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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

Eurousd techinical analysis.This chart of EUR/USD (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a bearish setup based on price action, resistance zones, and a descending trendline. Here's a breakdown of what's shown: Key Components in the Chart: 1. Descending Trendline (Blue): Indicates lower highs, showing bearish pressure. 2. Resistance Zone (~1.1725–1.1735): Price is expected to test this zone. If rejected again, it reinforces the bearish setup. 3. Short-Term Range (Mini Boxes): Blue zigzag lines suggest a possible liquidity grab or false breakout above minor highs before reversal. 4. Bearish Target Zones: First target: ~1.1700 (short-term support). Second target: ~1.1690 (stronger support zone). --- Outlook Based on This Chart: Bias: Bearish (as long as price stays below the trendline). Entry Zone: Near resistance (1.1725–1.1735). Confirmation: Rejection candles or bearish engulfing in the resistance zone. Invalidation: Clear breakout and close above the trendline. Let me know if you want a trading plan based on this setup (entry, SL, TP), or if you'd like me to review the same pair in a different timeframe.
Short
by Rickypher
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD – Prolonged War and the Contagio🔍 Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD – Prolonged War and the Contagion of Uncertainty German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has stated that diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine have reached a deadlock. In parallel, Donald Trump’s recent remarks expressing dissatisfaction with Putin further reinforce expectations that the conflict may continue. The recent 300-pip rally in the euro was primarily fueled by optimism over a potential ceasefire. However, as I previously noted, a broader underlying factor contributing to the euro’s strength has been capital flight from the U.S. dollar, driven by increasing uncertainty in the U.S. political and financial outlook. Now, with the possibility of a prolonged war back on the table, investor confidence in the eurozone may also start to waver. This uncertainty is not solely rooted in the war itself, but rather reflects a spillover effect—as capital fleeing U.S. markets seeks alternatives, it simultaneously transmits fear and instability into the euro area. In this context, one might say that the economy behaves like a virus: not because of geopolitical conflict alone, but because investor sentiment and uncertainty spread rapidly across borders, infecting markets on a global scale.
Short
by mehrshad31
1
🇪🇺 EURUSD – July 9 | Multiple Buy Scenarios Based on StyleThe 4H trendline held again yesterday, and today’s daily candle continues to form within a bullish flag, giving added confluence to our overall bullish bias. I no longer expect a deeper pullback to 1.16299 — price action suggests momentum is building. Here’s the game plan: 🔹 For Scalpers: Break of current high → 1.17500 (~20 pips) Break of 1.17500 → 1.17657 (Tuesday high, ~16 pips) Break of 1.17657 → 1.17815 (~15 pips) Break of 1.17815 → 1.18093 (~42 pips) 🔸 For Swing Traders: → Main setup = break of 1.18093 for clean move into 1.18791 (~70 pips) 🔻 Bearish Only If: → Break of 1.16824 = potential retest of trendline 📌 Structure + HTF bias still say bullish. Choose the setup that fits your style and manage risk accordingly.
Long
by Thetraderscollective
EURUSDH4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631 a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.1736, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.1543, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EUR/USD at 1.1750 as EU Pushes Trade DealEUR/USD trades around 1.1745 in Tuesday’s Asian session, supported by strong Eurozone retail sales for May. The Euro benefits as the EU aims to finalize a preliminary trade deal with the US this week, seeking to maintain a 10% tariff beyond the August 1 deadline while negotiations continue. The proposed agreement would keep the 10% base tariff but exempt sensitive sectors like aviation and alcohol, which helps lift market sentiment toward the Euro. Eurostat data showed retail sales rose 1.8% year-on-year in May, beating expectations of 1.2% but slowing from April’s 2.7%. Monthly sales fell 0.7%, matching forecasts. Resistance for the pair is at 1.1830, while support is at 1.1730.
by ChartMage
EURUSD sideways consolidation support at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadData Releases: United States: NFIB Small Business Optimism (June): Offers insights into the health of the US small business sector. A lower-than-expected reading may point to rising concern over economic conditions and future earnings amid persistent inflation and tight credit. NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations: Closely watched for signs of shifting consumer sentiment. Any uptick could reinforce expectations of policy caution from the Fed. Consumer Credit (May): Indicates household borrowing trends. A sharp slowdown may reflect waning consumer confidence or the impact of high interest rates. Japan: Economy Watchers Survey (June): A forward-looking gauge of economic sentiment among service sector workers. Deterioration would suggest weakening domestic demand. Bank Lending (June): Reflects the availability and uptake of credit; slowing lending growth would hint at weakening economic momentum. May BoP Current Account & Trade Balance: Current account surplus strength often reflects export health and foreign income. A narrowing surplus may indicate external demand headwinds. Germany & France: May Trade and Current Account Balances: Provide signals on Eurozone’s external sector strength. Germany’s export engine will be in focus given recent signs of industrial weakness. France’s figures will also be monitored for imbalances amid sluggish domestic demand. Central Bank Developments: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy Decision: The RBA held rates steady, as expected, amid persistent inflation in services. While the bank acknowledged progress on headline inflation, it retained a tightening bias, citing risks from strong wage growth and sticky price pressures. Markets are increasingly sensitive to signs of future hikes, particularly with global central banks pivoting toward a more dovish stance. European Central Bank (ECB): ECB’s Joachim Nagel reiterated a cautious tone, emphasizing the need for data-dependency in future policy moves. He signaled concern about upside risks to inflation, especially from services, reinforcing the ECB’s slow path to easing despite recent rate cuts. His comments support market pricing of only gradual rate reductions through the remainder of 2025. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The euro can no longer afford to ignore the support levels aheadI believe the move has already begun, and from this point on especially during the first two days of the week we could see such a formation supported by volume. After climbing for so long, if there’s any intention to break out, I think it should first re enter its original upward channel and at least say hello there. If it’s going to rise further, it should do so from that point. We’ll see together. These are just my personal thoughts and do not constitute financial advice.
Short
by merett
1