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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD has reclaimed the inner resistance of the 8-day descending channel after a V-shaped rebound from the lower rail; candles are now riding a fresh micro up-sloper. ● A 30 min close above 1.1666 (channel roof / prior pivot) confirms trend reversal and projects the measured move to the higher congestion band at 1.1690-1.1700. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Yesterday’s dip in US 2-yr yields after weaker Philly-Fed new-orders and higher jobless claims softens dollar demand, while ECB minutes signalled no rush to ease further, supporting the euro. ✨ Summary Long 1.1630-1.1650; break of 1.1666 targets 1.1690 → 1.1700. Invalidate on an H1 close below 1.1585. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
EURUSD POTENTIAL BUY SETUP 4HLooking at EURUSD, Price is moving in a descending channel. EU on the high timeframe is bullish as Dollar is weak. I am expecting EU to fall into the marked FVG to clear the lows and take internal liquidity from the marked FVG before moving higher and take the Buyside Liquidity as marked. Potential Entry= 1.6350 Stop loss= 1.15650 Take Profit = 1.18250 Please wait for price to come into the marked potential area to take this trade and manage your risk accordingly. Follow me for more updates and trades.
Long
by Mr_Masab
2
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the trend line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price printed a hammer and bullish RSI divergence on the lower rail of the 3-week descending channel (green arrow 1.1598), breaking the inner wedge that guided last leg down. ● First resistance is the channel mid-line / prior pivot 1.1632; a move through it exposes the upper band near 1.1692, where July supply and the larger bearish trend-line converge. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US retail-sales control-group and Daly’s “more evidence needed” remarks cooled 2-yr yields, trimming dollar support, while ECB’s Knot said additional cuts “are not imminent,” limiting euro downside. ✨ Summary Long 1.1600-1.1620; hold above 1.1632 targets 1.1690. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.1580. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
Market Watch UPDATES! FOREX Major PairsWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th. In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets: USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and USDJPY. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
2
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float. * Fundamentals: -Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro. -The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar. *Targeting: -We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
Short
by That_Guy_Trades
8
EURUSD Forming Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD is currently retesting a key breakout zone that previously acted as resistance and is now serving as strong support around the 1.1620–1.1630 area. After a healthy bullish impulse in recent weeks, the pair is pulling back in a controlled manner, likely forming a bullish continuation setup. I entered from earlier levels and remain confident in a further upward move, with the structure showing signs of a new bullish wave forming. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength as the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to signal a more cautious stance on rate cuts compared to the Federal Reserve. US inflation data released last week came in softer than expected, increasing speculation that the Fed could start its rate-cutting cycle as early as September. This shift in monetary policy outlook has weighed on the US dollar, opening up room for EURUSD to push higher. Additionally, eurozone macro data is showing early signs of recovery, especially in Germany, where industrial production and sentiment indicators are slowly improving. As inflation in Europe trends lower but remains sticky, the ECB has fewer reasons to rush into easing, which adds strength to the euro over the medium term. This divergence is a critical driver of the current bullish sentiment in EURUSD. Technically, the market is respecting a clean demand zone, with momentum indicators starting to flatten after the recent correction. With the trend structure intact and fundamentals aligned, I'm targeting the 1.2180–1.2200 zone as the next leg of this bullish cycle. Price action remains favorable, and the broader sentiment on TradingView is also increasingly bullish, confirming my conviction in this setup.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Fed warning: Rate cut rally or credibility crisis?JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have both raised their concern about political interference at the Federal Reserve, amid reports that President Trump considered firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier this week. In a note titled “How Safe is Powell’s Job?”, JPMorgan analysts warned that even the perception of a politically motivated dismissal could undermine the Fed’s credibility and spark market volatility. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon echoed the concern in a CNBC interview, describing central bank independence as “super important,” and warning that it remains a pillar of global economic stability that “we should fight to preserve.” The warnings followed a volatile 24-hour period in markets, after reports emerged that Trump had drafted a letter to dismiss Powell and floated it among Republican leaders. This might prove the right distraction from the Epstein client list?
by BlackBull_Markets
2
EURUSD BUY IDEA SWING PLAY (WEEKLY) Outlook🔁 EUR/USD Long – Weekly Buyside Re-Test for 1.17 Breakout 🌍📈 Description: EUR/USD is retesting a weekly buyside liquidity zone between 1.1575–1.1600, which previously acted as strong resistance and has now flipped into support. This zone aligns with a confluence of breakout structure, Fibonacci mid-point, and a clean liquidity sweep beneath local lows. 📉 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 1.1475–1.1600 (buyside retest) Stop Loss: 1.1400 Zone (risker) Safer stop: use chart Target 1: 1.1777 Target 2: 1.1877 Target 3: Open(manage) Risk-Reward: ~1:3+ depending on entry precision Trade Type: Swing / Trend Continuation 📊 Technical Bias: Weekly structure flipped bullish after breakout above 1.1575 Daily shows clean HH/HL sequence with strong momentum RSI/MACD favor continuation with no divergence yet DXY weakness supports continuation move 🧠 Macro + Sentiment Overlay: EUR supported by improving Eurozone data + reduced ECB dovishness Fed pause expectations + soft US CPI drive USD weakness Retail sentiment shows most traders are short EUR/USD — contrarian bullish ⏳ Patience: Let price stabilize in the 1.1575–1.1600 zone with a bullish engulfing or H4 reversal signal before execution. Structure invalidation below 1.1530.
by cylosmagic007
2
EURUSD: Can't break the whale line!📉 EUR/USD Whale Wall – 1.1675 Rejection Zone 🐋 Smart Money is guarding 1.1675 like it’s sacred. Every test into this level has been slapped down—likely a whale-level supply zone where institutional sell orders are stacked. VolanX projection curve suggests a macro fade into late July, aligning with DXY strength and bond volatility signals. Outlook: As long as 1.1675 holds, momentum favors downside toward 1.1450–1.1400. Rate divergence + weak Eurozone prints fuel the short bias. Break above 1.1675 invalidates. 📊 VolanX Protocol – Predict. React. Dominate. #WaverVanir #VolanX #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #FXStrategy #MacroTrading
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.15800 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
2
EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL FVG I Target 50%Yo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries. 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
Long
by David_Perk
2
EURUSD h4 update ⚠️ Current Outlook: Reversal Zone Hit • Price tapped into the strong RESISTANCE zone (~1.1800), failing to break higher. • Market structure BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bearish intent. • FVG (Fair Value Gap) likely to act as a short-term liquidity trap. 📍 Disrupted Bearish Flow: 1. Price rejects resistance aggressively ✅ 2. Pullback into FVG may trigger a liquidity hunt 🧲 3. Fake bounce → Smart Money re-entry expected 👀 4. Target levels: • 🥅 TARGET: 1.1550 zone (first major support) • 🎯 LONG TARGET: 1.1200 zone (high probability zone for HTF buyers) 🔁 Bear Trap Setup Possibility: • After hitting the LONG TARGET, price could reverse sharply. • Watch for accumulation signs and deviation below key levels. ⸻ 🔥 Key Zones to Watch: • 🔳 Resistance: 1.1790–1.1820 • 🟦 FVG Retest Zone: 1.1630–1.1660 • 📉 Target Zone: 1.1500–1.1550 • 🚨 Long-Term Demand Zone: 1.1180–1.123
Short
by MrSam_with_trading
8
EUR/USD : US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation ReportEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation Report Yesterday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was released, showing an increase in consumer prices. According to Forex Factory, annual CPI rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of a 2.6% rise. As reported by Reuters, the data supports the stance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has repeatedly stated that the anticipated inflationary pressure—driven in part by tariffs—is a reason to refrain from further interest rate cuts. However, President Donald Trump interpreted the data differently. On his Truth Social platform, he posted that consumer prices remain low and called for an immediate rate cut. The market responded with a stronger US dollar—indicating that participants believe interest rates are likely to remain at current levels in the near term. Notably, the EUR/USD exchange rate fell to the 1.1600 level for the first time since late June (as indicated by the arrow). Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Analysing the EUR/USD chart as of 7 July, we identified: → A long-term ascending channel → A potential downward trajectory (marked by red lines) Since then, the pair has followed the outlined path and declined by more than 1%. It is worth noting that today, the EUR/USD price is near the lower boundary of a key trend channel, which may offer significant support — traders may look for a technical rebound from this level. Additionally, attention should be paid to the upcoming release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) at 15:30 GMT+3. These figures carry particular weight in light of potential renewed inflationary pressures. This and other upcoming data may prove decisive for the near-term direction of EUR/USD. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pares GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Pares Gains EUR/USD declined from the 1.1750 resistance and traded below 1.1650. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1720 zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1720 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1660 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.1620 and tested 1.1590. A low was formed near 1.1592 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1610 level. EUR/USD is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, it is now facing resistance near the 1.1630 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1749 swing high to the 1.1592 low. The next key resistance is at 1.1660 and the 50% Fib retracement level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660. The main resistance is near the 1.1690 level. A clear move above it could send the pair toward the 1.1720 resistance. An upside break above 1.1720 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1750. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1590. The next key support is at 1.1550. If there is a downside break below 1.1550, the pair could drop toward 1.1520. The next support is near 1.1485, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1