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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD Will Go Up! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.169. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.177 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
NFP Bears gathering their troops? or will the Bulls stampede...The past 9 days have been quite interesting for the EUR/USD which has been relentless. Price has been rising like a helium balloon let loose at the park... Bulls have clearly been in control, not only the past 9 days but since the beginning of the year with the exception of the strong pullback in April & May only to bounce for another 700 pip run. I am totally USD bearish across the board as I have been mentioning in my analysis videos for the past few months but like all macro moves, we always have pullbacks along the way and that is why I have been shorting the EUR/USD back from 1.1500+ - 1.1700+ I've given this a lot of room to breathe, more than usual but considering the following technical setup, I'm willing to give the Bears some leeway and potentially show me they'll come through. •Rising Broadening pattern (Where two trendlines start close together only to divergence and expand) - This is a bearish pattern. •Negative Divergence on the MACD, Linear Regression & the RSI. •Price has made a run to the yearly R3 pivot level. (Rare extension) •Last daily candle is a hanging man candlestick (Reversal candle) •Weekly chart has the EUR/USD at the upper band of a polynomial regression channel which calculates for price extremities in the market. There are a few more setups as well but it's too much to describe here and I'd have to show it in a video (Which I plan to do over the weekend) With all of that said... It could all fail lol but seriously speaking... You just can't ask for a better probabilistic setup so whatever happens during NFP... happens. Aside from the technical aspect... I know yearly R2 around 1.1600 was a hotspot for shorts because divergence was at the early stages and taking a short there wouldn't have been a bad idea but we know institutions are in play as well, so above 1.1600 could have been a huge area to run stop losses and margin calls before a potential reversal. 250 pips would be enough to run a large pool of stops and liquidation. IF price is going to reverse here during NFP, I believe late longs and breakout/pullback traders are going to try and buy at the trendline at 1.1660ish but it wont hold and trap them on the other side of the trade. Under that, I can see us pulling back towards 1.1200ish... If the Bears give up and price continues to climb... the original macro target may very well be under way which was 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Based on a Monthly and 3-Month chart analysis) As of this writing the EUR/USD is pretty much completely flat which is expected before the NFP fireworks ahead of July 4th. We'll see what happens tomorrow morning! buckle up! As always, Good luck and Trade Safe! See you post NFP.
Short
by InternalTraderNYC
1
EUR/USD: A High-Probability Short Setup at 1.1829At its core, this trade is driven by a powerful and growing divergence between the US and European economies. While technicals tell us where to trade, fundamentals tell us why we're trading. 1️⃣ The Interest Rate Gap: The U.S. currently offers significantly higher interest rates (4.25% - 4.50%) compared to the Eurozone (2.15%). This makes holding the US Dollar more attractive, creating natural downward pressure on the EUR/USD. 2️⃣ Central Bank Policy: The US Federal Reserve remains hawkish, focused on strength and fighting inflation. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is dovish, signaling a willingness to keep conditions loose to support a weaker economy. 3️⃣ Labor Market Strength: The US enjoys a robust labor market with unemployment at just 4.1%, while the Eurozone's is significantly higher at 6.3%. This points to a stronger US economy. In simple terms, the US economy is strong, and its central bank is acting like it. The Eurozone economy is weaker, and its central bank is acting accordingly. This fundamental imbalance is the fuel for a potential significant move down in EUR/USD. The Technical Picture: The Wall at 1.1829 As you can see on the 4H chart, the price has run into a major wall of resistance at the 52-week high of 1.1829 . After a long uptrend, the momentum has stalled, and the price is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle . This coiling of price action often precedes a strong breakout. Our strategy is not to guess the breakout, but to act on a high-probability retest of resistance. We are looking to enter a short position as the price pulls back towards the upper boundary of this triangle, anticipating a failure at resistance and a subsequent break to the downside. The Actionable Trade Plan This setup offers an excellent risk/reward profile. 📉 Asset: EUR/USD 👉 Entry (Limit Sell): 1.1780 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.1850 🎯 Take Profit: 1.1600 📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.57:1 Trade safe and manage your risk.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1905 1st Support: 1.1577 1st Resistance: 1.2152 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
What is Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels & Zones in Forex Dynamic supports and resistances play a crucial role in technical analysis. Unlike classic supports and resistances, these zones change and adapt to a market price action in real time. Learn what is dynamic support and resistance in Forex, Gold trading and how to find it easily. Discover its main types and real market examples. Let's start with the basics. There are 2 major types of supports and resistances in technical analysis. The first type is called static . Such supports and resistances are fixed and don't change with time. It should be strictly horizontal key levels or the zones. Market price action and momentum beyond them do not affect these supports and resistances. In the example above, you can find static supports and resistances on Gold. The market may return to one of those levels or the zones today, tomorrow or in a month, but it will not move. In comparison to static supports and resistances, the dynamic ones shift with time. They constantly change and adjust as the time flies. One of the obvious types of dynamic supports and resistances is a trend line. Above is the example of a dynamic rising support based on trend line. As the time goes, a support shifts and becomes higher and higher. I found a great example of a dynamic resistance on Dollar Index. Depending on the moment when the price tests that, the resistance will be on different levels. The later the price tests the trend line, the lower is the resistance. When newbie traders learn dynamic supports and resistances, they usually stop on trend lines. But it is just a beginning. Really significant dynamic supports are resistances will be the zones . The areas based on static horizontal supports and resistances and trend lines. Examine a price action on GBPCHF forex pair. We have a static horizontal support area and a dynamic rising trend line. Two supports intersect, composing a contracting dynamic support zone. With time, it will become narrower, accumulating buy orders within. On NZDCAD forex pair, I underlined a contracting dynamic resistance zone that is based on an intersection of a static horizontal resistance area and a falling trend line. Selling orders will be distributed within. The 2 dynamic support and resistance zones that we discussed are narrowing , but that is not always the case. A dynamic support zone that I found on GBPNZD is expanding and broaden with time. It is based on a dynamic falling trend line and a static horizontal support. With time its boundaries will be wider and a bullish reaction may initiate from any level within that. A dynamic resistance area that I spotted on EURCAD forex pair is a great example of an expanding resistance. It is based on a static horizontal resistance and a rising trend line. We can easily recognize how it grows with time. Of course, another types of dynamic supports and resistances exist. But they are more nuanced and rare. As soon as you learn to recognize the clusters that we discussed in this article, you will be able to recognize the less obvious ones as well. Next time, when you execute a support and resistance analysis, try to find a dynamic zone. You can find it on any time frame, and forex pair and gold, and it will completely change your perspective on the market. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education
by VasilyTrader
7
EURUSD → Bullish daily structure. Correction before growthFX:EURUSD , after significant growth and a break of structure, has entered a local correction, the target of which may be a phase of accumulation of potential for updating intermediate highs (1.183). The daily market model is bullish. A break of the structure has formed on D1, and the market is entering a correction phase, during which it may be interested in testing 0.5 or the 0.7 Fibonacci area before continuing its growth. I would also like to draw attention to the previously broken resistance level of 1.164 - 1.163, which, within the current correction, may act as a support level for buyers... In addition, the market has not yet reached the liquidity level it was heading for during the correction for a possible continuation of growth. Zone of interest: 1.168, 1.164, 1.159 Resistance levels: 1.1728, 1.1766 Support levels: 1.168, 1.164, 1.159 A false breakdown of the specified support zone could change the market imbalance and attract buyer interest, which could generally support the bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
EURUSD Could leading Bullish correctionEURUSD has shown significant bullish momentum after breaking its previous structure. The pair is now undergoing a local corrective phase, which is healthy within an overall upward trend. Currently, the price remains in a bullish model, suggesting that the correction may be short-lived before a continuation toward the key resistance zone. Resistance zone 1.17620 / 1.18220 Support Level 1.16800 1.17450 A false breakdown below the identified support level could trigger renewed buying interest, shifting market sentiment in favour of bulls and potentially accelerating the next upward leg. Ps Support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks.
Long
by MrMartin_11
9
Thursday July 10th – EURUSDEURUSD didn’t give us any trade setups yesterday and is still respecting the short-term bearish trendline. Price has remained below 1.17500, acting as resistance, and hasn’t given confirmation for buys. We’re still watching the same key zones: ✅ Safe buys: Above 1.17500 if we get a solid break and bullish close. ✅ HRHR buys: Retest of 1.16898 (Wednesday's low) showing rejection or support. Until either of those levels are tapped, I’m not taking trades on this pair. Current structure still offers no low-risk opportunities. Let it come to us.
Long
by Thetraderscollective
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders. Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
Long
by basictradingtv
7
EURUSD NEW HIGHS?The 1h timeframe reminds me of this book, LIQUIDITY AND MANIPULATION. "The markets need to generate liquidity in order to move, so if liquidity isn´t already there, it will be created. So when new traders come in to forex and learn about it for the first time, what they usually do is gonna be retail based trading. So support and resistance, chart patterns which are extremely popular in the industry, and things of that nature. So what some brokers do is they offer free education for their clients once we start trading. Now this education will usually be retail methods support and resistance. " Thanks for this idea. here is the chart relative to this, see the price above it will clear? I have more on this kind of idea. This is not a financial advice. Follow for more . trade it or see it. Goodluck
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
by TradeSelecter
$EU (EURUSD) 1HPrice has been in a short-term downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Recently, price tapped into a clear demand zone (marked gray at the bottom), showing strong bullish rejection and mitigation. A clean break of the descending trendline confirms a potential shift in market structure. Price has now retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) after the breakout — a bullish continuation setup. As long as price holds above the FVG and demand zone, expect a continuation toward external liquidity above - Demand Zone (1.16700–1.16950) If price breaks back below the FVG and especially under the demand zone, the bullish scenario weakens
Long
by TopGBanks
EURUSD TRADES BEARISH Last week, due to a fail of holding above the 1.18000 level, we saw a huge 1-hour decline of 0.39% on big selling volumes, which is not typical for such instruments as EURUSD. Since that time, the price has been moving within a descending channel and has formed a possible pennant yesterday. All of the factors "vote" for going bearish in this asset. So, what will be the possible scenario? We may go market sell right immediately, or wait till the breakout of the pennant pattern. In this case we may set 🔽 a sell stop order at 1.17400 with ❌a stop loss at 1.17670 and 🤑a take profit at 1.16915 Additionally, EURUSD may go even further downstairs, next to a 1.16000 support level. For this case we may preserve some minor part of our position with a take profit set nearby this level.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1