scheduled to take effect on 1 August, although negotiations may take place before this date, potentially influencing Trump’s final stance.
→ For many other countries, tariffs may be set at 15% or 20%;
→ For the European Union, the exact tariff levels have not yet been disclosed.
Overall, Trump’s latest comments have added to the uncertainty surrounding the specific tariffs to be applied to each country. The financial markets reacted as follows:
→ The US dollar strengthened against other currencies (including the Canadian dollar);
→ Equity markets saw a modest decline.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart
As soon as the announcement of a 35% tariff on Canadian imports to the US was made public, the USD/CAD rate spiked sharply (as indicated by the arrow), reaching levels last seen at the end of June. In the hours that followed, the pair stabilised.
Taking a broader view, the chart appears to show a triangular formation, which consists of:
→ A descending resistance line (R);
→ A key support level (S) around 1.3570.
From this perspective, it is worth noting that the bulls’ attempt to break above the resistance line amid the 35% tariff news did not succeed, indicating strong selling pressure.
At the same time, the price action of USD/CAD in early July allows us to identify a local support level (marked by the blue line). This suggests that, for now, the pair is consolidating within a formation bounded by the blue support line and resistance line R.
However, how long this consolidation will last, and which direction the breakout will take, will most likely depend on the next round of news regarding US–Canada trade negotiations.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCAD's Opportunity Bell Is Ringing — Don’t Miss Out!Hey there, my valued friends!
I’ve prepared a fresh USDCAD analysis just for you.
📌 If the 1.37245 level breaks, the next target will be 1.38000.
Every single like you send my way is the biggest motivation behind sharing these analyses.
🙌 Huge thanks to each and every one of you who supports me!
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