Market Watch UPDATES! FOREX Major PairsWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th.
In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and USDJPY.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.16802 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.16684.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
EURUSD Forming Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD is currently retesting a key breakout zone that previously acted as resistance and is now serving as strong support around the 1.1620–1.1630 area. After a healthy bullish impulse in recent weeks, the pair is pulling back in a controlled manner, likely forming a bullish continuation setup. I entered from earlier levels and remain confident in a further upward move, with the structure showing signs of a new bullish wave forming.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength as the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to signal a more cautious stance on rate cuts compared to the Federal Reserve. US inflation data released last week came in softer than expected, increasing speculation that the Fed could start its rate-cutting cycle as early as September. This shift in monetary policy outlook has weighed on the US dollar, opening up room for EURUSD to push higher.
Additionally, eurozone macro data is showing early signs of recovery, especially in Germany, where industrial production and sentiment indicators are slowly improving. As inflation in Europe trends lower but remains sticky, the ECB has fewer reasons to rush into easing, which adds strength to the euro over the medium term. This divergence is a critical driver of the current bullish sentiment in EURUSD.
Technically, the market is respecting a clean demand zone, with momentum indicators starting to flatten after the recent correction. With the trend structure intact and fundamentals aligned, I'm targeting the 1.2180–1.2200 zone as the next leg of this bullish cycle. Price action remains favorable, and the broader sentiment on TradingView is also increasingly bullish, confirming my conviction in this setup.
Fed warning: Rate cut rally or credibility crisis?JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have both raised their concern about political interference at the Federal Reserve, amid reports that President Trump considered firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier this week.
In a note titled “How Safe is Powell’s Job?”, JPMorgan analysts warned that even the perception of a politically motivated dismissal could undermine the Fed’s credibility and spark market volatility.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon echoed the concern in a CNBC interview, describing central bank independence as “super important,” and warning that it remains a pillar of global economic stability that “we should fight to preserve.”
The warnings followed a volatile 24-hour period in markets, after reports emerged that Trump had drafted a letter to dismiss Powell and floated it among Republican leaders. This might prove the right distraction from the Epstein client list?
EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL FVG I Target 50%Yo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
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It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
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💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
EURUSD BUY IDEA SWING PLAY (WEEKLY) Outlook🔁 EUR/USD Long – Weekly Buyside Re-Test for 1.17 Breakout 🌍📈
Description:
EUR/USD is retesting a weekly buyside liquidity zone between 1.1575–1.1600, which previously acted as strong resistance and has now flipped into support. This zone aligns with a confluence of breakout structure, Fibonacci mid-point, and a clean liquidity sweep beneath local lows.
📉 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 1.1475–1.1600 (buyside retest)
Stop Loss: 1.1400 Zone (risker)
Safer stop: use chart
Target 1: 1.1777
Target 2: 1.1877
Target 3: Open(manage)
Risk-Reward: ~1:3+ depending on entry precision
Trade Type: Swing / Trend Continuation
📊 Technical Bias:
Weekly structure flipped bullish after breakout above 1.1575
Daily shows clean HH/HL sequence with strong momentum
RSI/MACD favor continuation with no divergence yet
DXY weakness supports continuation move
🧠 Macro + Sentiment Overlay:
EUR supported by improving Eurozone data + reduced ECB dovishness
Fed pause expectations + soft US CPI drive USD weakness
Retail sentiment shows most traders are short EUR/USD — contrarian bullish
⏳ Patience:
Let price stabilize in the 1.1575–1.1600 zone with a bullish engulfing or H4 reversal signal before execution. Structure invalidation below 1.1530.
Buying opportunities on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD saw a sharp spike after reports that Trump might fire the Federal Reserve Chair.
Although this wasn’t confirmed, the news triggered short-term volatility before the market settled down again.
At the moment, EURUSD is reacting to key support levels. Watch for the formation of a higher low and potential signs of a new bullish move.
The goal remains a breakout above the previous high and continuation of the main uptrend.
EURUSD is Approaching an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.16400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.16400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
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Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.15800
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
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⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
After breaking support level, Euro can continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming an ascending channel, the price steadily moved higher and reached a local range area near 1.1850 points. However, once it entered this zone, the momentum faded. The market started showing signs of distribution, and we saw multiple attempts to push higher being rejected. This range acted as a cap, preventing further growth. Now, the price has pulled back and is trading near the current support level at 1.1700, which also coincides with the support area. This zone has already been tested several times, and each bounce has been weaker than the previous one. That suggests growing pressure from sellers. Looking at the broader structure, the price exited the previous triangle formation with an upward move, but now that impulse has exhausted. The rising wedge is also broken. Based on the behavior at resistance and the weakness around the current support, I expect a breakdown from the range and further decline toward TP 1 at 1.1500 points. If bearish pressure continues, the price could eventually reach the major buyer zone around 1.1345 - 1.1300 points. Given the weakening momentum, retests of support, and lack of bullish continuation, I remain bearish and anticipate a continuation of the downtrend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD : US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation ReportEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation Report
Yesterday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was released, showing an increase in consumer prices. According to Forex Factory, annual CPI rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of a 2.6% rise.
As reported by Reuters, the data supports the stance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has repeatedly stated that the anticipated inflationary pressure—driven in part by tariffs—is a reason to refrain from further interest rate cuts.
However, President Donald Trump interpreted the data differently. On his Truth Social platform, he posted that consumer prices remain low and called for an immediate rate cut.
The market responded with a stronger US dollar—indicating that participants believe interest rates are likely to remain at current levels in the near term. Notably, the EUR/USD exchange rate fell to the 1.1600 level for the first time since late June (as indicated by the arrow).
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Analysing the EUR/USD chart as of 7 July, we identified:
→ A long-term ascending channel
→ A potential downward trajectory (marked by red lines)
Since then, the pair has followed the outlined path and declined by more than 1%.
It is worth noting that today, the EUR/USD price is near the lower boundary of a key trend channel, which may offer significant support — traders may look for a technical rebound from this level.
Additionally, attention should be paid to the upcoming release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) at 15:30 GMT+3. These figures carry particular weight in light of potential renewed inflationary pressures. This and other upcoming data may prove decisive for the near-term direction of EUR/USD.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pares GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Pares Gains
EUR/USD declined from the 1.1750 resistance and traded below 1.1650.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1720 zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1720 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1660 support zone against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below 1.1620 and tested 1.1590. A low was formed near 1.1592 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1610 level.
EUR/USD is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, it is now facing resistance near the 1.1630 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1749 swing high to the 1.1592 low.
The next key resistance is at 1.1660 and the 50% Fib retracement level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660.
The main resistance is near the 1.1690 level. A clear move above it could send the pair toward the 1.1720 resistance. An upside break above 1.1720 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1750.
If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1590. The next key support is at 1.1550. If there is a downside break below 1.1550, the pair could drop toward 1.1520. The next support is near 1.1485, below which the pair could start a major decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT longThis is a After a strong pullback and a clear rejection at key support levels, the EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential reversal. Technical indicators suggest oversold conditions, making this an attractive entry for bullish traders.
🎯 Entry: Around 1.15873
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.19700
💰 Take Profit: 1.0750 – 1.14385
Always trade with proper risk management and confirm with your own analysis!good trade
EURUSD: Can't break the whale line!📉 EUR/USD Whale Wall – 1.1675 Rejection Zone
🐋 Smart Money is guarding 1.1675 like it’s sacred.
Every test into this level has been slapped down—likely a whale-level supply zone where institutional sell orders are stacked. VolanX projection curve suggests a macro fade into late July, aligning with DXY strength and bond volatility signals.
Outlook:
As long as 1.1675 holds, momentum favors downside toward 1.1450–1.1400. Rate divergence + weak Eurozone prints fuel the short bias. Break above 1.1675 invalidates.
📊 VolanX Protocol – Predict. React. Dominate.
#WaverVanir #VolanX #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #FXStrategy #MacroTrading
EURUSD Bullish Continuation Patterns and Consistent Demand The bullish continuation patterns and the consistent daily demand zones indicate that the trend is still bullish despite last week's bearish correction.
Price is currently reacting to a daily support zone. To confirm going long, especially long term, I recommend waiting for the current falling wedge to breakout and retest and then ride the bullish momentum to daily and weekly supply zones.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
Following its recent rally, EURUSD has reached a key resistance zone, which also aligns with a trendline. The pair failed to break above this area and has been rejected.
Given the weak momentum and bearish reaction, we do not expect a breakout at this stage.
Instead, we anticipate some consolidation around the resistance, followed by a downward move toward the specified support level.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️