Bullish bounce off major support?EUR/ISD is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance,
Pivot: 1.1688
1st Support: 1.1548
1st Resistance: 1.1750
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDEUR trade ideas
Bullish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1684
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.1652
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1738
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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EURUSD Looking for a retest of potential SupportWe have seen more USD weakness since the ceasefire in the MIddle East as the threat of Global inflation caused by higher Oil prices lowers, raising hopes of future rate cutes by the FED
EURUSD has broken out cleanly from a previous resistance zone, and can act as support on any retests of the 1.1616-1.1636 zone
Stops would need to be below 1.1611
Targets to be around 1.1670-1.1685
EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) 2-hour chart analysis.EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) 2-hour chart analysis, here's the breakdown:
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📈 Chart Setup Observations:
The pair is showing a bullish breakout from a descending triangle or falling wedge pattern.
Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a potential shift to bullish momentum.
There are two clearly marked target points on your chart.
---
🎯 Target Levels:
1. Target Point 1 (TP1): Approximately 1.78000
2. Target Point 2 (TP2): Approximately 1.18300
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🔰 Support Zone / Potential Stop-Loss:
Around 1.17200, where recent consolidation and trendline support can be seen.
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✅ Summary:
If the bullish breakout holds and momentum continues, the pair could reach:
TP1: ~1.78000 (short-term target)
TP2: ~1.18300 (medium-term target)
A New Chapter Begins with EURUSD’s ABC Wave Formation!🎯 Hey Guys,
I’ve prepared a fresh EURUSD analysis for you.
The market has shifted direction, and an ABC wave structure has emerged.
I’ve placed a Buy Limit order based on my entry level.
Below, you’ll find my detailed target zones and entry specifics:
🟩 Buy Limit Order: 1.17197
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.16903
📌 Targets:
🔹 TP1: 1.17344
🔹 TP2: 1.17538
🔹 TP3: 1.17869
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.27
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
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#AN017: Dirty Levels in Forex: How Banks Think
In the world of Forex, many retail traders are accustomed to seeking surgical precision in technical levels. Clear lines, pinpoint support, geometric resistance. But the truth is that the market doesn't move in such an orderly fashion.
I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, and I thank my Official Broker Partner in advance for supporting us in writing this article.
Institutions—banks, macro funds, hedge funds—don't operate to confirm textbook patterns. Instead, they work to manipulate, accumulate, and distribute positions as efficiently as possible. And often, they do so precisely at the so-called "dirty levels."
But what are these dirty levels?
They are price zones, not individual lines. They are areas where many traders place stop losses, pending orders, or breakout entries, making them an ideal target for institutional players. The concept of a dirty level arises from the fact that the price fails to respect the "perfect" level, but breaks it slightly and then retraces its steps: a false breakout, a trap, a hunt for stops.
Banks are very familiar with the behavior of retail traders. They have access to much more extensive information: aggregated positioning data, open interest in options, key levels monitored by algorithms. When they see concentrations of orders around a zone, they design actual liquidity triggers. They push the price just beyond the key level to "clean" the market, generate panic or euphoria, and then initiate their actual trade.
How are these levels identified?
A trader who wants to operate like an institution must stop drawing sharp lines and start thinking in trading bands. A dirty level is, on average, a zone 10 to 15 pips wide, around a psychological level, a previous high/low, or a breakout area. But technical structure alone is not enough. It's important to observe:
Volume density (volume profile or book visibility)
Aggregate retail sentiment (to understand where stops are placed)
Key option levels (especially gamma and maximum pain)
Rising open interest (as confirmation of institutional interest)
When a price approaches a dirty level, you shouldn't enter. You should wait for manipulation. The price often briefly breaks above that range, with a spike, and only then does it retrace its steps in the opposite direction. That's when banks enter: when retail has unloaded its positions or been forced into trading too late. The truly expert trader enters after the level has been "cleaned," not before.
This type of reading leads you to trade in the opposite way to the crowd. It forces you to think ahead: where they want you to enter... and where they actually enter. And only when you begin to recognize these invisible patterns, when you understand that the market is not linear but designed to deceive you, do you truly begin to become a professional trader.
Conclusion?
Trading isn't about predicting the price, but predicting the intentions of those who actually move the market. Dirty levels are key. Those who know how to read manipulation can enter profitably, before the real acceleration. And from that moment, they'll never look back.
EURUSD – Smart Money Trap Setup in PlayPair: EURUSD
🔹 Timeframe: 30 Min
🔹 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup Expected)
🔹 Current Price: 1.17358
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💡 Market Breakdown:
The pair is approaching a premium zone (1.17381 – 1.17567) where smart money may induce liquidity grabs before a sharp sell-off.
The structure shows a clear Break of Structure (BoS) followed by a Change of Character (Choch) confirming bearish intention.
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📌 Key Zones:
🔵 Supply Zone: 1.17381 – 1.17567
🔺 Liquidity Sweep Zone (Fakeout Expected): 1.17400 – 1.17431
🔻 Target Zone 1: 1.17096
🔻 Target Zone 2: 1.16829
❌ Invalidation Above: 1.1760
---
🎯 Trade Plan:
Wait for price to tap into the red supply zone (1.174xx), then look for bearish confirmation like a strong rejection or engulfing candle.
Expect a fast drop after smart money traps buyers.
---
📌 Smart Money Concept Used:
🔹 Inducement → Entry → Expansion
🔹 BOS → CHoCH → Imbalance Fill
---
🧠 Remember:
"Price doesn’t move randomly — it’s engineered by intent."
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders.
Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
What is Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels & Zones in Forex
Dynamic supports and resistances play a crucial role in technical analysis.
Unlike classic supports and resistances, these zones change and adapt to a market price action in real time.
Learn what is dynamic support and resistance in Forex, Gold trading and how to find it easily.
Discover its main types and real market examples.
Let's start with the basics.
There are 2 major types of supports and resistances in technical analysis.
The first type is called static .
Such supports and resistances are fixed and don't change with time.
It should be strictly horizontal key levels or the zones.
Market price action and momentum beyond them do not affect these supports and resistances.
In the example above, you can find static supports and resistances on Gold. The market may return to one of those levels or the zones today, tomorrow or in a month, but it will not move.
In comparison to static supports and resistances, the dynamic ones shift with time. They constantly change and adjust as the time flies.
One of the obvious types of dynamic supports and resistances is a trend line.
Above is the example of a dynamic rising support based on trend line.
As the time goes, a support shifts and becomes higher and higher.
I found a great example of a dynamic resistance on Dollar Index.
Depending on the moment when the price tests that, the resistance will be on different levels.
The later the price tests the trend line, the lower is the resistance.
When newbie traders learn dynamic supports and resistances, they usually stop on trend lines.
But it is just a beginning.
Really significant dynamic supports are resistances will be the zones .
The areas based on static horizontal supports and resistances and trend lines.
Examine a price action on GBPCHF forex pair.
We have a static horizontal support area and a dynamic rising trend line.
Two supports intersect, composing a contracting dynamic support zone.
With time, it will become narrower, accumulating buy orders within.
On NZDCAD forex pair, I underlined a contracting dynamic resistance zone that is based on an intersection of a static horizontal resistance area and a falling trend line.
Selling orders will be distributed within.
The 2 dynamic support and resistance zones that we discussed are narrowing , but that is not always the case.
A dynamic support zone that I found on GBPNZD is expanding and broaden with time.
It is based on a dynamic falling trend line and a static horizontal support.
With time its boundaries will be wider and a bullish reaction may initiate from any level within that.
A dynamic resistance area that I spotted on EURCAD forex pair is a great example of an expanding resistance.
It is based on a static horizontal resistance and a rising trend line.
We can easily recognize how it grows with time.
Of course, another types of dynamic supports and resistances exist. But they are more nuanced and rare.
As soon as you learn to recognize the clusters that we discussed in this article, you will be able to recognize the less obvious ones as well.
Next time, when you execute a support and resistance analysis, try to find a dynamic zone. You can find it on any time frame, and forex pair and gold, and it will completely change your perspective on the market.
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EUR/USD Bullish Setup from Key Support📈 EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.18500
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: EUR/USD
💡 Analysis:
The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum with clear support zones holding price action. After a healthy retracement, price is reacting well around the recent support level near 1.16800. If this level holds, we can anticipate a bullish continuation toward the target resistance zone at 1.18500.
🔶 Support Levels:
1. 1st Support Area: ~1.16800 – Recent consolidation and strong reaction zone
2. 2nd Support Area: ~1.15800 – Previous breakout level
3. 3rd Support Area: ~1.14300 – Major structure support
🎯 Target Point:
• 1.18500 – Major resistance and previous swing high
📊 Trade Idea:
We are looking for a bullish move from the current price level (~1.1700) toward the resistance at 1.1850. If price respects the nearest support zone, long entries with proper risk management could be favorable.
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.1748
1st Support: 1.1631
1st Resistance: 1.1833
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Navigating the Complexities of Forex Swap RatesNavigating the Complexities of Forex Swap Rates
Forex swap rates, pivotal in currency trading, reflect the cost of holding a position overnight. This article unpacks swaps, offering clarity on their calculation and impact. Even seasoned traders may be confused with the complexity of swaps. It’s vital to learn about how these costs relate to effective strategy and fee management. Dive into the complexities of forex swaps and learn how they can influence decisions and overall performance in the ever-evolving trading world.
Understanding Forex Swap Rates
For traders, understanding forex market swap rates is crucial. A swap is essentially the interest differential paid or charged to a trader when they hold a position overnight. The concept hinges on the idea that when you trade currencies, you are effectively borrowing one currency to buy another. Hence, these rates come into play, reflecting the cost of the process.
The swap rate definition boils down to the interest rate difference between the two currencies involved in a trade. For instance, if you are going long in a pair like EUR/USD, the swap rate would be determined by the difference in interest rates set by the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. If the borrowing cost of the euro is lower than that of the dollar, holding the EUR/USD pair overnight would typically result in a charge. Conversely, if the euro has a higher borrowing cost, you might see your balance credited.
Calculating swaps involves a straightforward formula:
Swap rate = (Contract size × Interest differential) ÷ 365
This calculation takes into account the size of your position and the interest rate difference, providing a daily cost or gain for holding the position. Understanding these costs is vital when it comes to managing trading expenses and strategy in the forex market.
Key Elements Influencing Swap Rates
Several factors play pivotal roles in determining overnight swap rates in the forex market.
1. Interest Rate Differentials: The primary driver of overnight rates, interest differentials stem from the varying monetary policies of central banks. For example, if the Bank of England has a higher lending rate than the Federal Reserve, a buy trade in GBP/USD could mean earning for maintaining the position overnight.
2. Market Conditions: Economic stability, political events, and financial market volatility can significantly impact overnight charges. During periods of high volatility or geopolitical uncertainty, rates may fluctuate more dramatically, reflecting the increased market risk.
3. Liquidity: The level of liquidity in the market often influences overnight costs. In less liquid markets and less commonly traded pairs, higher swaps might be charged due to the increased cost of facilitating these trades.
4. Broker Policies: Different forex brokers might have varying policies and calculations for their own swaps. These differences usually arise from the brokers' own pricing structures, risk management strategies, and competitive positioning in the market. As such, traders should be aware that overnight charges vary from broker to broker.
Types of Forex Swaps
There are primarily two types of swaps that traders may encounter, each serving distinct purposes and offering unique implications for trading strategies.
1. Interest Swaps: These involve the exchange of interest payments between parties. In forex, it typically manifests as the fee a trader pays or receives for holding a position overnight. They directly impact the cost of maintaining open positions in different pairs.
2. Currency Swaps (Cross-Currency Swaps): Also known as a currency rate swap, this involves exchanging principal and interest payments in two different currencies. While less common in everyday retail forex activities, they are important in managing currency exposure and risk, particularly in hedging strategies. Currency swaps are used to secure a predetermined exchange rate for a specified currency amount while incorporating a benchmarked or fixed interest rate. This type is usually used by corporations or brokers.
Regarding fixed swap rates, they are less common in the forex market compared to the more prevalent floating swap rates. They’re often used in less volatile financial environments and typically find their application in long-term financial instruments or corporate finance rather than in the day-to-day trading of currencies.
Strategies for Managing Swap Rates
Management of swaps in forex involves several key strategies:
- Short-term Trading: By closing positions before the end of the trading day, traders can avoid incurring overnight fees altogether. It’s a so-called day trading since positions are typically closed by the end of the day.
- Hedging: Implementing hedging strategies may mitigate overnight fees. This involves opening opposite positions in correlated pairs, thus potentially balancing the amounts paid and received.
- Economic Calendar Awareness: Staying informed about major economic announcements and central bank decisions often helps traders anticipate changes in borrowing costs.
- Broker Selection: Choosing the right broker is critical. Selecting a broker with favourable rates might significantly reduce trading fees, especially for those holding long-term positions.
Practical Implications for Traders
Understanding and managing these charges has direct implications for traders' strategies and overall performance. Key considerations include:
- Carry Trading: A carry trade strategy entails borrowing in a currency with a lower interest rate and investing in another with a higher yield. Traders take advantage of the interest differential but must be mindful of potential fees.
- Rollover Costs: Traders holding positions overnight need to account for rollover costs, which can either erode or enhance returns, depending on the direction of the trade and the prevailing swap rates.
- Currency Exposure Management: Swap rates affect the overall cost of maintaining a position. Traders need to balance the potential advantages of holding a position against the charges incurred.
The Bottom Line
Mastering swap rates is a cornerstone of trade management. A thorough understanding may empower traders to navigate these costs and potentially improve their strategies. By carefully considering factors like interest differentials and broker policies, traders may manage their trades and overall performance more effectively.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD BEARISH CONTINUATION, sell or LOOSE!!!In accordance with my idea of compounding, I'm adding to me EURUSD sell here. If you didn't enter the 1st time, you should enter now.
Yesterday gave us 100 pips, let's see how today will go
Follow me as my trades are market order, so you'll see the trades on time and enter on time
Enjoy
What’s EURUSD Telling Us on the 30-Minute Chart?🌅 Good morning, my friends,
EURUSD just made a pullback within the last 30 minutes, so I entered a sell position based on that move.
🎯 Targets:
- TP1: 1.17607
- TP2: 1.17475
- TP3: 1.17174
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.17938
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
EURUSD Bounce on the 4H MA100 eyes 1.2000.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the May 12 Low. Right now it is expanding its 3rd Bearish Leg of this structure, with the previous two reaching at least either the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) or the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding.
As a result, we expect a rebound soon around the 1.16500 level to start the new Bullish Leg. The last two peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a clear Target at 1.2000.
Notice also that every time the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 mark, it was a confirmed buy signal. Use that to your advantage.
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Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Entry: 1.1743
1st Support: 1.1631
1st Resistance: 1.1833
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD – From Structure to Shift
1H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
EURUSD moved cleanly through a sequence of structural phases:
• Previous Base
• Multi-day Consolidation (potential quiet accumulation)
• Transition into a well-respected Descending Channel
Price has since shown repeated rejections from the upper boundary, including a decisive selloff from the 1.1750 zone, forming what we now label a "Pressure Gap" — a space where aggressive sellers overwhelmed price.
🧭 Key Scenarios Ahead:
🔻 Bearish Continuation:
Breakdown below 1.1700 opens room toward:
• 1.1640 (channel bottom)
• 1.1600 Liquidity Zone
Watch for impulsive sell candles + EMA rejection
🔁 Short-Term Bounce or Trap:
Holding above 1.1700 could spark a rebound toward 1.1750
This may serve as a final test before another leg lower
Only a clean break and hold above 1.1763 flips structure bullish
🔍 Bonus Confluence:
1D Chart shows broader bullish context (inset)
EMAs tightening = expect volatility burst
Well-defined structure gives clear invalidation and targets
Every trend tells a story — from base building to breakout, and now a possible breakdown. Trade the structure, not the prediction.
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DescendingChannel #LiquidityZone #SmartMoney #MJTrading
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1905
1st Support: 1.1577
1st Resistance: 1.2152
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Bearish IdeaAs you can see, EURUSD is in a small retracement of its uptrend, and in this retracement, it is constantly mitigating the supply zones. Therefore, in this current idea, we will wait for the price to reach the supply zone, if it gives confirmation, execute the sell order, and our target is the HTF demand zone.
EURO - Price can continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price traded in a flat range between $1.1500 and $1.1750 for an extended period, testing both extremes multiple times with low volatility and indecision.
A breakout above $1.1750 initially looked promising but turned into a fakeout when sellers quickly pushed the price back below $1.1725, trapping aggressive longs.
After that shakeout, buyers regained control and propelled EUR into a rising channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows since the end of June.
Price has since respected the lower boundary of this rising channel near $1.1725–$1.1750, using it as reliable support for continued gains.
With two confirmed breakouts and the channel structure intact, bullish momentum suggests the pair can extend its move higher within the channel.
I expect Euro to continue climbing toward the next key resistance at $1.1980, where the upper channel line and structural supply zone converge.
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EURUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.169.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.177 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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