Bitcoin is OverheatedI’m observing the current situation in the BTC market and want to share a brief reflection. The latest upward impulse doesn’t just look confident—it’s starting to resemble overheating.
The price has detached from its averages, and the movement is accompanied by local euphoria. I see the community piling in “at the highs,” hoping for continuation. But it’s crucial to understand: markets don’t grow forever. Especially when the growth lacks proportional volume and fundamental support.
I use a comprehensive technical approach, and one of my indicators has given a clear signal—the market is overheated. We’re currently seeing a classic state of overbought conditions: the price is moving too far, too fast.
This doesn’t mean you should immediately short or panic. But as a trader, I understand that in such a phase, it’s wiser to:
– Partially take profits,
– Move stops closer to the market,
– And absolutely avoid entering new longs on emotions.
Typically, after such surges, the market either consolidates or corrects by 10–20% to shake off the overheating and provide an opportunity to enter at fairer levels. Personally, I’m waiting for a return to balance and a reset. I don’t rule out a final “explosive” move upward on news, but such breakouts usually end as quickly as they begin.
USDTBTC trade ideas
HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE 2.0HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE ⚡️
Usually, a 3% move doesn’t make anyone blink—but this one? It sent BTC into all-time high territory. I almost popped the champagne… until I remembered I’m in a short.
Not because I don’t believe in upside—but because my add zone in the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE hasn’t been tagged. Yet.
Here’s the breakdown 🧵👇
________________________________________
Before anyone goes bUCK wilD and cracks open that dusty bottle of Veuve, double-check something:
📅 The July 10th daily candle needs to close above the monthly swing high (orange line).
If BTC bulls lock that in, then a move deeper into the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE becomes real...
play-the-game real…
________________________________________
Where’s this HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE coming from?
🔻 Solid red line – a trendline from Dec 2024 that has held strong through three separate tests — marking it as a key line on the sand.
🔻 Dashed red line – goes all the way back to Dec 2017. A seasoned veteran of resistance.
I also drew in a white ascending channel—not just for looks. If BTC breaks out, this channel will help us ask:
“How high is too high?”
________________________________________
Now enters Fibonacci — where nature maps out key alignments on the chart. 🌱
🟡 Gold lines = Fib golden ratios
🔵 Teal lines = Fib Degen Ratios
It’s wild how they just line up:
• 2.618? Right on the top of the channel.
• 1.618? Sitting on the 2017 trendline.
• 0.618? Near current support + bottom of the channel.
Also had to draw that horizontal support white line to keep an eye on.
A Bounce or bust? Ask the bUCKmOON!
Bitcoin at Descending Channel Resistance – Rejection Imminent?🔻 Bitcoin at Descending Channel Resistance – Watch This Level Closely!
📉 BTC/USDT is currently testing the top boundary of a well-defined descending channel on the 2H chart.
🟨 This zone has acted as strong resistance in the past, and the current reaction suggests the potential for a short-term rejection.
Unless we see a clean breakout above $120K with strong volume and follow-through, the more probable scenario is a pullback towards the midline or lower boundary of the channel.
💡 Notably, this area also aligns with a local supply zone and prior liquidity sweep, making it a key decision point.
⸻
🧭 CryptoPilot’s Take:
This is where patience pays off. No breakout = no FOMO. Watch for confirmation before acting.
⸻
❓ What’s your view?
Will BTC break out and flip bullish here — or is a deeper correction on the way?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments!
💬 Follow for daily high-probability setups using Smart Money & Wave Theory. Let's grow together!
BTC Liquidity Grab + BounceBitcoin just completed a liquidity sweep below the recent low, grabbing stop-losses before reversing sharply. This move often signals smart money accumulation, as shown by the strong bullish reaction off the demand zone. Aiming for the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) above $123K. Volume spike and RSI divergence further validate the bullish narrative.
BITCOIN Indicates Consolidating Moves Before StronBitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis Report
Summary and Conclusion
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $117,000 to $118,000, showing a slight pullback from its recent all-time high near $123,000. The market sentiment is moderately bullish but cautious, with technical indicators signaling some overbought conditions and short-term consolidation. Institutional interest appears to be cooling off slightly, as evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, while accumulation continues across various investor tiers, including whales and retail holders.
Key resistance is near $119,400-$120,000, and support lies around $117,200-$116,900. The market is in a "perfect accumulation" phase, with strong buying support despite some profit-taking. The Fear & Greed Index is at 70, indicating greed but not extreme euphoria.
Recent news highlights a mixed picture: Bitcoin remains dominant and stable, but altcoins are gaining some momentum. Institutional flows are shifting somewhat from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins. Experts predict potential for Bitcoin to reach $200,000 to $250,000 later this year, driven by macroeconomic factors like credit expansion and fiat inflation.
Detailed Analysis
1. Price and Market Data
Market Type Last Price (USD) 24h Change 24h High 24h Low 24h Volume (USD) Funding Rate (Contract)
Spot 116,959.8 -1.65% 119,498.4 116,946.6 1.43B N/A
Contract 116,962.7 -1.65% 119,492.9 116,935.5 8.91B 0.0001
Bitcoin is consolidating below $120,000 after reaching a peak of $123,218 on July 14.
Trading volume remains robust, indicating active market participation.
2. Technical Indicators
Bullish Signals: No strong bullish technical indicators currently detected.
Bearish Signals: RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting short-term caution.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance: ~$119,416.6
Support: ~$117,227.4
MACD and other momentum indicators show indecisiveness, implying possible sideways movement or minor corrections before the next major move.
3. Market Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index: 70 (Greed)
Investor sentiment is bullish but tempered by profit-taking and cautious positioning.
ETF flows show a recent reversal with $68 million outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, ending a 13-day inflow streak.
Ethereum and altcoins are attracting more inflows, signaling a rotation in institutional interest.
4. Recent News Highlights
Bitcoin remains dominant but has been mostly stagnant below $120K, while altcoins struggle for momentum.
Institutional investors are shifting some capital from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins.
Bitcoin is in a "perfect accumulation" phase, with all investor tiers building positions despite some whale transfers.
Experts like Arthur Hayes predict Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by year-end, driven by credit expansion and macroeconomic factors.
Network activity shows a slight dip in active addresses, indicating a short-term pause.
Support levels around $116,952 and $114,354 are critical to watch for downside risk.
Bitcoin's dominance remains strong at around 61%.
5. Outlook
Short-term: Bitcoin may continue to consolidate between $117,000 and $120,000, with potential minor pullbacks due to overbought RSI.
Medium to Long-term: Positive macro factors and accumulation trends suggest potential for new highs, possibly targeting $150,000 to $250,000.
Watch for a breakout above $120,000 to confirm bullish momentum continuation.
Monitor ETF flows and on-chain activity for signs of renewed institutional interest or caution.
Recommendations for Traders and Investors
Traders: Consider cautious trading around current levels, watching for RSI and MACD signals for entry/exit points. Be mindful of resistance near $120,000.
Investors: Accumulation phase suggests good opportunities for long-term holding, especially if Bitcoin holds above $117,000.
Risk Management: Keep stop-loss orders near support levels to mitigate downside risk in case of a correction.
BTC #Bitcoin 15-minute BTC/USDT chart (Updated ChartThis 15-minute BTC/USDT chart (Binance) shows Bitcoin rebounding from a demand zone near 116,000–116,750 USDT and forming higher lows along a short-term ascending trendline. Price is currently around 118,446 USDT, aiming toward a marked supply zone near 119,500 USDT, suggesting a potential short-term bullish move. A rejection at this supply zone could signal a pullback, while a breakout may indicate continued upward momentum. Key support and resistance zones are clearly defined.
thanking you
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – July 21, 2025We’ve previously discussed the significance of the $110,000 level — a zone where long-term holders typically take partial profits.
After multiple pullbacks from that region, a new wave of short-term investors stepped in around $97,000, managing to push the price as high as $123,000.
⚠️ I know many traders are tracking Bitcoin dominance and expecting a correction from this zone — and I partly agree.
However, issuing a sell signal here feels premature and potentially risky.
✅ Instead, I’d suggest looking for a re-entry opportunity around $95,000, where market structure and buyer activity may offer a much better risk-reward ratio.
Daily Market Analysis – BTC, ETH, and Key Indexes
💎🔥 Daily Market Analysis – BTC, ETH, and Key Indexes 🔥💎
🚀 Don’t forget to FOLLOW & smash the ROCKET 🚀 button if this helped you!
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments
♦️ Hello everyone!
On this page, we follow a daily and weekly crypto routine:
🟡 Daily:
• Structural and technical analysis of BTC, ETH, and overall market indexes.
🟡 Every Sunday:
• Analysis of the Top 10 Altcoins (excluding BTC & ETH)
• 🆕 Weekly Watchlist to be introduced soon!
💛Your likes and follows are my fuel to keep posting daily insights 💛
⭕️ We’re currently in a super critical zone across all markets:
• BTC, ETH, major Altcoins
• Key indexes like BTC Dominance (BTC.D), USDT Dominance (USDT.D), TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3
All are at major turning points.
❗️Also, this week brings critical macro news:
• U.S. Interest Rate decision – expected to remain unchanged,
but political pressure may push Powell to surprise the markets.
• Reports on U.S. GDP, Japanese Yen interest rate, and Canadian Dollar are also coming.
⚠️ This is a HIGH-IMPACT WEEK – stay alert. We might even be at the edge of a bull run.
♦️ BTC
As mentioned yesterday, to confirm long positions on altcoins and restart their rally,
we need a breakout above 120,300 on BTC and a drop in BTC.D.
✅ Break of 120,300 would inject strong bullish sentiment and possibly trigger high momentum.
🚫 Until then, my focus is strictly on bullish setups only.
📌 If BTC ranges before the U.S. session opens, the entry triggers shared in yesterday's watchlist will be ideal to activate.
♦️ BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
While BTC price rises, BTC.D is dropping – a great signal for altcoin entries.
BTC.D is testing two key levels:
1️⃣ 60.83
2️⃣ 60.42
📉 A full breakdown of 60.83 would be the first signal of an altcoin reversal.
❗️If 60.42 breaks too – do NOT stay out of altcoins!
♦️ TOTAL (Market Cap)
Currently struggling with the 3.91T level.
A clean break here could bring in serious volume and momentum.
💡 Missed some entries from the watchlist? Look for major breakout levels on other coins.
♦️ TOTAL2 (Altcoin Cap excl. BTC)
Also testing its key level of 1.48T. Breakout = confirmation of altcoin strength.
♦️ TOTAL3 (Altcoin Cap excl. BTC & ETH)
Yesterday, gave us its first bullish signal breaking above 1.03T.
Because ETH has moved already, TOTAL2 reacted faster.
⏳ That means: we still have time for altcoin setups (excluding BTC & ETH).
♦️ USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
Broke 4.23% – which was the first early sign of a bullish shift.
Before it breaks 4.13%, we should already be in long positions on BTC and alts.
⚠️ Once 4.13% breaks, sharp altcoin rallies may happen quickly – entry opportunities may disappear.
♦️ ETH/USDT
Although ETH has bullish candles, volume and trend strength are weak.
My preferred entry was around $3,750 – that would give us room toward the $4,000 resistance.
Right now, no valid entry trigger in ETH.
If it reacts to $4,000 and forms a lower low, then we might scout for bullish setups.
⛔️ $4,000 is likely to cause some chop – which is why $3,750 was a better buy zone.
♦️ Outlook & Strategy ♦️
1️⃣ Consider the chance that all coins may bounce exactly from current levels – that's what I’m personally positioning for, accepting the risk.
2️⃣ If BTC and ETH break 120K and 4K then consolidate, and BTC.D continues to drop —
➡️ Get ready for an Altcoin Party.
3️⃣ Monitor the daily watchlist triggers closely.
4️⃣ If BTC fails to break 120.3K, we won’t get the explosive rally.
5️⃣ If BTC ranges while BTC.D continues dropping, alts will still perform —
⚠️ But not as strong as a full bull run.
🚀 Hit the ROCKET if this helped you stay ahead of the market!
🟡 Follow me for daily BTC, ETH & index updates.
💬 Let me know your market view in the comments!
Pessimistic scenario for BITCOINAfter Bitcoin touched the price of 123,218, it entered a corrective phase. According to previous analysis, we expected the price to touch the range of $115,000-113,000. With the formation of more waves, it seems that the recent correction that started on July 14, 2025 is a diametric (bowtie) where waves f and g of this diametric are not yet complete and this pattern is part of a higher degree diametric and after this pattern is completed I expect a move towards the range of 140,000-150,000
Pessimistic scenario:
The pessimistic scenario is that this wave becomes a double pattern and enters the price range of wave-b (marked with a red dashed line) of the higher degree diametric. The probability of this scenario occurring is low and I consider the first scenario more likely, but we must be prepared for all market movements.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
The move is up to the buyersHi traders and investors!
The price has already played out the upper boundary of the scenario, rising above 120,500. Then it also reached the lower boundary by dropping below 115,222.
Now we are at an interest moment: will the price continue to move upward or not?
This situation is clearly visible on the 8-hour timeframe.
On the 8H chart, we see a sideways range, similar to the 1D timeframe. The lower boundary is 115,736 and the upper boundary is 123,218. The active initiative is currently with the buyers, and their target is 120,998 и 123,218.
There is a notable bar attacking the lower boundary (115,736) with very high volume. The high of that bar is 118,451. We’re watching to see whether buyers absorb this bar — that will determine how the next move plays out.
There are three key levels where buyers may step in: 116,782, 116,128, and 115,736. If the price drops to any of these, we can look for a long setup.
Above, we also have three resistance levels from the sellers: 118,451, 119,676, and 120,247. We’ll be watching how sellers react if the price tests these zones.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
BTCUSDTAccording to previous analysis and its short-term target, Bitcoin has made a correction, and the correction areas, namely $114,000 and $112,000, were the important support areas it saw. However, considering the time, it can be said that the next Bitcoin ceiling will be reached in the period from August 18 to September 22, approximately 35 days.This is a medium-term timeframe on a weekly basis and Bitcoin is expected to reach $144,000 to $148,000 in price. Good luck and be victorious.
Shark harmonic pattern
---
### 🦈 What Is the Shark Harmonic Pattern?
- **Discovered by**: Scott Carney in 2011
- **Foundation**: Combines **Fibonacci ratios** with **Elliott Wave Theory**
- **Purpose**: Identifies potential **trend reversals** using precise geometric price structures
- **Structure**: Five points labeled **O, X, A, B, C** (not the usual XABCD)
- **Key Feature**: Relies heavily on the **88.6% Fibonacci retracement** and **113% extension**
---
### 📐 Pattern Geometry & Ratios
| Leg | Description | Fibonacci Ratio Range |
|------------|--------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------|
| XA | Initial impulse leg | No specific ratio |
| AB | Extension beyond X | 113% to 161.8% of XA |
| BC | Completion leg | 88.6% to 113% of OX |
| | | 161.8% to 224% of AB |
- **Point B** must **exceed point X**, forming an **Extreme Harmonic Impulse Wave**
- **Point C** is the **Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)**
---
### 🛒 Buy Setup (Bullish Shark)
1. **No fixed retracement for A**
2. **B extends 113%–161.8% of XA**
3. **C completes at**:
- 88.6%–113% of OX
- 161.8%–224% of AB
📍 **Entry**: Near point C
📍 **Stop Loss**: Below point C
📍 **Target**: Retracement levels of BC (e.g., 50%, 61.8%), or back to point A/B
---
### 📉 Sell Setup (Bearish Shark)
1. **No fixed retracement for A**
2. **B extends 113%–161.8% of XA**
3. **C completes at**:
- 88.6%–113% of OX
- 161.8%–224% of AB
📍 **Entry**: Near point C
📍 **Stop Loss**: Above point C
📍 **Target**: Retracement levels of BC, or back to point A/B
---
### 📊 Real Trade Example & Educational Resources
In the comment
BTC - RotationsStill pingponging between VAL and VAH, so there is not much to update on BTC.
I think patience is key here, most of all don't chase moves but position at the extremes for opposite side, then you are much better placed for continuation moves.
I never try to have much expectations, but there is a smol gut feeling that ETH puts in a new high locally (let's say around 3920-50) while BTC takes out the internal highs at 121k and makes a lower high.
I can be wrong and we simply keep drifting higher, but divergences between ETH and BTC are often worth watching, because the market as a whole usually struggles to maintain strength when alts attract more capital than BTC does (relative to mc).
Bitcoin (BTC): Liquidity Hunting + Buyside Dominance | Bullish!What a week we have had so far; it has moved this whole week so far like one big rollercoaster, but nevertheless we are still above the $116K zone so we are bullish.
While we see slight buyside dominance,, we also see huge order limits sitting at $115K,, which means we might still see some kind of "last liquidity hunting."
That being said, we are keeping an eye on $116K and $115K zones.
Swallow Academy
Trading plan for BitcoinLast week, Bitcoin established a new ATH at $123k before entering a corrective phase. The price action has since developed into a clear consolidation pattern and currently trades below the weekly pivot point.
Key Observations:
Proximity to last week's low increases probability of a full ABC correction targeting $113k
Break above noted resistance could invalidate bearish scenario and suggest ATH retest
Critical Levels:
Resistance: $119,500
Support: $113,000 (ABC target)
Trade the range until the market declares its next direction.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Rotation Continues
Hello everyone! This is a daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued to rotate within a narrow sideways range, and so far, there has been no breakout. We retested the lower boundary of the range and once again saw absorption of market selling at that level.
At the moment, the scenario remains valid — we expect a breakout to the upside. Several factors support this outlook: strong defense at the lows, delta absorption across the entire range, and buyer control on the most recent local upward wave.
A less likely scenario is a dip into the lower buy zone, a liquidity grab, and another attempt to move higher.
Buy Zones:
~$115,000 (zone of initiating/pushing volumes)
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.