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USDTBTC trade ideas

BTC is in a macro-uptrend but undergoing a healthy correction Structure: BTC recently broke out from a local ascending wedge and is now pulling back toward support. Current Price: ~$115,250 (at time of chart). Day Support: ~117,000 (currently lost). Next Key Support: ~109,244 (marked as WEEK RESIST, now potentially flipping to support). Upside Target: 123,000 zone remains a key resistance, and aligns with projected measured move from wedge. RSI: Just broke downward from overbought (divergence present). Currently ~59. A bearish signal in short-term momentum. Williams %R: Deep in oversold, suggesting short-term bounce potential, but may be early. 200 SMA (blue): Holding well below current price — long-term uptrend remains intact. Forecast Scenarios: Base Case: BTC pulls back to 111K–109K, forms support, and continues the uptrend toward 123K. Bullish Alt : If macro surprises (e.g., ETH ETF approval or FOMC dovish pivot), BTC reclaims 117K swiftly and rallies straight to 131K. Bearish Risk: Break below 109K support, leading to retest of 98K (200 SMA area).
Short
by lesnermj
21/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $123,220.24 Last weeks low: $115,718.15 Midpoint: $119,469.19 New BTC ($123,220) & SPX ($6,315) ATH last week! We're really seeing progress being made on all fronts now, bitcoin saw its sixth week of net inflows into BTC ETFs ($2.39B). The week began strong hitting the new ATH very early and then settled into a tight range to cool off. Altcoins however surged in relation to BTC to break out of HTF downtrends and begin to make up lost ground. One of the beneficiary's of this price movement has been ETH, breaking out from a multi year downtrend against BTC and hitting $3,800 in its USD pair. For this week I do expect much of the same for BTC as momentum is with altcoins for now. However, as those altcoins reach HTF resistance levels it becomes very important for Bitcoins chop to be accumulation for the next leg up and not distribution for the way down. With so few pullbacks the threat of a sudden correction is present but the probability drops should BTC look to press higher with strong demand. The ECB Interest rate decision takes place on Thursday but no changes to the 2.15% rate is forecast. In terms of news there are no planned upsets that I can see. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
BTC Could Start Another Bullish WaveBTC Could Start Another Bullish Wave Over the past two days, bitcoin has been holding strong above 118400. It seems that this small structural area could push BTC higher. For now, ETH has performed better and BTC may follow suit. I am looking for short-term targets near 122400, 125000 and 127000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
16
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, after updating the historical maximum, bitcoin went into correction for the first time, after which it went sideways. At the moment, the $117,300 – $116,300 zone has been retested (strong absorption of sales) and an active reaction from buyers has been received. Within the current flat, the cumulative delta supports buyers, indicating the absorption of market sales. At the same time, the global wave structure on the 4H chart casts doubt on the last wave of buys, as we’ve rapidly adjusted back to its beginning. 💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? We expect to exit the sideways at $116,000 – $121,000 in an upward direction from the current levels, either through capturing liquidity and testing the pushing volume zone at $115,000. The target is the last ATH, which is $123,200. A re-correction is possible near $123,200, resulting in a wider flat range of $123,200 to $115,000. If there is a true breakout, we can expect the continuation of the global long trend. Buy Zones: ~$115,000 (zone of initiating/pushing volumes) $110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume) 📰 IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events this week: • Tuesday, July 22, 12:30 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell; • Wednesday, July 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on US second-hand housing sales for June; • Thursday, July 24, 12:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate for July and the interest rate decision in the Eurozone; • Thursday, July 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Thursday, July 24, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank; • Thursday, July 24, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices (PMI) in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for July; • Thursday, July 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for June. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisBTC made a recorded high of 123,218$ on Monday, and made a correction to 116k$ and keep consolidate in the range of 116k$-120k$, at the time of writing this bitcoin is currently trading at 118,224k$. 116k$-117k$ reacting as a strong support zone, if BTC breakdown this support zone the next target of bears is 112k$-110k$. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart currently reads 64, having declined from last week's overbought level of 70. This suggests a cooling in bullish momentum, potentially signaling a pause or reversal in the recent upward trend. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is on the verge of forming a bearish crossover on the daily chart. If confirmed, this crossover would act as a sell signal, reinforcing the view of emerging bearish momentum. However, if BTC closes above the $120,000 on a daily basis, it could extend the recovery toward the fresh all-time high at $123,218 and beyond.
Long
by Beyoglu_Analyst
BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook 20/07/2025📈 BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook Market Context: Price continued its bullish momentum, fueled by institutional demand and supportive U.S. policy outlook. We captured solid profits by following the game plan I shared earlier (see linked chart below). 🔍 Technical Analysis ✅ BTC made a strong bullish move, breaking into new all-time highs. 📊 The daily RSI entered overbought territory, which signaled the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation. Currently, price is ranging, and RSI is cooling off. That tells me the market is likely building energy for the next leg up — but not before a significant liquidity run. 🎯 Game Plan I'm watching for one of two potential setups: 1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep to the Downside  - A run of the daily swing low  - Into the most discounted range (0.75 Fib zone) OR 2️⃣ Tap into the Weekly FVG Zone (marked with the purple line) Either move would create the liquidity and energy needed to fuel a breakout above the equal highs (EQHs) marked by the black line. 🚀 Target First Target: EQHs (Black Line) Second Target: Price Discovery (new ATHs) 💬 Let me know your thoughts or drop your own chart ideas below! 📌 Follow for Weekly Recaps & Game Plans If you found this useful, make sure to follow for weekly BTC updates, market outlooks, and detailed trade plans based on structure and liquidity.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
BTC - Calling the Start of the Bearish SeasonHello Watchers ☕ This was my previous Bitcoin update where I had a target of $116K, and also then closed all open positions at $122K: I'm calling the top here mainly because of the way the chart looks, it really is classic Wyckoff if you look at the duration of the current bullish cycle, which has lasted a whole 973 Days with a 564% increase. What goes up, must come down! Just for interest sake, the previous bullish cycle ran for 600 days with a 700% increase.
Short
by BlockTechEv
31
BTC Reloading for Breakout — Watching for 1H MSS Flip BTC has bounced from local support (green zone) and is challenging the descending trendline. The price is now testing the red resistance zone and the upper boundary of the 1H MSS (market structure shift) box. Scenario A (Bullish): — If BTC cleanly breaks the trendline and flips the 1H MSS box into support (with a strong close above), this is a trigger for a scalp long. — Target for the move is the upper green box/previous high area near $122,000. Scenario B (Bearish/Invalidation): — If price is rejected at the red resistance and falls back below the green support box, risk of deeper pullback toward $116,000 increases. BTC has shown resilience by quickly reclaiming support after a sweep lower, indicating strong demand. The market looks to be reloading for another push, with liquidity building up just below resistance. The setup favors a breakout if NY Open brings momentum. The flip of the 1H MSS box would confirm bullish intent. However, caution if the breakout fails — structure remains choppy and a failed breakout can trap late buyers.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
Correction down for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made a small correction down and up again to finish wave 3 (blue). After that it started a bigger correction down for wave 4 (blue). This could be a Triangle (no break of previous low) or Zigzag (break of previous low into the bullish Daily FVG). After the finish of the correction down we could see more upside again. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. Then after an impulse wave up, a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Bitcoin's Critical Zone: Breakout or Breakdown? ✨ Stay ahead of the market — follow for daily crypto insights & smart analysis. 🧠 Think smart. Trade smart. 🚀 Tap the rocket if you're ready for liftoff! 🔍 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC) 📌 Scenario 1: For BTC to break above 122 this time, it’ll need a real whale push. There are still many micro sellers at that level, and a slow, gradual move like yesterday likely won’t work. Since buyers already spent their dry powder, they might not have enough left to defend 110 if price gets rejected again. 📌 Scenario 2: But if price doesn’t attempt 122 again from here, we probably won’t see the 110 bottom either — simply because buyers haven’t deployed capital yet and may be waiting for entries around 115. That forms a potential range between 115 and 122. 🕰️ Daily timeframe: Market is resting for now. 🎯 Entry trigger: 120.35 If price struggles at this level and BTC dominance isn't strong, we’ll likely shift attention to altcoins. If BTC gets rejected at 122 and dominance turns red, again — alts may outperform. 💡 Current BTC & ETH positions remain open. No interest in shorts. As long as we stay above 115, the focus remains on alt/BTC pairs during dips. 📊 TOTAL Market Cap: 🟡 Although we moved above 3.78 yesterday, we don’t call that a breakout — unless price moves away from the level significantly. Right now, it’s still struggling near resistance. Next key level to watch for a true breakout: 3.91 This is the same region BTC needs a whale to push through. 📈 TOTAL2 – Entry Trigger: 1.05 If any altcoin shows strong momentum and volume before this level breaks (⚠️ low weekend volume is expected), we can consider that a signal. On Saturdays, volume confirmation is tricky, so we may take small breakout trades using only 0.25% of capital, with fewer positions. 💠 OTHERS.D: If BTC dominance drops, BTC ranges, and OTHERS.D rises ⬆️ ➡️ It suggests that non-top-10 coins are starting to move. That’s when we should analyze dominance of each top 10 coin individually. 🎯 Entry trigger: 7.80 💵 USDT.D: No clean level for now, but keep an eye on 3.80 going forward. 🌐 ETH/BTC: Still bullish, showing no signs of pullback. Price continues to push up. ✨ Stay ahead of the market — follow for daily crypto insights & smart analysis. 🧠 Think smart. Trade smart. 🚀 Tap the rocket if you're ready for liftoff!
by trade-pro-mind
Bitcoin's Critical Zone: Breakout or Breakdown? ✨ Stay ahead of the market — follow for daily crypto insights & smart analysis. 🧠 Think smart. Trade smart. 🚀 Tap the rocket if you're ready for liftoff! 🔍 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC) 📌 Scenario 1: For BTC to break above 122 this time, it’ll need a real whale push. There are still many micro sellers at that level, and a slow, gradual move like yesterday likely won’t work. Since buyers already spent their dry powder, they might not have enough left to defend 110 if price gets rejected again. 📌 Scenario 2: But if price doesn’t attempt 122 again from here, we probably won’t see the 110 bottom either — simply because buyers haven’t deployed capital yet and may be waiting for entries around 115. That forms a potential range between 115 and 122. 🕰️ Daily timeframe: Market is resting for now. 🎯 Entry trigger: 120.35 If price struggles at this level and BTC dominance isn't strong, we’ll likely shift attention to altcoins. If BTC gets rejected at 122 and dominance turns red, again — alts may outperform. 💡 Current BTC & ETH positions remain open. No interest in shorts. As long as we stay above 115, the focus remains on alt/BTC pairs during dips. 📊 TOTAL Market Cap: 🟡 Although we moved above 3.78 yesterday, we don’t call that a breakout — unless price moves away from the level significantly. Right now, it’s still struggling near resistance. Next key level to watch for a true breakout: 3.91 This is the same region BTC needs a whale to push through. 📈 TOTAL2 – Entry Trigger: 1.05 If any altcoin shows strong momentum and volume before this level breaks (⚠️ low weekend volume is expected), we can consider that a signal. On Saturdays, volume confirmation is tricky, so we may take small breakout trades using only 0.25% of capital, with fewer positions. 💠 OTHERS.D: If BTC dominance drops, BTC ranges, and OTHERS.D rises ⬆️ ➡️ It suggests that non-top-10 coins are starting to move. That’s when we should analyze dominance of each top 10 coin individually. 🎯 Entry trigger: 7.80 💵 USDT.D: No clean level for now, but keep an eye on 3.80 going forward. 🌐 ETH/BTC: Still bullish, showing no signs of pullback. Price continues to push up. ✨ Stay ahead of the market — follow for daily crypto insights & smart analysis. 🧠 Think smart. Trade smart. 🚀 Tap the rocket if you're ready for liftoff!
by trade-pro-mind
Bitcoin Struggles Below $120K:Will the CME Gap Pull Price Lower?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been experiencing a high momentum bullish trend in recent days, which few people expected, especially when it crossed $120,000 . However, in the past 24 hours , Bitcoin has fallen back below $120,000 . Bitcoin is currently trading in the Resistance zone($119,720-$118,240) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,757-$117,829) on the 1-hour time frame . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . Main wave 4 is likely to have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and fill the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) in the next hour. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $123,087-$120,922 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,305-$114,325 Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again? Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,000 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
What Moves the Crypto Market?Hello, Traders! If you’ve spent any time staring at crypto charts, you’ve probably asked: “Why is this happening?” And the truth is… there’s never one simple answer. Crypto markets are complex, global, 24/7 systems. The forces behind a price move can be technical, fundamental, psychological or all at once. So let’s unpack what really moves this market. 1. Supply and Demand — The Fundamentals Behind the Volatility At its core, crypto prices are governed by supply and demand. If more people want to buy than sell, the price goes up and vice versa. But it’s not that simple. Take Bitcoin. It has a fixed max supply of 21 million, and most of those coins are already mined. But available liquidity on exchanges is much smaller and this is where things get interesting. During bull markets, demand surges while liquid supply dries up. That creates parabolic moves. Then you have supply unlocks, token vesting schedules, and inflationary emissions all of which affect how much of a coin is flowing into the market. Example: When Lido enabled ETH withdrawals in 2023, it shifted the ETH supply dynamics, some saw it as bearish (more unlocked supply), others bullish (greater staking confidence). 2. Sentiment and Psychology: Fear & Greed Still Rule If you want to understand the crypto market, start by studying people. Emotions drive decision-making, and crypto is still largely a retail-dominated space. Bull runs often start with doubt, accelerate with FOMO, and end in euphoria. Bear markets move from panic to despair to apathy. The crypto psychology chart rarely lies, but it always feels different in real time. The classic “psychological numbers in trading”, like $10K, $20K, $100K BTC, often act as invisible walls of resistance or support. Why? Because traders anchor to these round levels. 👉 We’ve covered this phenomenon in detail in a dedicated post “The Power of Round Numbers in Trading.” Highly recommend checking it out if you want to understand how these zones shape market psychology and price action. 3. On-Chain Activity and Network Utility Fundamentals matter. But in crypto, fundamentals are on-chain. The transparency of blockchain networks provides valuable insights into fundamental usage and investor behavior, which often foreshadow price trends. On-chain metrics such as active addresses, transaction volumes, and wallet holdings offer insight into the health and sentiment of the crypto ecosystem: Network Usage (Active Addresses & Transactions): A growing number of active addresses or transactions might indicate rising network demand and adoption. Empirical studies have found that BTC’s price strongly correlates with its on-chain activity – increases in the number of wallets, active addresses, and transaction counts tend to accompany price appreciation. Exchange Inflows/Outflows: Tracking the movement of Bitcoin or Ether in and out of exchanges provides clues to investor intent. Large outflows from exchanges are often bullish signals – coins withdrawn to private wallets imply holders are opting to HODL rather than trade or sell, tightening the available supply on the market. For example, in late March 2025, as Bitcoin neared $90,000, exchange outflows hit a 7-month high (~11,574 BTC withdrawn in one day) mainly by whale holders, indicating strong confidence. Mining Activity and Miner Behavior: In Proof-of-Work coins like Bitcoin, miners are forced sellers (regularly selling block rewards to cover costs), so their behavior can impact price. Periods of miner capitulation, when mining becomes unprofitable and many miners shut off or sell holdings, have historically aligned with market bottoms. For example, in August 2024, Bitcoin experienced a miner “capitulation event”: daily miner outflows spiked to ~19,000 BTC (the highest in months) as the price dipped to around $ 49,000, suggesting that miners had dumped inventory as profit margins evaporated. Shortly after, the network hash rate quickly recovered to new highs, indicating that miners’ confidence was returning, even as the price was low. Final Thoughts In conclusion, the crypto market’s price movements are driven by a complex interplay of factors… Market sentiment and psychology can override fundamentals in the short run, leading to euphoric rallies or panicked crashes. On-chain metrics provide the ground truth of user adoption and big-holder behavior, often signaling trend changes before they happen. Halvings and tokenomics remind us that the code underlying these assets directly affects their value by controlling supply. And finally, specific catalysts and news events encapsulate how all these forces can converge in real time. For enthusiasts, understanding “what moves the crypto market” is crucial for navigating its volatility. Crypto will likely remain a fast-evolving space, but its price movements are not random. They are the sum of these identifiable factors, all of which savvy market participants weigh in their quest to predict the next move in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and beyond. What do you think? 👇🏻
Education
by WhiteBIT
Bitcoin Bearish Shark Detected – CME Gap Below $115K in Sight?Today's analysis is on the 15-minute timeframe , following the previous analysis I shared with you on the 1-hour timeframe . Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the Resistance zone($120,100-$118,240) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,490-$119,965) . From a technical perspective , it looks like Bitcoin is completing the Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern on the 15-minute timeframe . From an Elliott wave theory perspective, it looks like Bitcoin is completing the microwave 5 of wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the top of the ascending channel and at least decline to the lower line of the descending channel, and if the ascending channel breaks this time, we should wait for the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675)/CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) to fill. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,556-$116,465 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,773-$114,513 Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again? Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,620 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
23