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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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The Day AheadMacro Data Highlights United States June CPI – Crucial inflation gauge; likely to shape Fed rate expectations. Empire Manufacturing Index (July) – Regional economic activity snapshot. China Q2 GDP – Key read on the health of the world’s second-largest economy. June Retail Sales / Industrial Production / Home Prices – Important for tracking domestic demand and real estate trends. Europe Germany & Eurozone ZEW Surveys (July) – Investor sentiment indicators, especially relevant amid sluggish European growth. Eurozone May Industrial Production – Tracks output momentum in manufacturing-heavy economies. Italy May Government Debt – Sovereign debt level insights amid fiscal scrutiny. Canada June CPI – Important for BoC policy outlook. Existing Home Sales / May Manufacturing Sales – Indicators of economic activity and housing market resilience. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Bowman, Barr, Collins, Barkin – Watch for comments on inflation and rate cut timing. BoE: Governor Bailey – May impact GBP and UK rate expectations. Earnings (Focus: Financials) JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock Q2 results will offer insights into: Net interest income trends Credit quality & loan growth Capital market activity (BlackRock focus on AUM and inflows) Trading Takeaway U.S. CPI and bank earnings are the top market movers – inflation print could shift rate cut expectations for September. China data may influence commodity and EM sentiment. Fed/BoE speakers may provide policy clarity amid disinflationary trends. Financials earnings will be key to market tone, especially for value stocks and financial sector ETFs. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
EURUSD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16869 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16975.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT TRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT🦾 EURUSD seems to find support on a trendline and shows us divergence on RSI on 1-h timeframe. So, I decided to close my trade in advance before my stop loss gets triggered and open long position with a 🔼 a market buy order at 1.16833 with ❌a stop loss at 1.16324 and 🤑a take profit at 1.18266 Additionally, today is the U.S. CPI report data coming out. Market expects the annual inflation to be around 2.7%. Me, personally, think that actual June inflation will be a bit lower, which may provide some fundamental support to the EURUSD. Will see.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
LONG | EUR/USD | 1DCurrent Level: ~1.1662 Revised Entry Zone: 🔄 Buy the dip around 1.1660–1.1670 This aligns with 50-day EMA and daily/4H pivot (~1.1630–1.1670) acting as support. Stop Loss: 1.1630 (just below 50 EMA & recent low) Target: 1.1750 → 1.1800 (range high/resistance) Risk:Reward: ~1:3.8 ✅ Institutional Rationale: Momentum remains bullish, though momentum indicators are cooling—price retesting structural support (mid-BB, pivot zone). Weekly outlook still favors bulls while above 1.1637–1.1670—suggesting accumulated buy orders in this zone. Event risk: U.S. employment and Fed speakers imminent—creates ideal buy-on-dip opportunities with tight stops.
Long
by per5onanongrata
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1684 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 1.1633 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1776 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Analysis – Smart Money Breakout + Reversal Zone in Play🔹 1. Bearish Channel & Liquidity Trap Setup Price action from late June into mid-July formed a clearly defined descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure likely attracted retail traders into short positions, expecting continued downside. 💡 Key Insight: The initial breakout of the channel was a fake move — often referred to as a liquidity grab or inducement. This is typical in smart money models where institutions trap early traders before the real move begins. 🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) Shortly after the fakeout, price sharply reversed and broke a major internal structure level, giving us our first CHoCH confirmation. This is a critical event in SMC, signaling a possible trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Why it matters: A CHoCH after a channel + fakeout combo is a strong reversal signal, especially when supported by volume and aggression. Visual cue: Look at the bullish engulfing momentum candle post-fakeout — this was the moment smart money entered. 🔹 3. Trendline Break + SR Interchange (Support/Resistance Flip) Following the CHoCH, price broke the trendline and came back down to test a high-probability SR Interchange Zone — an area where previous resistance turned into fresh support. This zone also aligns with the order block and inefficiency area, making it a premium entry for institutions. Notice how price respected the zone before launching aggressively upward. 🧠 Note: This was the cleanest entry point in this setup — combining structure break, liquidity, and a demand zone. 🔹 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) After the retest, EURUSD broke the last major lower high, confirming a Bullish BOS (Break of Structure). This is where many traders realized the trend had shifted. Market sentiment flipped from bearish to bullish. Momentum increased, indicating institutional buying pressure. 🔹 5. Next Target: Reversal Zone (Supply Area) Price has now reached a critical supply zone (1.1930 – 1.1970) where the next major reaction is likely to occur. This area was previously a strong rejection point, and it aligns with a potential higher timeframe supply zone. ⚠️ Watch for: Bearish rejection wicks Liquidity sweeps above highs Bearish engulfing or mitigation patterns CHoCH on lower timeframes (1H, 15m) ✅ Key Trading Takeaways: Liquidity Trap: Retail was trapped inside a clean channel. Fakeout Move: Induced shorts were wiped out. CHoCH & BOS: Clear reversal pattern with momentum. Perfect Retest Entry: Price retested demand and launched. Current Area = Supply/Distribution: Great place to look for shorts or take profits. 📌 Possible Trading Plans: 🔸 Plan A: Reversal Short (Countertrend) Entry: Inside 1.1930–1.1970 zone Confirmation: Bearish PA + LTF CHoCH TP1: Previous BOS (~1.1830) TP2: Demand zone retest (~1.1650) SL: Above 1.1980–1.2000 🔸 Plan B: Continuation Long (Breakout Bias) Entry: Break + Retest above 1.2000 psychological level SL: Below breakout wick TP1: 1.2100 TP2: 1.2200+ 🔖 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (CHoCH, BOS, liquidity sweep) Price Action Structure Trendline break and retest Supply & Demand Zones Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange) Volume + Momentum Confirmation 🔄 Conclusion: This chart demonstrates a classic Smart Money narrative: “Trap the retail, shift the structure, drive price into premium, then reverse.” We're now at a make-or-break supply zone. Watch price behavior carefully — this is where smart traders either secure profits or prepare for the next leg.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Long-Term Opportunity: Euro’s Resilience Can Drive Bullish MovesCurrent Price: $1.16822 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $1.1785 - T2 = $1.1830 Stop Levels: - S1 = $1.1660 - S2 = $1.1625 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro. **Key Insights:** The Euro continues to show resilience despite broader market challenges, presenting selective bullish opportunities. Germany's industrial production recovery and the Euro's strength against weaker currencies like the Japanese Yen and New Zealand Dollar reinforce the potential for upward pressure. However, critical upcoming events such as CPI and retail sales data could serve as catalysts for significant price movement. A data-driven approach remains crucial, with an eye on key support and resistance levels to validate bullish momentum. Euro sentiment has also been influenced by global interest rate dynamics and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, which impacts the US Dollar. Still, the Euro has found footing as investors weigh potential policy shifts from the European Central Bank (ECB) later in the year. **Recent Performance:** The Euro has defended against broader weakness in regional European markets while managing to sustain strength against select global currencies. Recently, EUR/USD experienced a steady recovery from critical multi-week lows at $1.1650 as traders focused on better-than-expected German industrial production of +1.2%. However, softer retail sales (-0.7%) and export data (-1.4%) have tempered some of the optimism. **Expert Analysis:** Analysts highlight that while weak macroeconomic data out of Europe remains a drag, selective trades offer strong upside potential for the Euro. Germany's industrial production continues to underpin sentiment, with analysts recommending long positions after confirming swing lows and bullish patterns. Technical setups focusing on Fibonacci retracement levels provide critical entry points, which suggest limited downside risk relative to the potential upside reward. **News Impact:** Key developments such as renewed tariff tensions and slower global economic momentum continue to shape Euro outlooks. The upcoming release of UK CPI on Wednesday and Eurozone retail sales updates may spark additional volatility. Professional traders emphasize careful monitoring of headline risk, with potential for surprising bullish catalysts that would justify higher pricing levels in the near term. **Trading Recommendation:** The Euro is poised for a potential rebound in the coming weeks, with technical and fundamental indicators aligning to suggest a bullish trajectory. Current price levels offer attractive entry points, provided stop-loss levels are respected to mitigate downside risk. Focus on a long-term perspective, leveraging data-driven insights to capture potential gains toward $1.1785 and beyond.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
EUR/USD| - Bullish BiasHTF Context: Noted a clear break of structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish intent. Originally expected a deeper liquidity grab, but price shifted before reaching lower zones. MTF Refinement: Dropped down to the 30M for better alignment — spotted a liquidity sweep confirming smart money interest. LTF Execution Plan: Now watching for mitigation of the 30M OB. Once tapped, I’ll look for internal structure shift (1M/5M BOS or CHoCH) to confirm continuation. Mindset: Staying patient — if price wants higher, it should respect this OB and show its hand first. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD: NEW WEEK TECHNICAL BIAS ( MARKET OPEN) Higher Timeframe Bias: The Ascend Sequence on Monthly, Weekly, and Daily remains intact; current Descend Sequence is viewed as a pullback within bullish orderflow. HTF bullish stance is maintained unless invalidated. Current Structure (Short-Term): Descend Sequence is still active across Daily, 4H, 1H, and micro-timeframes—momentum favors sell-side flow for now. Decision Range: Defined Decision Zone: 1.17494 – 1.16624 ▫︎ A break below 1.16624 strengthens the case for continuation of bearish leg. ▫︎ A break above 1.17494 would signal a bullish reclaim and potential Trend Signature Shift (TSS). Execution Scenarios: Scenario 1: If price trades into the 4H Order Clustering Zone (OCZ) from below and shows weakness, I’ll consider a short setup, ideally via Momentum Breach Entry (MBE) or a Retrace Precision Entry (RPE). Scenario 2: If market opens with a sharp Impulse Drive to the downside without tapping into the OCZ, I may consider tactical short opportunities, but only with caution and reduced risk. Target Zone for Shorts: Primary short-term target: Discount Zone of the Weekly/Daily price leg, where a Weekly PIZ and Rally Origin align. Bias Invalidation: A strong reclaim and hold above the decision range will invalidate short bias and reposition me for long setups in alignment with the HTF bullish framework. Summary: Sell-side lean remains valid short-term. However, macro bullish context persists. Awaiting structural resolution from decision range to confirm directional intent.
Short
by Olamitrades1