USDEUX trade ideas
EUR/USD PULLS BACK TO BUY ZONE MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Hey Traders so looking at Euro still looks bullish but again markets can change on a dime so always be cautious because we need to be good at defense just as much as offense in this game of trading.
Some say US Dollar may bottomed some say it's still going to weaken regardless of what do news says what can the charts show us?
I see a support level of 1.1573 holding for now I see new highs made at 1.1833.
Also I see higher lows and higher highs this all signals an uptrend but again trend changes happen.
However I still see enough to stay bullish for now so if your bullish consider buying here with a stop below support 1.1424
But if bearish I would wait for break below support at 1.1424 before selling into a rally. That way market confirms it wants to change trend.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed under the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is stalling against the upper band of a three-month rising channel (≈ 1.1790) after producing a false break and quick rejection—marking a potential bull-trap at trend resistance.
● Bearish divergence on the 4 h RSI and the first lower-high inside a micro rising wedge suggest momentum is fading; a slide through 1.1745 should trigger profit-taking toward the mid-channel support at 1.1595.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Solid US payrolls and a hawkish tone in FOMC minutes lift two-year yields, reviving the dollar bid, while post-election coalition wrangling in France keeps a risk premium on the euro.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.1785 ± 15 pips; break below 1.1745 targets 1.1595. Invalidate on a 4 h close above 1.1810.
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Potential Bearish Setup on EURUSDBearish Breakdown Setup
Summary
Analysing Price action from yesterday we have got a very nice distribution leg push that broke down below our accumulation zone a good indication of downside momentum, therefore the anticipation is that price will retest our BOS an ideal zone to look for bearish setups.
📉 EURUSD Daily Breakdown Potential setup
🔴 Distribution leg: 1.16921 - 1.15924
📉 Sell Below: 1.16540 (Confirmed Break)
🎯 Target 1: R:R 1:2
🎯 Target 2: R:R 1:3
🎯 Target 3: R:R 1:4
🛑 Stop Loss: Above Resistance Zone
🔍 Watch: Failure to break back in = Confirmation
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EURUSD📉 EURUSD – 30min Short Plan
📊 Structure: LLs & LHs forming – bearish trend confirmed
🕯️ Pattern: Bearish Engulfing at Lower High
🎯 Entry: instant
📌 Trade 1
– 🎯 TP1: 1:1
– ⚠️ Risk: 1%
📌 Trade 2
– 🎯 TP2: larger reward
🛠️ Execution:
– Place both trades at same entry
– Trail SL after TP1 hit
📎 Bias: Bearish
EURUSD BEARISH SETUP: 15 JULY 2025This is a 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD currency pair, and it includes several key technical elements:
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🔍 Overall Market Context
The price is in a downtrend, clearly shown by the descending channel (highlighted with yellow lines).
The price just broke below the lower boundary of that channel, indicating potential bearish continuation.
The chart includes support/resistance levels, pivot points, and a projected path suggesting possible price behavior.
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🔧 Key Technical Elements
1. Price Action & Structure
Recent price action shows a strong bearish move (large red candle), suggesting strong selling pressure.
The move bounced off S2, a weekly pivot support level, and entered a demand zone (green area).
2. Projected Scenario (Black Line Path)
A potential pullback to 1.16586 (key resistance).
If price fails to break above that resistance, it's expected to drop again.
Possible next supports:
1.15842
1.15228
Final target: 1.14550
3. Pivot Levels
Weekly Pivot: Near 1.17100 area (currently above the price — bearish implication).
S2 level: Around 1.15900 — presently acting as short-term support.
R1, R2, etc., are above and could act as resistance in a retracement.
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📊 Summary of Trade Outlook
🔻 Bearish Bias (Short-Term to Medium-Term)
Main idea: This chart reflects a bearish breakout of a descending channel.
Entry Zones: After a potential pullback to resistance (1.16586)
Targets: 1.15842 → 1.15228 → 1.14550
Invalidation: A Bullish break above 1.16586 could invalidate the bearish setup.
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✅ Trading Considerations
Wait for confirmation of rejection at 1.16129 or 1.16586 before shorting.
Watch for volume confirmation on the pullback.
Monitor fundamentals (e.g. ECB or Fed news) as they can drive sudden volatility.
My Take on the EURUSD H1 Setup (July 14, 2025)
This is a classic textbook-quality TCB setup forming right at a critical confluence zone. Here's a full breakdown from a trader's lens:
🔵 1. Trend
Bias: Bullish
The macro structure from June shows a strong uptrend, and the most recent impulse was explosive — indicating active buyers.
H4 and D1 show no trend break yet.
🔵 2. Countertrend
The descending channel is neat and controlled — no erratic spikes or liquidity wicks that signal confusion.
Compression into the demand zone (gray box) around 1.1652–1.1710 shows sellers are weakening.
This is typical of pre-breakout structure when buyers are loading up under the radar.
🔵 3. Breakout
Price just broke cleanly above the channel and is sitting slightly above the horizontal resistance (1.1710).
A retest and bullish candle confirmation would be ideal — don't rush in yet, let the market prove its intent.
🧠 Strategic Entry Zone (My Plan)
EP: 1.1710–1.1720 (after bullish retest candle)
SL: 1.1650 (just below demand and structure low)
TP: 1.1840 zone (clean R:R ≈ 1:2)
⚠️ Risk Watch
DXY inverse correlation should support this (if DXY is breaking lower, that adds confidence).
Make sure there's no high-impact news within next 4–6 hours (like US CPI, FOMC).
Session timing is favorable — NY open approaching, which brings momentum.
✅ Verdict
High-probability long setup (TCB Score: 8/10).
Wait for a bullish retest candle on the 1H or even 15M before entry. If that happens, the probability of hitting 1.1840 is strong — particularly if volume confirms.
Which Way to GoHello students and traders, let us jump into a quick top down analysis of the EURUSD.
On the Monthly, we see that price is in a down swing. We have seen price recently go bullish, all the way into the Monthly zone, from where it has begun to reverse bearish. We expect price to hold bearish and continue to melt towards our Monthly liquidity target.
Weekly & Daily:
On the weekly and daily Time frames, we have a bullish setup. This bullish setup is what has helped in driving prices all the way up and into the Monthly refined reversal zone. The weekly timeframe is curently seeing a bearish reversal. With the price hitting the monthly zone, there is a low likelihood of price continuing bullish. The bearishness might just continue for a while.
4 hour and 1 Hour
On the smaler timeframes of the 1 and 4 hour timeframe, market is in a bearish swing. We see prices making lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of a downtrend. We expect this bearishness to hold. Where that happens, we will see market in the longrun and on the lower time frames experience bearish reversals, with price untimately targetting the Monthly liquidity target.
EURUSD buy zoneEURUSD is holding around levels just below 1,1700.
Tomorrow, U.S. inflation data is expected, which could trigger bigger moves.
The key zone to watch for a reaction is between 1,1591 and 1,1682.
Look for a bounce and potential buying opportunities in that area.
Next resistance levels to keep in mind are 1,1813 and 1,1916!
Do you feel stuck in trading“Ask, and it will be given to you; seek, and you will find; knock, and the door will be opened to you.” — Matthew 7:7
This verse isn’t just spiritual—it’s strategic.
📈 Ask for clarity
🔍 Seek wisdom
🚪 Knock with action
Breakthrough starts with faith and persistence.
Let this be your reminder: You’re not stuck—you’re being positioned. 💡🙌
EURUSD - Still Orderflow remains bearishLooking at EU. The 1H Orderflow is still maintaining that bearish intent. My area is set now for where i want to take a potential sell to the downside seeing as everything else is pretty much mitigated.
The only issue with this potential sell of is that we never really had a sweep of liquidity before we rolled over and moved to the downside.
We do have a level of inducement before our POI but i think in an ideal world i would love to see us build up a bit more liquidity before the POI just to induce the early sellers before making that move to the downside.
For now. On the lower TF's i will be looking to take short term long positions back up to our POI before looking for the longer terms short. to our 4H POI in which i will be looking to get long once again.
Any questions feel free to give me a message
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU continued the slowly down movement to the next bullish Daily FVG. Price rejected from there and swept the low of the rejection. After that it slowly went up again.
Next week we could see price go higher for the start of the next (impulsive or corrective) wave up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EUR USD short setupwe had lower low so i say it may go further down , consider its Friday we may see ranging market so waiting for over price can be logical ...
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
Bearish Breakdown on EUR/USD: Support Flip and Short SetupThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish setup after price breaks below a rising support trendline. A potential short trade is indicated, with a stop loss at 1.16453 and a target at 1.15779. The highlighted green zone marks a key support-turned-resistance area.
#012: LONG Investment Opportunity on EUR/USD
In this scenario, I placed a passive long order on EUR/USD at a key zone that has shown signs of accumulation and institutional defense in recent days.
The price showed bearish manipulation followed by a sharp rebound with a V-shaped pattern, often indicative of stop-loss hunting. In these phases, a direct entry is less effective than a passive strategy aimed at intercepting a possible technical pullback in the zone where abnormal volumes and algorithmic defenses have manifested.
The order was designed to be activated only if the market were to temporarily return to the previously absorbed zone, thus avoiding chasing the price after a directional candlestick.
The stop-loss placement was carefully chosen to avoid both typical retail hunting zones and areas visible to algorithms. It is positioned to ensure operational invisibility, but also consistency with the logic of institutional defense: if reached, the trade will be automatically invalidated.
The target is aligned with the superior technical structure and the normal range of movement that develops when this dynamic is respected.
This operation is designed to be left to operate completely autonomously, without the need for adjustments or active management. Either in or out. The sole objective is to align with institutional flows, with controlled risk and a favorable management structure.
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1641,an overlap resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1601, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1670, a swing high resistance.
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EURUSD: Deeper Pullback Before Bullish MoveHello Traders,
On EURUSD, we opened the new week with a significant downside gap, which has already been filled during the Asian session. Price has reacted from that gap area, and heading into the London session, I’m expecting a deeper pullback into the daily demand zone before the bullish continuation.
EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Builds Below Key ResEUR/USD has broken down from its recent highs near the 1.1750 resistance area, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The pair is now trading around the 1.1600 handle, slipping below a short-term support zone near 1.1576. This breakdown signals potential continuation of bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
The 50-day SMA (1.1477) remains upward sloping, but the price action has now decisively turned lower, with a series of lower highs forming after the July peak. The MACD histogram is fading, indicating waning bullish momentum, and the RSI has dropped to 47.7—losing the bullish bias and heading toward bearish territory.
If EUR/USD cannot reclaim the 1.1576–1.1600 zone quickly, a deeper pullback toward the 50-day SMA or even the 1.1450–1.1500 range may unfold. On the upside, bulls would need to push back above the 1.1750 resistance to regain control, but given the loss of momentum and structure, the near-term bias favors the bears.
-MW
EUR/USD Breaks Major Trendline Support – Bearish Continuation In🔍 EUR/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Structure Confirmed
The EUR/USD pair has officially broken below a well-established ascending trendline that supported the bullish structure since early May. This technical break is a strong bearish signal, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment as the pair loses upward momentum.
The pair is now trading around 1.16760, with sellers gaining control after failing to sustain above the 1.1700 region. The breakdown aligns with classic market structure principles, where a clean trendline violation often leads to a continuation move toward the next key support zone.
📍 Target Zone:
The identified downside target is around 1.1500, a critical demand zone that aligns with previous consolidation and potential liquidity pools. This area may act as a magnet for price before any significant reversal occurs.
📘 Trader's Insight:
This setup presents a clear example of a trendline break leading to a bearish continuation pattern. Professional traders may look for retests of the broken trendline for confirmation entries, or short-term rallies to add positions, while maintaining disciplined risk management.
✅ Technical Summary:
Structure: Bearish Breakout
Resistance: 1.1700
Support/Target: 1.1500
Bias: Bearish below trendline