Shorting opportunity on CADFor the safe SL & Higher probability wait for the retracement entry on 15m
Trade at your own risk
USDCAD trade ideas
A Return to 1:1?As spending heats up considerably with the 5 Trillion USD bill, in my opinion it looks like CAD is set to skyrocket vs the USD once again.
The main driving factors include greater industrialization (worlds biggest nuclear plant, more gold/platinum production than the USA, bigger oil reserves than USA), comparatively less spending, less tariffs, expanding to other countries via exports, and the most untapped resources/land with lowest population of any developed nation in the world.
Personally, for the next 10 years I'll be heavily focusing on Canadian companies if the CAD breaks the trend line
USDCADThe US tariffs have had a mixed but generally weakening effect on the Canadian dollar (CAD) , influencing the USD/CAD exchange rate
Current Exchange Rate Context
As of July 11, 2025, the USD/CAD rate is around 1.37-1.3698 , with the US dollar strengthening and the Canadian dollar weakening about 0.7% over the past month.
Impact of US Tariffs on CAD Strength
Trade Exposure:
Canada is highly integrated with the US economy, with over 70% of Canadian exports going to the US. Tariffs on Canadian goods or retaliatory tariffs can reduce trade volumes and economic growth in Canada, weakening the CAD.
Market Sentiment and Risk:
Tariff uncertainties create volatility and risk aversion, often benefiting the safe-haven USD at the expense of commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
Commodity Prices:
Tariffs can disrupt global supply chains and commodity demand. Since Canada is a major oil exporter, any negative impact on oil prices due to trade tensions tends to weaken the CAD.
Interest Rate and Economic Outlook:
Trade tensions may lead to cautious monetary policy by the Bank of Canada, limiting rate hikes or prompting cuts, which can reduce the interest rate differential versus the US and weigh on CAD
2. Interest Rates
Bank of Canada (BoC) Overnight Target Rate: 2.75% (held steady as of July 9, 2025).
Canadian government 10 year bond yield is 3.419%
US Federal Reserve Rate: Around 4.5% (market consensus for mid-2025).
United states government 10 year bond yield is 4.38%-4.4%
The interest rate differential between the US and Canada remains significant, favoring USD, which supports USD strength against CAD.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Generally higher than Canadian yields, around 4.38%–4.4% (market consensus), maintaining a yield advantage for USD assets.
4. Impact on USD/CAD
The higher US interest rates and bond yields relative to Canada make USD-denominated assets more attractive, contributing to the USD’s strength against CAD.
Conclusion
The US tariff policies in 2025 have contributed to a weaker Canadian dollar by increasing economic uncertainty, disrupting trade, and pressuring commodity prices. This has supported the US dollar’s recent strength against CAD, pushing the USD/CAD rate toward the higher .
#usdcad #cad #usd
WEEKLY CHEAT SHEET a short description of this months expectations from the fundamental aspect of things
USDCAD – July 10 OutlookUSDCAD’s high-risk, high-reward (HRHR) sells from Wednesday are still in play with price currently up 35 pips. Price action remains within the structure as we continue to respect the March trendline, but are now stalling in a tight 4H range.
📍 Key Observations:
1.36647 is acting as strong intraday support
Possible retest of yesterday’s or Wednesday’s high could provide another HRHR sell opportunity
Break below 1.36527 could open the door for a clean 70-pip move toward 1.35827
🔔 Summary: Patience is essential—watching for either another short-term rejection at resistance or a clean structural break to continue the broader bearish bias.
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.35750 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.35750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD SetupMy own opinion on USDCAD this week, we should see a push to the upside. Make your own research before entering the trade ☺️
USD/CAD carving out a bottom?The USD/CAD is poking its head above a bearish trend line that has been in place since mid-May, in one of the first signs that suggests we may have seen a low in the Loonie. As well as the trend line, the 21-day exponential is also now below price, further suggesting that the tide is turning.
Key levels
Support levels off this daily chart are seen around 1.3695 then 1.3617
Resistance seen around 1.3750 next, followed by the next round handles like 1.38, 1.39 etc.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Usdcad LongMe and my team caught the buy. Purely smc strategy… inducement, liquidity and oderblock for market execution
Why I’m Bullish on USD/CAD This Week | Forex Market OutlookIn this video, I break down a potential bullish setup on USD/CAD based purely on technical analysis using support and resistance zones on the 4H and Daily timeframes.
Key Highlights:
Strong price bounce off major support zone
Former resistance flipping into support
Bullish market structure with higher lows forming
My price target: 1.37400
Invalidation zone: 1.35334
USDCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCAD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3669
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3621
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD AnalysisPrice broke the descending trendline and is forming a base above the 1.36422 support zone. This may signal a bullish continuation targeting 1.36828 and 1.37093.
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 1.36215 cancels the idea.
This is a market idea, not a signal.
USDCAD Bullish RallyGet ready to buy USDCAD. Falling channel breakout and retest. Price should escalate after breaking below 1,36312. Aiming for 1,37 and 1,1376
$UC (USDCAD) 1H Liquidity has been swept. Supply has been met.
The price entered a previously established supply area (1.36950–1.36700) and showed early signs of rejection
The break of the short-term trendline coupled with price failing to hold above the highs could signal a shift in structure toward a bearish leg.
If the rejection confirms, price is likely to seek rebalancing at the FVG below (1.36200–1.36000 zone).
Uptrend The uptrend is expected to continue to the identified resistance levels. Then, based on the price behavior within this range, possible scenarios are identified.
DOWN TREND CONTINUES Price has been in a downward trend, now experiencing a pull back into a higher time frame POI!
A clear uptrend to a Quasimodo entry type zone! MISSED ME ON THAPrice has been in a downward trend for a while. The lower time frame is experiencing a correction that will pick orders from the higher time frame POI and continue its downward trajectory
HARMONICS XABCDHello awesome traders! 👑✨
Let’s kick off the week with a USD/CAD 4-Hour chart — spotting a high-probability Harmonic XABCD Bullish reversal to ride higher.
🧠 Setup Breakdown
Pattern Type: Harmonic XABCD Bullish
X → A: Uptrend from 1.35399 → 1.37981
A → B: Correction down to 1.36179
B → C: Bounce up to 1.37598
C → D: Final leg down into 1.35567 completes the pattern
PCZ: Exact D-point at 1.3555–1.3565 (XABCD harmonic PRZ)
✅ Why This Works
Classic XABCD symmetry with precise Fibonacci ratios
PRZ confluence at D gives us a tight entry zone
4-hour price action shows clear rejection off D
⚔️ Entry & Risk Management
Entry Zone: Long within 1.3555–1.3565 (PRZ/PCZ)
Stop-Loss: Below X at 1.3535, ~10–15 pips under D
Risk: ≤ 1–2 % of account per trade
🎯 Target Zones
Target Zone 1: 61.8 %–78.6 % retracement of X→D → 1.3717–1.3760
Target Zone 2: 100 % extension of X→D → 1.3816
🔍 Confirmation & Invalid
Candlestick Rejection: Watch for bullish pin-bar or engulfing at D
Structure Break: Close back above the C→D trendline adds conviction
Invalidation: A decisive close below 1.3535 (below X & PRZ) negates the setup
💡 Keep It Simple:
Pattern → Identify XABCD Bullish
PRZ/PCZ → Wait for D completion zone
Trigger → Bullish price action at D
Continuation → Ride the move into your Target Zones
🔔 Monitor CAD data releases and BoC commentary for catalysts.
Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead — stay disciplined, manage risk, and let structure lead, not emotions! 🚀
USD_CAD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅USD_CAD went down to retest
A horizontal support of 1.3560
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 1.3652
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
