Downloading...
Download

U.S. Dollar / Euro

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD - Bears Preparing a Bearish Shift in StructureEURUSD has been pushing higher over the past few sessions, reaching into a key liquidity zone. On the 4H chart, we’ve now seen a very clean sweep of previous swing highs, which completes the first step needed for a potential reversal. This sweep acted as a buy-side liquidity run, taking out resting orders before showing early signs of exhaustion. Liquidity Sweep and Structural Confirmation The sweep of the highs marked a potential turning point, but for this setup to gain validity, we need to see confirmation through structure. That confirmation would come from a decisive 4H close below the red mitigation zone. This area aligns with a small demand that previously pushed price up, so a close below would mark a clean break in bullish order flow and confirm a bearish structure shift. Downside Expectations and Key Levels If the structure shift is confirmed, I expect EURUSD to move lower toward the fair value gap around 1.14600 to 1.14400. This FVG could provide temporary support, and we may see some reaction there. However, due to the size of the imbalance and the overall context, price has the potential to continue lower through that level. Interim Reactions and Minor Scenarios There is a chance price reacts to the FVG and pulls back before continuing lower. Any bounce from this zone would likely be short-term unless it leads to a clear market structure shift back to the upside. If price fails to hold above the FVG, the deeper support zone below near 1.13800 would become the next logical target. Trigger Point for Bearish Bias The most important trigger for this trade is a 4H close below the red box. Without that, the bullish structure technically remains intact. Once that level is broken, I will consider the sweep and break combination a completed reversal signal, targeting the FVG and beyond. Conclusion This setup follows a textbook liquidity grab followed by a potential structure break. Patience is key here, as I’m waiting for confirmation before taking action. If price closes below the red zone, I’ll be actively looking for shorts targeting the 1.14600 region, with room to extend lower depending on how price reacts at the FVG. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
41
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.16100 👀 Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.1% on June 24, nearing 1.16250 and hitting a 2.5-year high of 1.16410, as the U.S. dollar softened following soft remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and weak U.S. data. Powell warned that tariffs may boost inflation this summer but signaled openness to rate cuts if economic risks grow. U.S. consumer confidence fell unexpectedly in June, fueling concerns about a slowing job market and economy. This boosted expectations for a July Fed rate cut, now seen at 18%, and supported the euro as traders weighed diverging Fed-ECB policy paths. Traders now see an 18% chance of a July cut, boosting the euro amid diverging Fed-ECB outlooks. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.14535 Resistance level is located at 1.16330
by MaxOnMarkets
Summer VibesHello everyone, we a special shart movements in this month , things doesn't look bad as always, because falls and rises are always present in our life. and opportunities comes in the rights moment.. Please make your studies before going for a random idea on the internet and trade at your own risk: in this one, we can see the struggle of rising and we can see an Deja vu back flash into to past, the image is well clear then the written so enjoy. thank you for leaving a comments.
by bootnow
Short trade 4Hr TF overview 🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade 📍 Pair: EURUSD 📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 (You wrote June 15th — adjusted to match your current date sequence) 🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour 📉 Direction: Sell-side 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 1.16072 Profit Level 1.14888 (−1.02%) Stop Loss 1.16244 (+0.15%) Risk-Reward Ratio 6.88 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: 4HR Premium Entry from Bearish OB: Trade executed at the upper end of the internal range, where price tapped into a high-probability bearish order block. London AM Stop-Hunt: Price swept a prior London session high before rejecting, indicative of engineered liquidity and smart money distribution. Break of Structure & Momentum Confirmation: Following the sweep, price broke internal structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent.
Short
by davidjulien369
EURUSD – Breakout Confirmed, Now Watching for Retest or 4hr ClosEURUSD has officially broken above the key 1.16020 resistance level on the 4hr chart, but price action has since gone stagnant. No strong bullish momentum has followed the break so far — a sign we may be due for a deeper pullback. I remain bullish overall, but I'm watching for two potential scenarios: ✅ Safe Buy: Clean 4hr bullish close above 1.16020 🎯 HRHR Buy: Pullback to the former level of interest at 1.14149 if structure holds Until one of those triggers, I’ll be patient. Let the setup come to you. Overall target remains the 1.18791 zone before reassessing.
Long
by Thetraderscollective
3
EURUSD Technical Outlook Bearish TrendEURUSD Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe EURUSD has been pushing higher over the past few sessions, reaching a key liquidity zone. On the 4-hour chart, we’ve observed a clean sweep of previous highs, indicating a potential liquidity grab. From this zone, there's a high probability of a downside move, especially if the price fails to sustain above this level. Any bounce from this zone that lacks momentum may signal bullish exhaustion, opening the door for sellers to step in. Resistance zone 1.16500 Support zone 1.14500 You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
Short
by MrMartin_11
Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens?EUR/USD: Euro's Resilience Holds Strong – Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens? 🌍 Macro Landscape: EUR/USD Rides Risk-On Sentiment and Fed Cut Hopes The Euro (EUR) is showing significant strength, maintaining its position near a three-year high against the US Dollar (USD). This resilience is largely fueled by a moderately positive risk appetite in the market. Simultaneously, the US Dollar is facing considerable downward pressure. This weakness stems from recent weaker-than-expected economic data from the United States and increasing market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to implement interest rate cuts. If US economic indicators continue to soften, it could solidify the case for earlier Fed rate cuts, further undermining the USD and potentially boosting EUR/USD. 🏦 Central Bank Policy: Diverging Paths for ECB and Fed Federal Reserve (Fed): The market is increasingly pricing in the likelihood of Fed interest rate cuts. Weaker US data strengthens this narrative, as the Fed might be compelled to ease monetary policy to support economic growth. This dovish outlook for the Fed is a key driver of USD weakness. European Central Bank (ECB): While the provided information focuses on the EUR's strength due to broader market sentiment and USD weakness, the ECB's more measured approach to monetary policy compared to the Fed's potential easing can create a favorable interest rate differential for the Euro, attracting capital flows. This divergence in central bank policy expectations—with the Fed leaning towards cuts and the ECB maintaining a more cautious stance—creates a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair. 🌐 Capital Flows: Money Favors Euro Amidst USD Softness Global capital flow models suggest that funds are increasingly moving towards assets perceived as offering better relative value or stability. As US yields become less attractive due to anticipated Fed rate cuts, capital may flow out of USD-denominated assets. This outflow from the USD naturally benefits currencies like the Euro, especially given its current positive momentum driven by a moderate risk-on environment. The re-pricing of Fed policy risk directly influences these capital movements, contributing to the upward trajectory of EUR/USD. 📊 Technical Structure (H4 Chart Analysis): EUR/USD Eyes Key Resistance Levels Based on the provided EUR/USD H4 chart: Uptrend intact: The pair continues to exhibit a positive trend, characterized by higher lows and higher highs within an ascending channel. Key Resistance Levels: Initial Resistance: 1.16330. This level aligns with recent highs and the top of the minor channel. A break above this suggests further bullish momentum. Major Resistance Zone: 1.17031. This is indicated as a significant resistance area, potentially a long-term target or a reversal point. A break here would confirm strong bullish conviction. Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: 1.15470. This level has acted as a support point, aligning with the EMA 200 and a Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a potential bounce area. Strong Support Zone: 1.15249. This zone represents a robust demand area, aligning with previous price action and serving as a crucial level for bulls to defend. Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200): The price is trading above the short-term and long-term EMAs, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The EMAs are fanning out and showing a bullish alignment, reinforcing the uptrend. Projected Price Action: The chart suggests that the price might retrace towards the 1.15470 or 1.15249 support zones before resuming its upward trajectory towards the 1.16330 and potentially 1.17031 resistance levels. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations: Scenario 1 – BUY the Dip: Entry: Look for bullish confirmation around 1.15470 - 1.15249. Stop-Loss: Below 1.15100 (or a level below the 1.15249 support for risk management). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.15600 TP2: 1.15800 TP3: 1.16000 TP4: 1.16200 TP5: 1.16330 (Targeting the immediate resistance) TP6: 1.16500 TP7: 1.16800 TP8: 1.17031 (Targeting the major resistance) Scenario 2 – SELL the Rally (Counter-trend/Reversal): Entry: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.16330 - 1.16400 or higher near 1.17031. Stop-Loss: Above 1.16500 (or above 1.17100 if selling at higher resistance). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.16200 TP2: 1.16000 TP3: 1.15800 TP4: 1.15600 TP5: 1.15470 (Targeting the immediate support) TP6: 1.15249 (Targeting the strong support zone) ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: Upcoming US Economic Data: Any further weak data could solidify Fed rate cut expectations and weigh on the USD. ECB Official Statements: Comments from ECB members on inflation or monetary policy could impact EUR's strength. Global Risk Sentiment: A continued moderate risk-on environment will generally support the EUR against the USD. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher. Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply area📊 Technical Analysis ● Price formed an intraday rising wedge right inside the 1.1615-1.1635 supply band; the wedge has broken lower and the last two candles closed back under the long-term trendline retest. ● Bearish follow-through is favoured while price stays below 1.1604; first magnet is the confluence of former breakout base and inner channel support at 1.1569, with 1.1547 (mid-June pivot) the next objective. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Fresh Euro-area PMIs dipped below consensus while U.S. consumer-confidence beat, widening the short-rate gap and reviving USD bids. ✨ Summary Sell rallies ≤1.1600; targets 1.1569 → 1.1547. Bias invalid if 30-min candle closes above 1.1635. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1