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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.1692, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1610, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.1765, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD is moving within the 1.16850 -1.18310 range👀 Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) dropped 0.6% on July 7 amid rising trade tensions and fading hopes for near-term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Market sentiment turned cautious after U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs targeting 14 countries without trade deals, raising concerns over global trade disruption. Major exporters like Japan and South Korea could face 25% tariffs if deals aren’t reached, while nations aligning with BRICS risk an extra 10% duty. With a quiet economic calendar on July 8, market volatility may ease, though investors remain alert to any trade policy shifts that could spark renewed market reaction. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.16850 Resistance level is located at 1.18310
by MaxOnMarkets
EUR/USD Slides Below 1.1720 - Dovish Euro Data and Hawkish FedThe euro continued to retreat against the U.S. dollar in Tuesday’s European session, with FOREXCOM:EURUSD falling to 1.17163, pressured by weakening Eurozone fundamentals and renewed U.S. dollar strength. Technically, the pair has broken below a short-term support zone around 1.1745, marking a clear shift toward bearish momentum. Price action on the 4-hour chart shows a rejection from the 1.1773 resistance zone last week, forming a descending pattern as sellers gained control. Multiple indicators confirm the downward bias. The MACD (19,39,29) and MACD (12,26,9) are both printing bearish crossovers, with declining histograms indicating increasing downside momentum. Meanwhile, the JoeChalhoub_FXForecaster V1, a custom indicator, shows fading bullish pressure with histogram bars turning pink and gradually weakening. The non-repainting version supports the same trend, reflecting reduced bullish participation. Adding to the technical signals, the OsMA oscillator remains negative and is steadily declining, underscoring the persistent bearish sentiment. On the fundamental side, pressure on the euro increased after this morning’s German Industrial Production data missed expectations, further reinforcing concerns about stagnation in Germany. This comes amid ongoing dovish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB), which is widely expected to maintain a cautious stance through Q3. In contrast, the U.S. dollar is gaining ground as investors respond to Friday’s robust Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and increasingly hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials. The central bank has hinted at the possibility of additional rate hikes should inflation remain sticky, widening the policy divergence between the Fed and the ECB. Key support levels for EUR/USD are now seen at 1.16890, followed by a critical zone at 1.16184. A break below these areas could open the door toward the 1.15230 region in the coming sessions. On the upside, resistance lies at 1.17498 and 1.17730. Outlook: The path of least resistance for EUR/USD remains lower in the short term. Unless upcoming data reverses the current macro narrative, the euro may remain on the defensive. Current Trade Status Opened - 7/7 @ 7:51 PM - 1.17043 Target - 1.16184 SL - 1.18289 Current Trading Account Status - (-0.007%) This is not trading advice. You should always perform your own research and technical analysis before opening a position.
Short
by jk13204
EURUSD I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
5
EURUSD Eyes Key Levels Ahead of DataFOREXCOM:EURUSD EURUSD is trading within the 1.1680 – 1.1810 range 📊, continuing its upward momentum during the Asian and early European sessions 🌏⬆️. ⚡️ Markets are now focusing on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU 🤝, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment 🌐. 📈 Today at 12:30 p.m. UTC 🕧, the U.S. Jobless Claims report 📑 may trigger volatility across all USD pairs ⚠️. Stronger-than-expected data could delay Fed rate cuts 🕰️🔻 and push EURUSD below 1.1700 🩻, while weaker figures may weigh on the U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ and lift EURUSD above 1.1800 🚀. 👀 We will monitor these levels closely for potential breakout opportunities. Stay tuned for live updates!
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
1
$EU (EURUSD) 1HPrice has been in a short-term downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Recently, price tapped into a clear demand zone (marked gray at the bottom), showing strong bullish rejection and mitigation. A clean break of the descending trendline confirms a potential shift in market structure. Price has now retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) after the breakout — a bullish continuation setup. As long as price holds above the FVG and demand zone, expect a continuation toward external liquidity above - Demand Zone (1.16700–1.16950) If price breaks back below the FVG and especially under the demand zone, the bullish scenario weakens
Long
by TopGBanks
EUR/USD Pulls Back from Yearly HighsThe EUR/USD pair has depreciated by nearly 0.5% over the past three trading sessions, favoring the U.S. dollar. At the moment, this appears to be the prevailing short-term trend, marking a new and steady bearish bias that has started to weigh on the euro. The current selling pressure has remained consistent, as the U.S. dollar shows renewed strength. The DXY index, which measures dollar performance, has been rising toward the 98 level, showing a solid recovery that could further intensify downward pressure on EUR/USD. Sustained Uptrend In recent weeks, the euro has shown consistent bullish momentum, maintaining a dominant uptrend on the long-term chart. So far, the recent bearish corrections haven’t been strong enough to break the structure, making it the key technical formation to watch in EUR/USD. However, the dollar’s current recovery appears to be gaining traction, and if that trend continues, it could put the existing uptrend at risk. Technical Indicators MACD: The MACD histogram is oscillating near the neutral zero line, suggesting that momentum from the moving averages remains balanced. If this continues, price action could consolidate into a more defined neutral range in upcoming sessions. ADX: The ADX line remains above the 20 threshold but is starting to slope downward, which, if sustained, may lead to a more neutral price structure in the near term. Key Levels to Watch: 1.18068 – Key resistance: This level marks the yearly high for EUR/USD. A breakout above this point could reinforce the current bullish trend. 1.15299 – Nearby support: A recent neutral zone. A breakdown here could trigger a stronger bearish bias and threaten the prevailing uptrend. 1.13177 – Distant support: Corresponds to a consolidation zone formed in May. If price drops to this level, it may activate a fresh and meaningful bearish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
EURUSD – Trade Projection (Follow-Up) Current Price Action Development: Liquidity beneath the VCP Range Low successfully taken via Sweep Event. Price has reversed back inside the compression zone, signaling potential bullish reclaim. Anticipated Scenario: Watching for a confirmed Trend Signature Shift (TSS) to validate bullish continuation. Entry model of choice: Retrace Precision Entry (RPE) post-TSS confirmation. Target Zones: Initial Target: Mid-range zone of the VCP structure. Extended Target: Clustered liquidity within the Order Clustering Zone (OCZ) situated above current price action, aligned with HTF bullish structure. Risk & Invalidations: While HTF Ascend Sequence bias remains intact, vigilance is maintained for any absolute structural breakdown that would favor a Sell-Side Bias Environment (SBE). Summary: Favorable for tactical long setups post-TSS confirmation, scaling targets toward mid-range and OCZ, contingent on structure and momentum.
Long
by Olamitrades1
EURUSD OUTLOOK 8 - 11 JULYNFP and unemployment rate came out bullish for the dollar which caused that big push to the down side. The job market is still holding well thus we are less likely to see the FED cut rates. Other economic data is still showing that the dollar is weaker against the euro so I'm not going to change my direction bias just yet. Technical analysis also clearly shows that we are still bullish on EURUSD. We don't have much fundamental data coming out this week so I'm anticipating price to continue lower to give a deeper pullback off of last weeks data, Then next week depending how CPI, PPI and Retails sales go we will get a clearer picture on how to trade the pair. Last week's 4H outlook is still valid and is more useful when looking to execute trades. This daily Analysis just gives the bigger picture for more of a swing setup analysis
Long
by Keyserfx
1
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour candlestick chart for the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair on the OANDA platform. The chart shows a recent upward trend followed by a consolidation phase, with key technical levels and trading signals indicated. The presence of "SELL" and "BUY" signals suggests active trading opportunities. The downward arrow within the shaded area hints at a potential bearish move. This chart is likely used by traders to analyze short-term price movements and make informed decisions.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
4
EUR/USD Bears Maintain Control as ECB Caution Weigh on EuroTechnical Analysis The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects ongoing bearish pressure after failing to sustain above the 1.17647 resistance zone, indicating sellers are currently dominating the market. The pair trades below the 20-period EMA (blue line), which is beginning to slope downwards, confirming short-term bearish momentum. Price action remains beneath the middle Bollinger Band, emphasizing seller control over the near-term price direction. Recent candlesticks show multiple rejections from the 1.17164 level (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), indicating strong resistance and failed attempts to push higher. The overall momentum suggests a potential continuation of the downward move unless bullish momentum returns decisively. Failure to hold the support near 1.16865 would expose the pair to deeper declines targeting the Fibonacci extension zones between 1.16650 and 1.16380 and possibly lower. Alternative Scenario: Conversely, a break and sustained close above 1.17164 (61.8% retracement) could trigger a short-term rebound, potentially challenging the 1.17647 resistance level. Fundamental Outlook ECB officials' speeches today will reinforce the cautious policy stance, maintaining rates steady amid external uncertainties. US crude oil inventory reports and the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast will be key in assessing inflationary pressures and economic growth. The FOMC meeting minutes release will be critical for signaling the Fed's future monetary policy intentions, which remain a key driver for the dollar’s strength.
Short
by Errante