USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
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Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
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📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
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🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD upside target 1.3960On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD stabilized and moved upward, with bulls taking the upper hand. The current market has formed a potential double bottom pattern. In the short term, attention can be paid to the resistance near 1.380. A breakthrough will hopefully continue to move higher, with the upward target around 1.3960. When the price reaches 1.3960, attention can be paid to the bearish bat pattern.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3740
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.3688
1st Support: 1.3599
1st Resistance: 1.3743
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3704
1st Support: 1.3645
1st Resistance: 1.3741
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36900 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3639
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish Reversal Zone Approaching🔹 Pair: USDCAD
🔹 Timeframe: H4
🔹 Price: 1.36806
🔹 Bias: Short/SELL Setup Pending
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💡 Analysis Summary:
USDCAD is approaching a major resistance zone aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bearish leg.
Structure shows a clear ABC corrective pattern with signs of exhaustion at current levels.
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📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: 1.3720–1.3740 (Potential Reversal Zone)
🔻 Target Zone: 1.3450–1.3500
🔓 Invalidation Above: 1.3760
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📉 Plan:
Watch for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top, divergence) at resistance before entry.
High RR setup expected if price rejects near 1.3740.
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🔁 Wait. Confirm. Execute.
🧠 Trade smart, not fast.
📊 More updates coming daily.
USDCAD oversold rally The USDCAD currency pair remains in a bearish technical structure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating indecision as the pair pauses before its next directional move.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance:
1.3700 – Key pivot zone; previously acted as intraday resistance.
1.3740 – Minor resistance.
1.3790 – Stronger resistance zone and potential reversal point.
Support:
1.3566 – Initial downside target on renewed selling pressure.
1.3544 – Intermediate support.
1.3520 – Long-term support and potential demand zone.
Scenario Analysis:
Bearish Case (Favored):
Price is consolidating below the key 1.3700 level. A failure to break above this resistance could trigger a renewed move lower. A bearish rejection from this level may open the path toward 1.3566, then 1.3544 and 1.3520 over a longer timeframe.
Bullish Case (Alternative):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 1.3700 would invalidate the current bearish setup. This could shift sentiment to bullish and trigger a move toward the next resistance zones at 1.3740 and 1.3790.
Conclusion:
The technical bias for USDCAD remains bearish while price trades below the 1.3700 resistance zone. Traders should watch for a rejection from this level to confirm further downside potential. However, a sustained break above 1.3700 would neutralize the bearish setup and suggest scope for a short-term bullish reversal.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has just completed a clean falling wedge breakout—a classic bullish reversal pattern often signaling trend exhaustion. After months of consistent lower highs and lower lows within a well-defined wedge, price has now broken decisively above the descending resistance. The current price sits around 1.367, and we are confidently targeting the 1.407 level in the coming weeks. This breakout aligns perfectly with the seasonal USD strength historically seen in Q3, especially following soft Canadian economic data.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is facing downside pressure amid falling crude oil prices and softening domestic data. Canada’s most recent GDP growth came in below expectations, raising concerns around economic resilience. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is expected to remain dovish with growing speculation of another rate cut in the next quarter. In contrast, the US dollar has been gaining traction following stronger-than-expected ISM services data and a better-than-anticipated ADP employment report, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance on interest rates.
Technically, the breakout is further supported by increasing bullish momentum and a break of market structure on lower timeframes. We’re seeing volume confirmation with this push, adding conviction that buyers are stepping in with strength. The risk-to-reward ratio remains highly favorable here, and any pullback into the 1.36 zone would provide an excellent re-entry opportunity for continuation.
With sentiment shifting in favor of USD bulls and oil-related weakness dragging CAD, USDCAD looks primed for a rally. The 1.407 target aligns with both key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections from the breakout structure. Momentum is with the bulls, and this setup has the potential to deliver solid profits as we head deeper into Q3.
US
USDCAD obeying Elliott Wave Principles.Our D1 chart is a continuation of a wave that started earlier and had a Flat correction for its Wave 2(Red), hence a Zigzag should be expected for our Wave 4(Red). When Wave 3(Red) completes, an aggressive selling move is triggered this is our Wave A(Black). A correction of this move occurs in the form of a Flat and this is now our Wave B(Black) of the major Zigzag correction that started when Wave 3(Red) completed. When Wave B(Black) is done, we should expect a Wave C(Black) to complete the Zigzag. Our Wave C(Black) unfolds in a 5 wave move and this is very normal. This 5 wave move is marked in Green. When Wave 1(Green) completes, our Wave 2(Green) unfolds in a Flat correction, meaning our Wave 4(Green) should be a Zigzag correction. After Wave 2(Green) completes, Wave 3(Green) is a strong downward move that reaches the 261.8% Fib. level. On reaching this level, we see a retest and a confirmation occurring. This is is to signal the end of Wave 3(Green) and the start of Wave 4(Green). As mentioned earlier, we should expect a Zigzag correction for Wave (Green) and we can see a shallow pullback and retest. The pullback is our first wave of the three wave Zigzag and is marked as Wave A(Blue). The retest as noted, does not go beyond Wave 3(Green) and this confirms it is a Zigzag. This retest is marked as Wave B(Blue). Next would be a Wave C(Blue) to complete Wave 4(Green). A retest and confirmation gives us an entry for the Wave C(Blue) which is also Wave 4(Green).
USD /CAD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, suggesting that the price is likely to drop toward the support zone. Here's the detailed idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H – USD/CAD)
1. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box - Top):
Marked as a strong supply area where price has repeatedly been rejected (highlighted by red arrows).
Acts as a key zone where sellers are in control.
Also aligns with a descending trendline, reinforcing bearish pressure.
2. Support Zone (Yellow Box - Bottom):
This is the target point marked at 1.35387, which previously served as a demand zone.
The chart suggests this level as the next significant area where price might find buyers.
3. Trend Context:
Price is moving within a descending channel (black trendlines), confirming the overall downtrend.
The 200 EMA (1.36834) is acting as dynamic resistance, keeping price under pressure.
4. Projected Move (Blue Box):
Shows a potential drop of ~91 pips toward the support level.
A bearish wave is anticipated as per the black zigzag line on the chart.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near neutral (49.02 and 49.70) — suggesting no overbought/oversold conditions, but confirming lack of bullish momentum.
RSI is aligned with price trending down.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near current price or minor pullback (1.364–1.365)
Target: 1.35387 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and close above resistance level / 200 EMA (~1.3685)
Trend: Downtrend within channel
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Bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3570
1st Support: 1.3435
1st Resistance: 1.3732
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3656
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD Entering Bullish Trend on 2-Hour Chart – Key LevelsUSDCAD Entering Bullish Trend on 2-Hour Chart – Key Levels and Analysis
The USDCAD pair is showing early signs of a potential bullish trend reversal on the 2-hour chart, as price action has formed a Higher High, indicating a shift in market structure. This pattern suggests that buyers are gradually gaining control, which could lead to further upside momentum if the trend continues. However, in the short term, the pair may still experience some bearish pressure before confirming a full bullish breakout.
Current Market Structure and Bullish Indications
- The formation of a Higher High signals that the downtrend may be weakening, and buyers are stepping in at higher levels.
- If the price holds above recent swing lows, it could confirm the beginning of a new uptrend phase.
- However, traders should remain cautious, as a temporary pullback or consolidation is possible before a sustained upward move.
Key Support Level: 1.35500
On the downside, 1.35500 is a critical support zone. This level has previously acted as both resistance and support, making it a strong area for buyers to defend.
- Bullish Scenario: If the price bounces from 1.35500, it could reinforce the bullish outlook and provide a base for further upward movement.
- Bearish Risk: A decisive break below this level could delay the bullish reversal and lead to a deeper retracement toward 1.35000 or lower.
Upside Targets: 1.37450 & 1.38000
If the bullish momentum strengthens, the next key resistance levels to watch are:
1. 1.37450 – A break above this level could accelerate buying interest.
2. 1.38000 – A major psychological and technical resistance zone where profit-taking may occur.
Short-Term Bearish Possibility Before Bullish Continuation
Despite the bullish signals, the pair may still face short-term bearish pressure due to:
- Profit-taking near resistance levels.
- Potential USD weakness or CAD strength in upcoming sessions.
- Market consolidation before the next directional move.
Trading Strategy & Key Takeaways
- Confirmation Needed: Wait for a strong close above recent highs to confirm the bullish trend.
- Support Watch: A hold above 1.35500 keeps the bullish structure intact.
- Targets: If bullish momentum continues, 1.37450 and 1.38000 are the next key objectives.
- Risk Management: A break below 1.35500 could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a reassessment of the trend.
Conclusion
The USDCAD is showing early signs of a bullish reversal on the 2-hour chart, but traders should remain cautious of short-term bearish retracements. The critical levels to watch are 1.35500 (support) and 1.37450–1.38000 (resistance targets). A confirmed breakout above resistance could signal a stronger bullish trend, while a breakdown below support may extend the correction phase. Proper risk management and confirmation through price action will be essential for successful trading in this scenario.
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
USDCAD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USDCAD
Entry Point - 1.3688
Stop Loss - 1.3717
Take Profit - 1.3634
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCAD Holds Rebound Above 1.36In parallel with the DXY’s rebound from the 96-level, USDCAD has bounced from its 1.35 support zone, coming off oversold conditions last seen in 2021. The pair is also respecting a breakout from the 2025 contracting downtrend pattern.
Key upside levels for the ongoing correction are 1.3830, 1.3860, and 1.40 — aligning with a significant support/resistance zone established in October 2022. However, if 1.36 and 1.3520 are breached to the downside, the bearish trend could resume, with downside levels at 1.34 and 1.32 in focus.
- Written by Razan Hilal, CMT