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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY Bearish Setup: Target 144.309USD/JPY Technical Analysis (30-Min Chart) Current Price: 145.157 Chart Pattern: The chart shows a bearish structure forming after a sharp drop from the recent high near 147.9. The price is currently consolidating below a resistance zone. Key Resistance Zone: ~145.70 – 146.00 (highlighted by the orange box) Support Zone: ~144.30 (target area) Bearish Outlook: The price formed a lower high after the drop from the recent peak, indicating selling pressure. A potential bearish flag or lower high rejection is forming. The forecasted path suggests a downward move towards 144.309, aligning with the previous support area. Conclusion: The setup favors short positions if the price fails to break above the 145.70–146.00 resistance. Target remains 144.309, with a break below that possibly opening the way to 143.50. Watch for price action near the blue zone to confirm the downward continuation.
Short
by Olivia_Magnam44
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support. Pivot: 144.67 1st Support: 143.07 1st Resistance: 145.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Can PCE data rescue the dollar? JPY, EUR, GBP setup in playThe latest U.S. PCE report is set for release at 8:30am EDT, with both headline and core inflation expected at 0.1% month-on-month. As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, today’s figures could influence interest rate expectations. A stronger print may reduce the case for a July rate cut, while a softer result could add pressure on the U.S. dollar. The dollar has already weakened this week amid speculation over central bank independence (trump is reportedly considering nominating Fed chair Jerome Powell’s successor earlier than normal in order to undermine the current chair). Pairs to watch include, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY with symmetrical triangle formations suggesting breakout potential in either direction for all once the data hits.
by BlackBull_Markets
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300. There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
by VHT_Trader
UJ correlating with the dollar?We see price creating LL's and LH's heading to the downside. Structure retested at a LH with a perfect bearish engulfing printing right after the retest of support which turned resistance! Counter trend line was broken. I was also looking at multiple brokers & it looks like the 4hr bearish engulfing only printed on a select few brokers . . Although we did align on a 15 min which is lower time frame. Trade management is key, we shall see what happens next!
Short
by EliSantiago
The trend is more important than the exact high to shortCatching the precise high to short is a tough game. I prefer to leave this to the expert. In the day chart, we have a nice bearish candle and here in the 1H chart, you can see my short position is more than halfway from the exact fall (coz I really can't predict the market movement). So, I have two targets for those keen to short, the 2nd one upon breaking down from the bullish trend line. Again, I stressed the volatility of this pair so if you cannot stomach it, it is better to go for my EURUSD pair. See next chart.
Short
by dchua1969
USD/JPY Trendline TestAs USD has broken down against most major currencies, USD/JPY continues to hold on to higher-lows as taken from a trendline connecting April and early-June swing lows. The intra-day reversal on Monday was stunning, with price rejected at 148.00 and going all the way down to 145.00 for a mild bounce on Tuesday morning. But sellers reacted to that, as well, holding highs at 145.92 on the way to fresh lower-lows. That 145.00 level is now set up as short-term lower-high resistance potential; and for those looking for Yen-weakness, there could be more attractive setups elsewhere, such as EUR/JPY or GBP/JPY. For USD/JPY, there's data on both sides of the pair as Tokyo CPI is set for release later tonight, followed by U.S. Core PCE tomorrow morning. - js
by FOREXcom
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 144.61 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 146.11 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 142.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Market next move Disruption of the Bullish USD/JPY Analysis 1. Weak Bullish Momentum The current bullish attempt is showing small-bodied candles with low follow-through. Disruption: This suggests a lack of conviction from buyers. If there’s no strong bounce soon, it could indicate distribution rather than accumulation. 2. Volume Imbalance Notice the recent spike in bearish volume (red bars), especially during the last price drop. Disruption: Volume is supporting the downtrend, not the rebound. This suggests sellers are still in control. 3. Lower High Structure The price recently failed to form a higher high and continues forming lower highs and lower lows. Disruption: This pattern is a classic sign of a continuing bearish trend, contradicting the bullish target. 4. Fundamental Headwinds The U.S. economic icon (flag) suggests an upcoming high-impact event — likely NFP, GDP, or rate decision. Disruption: If U.S. data is weak or if there's talk of the Fed pausing rate hikes, USD could weaken, pushing USD/JPY further below 144.000.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Yen rises sharply, Tokyo Core CPI nextThe Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.14, down 0.55% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY fell as low as 143.75, its lowest level since June 13. Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends, will be released early Thursday. Tokyo Core CPI hit 3.6% in May, its highest level in over two years. The market estimate for June stands at 3.3%. The Bank of Japan has signaled that more rate hikes are on the way, provided that inflation continues to move towards the BoJ's level of a sustainable 2%. However, trade talks between the US and Japan have hit a snag, with Japan saying it can't accept US tariffs of 25% on automobiles. The clock is ticking, as US reciprocal tariffs will take effect on July 9 without a deal. The markets are eyeing a possible rate hike in July, which would be the first rate hike since January. The BoJ meets next on July 31, and if the two sides can reach a trade deal before then, it could cement a rate hike at that meeting. Even if the BoJ maintains rates at the upcoming meeting, investors will be keen to see the new inflation and growth forecasts. The BOJ's summary of opinions from the June meeting, released Wednesday, didn't provide much insight into the BoJ's rate path. Board members were divided over whether to raise rates in a period of economic uncertainty over the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy. There is support at 144.59 and 143.93 145.27 and 145.93 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
USDJPY – Uptrend Still Intact, But Waiting for a BounceUSDJPY is currently pulling back toward the key support zone at 142.244 after being rejected from the 148.000 resistance area. This recent drop reflects strong selling pressure from the dense FVG zones near Resistance 2. However, the overall structure remains bullish, with a series of higher highs and higher lows still intact. The current support zone is crucial—if it holds, USDJPY could rebound toward 145.800 and potentially retest the 148.000 level. On the news front: – A fragile ceasefire between Iran and Israel has improved global risk sentiment, reducing demand for USD as a safe haven. – The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged and signaled caution in reducing bond purchases—supporting the yen, but not enough to reverse the dollar's edge. – The wide interest rate differential still favors the USD. Strategy: Watch for bullish confirmation at 142.244. If buyers step in clearly, it may present a long opportunity in line with the dominant uptrend.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY Analysis – Bearish Retracement SetupPrice is currently hovering around 144.340, and I'm anticipating a short-term pullback into the 144.786 zone — a key area of interest that aligns with a premium supply zone and possible order block on the H1/H4 timeframe. This retracement may serve as a liquidity grab before price resumes its bearish move toward 142.526, which sits near a higher timeframe demand zone or liquidity pool. If bearish confirmation (e.g., M-formation, bearish engulfing, or break of internal structure) appears at 144.786, I’ll be looking to short down to 142.526. 🔹 Short-term bias: Bullish retracement 🔻 Mid-term bias: Bearish continuation 🔍 Key Levels: Retracement zone: 144.786 Target zone: 142.526 Current price: 144.340 📌 Risk Management Note: This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk-to-reward (RR) setups, manage your lot size wisely, and never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade. Trading involves risk — protect your capital first.
Short
by The-ultimate-trader
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Rejection Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high. This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure. 2. Break Below EMA 200 Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback. 3. Bearish Projection The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips). The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure. 4. RSI Confirmation RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75) Target: 139.955 Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
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