Do you think ill hit my TP?What do you guys think will I hit my TP at 1.17544. I set up a buy for 1.17389 but not sure if ill keep it there, just depends.
USDEUX trade ideas
EURO - Price can start to decline from resistance line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew to $1.1500 level and even broke it, after which started to decline in wedge.
Price declined to support line, breaking two levels, after which it turned around and started to move up.
Soon, EUR broke $1.1215 level and then rose more, after which made a correction to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to $1.1500 level, broke it one more time, and tried to grow more, but failed.
But recently it turned around and quickly rose to resistance line of wedge and now trades near.
In my mind, Euro can bounce from resistance line and fall to $1.1520 support line of wedge pattern.
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EURUSD: Short Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1775
Stop Loss - 1.1822
Take Profit - 1.1670
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD – A Potentially Busy Day Ahead For TradersThis morning, EURUSD recorded a near 4 year high at 1.1807, the beneficiary of improving risk sentiment, uncertainty about the ECB’s next interest rate move, and concerns about what President Trump’s tax cut bill, that is progressing through the Senate currently, could mean for the sustainability of the US debt burden moving forward.
Now, with the FX quarter end rebalancing completed yesterday, it is possible to look forward to the upcoming scheduled events for today that could influence where EURUSD moves next.
First up, at 1000 BST this morning, traders receive the latest preliminary inflation (HICP) update for the Eurozone. The outcome of this release could provide further insight into whether the current market expectation for one more ECB rate cut in 2025 is possible, or if they may be on hold for the foreseeable future.
Next up, starting at 1430 BST is a panel discussion attended by ECB President Lagarde, Fed Chairman Powell, BoE Governor Bailey and BoJ Governor Ueda at the ECB’s Central Bank Forum in Portugal. The topic, “adapting to change: macroeconomic shifts and policy responses”. The comments of these central bank heads on inflation, interest rates, tariffs and economic growth could be important for the direction of all the major G7 FX pairs.
Then, at 1500 BST the ISM Manufacturing PMI survey is due for release. While US manufacturing activity is still expected to languish in contraction territory, below 50, traders will be focused on whether there has been any improvement in the headline print, and what the prices paid component could indicate for the direction of US inflation across the remainder of 2025.
These events, when taken with real time updates from President Trump and members of this administration on his tax bill, trade deals and flexibility of the July 9th tariff deadline, sets today up as a potentially volatile period for EURUSD trading.
Technical Update: Assessing the Recent Trend
From a technical perspective, a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows remains in the EURUSD price and as the chart below shows, Tuesday has seen another new recovery high posted at 1.1807.
While much will continue to depend on market sentiment and price trends, it might be argued that the posting of this new price high for the current upside move, suggests a further phase of strength is still possible.
However, what are the levels traders may now be watching to gauge where the next directional price risks might lay over coming sessions?
Potential Support Levels:
Since posting the June 19th session low at 1.1446, EURUSD has rallied by over 3.00% (1.1446 to 1.1807) and while this doesn’t mean price weakness is necessarily on the cards, traders might become concerned a price correction is due after such a strong advance.
As the chart above shows, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest price strength, currently stands at 1.1668. This can mark a potential first support focus, after the recent move higher.
Closing breaks under 1.1668, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may then lead to a deeper phase of weakness towards 1.1583, which is equal to the 61.8% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As a result of latest strength, EURUSD has traded to levels last seen in mid-September 2021 and to gauge the next potential resistance levels, we switch to the longer term weekly chart shown below.
If further price strength still emerges from current levels, traders may now be focused on 1.1909, the August 2021 failure high, as the next possible resistance level.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Eurusd 1Hr chart Analaysis EUR/USD is currently in a bullish trend and is expected to reach the 1.17801 – 1.18010 range. A bearish retracement is likely to occur around those levels.
Note: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East could have a significant impact on the market.
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.18033 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.18161 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD : Up and DownLife’s a ride of highs and lows,
A dance of joy, a tide that flows.
Up we climb with laughter bright,
Down we sink in quiet night.
Mountaintop or valley deep,
Moments swift or slow to creep.
Sunlit days will surely shine,
Storms will pass—just give them time.
Up again, we spread our wings,
Chasing dreams on hopeful strings.
Down once more? That’s alright too—
Every fall makes strength feel new.
So take the highs, embrace the low,
Life’s a rhythm, ebb and flow.
Up and down, we twist, we bend,
But the journey? Worth it, friend.
Good luck.
#AN012: Early July News and Forex Impact
1. US Debt and Dollar Depreciation
The US Senate is debating an ambitious $3.3 trillion fiscal package, fuelling concerns about rising debt. The dollar has lost ground against the euro, hitting its lowest level in nearly four years.
Forex Impact: Dollar weakness favors crosses such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Possible rate speculation, with prospects of Fed cuts.
2. NATO Summit and Increased Defense Spending
At the NATO summit in The Hague, the commitment is to increase to 5% of GDP by 2035. This strengthens European government bonds and the dollar, in view of a safe-haven and new flows into the USD.
Forex Impact: Support for the USD, increased volatility on crosses linked to the euro and sterling, potential trade on EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
3. Taiwan dollar appreciation
The Taiwan dollar jumped 2.5% as local insurers hedge against dollar decline.
Forex Impact: Dollar depreciation slows; Asian crosses such as USD/SGD and USD/KRW under pressure.
4. Global dollar weakness
Euro bounces above 1.17 and USD/CHF below 0.80 on weak macro data and Fed cut speculation.
Forex Impact: Open to long EUR/USD, short USD/CHF strategies, with potential carry trades.
5. Israel-Iran Ceasefire & Geopolitical Risk
Israel-Iran fighting ends, but tensions remain. Markets are monitoring the fallout on oil and safe assets.
Forex Impact: Possible increase in geopolitical volatility, with USD, JPY, CHF as a hedge; volatility on oil influences crosses that contain commodities (AUD/USD, CAD/USD).
Hi, I'm Andrea Russo, a forex trader, and today I want to talk to you about the impact of the latest global news on currency markets.
🏛️ US debt and fiscal tensions
The 3.3 trillion fiscal package under discussion in the United States has weakened the dollar. This weakness fuels opportunities on EUR/USD and GBP/USD, with potential upside on long positions, but beware of future Fed interventions.
⚔️ NATO towards 5% of GDP for defense
The NATO Summit in The Hague marked a paradigm shift: more defense spending means bond issuance and USD flows as a safe-haven. This supports the greenback, making European crosses volatile.
💱 Forex Asia: the case of the Taiwanese dollar
Yesterday's rise in the Taiwan dollar is a clear sign of protection against USD weakness. Unicorn to watch for those betting on emerging crosses in Asia.
💶 EUR/CHI and euro crosses recovering
EUR/USD rises above 1.17 and USD/CHF falls below 0.80: perfect timing for strategic longs. The market is discounting falling Fed rates, amplifying the momentum on the euro.
🛡️ Geopolitics: fragile truce and geopolitical risk
The truce between Israel and Iran currently limits the impact but does not eliminate the risk: safe haven assets such as USD, JPY and CHF remain under pressure for future eventualities.
🎯 Conclusion and trading opportunities
Long EUR/USD on euro momentum and USD reflux
Monitoring GBP/USD for macro sentiment
Watch out for USD/CAD, AUD/USD for oil shocks
This article was created with the support of our Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE.
Keep following me for more updates.
TiqGpt setup for todayMARKET NARRATIVE: The EUR/USD currency pair across multiple timeframes shows a consistent bullish momentum, indicating strong buying pressure. Starting from the 1D chart down to the 1m chart, there is a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting institutional accumulation and a lack of significant sell-side pressure. The 1D and 4H charts display a series of green candles with minimal wicks, indicating that the market is in a strong bullish phase with little retracement. The 1H and lower timeframes show some consolidation, but the overall structure remains bullish, suggesting that institutions are still in control of the price action.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, consistently pushing the price higher. The lack of deep pullbacks and the formation of higher lows across timeframes suggest that there is ongoing demand at higher price levels. This is indicative of a liquidity grab above the current highs, where institutions may be targeting stop losses placed by retail traders who are positioned for a reversal.
LEARNING POINT: The consistent bullish candles with minimal retracement across higher timeframes (1D, 4H) highlight a strong institutional buying phase, potentially leading to a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: EUR/USD ENTRY PRICE: $1.18140 STOP LOSS: $1.17950 (below the recent minor consolidation on the 1H chart) TARGET PRICE: $1.18500 (just below the next psychological round number and potential liquidity pool) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $1.18140 after a minor retracement confirms continued buying interest. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: Institutional Accumulation, Liquidity Sweep Targeting URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on the consistency of the bullish structure and lack of significant bearish counter-signals) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = $1.18140 - $1.17950 = $0.00190
Reward = $1.18500 - $1.18140 = $0.00360
Ratio = $0.00360 / $0.00190 = 1:1.89
Given that the risk/reward ratio is slightly below the required 2:1, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better entry point that could provide a higher reward relative to the risk or adjust the target price if market conditions change to improve the potential reward.
EUR/USD.4h chart pattern.EUR/USD 4H chart, I can see an ascending trendline with a breakout to the upside, suggesting bullish momentum. You’ve also marked a "TARGET" zone visually on the chart.
Estimated Target:
Based on standard breakout and trend continuation principles:
Current Price: Around 1.1598
Visual Target Zone (as per your chart): Near 1.1700
Potential Target Zone:
1.1700 - 1.1720 (Approximate zone for bullish continuation if breakout holds)
Notes:
✅ Strong bullish structure confirmed by higher highs and trendline support
✅ Breakout already in motion; as long as price stays above the trendline, bullish target remains valid
✅ Watch key support at 1.1535 - 1.1500; price falling below this weakens bullish outlook
Would you like Fibonacci or measured move targets calculated more precisely? Let me know!
EURUSD Major event Short Weekly ChartWe may be on the verge of a major event in the forex market.
The EUR/USD is approaching its 800-week moving average, a level that historically marks significant turning points.
A sharp reversal is likely, with an initial target at the 600-week moving average, and potentially a much deeper decline beyond that.
Euro Continues Bullish Trend | Eyes on 1.1882 & 1.2075EUR/USD – Strong Bullish Structure | Watching 1.1745 Pivot Zone for Reentry
The Euro continues to trade in a well-defined bullish trend, supported by institutional demand and clear price structure.
After breaking above the 1.1684 resistance zone, EUR/USD extended toward 1.1818 and now approaches the next resistance at 1.1882. This level may act as a temporary cap, but if breached with momentum, the pair could target the 1.2075 zone next.
Bullish Order Blocks (BOBs) marked on the chart highlight previous accumulation zones where buyers stepped in aggressively. These areas are still valid for demand-based pullbacks.
Key Area to Watch – 1.1745 Pivot Zone:
This level serves as a potential reentry point if the price retraces. As long as EUR/USD holds above this zone, bullish momentum remains intact. A confirmed bounce here could resume the uptrend toward 1.1882 and beyond.
However, a clean break below 1.1745 could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.1627 or even 1.1557, which is the next major support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1882, 1.2075
Pivot Zone: 1.1745
Support: 1.1627, 1.1557
EUR/USD💰Symbol: { EUR/USD }
🟩Price: { 1.16718 }
🟥Stop: { 1.17304 }
1️⃣profit: { 1.16336 }
2️⃣profit: { 1.15863 }
3️⃣profit: { 1.15332 }
4️⃣profit: { 1.14574 }
📊Check your chart before entering.
🚨Check before use to make sure there is no important news.🚨
Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension
The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached:
📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target.
Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion.
But there’s a growing complication:
The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery.
As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma:
Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher.
Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum.
---
🔁 Reflexivity at Work
This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions.
> “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.”
— George Soros
The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base.
---
⚠️ Key Takeaways
June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution.
Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing.
Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify.
Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication.
---
In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis..Looking at My EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis:
Current Price:
Around 1.1819
Observations:
Price is moving inside an ascending channel
Breakout from the upper channel line is happening
Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish momentum as price is well above the cloud
---
Target Levels:
✅ First Target Zone: 1.1900 - 1.1950
✅ Final Target Zone: 1.2000 - 1.2020 (as marked on your chart)
---
Notes:
Watch for strong breakout confirmation above 1.1850
If momentum continues, price can reach 1.2000
Use stop-loss below 1.1750 to manage risk
---
If you want, I can help suggest stop-loss, entry, and risk management in detail. Let me know!
EURUSD Selling from Resistance at 1.17500 EURUSD Analysis –
4H Timeframe
The pair continues to respect its ascending channel, but current price action suggests a potential sell opportunity from the 1.17500 resistance zone.
🎯 Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Target – 1.16000 (Key demand zone)
🔻 2nd Target – 1.14500 (Deeper support area)
🔻 3rd Target – 1.12500 (Bullish Order Block)
💡 Watch for confirmation signals near resistance before entering shorts.
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📲 Let’s grow and trade smart together 💼✨
— Livia 😜
EUR/USD Long Setup — Breakout Retest Play
We’re seeing a classic breakout-retest scenario on EUR/USD. After breaking above the previous consolidation zone, price has pulled back to retest the broken structure near 1.1495, which also aligns with a higher time frame support zone.
🟦 Entry Zone: 1.1495–1.1490
🔴 Stop Loss: Below 1.1420 (clearly outside the structure)
🟩 Targets (Partial TPs):
1.1655
1.1775
1.1888–1.1894 (final)
📌 Plan:
This is a trend continuation idea after a clean structural breakout. If you plan to enter this, consider:
✅ Scaling in at or near current price
✅ Partial TP at each resistance level
❌ Avoid holding full position till final target — secure profits along the way
✅ Use proper risk management and size
⚠️ Important Note
This is not a signal, just an idea.
I am not selling signals or subscriptions.
If you're new, you may think:
“Let me just follow someone with 100K followers and I’ll profit.”
Truth is — follower count means nothing. Many signal sellers don’t even trade. They sell subscriptions, not setups.
🧠 Pro Tip for Beginners
Track 30–40 trade ideas from different users (including old ones — they often hide losers). Ask yourself:
Was the direction right?
Was the entry filled?
Was the setup realistic?
That’s how you’ll grow as a trader.
Trade smart, protect your capital, and stay sharp.
Rendon1
EURUSDPrice is still likely to go higher as the dxy is still bearish, and most likely because there is a supply zone and liquidity resting above, but any day this week/next week price can fall hard as monthly is bearish
EURUSD Bullish continuation supported at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Level: 1.1640
This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at:
1.1830 – Near-term resistance
1.1900 – Minor swing high
1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward:
1.1590 – Initial support
1.1530 – Key downside target
Conclusion:
As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD BUY - Statistically-backed FX shortlistEURUSD BUY
Daily Outlook: Statistically-backed FX shortlist
@darksheeptrades
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
The Day Ahead Major Economic Data:
US:
ISM Manufacturing (June) and JOLTS job openings (May) – Key for Fed rate cut outlook.
Construction spending and vehicle sales – Insight into economic strength.
Dallas Fed services – Regional business sentiment check.
China:
Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June) – Watch for signs of continued slowdown.
Japan:
Tankan Survey (Q2) – Key business sentiment data; may influence BoJ policy.
Eurozone:
June CPI (inflation) – Crucial for ECB’s rate path.
Germany unemployment, Italy PMI, budget, and car sales – Regional economic health indicators.
Central Bank Highlights:
ECB Sintra Forum Panel:
Features Powell (Fed), Lagarde (ECB), Ueda (BoJ), Bailey (BoE).
Markets will watch for any policy shift signals or divergence in rate outlooks.
Other ECB Speakers:
Guindos, Schnabel, Elderson – may give more hints on inflation and rate moves.
ECB Consumer Survey:
Offers insight into household inflation expectations.
Market View:
US data may push Fed closer to rate cuts if weak.
Eurozone inflation will guide ECB stance.
China’s PMI is a global growth signal.
Central bank talks at Sintra are key for global rate outlook.
Overall:
Markets are on edge awaiting clarity on growth, inflation, and rate paths. Expect possible moves in FX, yields, and equities depending on the data and central bank tone.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
