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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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🇪🇺 EURUSD – July 8 | Ranging After FakeoutAfter breaking Thursday’s low, EURUSD gave us 30 pips then started ranging right at that level. Today’s price action is mildly bullish, but likely just a retest of the 4hr bearish structure that’s formed. 📌 Key Levels: 🔼 Safe Buys: Above 1.18075 (strong resistance) → Breakout = ~70 pip opportunity 🔽 Sells / Deeper Pullback: Below 1.16869 → Potential 60 pip drop into next liquidity zone ⚠️ Current range is tight and indecisive — not worth trading until we get a break. Bias still bullish longer-term, but patience needed here.
Short
by Thetraderscollective
EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone, Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level. We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD short: The markets are finally ignoring the noise. Hello traders I have taken a break from trying to trade this chaotic mess we have witnessed over the last few months. Liberation Day, Big Beautiful Bill, the Middle East as volatile as ever, Iranian nukes destroyed, etc. etc. On the domestic USA front we have also witnessed daily headlines of the Trump administration being sued, anti-immigration campaign promises being fulfilled, the Judicial system being undermined, for the Love of God, the President of the United States of America saying that he will have to check with his lawyers if he should observe the constitution. And...the independence of the FOMC being threatened on a daily basis. So much for law and order. Smoke and mirrors, folks. Distractions and chaos. But the technical indicators never lie. The indicators also reflect the true fundamentals. In this case, USA inflation is heading higher again. keep an eye on tomorrow's CPE print. Labor market seems OK for now. Therefore, the two projected rate cuts by the FOMC for 2025 have already been priced into the DXY and US 10Y yield. No amount of bullying or public pondering who Chair Powell's replacement will be, can change the fundamentals. Inflation is rearing it's ugly head again. Gold and Bitcoin are both showing daily dojis. The EUR/USD has already turned down from the 0.786% Fibonacci and there is clear divergence between price and RSI. The parallel up channel also seems to confirm an impending downturn in EUR/USD. I did initiate a short EUR/USD position at 1.1688 and my entry order to add to the position at 1.1740 just shy of the 0.786% Fibonacci was also fulfilled. Best of luck all.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
2
Dollar firms as tariff tensions resurface | FX ResearchAs US traders return from the Independence Day holiday, they'll find a stronger dollar supported by renewed trade tensions and geopolitical noise. Tariffs are back in focus ahead of Wednesday's deadline, with President Trump warning that countries aligning with BRICS policies contrary to US interests will face a 10% tariff. Markets remain frustrated by shifting timelines as reciprocal tariffs are now pushed to August 1st. China has also announced retaliatory curbs on EU medical device imports, complicating its outreach to the Eurozone. In Japan, real wages slumped 2.9% in May, underscoring inflation pressures ahead of key elections later this month. On a more positive note, Germany's May industrial production jumped 1.2% and the Eurozone Sentix survey beat expectations, though ECB's Centeno warned of downside risks to inflation and potential euro weakness. In Sweden, faster-than-expected CPI data has cast doubt on near-term rate cuts from the Riksbank. Today is quiet on the data front in North America, but attention turns to ECB’s Holzmann for further policy clues. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Technical ReversalThe daily EUR/USD chart shows a clear rejection at the 1.1830 resistance, aligned with the 0% Fibonacci level, following a sustained upward move. The rejection candlestick pattern, combined with the formation of an ascending channel, suggests buyer exhaustion and a potential start of a correction. Fibonacci projections indicate key support zones at 1.1198 (38.2%), 1.1000 (50%), and 1.0800 (61.8%). A sustained break below the ascending trendline and the intermediate support zone (highlighted in yellow) would reinforce the correction scenario, with a potential target at 1.0176 (100% Fibonacci). Decreasing volume and the lack of new significant highs further support the reversal hypothesis. Momentum analysis (RSI and MACD, if present) should be monitored for additional confirmation of the weakening bullish trend. From a fundamental perspective, the correction may be triggered by divergences in ECB and Fed monetary policies, as well as recent macroeconomic data favoring the US dollar. EUR/USD is showing clear technical signs of reversal after rejection at a key resistance. Loss of the 1.10 and 1.08 supports could accelerate the correction toward 1.0176. Close monitoring of upcoming candles and momentum indicators is recommended for confirmation of the move.
Long
by jeffersonmld
1
Mastering Risk Management: The Trader’s Real EdgeYou’ve all heard it, “Cut your losses and let your winners run.” Simple words — but living by them is what separates survivors from blown accounts. Here’s some tips on how to approach risk management when trading: ☑️ Risk is always predefined: Before I click Buy or Sell, I know exactly how much I’m willing to lose. If you don’t define risk upfront, the market will do it for you. ☑️ Position sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade. Small losses mean you can keep taking high‑probability setups without fear. ☑️ Always use a stop‑loss: No stop? You’re not trading — you’re gambling. ☑️ Stop‑loss discipline: Place stops where the market proves you wrong — not where it “feels comfortable.” Then leave them alone. ☑️ Focus on risk/reward, not win rate: A 40% win rate can still be profitable if your average reward outweighs your risk. ☑️ Risk/reward ratio: Only take trades with at least a 2:1 or 3:1 potential. You don’t need to win every trade — your winners should pay for your losers (and more). Remember: “It’s not about being right all the time. It’s about not losing big when you’re wrong.” Risk management won’t make your trades perfect — but it will keep you trading tomorrow. And in this game, staying in the game is everything. 💭 How do you handle risk in your trading? Drop your strategy or tip in the comments — let’s share and learn together! 👇 Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, we appreciate the support! All the best for a good week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
2
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17341 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17512.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
EUR/USD Rally Pauses Near 1.18000 – Higher Targets in SightHi Everyone, Last week, price action delivered the 1.18000 level we had been calling for, and as expected, dynamic resistance around that area proved to be significant. Looking ahead, we anticipate EUR/USD will continue to test the 1.18000 level this week while holding above the 1.16680 support zone. A strong break above last week’s high could attract further buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 and ultimately the 1.20000 levels. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
15