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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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EUR/USD.4h chart pattern.EUR/USD 4H chart, I can see an ascending trendline with a breakout to the upside, suggesting bullish momentum. You’ve also marked a "TARGET" zone visually on the chart. Estimated Target: Based on standard breakout and trend continuation principles: Current Price: Around 1.1598 Visual Target Zone (as per your chart): Near 1.1700 Potential Target Zone: 1.1700 - 1.1720 (Approximate zone for bullish continuation if breakout holds) Notes: ✅ Strong bullish structure confirmed by higher highs and trendline support ✅ Breakout already in motion; as long as price stays above the trendline, bullish target remains valid ✅ Watch key support at 1.1535 - 1.1500; price falling below this weakens bullish outlook Would you like Fibonacci or measured move targets calculated more precisely? Let me know!
Long
by Money_Magnet5
11
Euro Continues Bullish Trend | Eyes on 1.1882 & 1.2075EUR/USD – Strong Bullish Structure | Watching 1.1745 Pivot Zone for Reentry The Euro continues to trade in a well-defined bullish trend, supported by institutional demand and clear price structure. After breaking above the 1.1684 resistance zone, EUR/USD extended toward 1.1818 and now approaches the next resistance at 1.1882. This level may act as a temporary cap, but if breached with momentum, the pair could target the 1.2075 zone next. Bullish Order Blocks (BOBs) marked on the chart highlight previous accumulation zones where buyers stepped in aggressively. These areas are still valid for demand-based pullbacks. Key Area to Watch – 1.1745 Pivot Zone: This level serves as a potential reentry point if the price retraces. As long as EUR/USD holds above this zone, bullish momentum remains intact. A confirmed bounce here could resume the uptrend toward 1.1882 and beyond. However, a clean break below 1.1745 could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.1627 or even 1.1557, which is the next major support zone. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.1882, 1.2075 Pivot Zone: 1.1745 Support: 1.1627, 1.1557
Long
by SroshMayi
Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached: 📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target. Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion. But there’s a growing complication: The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery. As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma: Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher. Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum. --- 🔁 Reflexivity at Work This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions. > “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.” — George Soros The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base. --- ⚠️ Key Takeaways June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution. Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing. Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify. Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication. --- In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
by mehrshad31
EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis..Looking at My EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis: Current Price: Around 1.1819 Observations: Price is moving inside an ascending channel Breakout from the upper channel line is happening Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish momentum as price is well above the cloud --- Target Levels: ✅ First Target Zone: 1.1900 - 1.1950 ✅ Final Target Zone: 1.2000 - 1.2020 (as marked on your chart) --- Notes: Watch for strong breakout confirmation above 1.1850 If momentum continues, price can reach 1.2000 Use stop-loss below 1.1750 to manage risk --- If you want, I can help suggest stop-loss, entry, and risk management in detail. Let me know!
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
24
EURUSD Selling from Resistance at 1.17500 EURUSD Analysis – 4H Timeframe The pair continues to respect its ascending channel, but current price action suggests a potential sell opportunity from the 1.17500 resistance zone. 🎯 Technical Targets: 🔻 1st Target – 1.16000 (Key demand zone) 🔻 2nd Target – 1.14500 (Deeper support area) 🔻 3rd Target – 1.12500 (Bullish Order Block) 💡 Watch for confirmation signals near resistance before entering shorts. 💬 Like, follow, comment, and join us for more real-time trade ideas and updates! 📲 Let’s grow and trade smart together 💼✨ — Livia 😜
Short
by experttrader04
9
EUR/USD Long Setup — Breakout Retest Play We’re seeing a classic breakout-retest scenario on EUR/USD. After breaking above the previous consolidation zone, price has pulled back to retest the broken structure near 1.1495, which also aligns with a higher time frame support zone. 🟦 Entry Zone: 1.1495–1.1490 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 1.1420 (clearly outside the structure) 🟩 Targets (Partial TPs): 1.1655 1.1775 1.1888–1.1894 (final) 📌 Plan: This is a trend continuation idea after a clean structural breakout. If you plan to enter this, consider: ✅ Scaling in at or near current price ✅ Partial TP at each resistance level ❌ Avoid holding full position till final target — secure profits along the way ✅ Use proper risk management and size ⚠️ Important Note This is not a signal, just an idea. I am not selling signals or subscriptions. If you're new, you may think: “Let me just follow someone with 100K followers and I’ll profit.” Truth is — follower count means nothing. Many signal sellers don’t even trade. They sell subscriptions, not setups. 🧠 Pro Tip for Beginners Track 30–40 trade ideas from different users (including old ones — they often hide losers). Ask yourself: Was the direction right? Was the entry filled? Was the setup realistic? That’s how you’ll grow as a trader. Trade smart, protect your capital, and stay sharp. Rendon1
Long
by Rendon1
1
EURUSD Bullish continuation supported at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
The Day Ahead Major Economic Data: US: ISM Manufacturing (June) and JOLTS job openings (May) – Key for Fed rate cut outlook. Construction spending and vehicle sales – Insight into economic strength. Dallas Fed services – Regional business sentiment check. China: Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June) – Watch for signs of continued slowdown. Japan: Tankan Survey (Q2) – Key business sentiment data; may influence BoJ policy. Eurozone: June CPI (inflation) – Crucial for ECB’s rate path. Germany unemployment, Italy PMI, budget, and car sales – Regional economic health indicators. Central Bank Highlights: ECB Sintra Forum Panel: Features Powell (Fed), Lagarde (ECB), Ueda (BoJ), Bailey (BoE). Markets will watch for any policy shift signals or divergence in rate outlooks. Other ECB Speakers: Guindos, Schnabel, Elderson – may give more hints on inflation and rate moves. ECB Consumer Survey: Offers insight into household inflation expectations. Market View: US data may push Fed closer to rate cuts if weak. Eurozone inflation will guide ECB stance. China’s PMI is a global growth signal. Central bank talks at Sintra are key for global rate outlook. Overall: Markets are on edge awaiting clarity on growth, inflation, and rate paths. Expect possible moves in FX, yields, and equities depending on the data and central bank tone. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 1, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 01.07 16:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks 01.07 16:30 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks 01.07 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI EUR/USD is trading in negative territory near 1.1790 in the early European session on Tuesday. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) amid growing budget concerns and uncertainty surrounding trade deals. Four people familiar with the negotiations said US President Donald Trump's administration is seeking to phase in deals with the most involved countries as they rush to reach an agreement by the July 9 deadline. Uncertainty over trade agreements continued to weigh on sentiment and sell the US dollar. Investors are concerned about the US Senate's attempts to pass Trump's tax and spending cuts bill, which faces intra-party disagreement over a projected $3.3 trillion increase in the national debt. Fiscal concerns have dampened optimism and contributed to the decline in the US dollar. This, in turn, serves as a tailwind for the major pair. German inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), eased to 2.0% y/y in June from 2.1% in the previous reading. The figure was below expectations of 2.2%. On a month-on-month basis, HICP rose 0.1% in June vs. 0.2% previously, below the market consensus forecast of 0.3%. Softer-than-expected German inflation data may limit near-term growth. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1795, SL 1.1725, TP 1.1880
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello friends! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my view on EUR-USD with you. Looking at the EUR-USD chart, I see two potential scenarios ahead: 🔹 Scenario 1 – Bearish: If EUR-USD breaks below 1.16836 on the 15-minute time frame, I expect a downward move toward the 1.16319 to 1.15850 area. 🔹 Scenario 2 – Bullish then Bearish: If the price rises from the current level, I expect an initial move up toward 1.17937, followed by a decline back toward the 1.16319 to 1.15850 zone. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Support: 1.16836 / 1.16319 / 1.15850 📌 Resistance: 1.17937 💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD? Let me know in the comments below. Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
1
EUR/USD Weekly – Two Long Setups Hello guys! It is my perspective on eurusd! Before we even reach the major resistance zone around 1.2050–1.2100, I’ve highlighted two long-term opportunities that may unfold as the price continues to climb. ✔ First Long Position: It looks like a more conservative entry. The price is already above it. You can set a pending position! It was likely aiming to catch the momentum as the price broke above the previous structure. TP is near the descending trendline, around 1.2050–1.2100. a smart place to exit before major resistance hits. ✔ Second Long Position: Positioned slightly lower. probably in case of a pullback or retest into the broken zone. This one offers better risk-reward, but requires patience and a cleaner retracement. Both longs are short-to mid-term swing ideas, aiming to ride the bullish leg into the bigger trendline rejection zone, where I’d personally be more cautious or even look for reversal setups.
Long
by melikatrader94
6
EUR/USD Overview - June 25: Why Did the Dollar Fall Again ?The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, which had stated on Monday. Let us recall that on Monday, everyone expected a "rollercoaster" right at the market open, i.e., during the night. However, the real action came closer to the evening. The first two trading days of the week were packed with events-of various kinds-capable of supporting both the dollar and the euro. So why did the U.S. currency fall out of favor with the market once again? If we were to list all the reasons, one article certainly wouldn't be enough. so, let's start with the most local and obvious ones. As early as Monday, we mentioned that the dollar might benefit from another escalation in the Middle East, this time initiated by the U.S. But just think: can the dollar even hypothetically be considered a "safe haven" if one of the warring parties is the U.S.? The second reason is that Trump launched a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, and the next day, missiles were flying back-toward Qatar, Israel, and U.S. military bases. And. notably, Iran hit the American bases. The third reason is that Trump thanked Iran for warning Washington in advance about the upcoming strike. Honestly, the only word that comes to mind here is "farce." Can this even be a war if the participants warn each other before launching attacks? Naturally, the market immediately concluded that this was not a war but a performance. That might be better in some ways-since human casualties were avoided, and that is most important. But at the same time, if the dollar had any hopes of strengthening due to a Middle East escalation, the market realized yesterday that this "escalation" was theatrical and staged. And it gets even more bizarre. On Tuesday morning, Donald Trump announced a ceasefire. The U.S. President was so eager to establish peace somewhere-anywhere-that he declared the war over without waiting for any official statements from Iran or Israel. And just a few hours later, Iranian missiles took to the skies again. Once more, if this weren't about deadly weapons of mass destruction, the whole situation could be considered a comedy For the res of Tuesday, Trump posted angry messages every half hour on his own social network, expressing his dissatisfaction not only with Iran but also with Israel. In the afternoon, Trump tried to persuade Israeli not to launch retaliatory strikes, and we're left wondering-does the U.S. President believe that Iranian and Israeli leaders check his Twitter feed before initiating missile attacks? Frankly, we don' even know how to respond to this circus anymore. But the market certainly does. Why should it buy the dollar-even without the caveat "if Donald Trump remains president"? America has turned from a country with the strongest economy and military into a laughingstock. And these are just the reasons the dollar fell on Monday and Tuesday. Should we even bother listing why the U.S. currency has fallen for five months The average volatility for the EUR/USD currency pair over the last five trading days as of June 25 is 74 pips, which is characterized as. " We expect the pair to move between the levels of 1.1551 and 1.1699 on Wednesday. The long-term regression channel is directed upward, indicating a continued bullish trend. The CCI indicator entered the overbought zone, which triggered only a minor downward correction Nearest Support Levels: S1 - 1.1597 S2 - 1.1475 S3 - 1.1353 Nearest Resistance Levels: R1 - 1.1719 R2 - 1.1841 R3 - 1.1963 Trading Recommendations: The EUR/USD pair continues its upward trend. Trump's foreign and domestic policies remain the strongest pressure factor on the U.S. dollar. Additionally, the market interprets or ignores much of the incoming data negatively for the dollar. We continue to observe a complete lack of interest in buying the dollar under any circumstances. If the price is below the moving average, short positions remain relevant with targets at 1.1475 and 1.1353, though a significant decline in the pair is unlikely under current conditions. If the price is above the moving average, long positions can be considered with targets at 1.1699 and 1.1719 in continuation of the trend. Explanation of Illustrations: Linear Regression Channels help determine the current trend. If both channels are aligned, it indicates a strong trend. Moving Average Line (settings: 20,0, smoothed) defines the short-term trend and guides the trading direction. Murray Levels act as target levels for movements and corrections. Volatility Levels (red lines) represent the likely price range for the pair over the next 24 hours based on current volatility readings. CCI Indicator: If it enters the oversold region (below -250), or overbought region (above +250), it signals an impending trend reversal in the opposite direction.
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
13
EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND. Price is currently forming higher high and higher low formation. Market was trading in secondary trend from lest few sessions. Recently market shows interest of buyers by bullish engulfing candle. Market may end this secondary trend and can start moving in primary trend. Market is expected to remain bullish in upcoming trading sessions. On lower side, 1.12200 is key support level. On higher side market may hit the target levels of 1.15600.
Long
by TraderAishDXB
2