EUR/USD Weakens After Rising Wedge BreakdownAfter forming a rising wedge at the top of the upward channel, EUR/USD has broken to the downside. The price is now trading below 1.17813 and struggling to reclaim previous support zones.
The break of the wedge and failure to hold above 1.17813 may indicate more downside pressure.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD: New-Week Technical Bias (Market Open)Multi-Timeframe Structural Outlook:
Higher Timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, Daily):
Market structure remains in a clear Ascend Sequence, reflecting an intact Buy-Side Bias Environment (BBE). Price action continues to build bullish structure, supporting an overall upward lean.
Lower Timeframe Technical Snapshot:
4H & 1H:
Current price consolidates within a well-defined Value Compression Phase (VCP) between 1.8297 – 1.7078, signaling temporary indecision and mixed short-term directional clarity.
Liquidity Mechanics & Trap Dynamics:
Recent Sweep Event targeting 1.7470 exploited a Trap Vector (TV), drawing price below perceived support to tap into underlying liquidity pockets within both a Price Inefficiency Zone (PIZ) and Bid Accumulation Zone (BAZ). Following this engineered sweep, price reversed, validating hidden bullish intent beneath the range.
Order Clustering Targets:
Expect clustered liquidity and potential price magnet zones at 1.8097 and 1.8192, representing logical upside attractions aligned with orderflow objectives.
Reaction Points:
VCP High (1.8297):
Break and sustained acceptance above signals potential Ascend Sequence continuation and broader bullish resumption.
VCP Low (1.7078):
Breakdown with intent below increases probability of a Trend Signature Shift (TSS), signaling bearish structure vulnerability and potential trend deterioration.
Summary:
Bullish on HT structures remains valid, but short-term bias is mixed pending confirmed resolution of the VCP range boundaries. Price behavior at the highs/lows of the compression zone will dictate next directional conviction.
EURUSD: Short Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.1775
Sl - 1.1841
Tp - 1.1649
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD - Where next?Looking at EURUSD
I still feel like we are due some sort of deeper retracement to the downside considering how bullish the 4H and Daily time frame have been in recent times.
Although the market does not care how I feel in all honesty haha. I will play the short term short until the 15min orderflow switches bullish once again.
The expansion that is currently happing right now is very interesting and makes a good watch to see what we will do come market open as we are engineering liquidity for both a buy and sell with both POI's looking primed for entries.
Will be keeping a close and keen eye on EURUSD when the market opens
Any questions feel free to give me a message
EURUSD - End of the bull trend? Entering in a Range or a Bear?EURUSD is reaching a channel line on the weekly chart and it already showed us that traders are watching it.
Last week we had a very strong and climatic bull move, indicating bears were off, possibly waiting for the market to reach this level. Now that we reached it, we have a weekly candle with a long upper tail, indicating bulls taking profit and bears coming in.
The market is also overextended from the 20 EMA and a longer pullback looks reasonable and healthy at this point.
Let's see what happens in the next few weeks. But anyway, whoever made money on this bull trend is now shifting to a more cautious perspective. A pullback to the EMA is likely this year, since we didn't touch it since March 2025.
EU| - Bullish Structure Intact | Watching for SSL Sweep and RunPair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 2H, LTFs
• 4H structure is clean and bullish — momentum’s been steady, and the market looks ready to ride higher going into next week.
• 2H gives clarity — I’m watching for a sweep of SSL into OB to set the stage for LTF confirmation.
• Entry process remains the same: wait for CHoCH, followed by sweep inside the OB zone.
🔹 Entry: After CHoCH + sweep inside OB (LTF process repeated)
🔹 Entry Zone: After confirmation within OB
🔹 Target: Structure highs — letting price unfold with the trend
Mindset: Patience pays the most. Wait for the market to come to you, not the other way around.
Bless Trading!
Short Term Market Reversal IncomingRetail’s still buying breakouts, but the music just stopped.
This was the rally they weren’t supposed to catch.
Now it’s time to flip the script and bleed it back to origin.
Trading is a very difficult profession. Most people fail, but it's also not impossible. If you don't trade you're a loser.
It's a zero-sum game. 0 1
Zero-sum game is a mathematical representation in game theory and economic theory of a situation that involves two competing entities, where the result is an advantage for one side and an equivalent loss for the other.
It's all just digits on a screen and if they want your money they'll take your money, so you gotta respect your risk management if you don't want to lose everything or you'll have to break the matrix by seeing into the future,
Once you get to see the future. THERE IS NO TURNING BACK.
If you're reading this I hope you're having a great year. This year is all about endings and new beginnings. So stay locked in.
WAGMI
Oh yeah don't forget I gave you guys FX_IDC:EURUSD at 1.03 and FX_IDC:XAGUSD at $22
Nerds
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16557 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16419..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD / Euro – U.S. Dollar (4H) – ABC Bullish Structure EURUSD / Euro – U.S. Dollar (4H) – ABC Bullish Structure with Double Bottom Base
Pattern Overview:
Pattern Type: ABC Bullish + Corrective Double Bottom
Asset: EURUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Trade Type: Bullish Bias – Monitoring for continuation after rejection from cluster support
🔎 Key Levels
XA: 1.14663 → 1.18299
AB: 1.18299 → 1.16292
BC: 1.16292 → 1.17216
CD: Completion just under 1.15621 cluster
Major Fib Cluster: 0.707% XA, 0.886 AB, 50% CD, Prior Horizontal Support Zone
📐 Fibonacci Extensions & Key Ratios
38.2% retracement: 1.16180
50.0% retracement: 1.15750
161.8% extension: 1.18150
💡 Price Action & Setup
Price has completed an ABC corrective leg, forming a clean double bottom at the D point, hovering over the fib-rich support cluster.
The rejection candle shows buyer interest, and the recent higher low structure implies potential for continuation, especially if price reclaims and holds above 1.1650 short-term structure.
🧠 Market Sentiment
DXY easing slightly after strong dollar dominance
EUR macro calendar quiet – technicals may dominate next moves
Strong base = smart money accumulation likely underway
📊 Next Potential Movement
Break above 1.1675 opens path toward 1.1720, then possibly 1.1815
If 1.1575 cluster fails → risk of full XA retracement
🛡 Risk Management
Aggressive long entries already in play
Conservative entries should wait for higher low confirmation above 1.1650
Protective stop: under 1.1550 zone
📌 Conclusion
This is a bullish structure with a corrective double bottom base sitting right inside a dense confluence zone. Price is compressing between key fibs – expect a directional move next week. Keep your eye on the 1.1675 breakout or 1.1570 loss for next major decision.
“In the densest zones of indecision, patterns and confluence provide the clearest map.”
EUR/USD Drops to $1.16 Amid Strong U.S. DataThe euro declined to $1.16 on Thursday, reaching its lowest level in almost a month as the U.S. dollar regained strength. The dollar’s rise followed solid U.S. inflation data and President Trump’s comments suggesting he will keep Fed Chair Jerome Powell in place, reducing expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, markets continued to monitor U.S.-EU trade negotiations ahead of the August 1 deadline.
Resistance for the pair is at 1.1670, while support is at 1.1580.
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.161.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.155 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD(20250718) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Kugler: It is appropriate to keep the interest rate policy stable for "a while".
② Daly: Whether to cut interest rates in July or September is not the most critical.
③ Bostic: It may be difficult to cut interest rates in the short term.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1597
Support and resistance levels:
1.1683
1.1651
1.1630
1.1565
1.1544
1.1512
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1630, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.1651
If the price breaks through 1.1597, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.1565
EUR/USD long: The Fed Chair debacle is getting spicyHello traders
My previous EUR/USD long did not pan out but I am swinging again. My entry order at 1.0563 was filled by the skinny skin of my teeth but so far so good. I'll use a trailing stop for this trade.
The pressure on Fed Chair Powell is being ramped up by Trump's attack dogs with allegations of mismanaging Federal funds(gasp :) ) during the FOMC headquarters.
We all saw the result of the rumor that Powell was fired/is considering resigning yesterday and as much as I am sure it pained DJT, he had to refute the rumor, no doubt on advice from Bessent.
In addition, FOMC board member Waller publicly dissented today and suggested a rate cut at the July meeting.
On the economic calendar we have the ECB rate decision, JOLTS, ADP and finally FOMC over the next two weeks.
This is purely a technical play but I am keeping a close eye on the bond markets, the
CME FedWatch tool and as for trade and tariffs, who cares...
I mentioned the Federal Court of Appeals case regarding the IEEPA court decision starting on 7/31/2025. For anyone interested in the court's decision,
www.cafc.uscourts.gov
More importantly, you can sign up for a notification at courtlistener.com which is a free service.
I have used it in the past and not only is it free but I also received the notification in a very timely manner.
www.courtlistener.com
Best of luck.