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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Pullback or Reversal?Alright Traders, Looking at the charts, it seems price just broke below a really strong trend line support – that line held up multiple times (you can see the circled spots!). Now, the big question is: Is this just a quick dip (a pullback) in our current uptrend, or is this the end of the uptrend altogether? If the price holds up at the 1.16146 support level, we could see a strong move higher, potentially all the way to our daily trend line resistance (that dotted line). But, if the 0.618 Fibonacci support level fails to hold, we might be looking at a short downtrend heading towards a daily or even weekly support zone. My technical indicators are flashing 'buy' right now, but we know we can't just follow indicators blindly. So, here's my plan: I'm waiting. I want to see if this pullback finishes and price starts climbing again, or if it clearly shows us the uptrend is over and a downtrend has started. Patience is key! Timeframes used: Daily and Weekly Current Trend: Uptrend"
by Sully-X
EUR/USD Technical Outlook Daily chart frame**EUR/USD has bounced from the S1 zone (\~1.1595–1.1575)**, chart analysis **EUR/USD Technical Outlook** **Current Price:** \~1.1618 **Recent Action:** Rejection from S1 zone, forming a potential base. **Bullish Scenario (Active)** The pair has bounced from key **S1 support** (1.1595 area), suggesting demand is present. **If momentum holds:** * **Immediate Target 1:** 1.1645 (Fibonacci + 21 EMA) * **Target 2:** 1.1665–1.1685 zone (7 EMA + minor resistance) * **Target 3:** 1.1725 (R1 zone and mid-July resistance) * Breakout above R1 would shift momentum firmly bullish. *Watch for bullish continuation candles and rising volume.* **Bearish Risk (Still Possible)** * If the bounce stalls near **1.1645–1.1665**, and the pair reverses: * A drop back toward **1.1595–1.1575** support could occur again. * Break below that zone would expose: * **S2 support at 1.1510** * Possibly extend to **1.1475** in case of stronger USD demand Summary: * **Bounce from S1** shows initial bullish strength. * **Key resistance to break:** 1.1645–1.1685 for bullish continuation. * **Key support to hold:** 1.1595–1.1575 to avoid deeper correction.
Long
by Harry_Megat
Euro Steady, EU Prepares $84B RetaliationEUR/USD hovered near 1.1670 in Tuesday’s Asian session as markets awaited US-EU trade updates. Despite Trump’s 30% tariff announcement on EU imports, he confirmed that negotiations with Brussels are ongoing ahead of the August 1 deadline. According to Bloomberg, the EU is ready to respond with proportional tariffs targeting $84B (€72B) worth of US goods, including Boeing jets, bourbon, cars, and machinery. Resistance for the pair is at 1.1715, while support is at 1.1645.
by ChartMage
EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSSTRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSS The U.S. CPI report data came out right what the market expected (2.7% vs. 2.7% annually). After this report the pair went downwards on increased volume, triggering my stop loss and found the support only on 4-h sma200 and 1.16000 level. What will be the possible scenario next? I assume that the asset will go testing the trendline at 1.16650. If the test is successful, I will consider opening a 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 1.16651 with ❌a stop loss at 1.18180 and 🤑a take profit at 1.15122 Only if the retest is successful, not earlier! Let's observe first. Additionally, today is the U.S. PPI report coming out at 12:30 p.m. UTC, so got to be careful around this time
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
July 15 2025 -Sell Limit ActivatedGood day, folks! Just sharing another learning from my ideas here: EURUSD has been in a bearish structure since July 14, 2025 (1H Intraday). As you know, I always look for clear supply or demand validation before placing a sell or buy limit order. On the chart, you can see a valid supply zone that was generated on Monday. After that, I waited for a clear move during the Tuesday London and New York sessions, with the CPI news release acting as a catalyst for more volatility. The trade came to fruition during the New York session on Tuesday. (See chart for the complete breakdown of the movement and entry.) RR: 1:3 Another Wyckoff schematics and structure analysis.
Short
by glyrad
Eyes on 1.16300: EUR/USD Prepares for the Next Move.📉 EUR/USD Technical 📈 The pair has broken a strong support level and is now finding footing around 1.15970, forming a fresh bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at this zone. At the moment, EUR/USD is moving within a bearish FVG. Here's what to watch next: 🔻 If the market dips from here, we could see a reversal from the lower edge of this FVG. 🔼 But if it holds and pushes higher, breaking above 1.16300 — the CE (Continuity Equation) level of the bearish FVG — that could unlock further bullish momentum. 🚨 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.15970 Resistance/Breakout Zone: 1.16300 📊 Stay alert — price action at these levels could define the next move. 👉 DYOR – Do Your Own Research 📌 Not financial advice.
by Peter_Wade
EURUSD at Daily Demand After CPI – Bullish Setup in PlayHello Traders, I hope everyone is having a fantastic week! Today on EURUSD, price is trading within the daily flip demand zone following yesterday’s USD CPI news release. While I usually avoid trading during CPI events due to the high volatility and unpredictable price spikes—often driven by algorithms and emotional retail reactions—yesterday did present a valid short opportunity. Now that price is back in the daily demand zone, a bullish setup using lower time frame (LTF) confirmation offers a high-probability trade. We could see a decent push up toward the nearby daily supply zone.
Long
by fxtrends28
Eurousd techinical analysis.This chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on the 3-hour timeframe includes several technical elements: Key Elements Identified: 1. Descending Channel (Blue & Red Area): Price was moving within a descending trend channel, indicating a bearish trend. 2. Breakout Above Trend Line: The price has broken out of the descending trend line ("Trande line" — which is likely a typo for "Trend line"), suggesting potential bullish reversal. 3. FVG (Fair Value Gap): This marks an imbalance in price action where the price moved too rapidly, often leading to a retracement or revisit. It could be used as a liquidity target for price to fill. 4. O.B (Order Block): An order block represents a strong area of institutional buying/selling. Price appears to have reacted from this bullish order block, initiating the recent upward move. 5. Measurement Box (0.55% / 63.3 pips): Indicates the expected or measured move from the O.B. to the FVG level. 6. Horizontal Support and Resistance Levels: Marked in purple, showing recent consolidation or price reaction
Long
by Rickypher
#AN021: TRUMP Threats on Tariffs and FOREX Tensions Global markets are waking up to a currency cold war. Hi, I'm Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share the latest news with you. Donald Trump set the day alight, launching a barrage of threats from a rally in Ohio: "If re-elected, I will impose 60% tariffs on all of China, 20% on Mexico, and 10% on the European Union. And I'm telling Putin clearly: if you continue to help China evade our embargoes, we will hit Russia too." The words reverberated across global investment banks, triggering an immediate reaction in the dollar and emerging market currencies. Markets React: USD Soars, GBP and NOK on Alert The US dollar gained ground against nearly all major currencies, while the GBP collapsed under pressure from fears of a BoE rate cut and a slowing labor market. The GBP/NOK pair, in particular, is showing signs of a structured bearish breakout: the pound is under dual pressure (domestic politics + trade war), while the Norwegian krone is indirectly benefiting from rising energy prices and pro-commodity sentiment. US CPI at 2:30 PM: The Real Detonator The US core inflation figure will be released at 2:30 PM Italian time. The consensus is for +3.4%, but a higher reading could push the Fed to remain more hawkish for longer. This would strengthen the dollar and create new shock waves in weak and emerging market currencies. Specifically: USD/JPY could break above 162.00 with strength. GBP/USD risks a break below 1.29. USD/SEK and USD/MXN are the key pairs to watch for explosive movements. Trump vs. Powell: A Showdown Meanwhile, fears are growing of a direct attack by Trump on the Fed. According to Deutsche Bank, markets are underestimating the possibility that Trump will attempt to remove Jerome Powell if he returns to the White House. "The market is ignoring the Trump-Powell variance. If he really tries, the dollar could fall 4% in a week," – Deutsche Bank We are about to enter the best time of the month for Forex. Those who get their timing wrong today will burn capital. Those who wait for the right signal can ride the trend arising from a predicted global crisis.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
LONG EURUSD I am LONG on this pair at time of writing. IT is important to adjust your paper profits NOT SO high that it will wipe you out and you need to restart at a higher buying price. Say you have 2 contracts and is in profits position, you can take 1 contract or 0.5 or 1.5 size and leave the remaining to run at breakeven SL position. That way, if you are riding on the market trend, then your remaining position be it 0.5 or 1.5 will still benefit and you can just accumulate as it trends up. This works for me but may not be for everyone. Choose a strategy that fits you. Different folks, different strokes.
Long
by dchua1969
The Day AheadMacro Data Highlights United States June CPI – Crucial inflation gauge; likely to shape Fed rate expectations. Empire Manufacturing Index (July) – Regional economic activity snapshot. China Q2 GDP – Key read on the health of the world’s second-largest economy. June Retail Sales / Industrial Production / Home Prices – Important for tracking domestic demand and real estate trends. Europe Germany & Eurozone ZEW Surveys (July) – Investor sentiment indicators, especially relevant amid sluggish European growth. Eurozone May Industrial Production – Tracks output momentum in manufacturing-heavy economies. Italy May Government Debt – Sovereign debt level insights amid fiscal scrutiny. Canada June CPI – Important for BoC policy outlook. Existing Home Sales / May Manufacturing Sales – Indicators of economic activity and housing market resilience. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Bowman, Barr, Collins, Barkin – Watch for comments on inflation and rate cut timing. BoE: Governor Bailey – May impact GBP and UK rate expectations. Earnings (Focus: Financials) JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock Q2 results will offer insights into: Net interest income trends Credit quality & loan growth Capital market activity (BlackRock focus on AUM and inflows) Trading Takeaway U.S. CPI and bank earnings are the top market movers – inflation print could shift rate cut expectations for September. China data may influence commodity and EM sentiment. Fed/BoE speakers may provide policy clarity amid disinflationary trends. Financials earnings will be key to market tone, especially for value stocks and financial sector ETFs. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
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