USDCHF: H4 Bullish Order Flow Targeting Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of USDCHF, we observe that the H4 timeframe is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow. As a result, our directional bias is aligned with seeking buying opportunities that reflect this bullish momentum.
Market Context:
Higher Timeframe Objective:
The current draw on liquidity is aimed at a Weekly Fair Value Gap, which now serves as our primary upside target. Since the higher timeframe narrative is bullish, it’s essential that our intermediate timeframe—the H4—confirms this bias, which it does through consistent bullish structure.
Institutional Support Zone (H4):
As price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, it has now retraced into an H4 Fair Value Gap, functioning as an institutional support zone. Notably, this area has been retested multiple times, further reinforcing its strength and significance.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Monitor the lower timeframes for confirmation signals within the H4 Fair Value Gap. Look for bullish price action cues before executing buy orders.
Target:
The primary objective remains the Weekly Fair Value Gap, which represents a key area of institutional interest and a likely zone for price to be drawn into.
July 13, Forex Outlook : This Week’s Blueprint to Profit!
Stay patient, follow your confirmations, and align with the flow of smart money.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📊
USDCHF trade ideas
FX Wars Episode 6 - The return of the USDA simple idea, which I will gradually fill with life:
The USD returns and with it the claim to its FX throne.
Act 1:
📊🔮🇺🇲 US retail sales, which will be published today at 14:30, will be higher than consensus expectations.
🟡-> the US consumer is alive and well and will continue to keep the US economy afloat.
Further acts will follow ✅️
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price could fall toward our buy entry at 0.7985 which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 0.8039, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7938, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF is due for reboundThe USDCHF is showing some interesting signs that a rebound could be on the horizon. Looking at the weekly chart, it's clear that the pair has been under considerable selling pressure—it's not only dipped below the 20-period and 60-period EMAs, but it's also trading in territory that historically marks previous turning points. When USDCHF reaches these oversold levels, there's often a technical bounce as sellers run out of steam and bargain-hunters step in.
Another point worth highlighting is the Fibonacci retracement. The technicals suggest a key rebound target around the 0.8535 level, which aligns with the 50% retracement from the last major swing down. This area isn't just a mathematical target—it also coincides with previous congestion and resistance zones, making it a logical place for bulls to aim for. So, with prices oversold, historical patterns favoring a longer rebound, and a clear technical target overhead, the pieces are falling into place for a USDCHF recovery heading into the autumn months.
USDCHF downtrend capped by resistance at 0.8045The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8045, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8045 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8045 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8080, then 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8045. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
long-term bearish trendUSD/CHF is in a strong long-term bearish trend, and the recent move up is likely a temporary correction, not a reversal. Price is currently testing the 0.7980–0.8000 resistance zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of a descending channel and could attract sellers. Unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8050–0.8100, the bearish trend remains intact. A rejection in this area or a break below 0.7870 would confirm continuation to lower targets like 0.7790 and 0.7710. In short, it's a good setup to consider a sell, but wait for clear bearish confirmation.
USD/CHF: The Swiss Franc Continues to WeakenOver the past four trading sessions, the USD/CHF pair has appreciated by nearly 0.5%, as a new bullish bias has begun to consolidate on the daily chart. For now, buying pressure remains steady, supported by the recovery of the U.S. dollar, which started gaining strength shortly after it was revealed that the year-over-year CPI in the U.S. came in at 2.7%, above the 2.6% expected. This outcome may lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish tone, and if elevated interest rates persist, it’s likely that demand for the dollar will continue to strengthen in the short term.
Downtrend Still in Place
The recent bearish movements have kept the pair within a steady downward trend in the short term. However, a relevant bullish correction is now emerging, and if it continues, it could put the current bearish structure at risk. As price continues to test resistance levels, buying pressure may become increasingly relevant.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line is showing clear bullish behavior, with a sustained upward slope in the short term. It is currently approaching the neutral 50 level, and a breakout above that could signal bullish momentum dominance, reinforcing the current upward pressure.
MACD: The MACD histogram shows consistent bullish momentum, remaining above the neutral zero line. This suggests that moving average strength remains in bullish territory, and if the histogram continues to move away from the neutral axis, it could confirm stronger buying pressure in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
0.80812 – Immediate Resistance: This level aligns with the main descending trendline on the chart. Sustained movement above this zone could invalidate the current bearish structure and open the door to a more dominant bullish bias.
0.82980 – Distant Resistance: A zone that coincides with previous highs. If price consistently reaches this level, it could trigger the formation of a new bullish structure in the coming weeks.
0.79125 – Key Support: This level marks the recent weekly lows. A break below this zone could revive bearish momentum and potentially initiate a broader downward trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
All I see, is sell The 4-hour candlestick has decisively broken below the 50 MA, confirming bearish momentum. Moves like this typically trigger strong selling pressure. Combined with the overall bearish market structure and a key Fibonacci resistance level sitting neatly within our stop-loss zone, this setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward trade opportunity.
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Off the 50%Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 0.7951, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.7986, which is a multi-swing high resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7920, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF Outlook: Further Downside Expected Next WeekUSDCHF is likely to continue its bearish momentum in the coming week. Technical signals suggest that the pair could drop further, potentially heading toward the 0.779 support zone. Traders should monitor for confirmation signals before entering short positions.
USDCHF – Key Resistance TestUSDCHF is currently ranging after a strong downtrend, now testing the 0.79886 resistance level. Price is bouncing between this resistance and support at 0.79178, showing signs of indecision.
Support at: 0.79178 🔽
Resistance at: 0.79886 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Break and close above 0.79886 targets 0.80697 and possibly 0.81564.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection from 0.79886 and break below 0.79178 could resume the bearish trend.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
USDCHF: Long Signal Explained
USDCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDCHF
Entry - 0.7943
Sl - 0.7934
Tp - 0.7958
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Key Levels to Watch for USDCHFAfter losing the key 0.8350 level, USDCHF attempted a re-entry but failed to hold above it. The pair is now under renewed pressure, with the price falling below 0.80.
The Swiss franc remains strong against most currencies due to solid fundamentals. USDCHF's next possible targets are 0.7830 and 0.7460, both based on Fibonacci expansion levels.
For CHF bears, the key zone to watch is between 0.8050 and 0.8100. A recovery into this zone could serve as an early signal of potential upward movement in USDCHF. However, the critical level remains at 0.8350.