USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY(20250714)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
โ Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. โก The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. โข "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. โฃ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
147.02
Support and resistance levels:
148.39
147.88
147.55
146.49
146.15
145.64
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 147.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 147.88
If the price breaks through 147.02, consider selling, and the first target price is 146.49
USDJPY| - Bullish Play Within Bearish HTF ContextHTF Overview (4H): Structure is still technically bearish, with buy-side liquidity (BSL) untouched and a major 4H supply OB unmitigated above. Expecting price to seek out that zone before any full reversal.
MTF Refinement (30M): Refined structure shows a potential bullish leg forming to push toward the 4H supply. Price is reaching for nearby sell-side liquidity (SSL), acting as inducement.
Execution Plan: Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL. Once that occurs and the 30M OB is mitigated, Iโll drop to LTF (1M/5M) to confirm bullish intent with CHoCH or BOS before executing a long.
Mindset: Playing the internal bullish wave with precision while respecting higher timeframe narrative. Quick to react if the HTF bias reasserts itself.
Bless Trading!
An Emerging ceiling in play for USDJPYCurrent levels are approaching to a multiple potential, and one very big, resistance area. Also move stochastic over these levels are rare. Closing over 147.50 on weekly is not seen since before April moves. But not discounting possibility of this move going over 148.00.
I'm operating with value areas above 147.80 for a short. Stops are well above 149.20. Targeting a pull back 142.80 area.
USDJPY LONG & SHORT โ WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25
๐ผ USDJPY LONG & SHORT โ WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W29 | Y25
๐ MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
USDJPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence.
๐ Confluences to Watch ๐
โ
Daily Order Block (OB)
Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution.
โ
4H Order Block
Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition.
โ
1H Order Block
๐ Risk Management Protocols
๐ Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan โ minimum 1:2
๐ง Youโre not paid for how many trades you take, youโre paid for how well you manage risk.
๐ง Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
๐ Final Thoughts from FRGNT
๐ The structure is clear.
The confluences are stacked.
Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
USD/JPY Profit Heist โ Are You In or Missing Out?"๐ฅ๐ฐ "USD/JPY NINJA HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Style)" ๐ฐ๐ฅ
๐ Attention Market Robbers & Profit Takers! ๐
๐จ Thief Trading Alert: USD/JPY "The Ninja" is primed for a BULLISH HEIST!
Based on our stealthy technical & fundamental analysis, weโre locking in a long entry strategy. The plan? Loot profits before the RED ZONE danger hits! Overbought? Maybe. Risky? Sure. But the real robbery happens before the bears wake up! ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ธ
๐ฏ ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
Buy Limit Orders: Swipe the dip on pullbacks or jump in at key swing lows.
Aggressive? Enter now & ride the wave!
๐ STOP LOSS (Thief-Style Escape Plan):
Swing Low (5H TF): 143.600 (Adjust based on your risk & lot size!)
Multiple orders? Scale SL wiselyโdonโt get caught!
๐ฏ TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 151.000 (Or escape earlier if the trap triggers!)
Scalpers: Only play LONGโtrail your SL & lock in quick loot!
๐ข SCALPERS & SWING TRADERS:
Got deep pockets? Ride the wave now!
Small account? Join the swing heist & rob the trend slowly!
๐ WHY USD/JPY?
Bullish momentum + Macro/Fundamental tailwinds!
COT Report, Sentiment, & Intermarket Analysis all hint at more upside! go ahead to check ๐๐๐
โ ๏ธ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news!
Trailing SL = Your best friend! Protect profits & avoid jail (stop-out)!
๐ฅ BOOST THIS IDEA TO SUPPORT THE HEIST!
More boosts = More robberies = More profits for YOU!
Stay tunedโnext heist coming soon! ๐๐ฐ
๐ฅ Like, Share, & Follow for Daily Steals! ๐ฅ
USD JPY ACa possible scenario it should hit for tomorrow .
I'm so lost in this market nothing seem to work .still try to survive. a strategy that works for days or even a month dosent have a guarantee to work for next month ,every thing is like gamble . im trying so hard too many ways too see the holy grail yet till now i can say it with trust there is not a easy peasy holy grail of trading ... be ready to looose and be ready to maybe not to gain anything ,, this trading stuff is like an art as u drown in it it only cuase insanity . right now i gotta go ill use trading view as journal now on to see what im doing good luck have fun trading
USDJPY Analysis : Major Move Loading Towards Target Zone๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Overview
The USDJPY pair is approaching a critical turning point within a well-established descending channel structure. After several months of corrective movement and internal structure shifts, the market is now displaying multiple layers of confluence pointing toward an impending major reaction or reversal. Letโs break down this chart step by step.
๐งฑ Market Structure Analysis
๐น Descending Channel:
The entire chart is governed by a broad descending channel, with price making lower highs and lower lows since early March.
Each touch of the channel support has led to a bounce, and the price is now once again near channel resistance, creating a possible reaction zone.
๐น Volume Contraction Phase:
In the mid-section of the chart, we observe volume contraction, indicating liquidity drying up and buyers/sellers entering a phase of uncertainty.
This contraction is typical in accumulation or re-accumulation phases, which often precede strong impulsive moves โ exactly what followed here.
๐งฉ Structural Breaks and Trendline Clarity
๐ธ Minor Break of Structure:
A recent high was taken out in early July, marking a minor break of structure (BOS), showing the first signs of bulls taking short-term control.
๐ธ Major Break of Structure:
A more significant high (marked on the chart) has also been broken, confirming a major BOS โ this implies institutional positioning or a shift in market sentiment.
๐ธ Trendline Break โ Extra Confirmation:
The bullish push came after breaking a clean internal trendline, which acted as diagonal resistance.
Once this trendline broke, price aggressively accelerated upward โ this is a classic market maker cycle (MMC) Phase 2 (expansion) move.
๐ Confluence at Next Reversal Zone (149.00 โ 150.00)
The green highlighted zone is the next potential area for bearish pressure to return, based on:
Key Supply Zone: Historical area where sellers previously dominated.
Channel Resistance Confluence: Top of the descending channel aligns with this zone.
Psychological Level: 150.00 is a major psychological round number โ often attracts profit-taking and institutional activity.
Fibonacci (if plotted): Likely 78.6% โ 88.6% retracement from last swing high.
Overextended Rally: Price has rallied strongly since early July with very little correction โ itโs approaching exhaustion.
๐ Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Alignment
This move perfectly reflects the Market Maker Cycle:
Accumulation: During volume contraction phase.
Manipulation: Fakeouts near channel support to trap shorts.
Expansion: Break of structure + trendline, aggressive rally.
Distribution (Next): Likely to occur at the 149โ150 zone with a sharp rejection.
๐ง Traderโs Plan โ What to Look For
๐ If Bullish:
Targets: 148.80 to 149.80 zone
Hold until rejection signs (bearish candles, volume spikes, divergences)
SL: Below recent swing low/trendline (~146.00)
๐ If Bearish (After Rejection):
Watch for:
Strong bearish engulfing candle or shooting star
RSI/MACD divergence (not shown but suggested)
Break of short-term ascending trendline
Targets: Back toward 145.50 or mid-channel (dynamic)
๐ Summary
USDJPY is showing clear signs of bullish exhaustion near the upper channel resistance and major structure levels. If price respects this zone (149โ150), expect a healthy corrective leg or full reversal. Multiple layers of technical evidence, including structure breaks, trendline breach, and MMC phases, are aligning for a high-probability play.
This is a textbook setup for experienced traders watching key zones with proper confirmations.
USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 147.419.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.283 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY Symmetrical Triangle Breakout.Hello traders,
Just sharing my idea of what might happen next based on the recent price movement.
After a long downtrend this pair started gaining strength after April 2025 and formed a symmetrical triangle.
We can clearly see the breakout on 9 July 2025.
Will this breakout continue ?
Well, its about to touch the 200 Ema only than we can confirm if the bullish momentum keep continue. Price might pullback.
This analysis is based on chart patterns and some indicators like EMA, RSI, MACD and Fibonacci.
UJ - Long to Short๐ USDJPY 15min โ ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Signal Walkthrough
๐ง Precision Signals | High-Probability Reversals | Real Trades Visualized
This chart showcases how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion indicator identified actionable buy and sell opportunities on the 15-minute USDJPY chart.
๐ฉ Buy Signals: Triple Confluence at Session Lows
In the early hours, the indicator printed three consecutive UP signals around 02:30, marking a sharp reversion zone after a strong decline. This type of signal stack often suggests:
Oversold conditions aligning with broader momentum shifts
A high-probability reversal entry zone
๐น Hypothetical trade:
Enter long at the close of the third UP signal.
๐ Stop-loss: Just below the swing low of the signal candle
๐ฏ Exit: On opposing signal (or trailing stop) โ delivering a clean upward move from ~145.85 to ~146.90+
๐ฅ Sell Signal: Precise Top Call
Around 17:15, the indicator printed a DOWN signal at the exact high of the session. This marks exhaustion after an extended rally and primes for a mean reversion short.
๐น Hypothetical trade:
Enter short at the signal close (~146.85โ147.00 range)
๐ Stop-loss: Just above the session high
๐ฏ Exit: As price reverts to ~146.20 or based on trailing criteria
This single trade could have yielded over 60 pips.
โ
What Makes This Indicator Powerful?
ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion combines proprietary logic with time-tested reversal patterns. The signals are designed to be:
Fast-acting, yet filtered for noise
Non-repainting, and context-aware
Based on unique market conditions, not just raw RSI thresholds
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This is just a public demo of what the ELFIEDT engine can do.
For access to exclusive multi-layered strategies (including divergence, trendline breaks, multi-timeframe filters), reach out directly.
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#USDJPY #ReversionTrading #RSI #ForexSignals #ELFIEDT #SmartMoney #MeanReversion #TradingView #FXStrategy
USD-JPY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing but
A strong horizontal resistance
Is ahead around 148.500
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday!
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )โ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
๐ฉธ Bullish From now Price : 146.350
โ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
โ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isnโt just price โ itโs a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface โ not noise, but preparation.
๐ฅ Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature โ when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.41
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 146.00
Safe Stop Loss - 148.14
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK