Don’t Fear Big Pullback Candles — We’re Still in a Bullish Trend🚀 Don’t Fear Big Pullback Candles — We’re Still in a Bullish Trend!
We’re currently in a long-term uptrend, so don’t let large corrective candles spook you. As long as Bitcoin stays above $110,610, there’s no reason to look for shorts. Be patient — let the market build its structure before it hands us a clean long trigger.
Right now, with BTC pulling back, BTC Dominance is also dipping, which is a bullish sign for altcoins. Instead of hunting shorts, focus on altcoins that are outperforming Bitcoin or showing bullish setups.
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💬 Which alts are you watching right now? Drop your favorites in the comments!
USDTBTC trade ideas
1d BTC current movement (quick info)Just a quick reminder. the current upper band of BINANCE:BTCUSDT of the past two cicles is being broken right now. if you zoom in you can even see a retest of this band now as support. if it holds, this could really mean a parabolic shift.
Will look into it further.
Bitcoin Eyes $200K: Why a Correction Could Come FirstAs Bitcoin continues its remarkable run, optimism is high that we could see BTC break the $200,000 mark this year. The momentum is there, with bullish sentiment across the crypto and traditional finance spaces. Yet, it’s important to acknowledge a potential short-term correction ahead before new highs are reached.
Why a Correction May Happen Soon
Several factors point to a volatile period in the weeks ahead:
Upcoming Tariffs: On August 1st, the new round of tariffs announced by President Trump is set to take effect. Trade disputes historically introduce uncertainty into global markets and can sap risk appetite, even in alternative assets like crypto.
Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has not yet begun lowering interest rates. High rates continue to pressure both equity and crypto markets by making cash relatively more attractive and increasing the cost of leverage.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing instability in the Middle East adds another layer of unpredictability. Geopolitical flare-ups often lead to market volatility as investors act defensively.
The Takeaway
While Bitcoin is on track to reach unprecedented levels this year, investors should remain mindful of the broader market context. Short-term corrections are part of any healthy bull run and can be driven by macroeconomic and geopolitical events. Staying informed and maintaining a disciplined approach will be crucial for navigating what promises to be an exciting—and eventful—rest of the year.
Not Investment Advice!
#crypto #bitcoin #short #correction #dump #uncertainty #volatility #war #news #bearish
BTC Analysis — Long-Term Buy Zone AheadI'm watching $111,000 as a major buy zone on Bitcoin.
If price retraces to that level, I’ll be ready to enter a long position.
This is not a prediction — it’s a scenario.
Smart traders don’t guess, they prepare.
Let price come to your level. No chasing.
📍Set your alerts and stay patient.
#BTC Update #7 – July 15, 2025#BTC Update #7 – July 15, 2025
Bitcoin is currently within the consolidation zone where it previously paused during its last upward move. From this zone, it had previously bounced and created a new all-time high. It is now undergoing a correction, and the level it has reached aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, which is perfectly normal for a first stop in a correction.
If the correction continues, the second stop could be around $114,795, and the third around $113,012. If it reaches these levels, it will have filled at least half of the imbalance created during the previous rally.
Looking at the volume, I anticipate that Bitcoin might start to bounce from this level. If it manages to break above the $122,666 zone, the next target would be around $127,172.
I do not plan to buy Bitcoin here unless I see a high-volume green candle. However, if Bitcoin breaks above the $118,900 level with strong volume, a long position might be considered, as the target would likely shift toward the $127,000 range.
BTCUSDT.P liquidity analysis🟠 CRYPTOCAP:BTC
📄 This analysis is for liquidity and comparing supply and demand ratios
🚨 We start by noting that actual selling pressure began at 121826 and this ratio increased as it dropped below 119723
📄 Any daily close below 117612 will increase this pressure, which is logical after such a rise, specifically in Bitcoin
⭕️ The two closest important levels with liquidity and buying strength are at 114813 and 110623
◀️ The current rebound from 116114 (the lowest point Bitcoin has reached currently at the time of writing this analysis) is insufficient in terms of liquidity and needs more momentum, and attention here should be on the level 117612
📄 The current movement is between 117612 - 114813, the range where Bitcoin stabilized before achieving the historical peak, and thus maintaining this range will provide a boost for a larger rise
BTC HTF Distribution V3This is my new outlook for BTC if this 250 day old range is intended to be a HTF Distribution Model 1, which has neither been confirmed nor invalidated. A weekly close above 123.350$ will invalidate this model and likely lead to higher prices. Yesterday we had a perfect rejection from the deviation limit, which now probably creates a new range, that then will either reaccumulate or distribute.
BITCOIN LONG TRADEBTC had a large flush after its ATH of 123.1k causing most late longs to get wiped out. It seems fear has been overestimated and we should see a reversal soon. We're also near major support on the 4h and have an oversold StochRSI. CPI numbers are coming out today so make sure you're managing risk accordingly and only invest what you can afford to lose.
BTC/USDT Long Position Plan🔥 BTC/USDT LONG IDEA (4H CHART)
Published by: Ali15349323
Timeframe: 4H
Exchange: Bybit Spot
Date: July 15, 2025
📊 Analysis Summary:
Bitcoin is pulling back after a strong impulsive move upward. Price has now entered a key 4H demand zone between 116,200 – 117,300, which previously acted as a consolidation base before the breakout.
We are now watching for a potential long entry in this zone, with a bounce confirmation and invalidation criteria clearly defined.
📌 Trade Plan (Long Setup)
Entry Zone:
🔹 116,200 – 117,300 USDT
🔹 Price is currently reacting within this support range
Stop Loss (Invalidation):
🔹 Below 114,900 USDT
🔹 A 4H candle close below this level would break structure and invalidate the setup
Take Profit Targets:
🔹 TP1: 121,000 – Local resistance
🔹 TP2: 123,000 – 124,000 – Imbalance fill zone
🔹 TP3 (Optional): 125,500+ – If momentum continues
🧠 Reasoning Behind the Trade:
✅ Strong demand zone with historical reaction
✅ Wick rejection from the lower boundary, showing early buyer interest
✅ Price structure still bullish unless 114.9k breaks
✅ Previous sell-off likely triggered liquidation — now a chance for recovery bounce
⚠️ Invalidation Criteria:
❌ A 4H candle close below 114,900 signals demand has failed
❌ In this case, the setup is no longer valid — next demand sits around 111k – 112k
🧾 Summary:
We’re looking for a bullish continuation if BTC holds above the current demand zone. A sweep-and-reclaim structure could give confirmation. If the zone fails, no trade — we step aside and wait for deeper support.
📣 Don’t forget to:
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#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Bitcoin Rush: The Carnival and Concerns Behind $120,000Bitcoin Rush: The Carnival and Concerns Behind $120,000
The Bitcoin market is staging an epic rally - the price has broken through the $120,000 mark, setting a new record high. But behind this jubilation, the market has shown signs of overheating.
Market Status: Risks Hidden in the Frenzy
Price Performance: Hit a new high of $123,000 on July 15, up nearly 20% this year, with a total market value of $2.2 trillion (the fifth largest asset in the world)
Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 72 (extreme greed), but more than 100,000 people were liquidated in 24 hours, with a loss of $510 million
Technical Signals: RSI reached 70.9 (overbought zone), and the 30-day unrealized profit and loss ratio reached the 80% percentile
Three major rising engines
Institutional entry
Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflow of $118 million in a single day (BlackRock holds more than 700,000 coins)
MicroStra Tegy's holdings value exceeds $50 billion
Trump Media Group and other listed companies join the "coin hoarding trend"
Regulatory support
The U.S. "Cryptocurrency Week" deliberates on three key bills
Hong Kong passes the "Stablecoin Ordinance" (effective on August 1)
The EU MiCA framework begins to be implemented
Macro support
The probability of the Fed's September rate cut is 72.3%
The weakening of the U.S. dollar + trade protection policies boost risk aversion demand
Bitcoin's positioning shifts from "speculative assets" to "digital gold"
Key technical signals
Breakthrough pattern: daily "three white soldiers" candle + ascending triangle breakthrough, target 128,000-132,000 U.S. dollars Yuan
Key position:
Support: $116,800 (near term), $112,000 (key)
Resistance: $121,500 (short term), $140,000 (long term)
Risk signal: H4 chart RSI reaches 77, MACD histogram shrinks
Future outlook
Short term: If the $112,000 support is maintained, it is expected to challenge $140,000
Risk: Falling below $108,500 may trigger a chain of liquidations
Cycle law: Referring to "peaking 550 days after halving", this round of bull market may peak in October
Breakout trading strategy (suitable for aggressive traders )
Entry conditions:
Price stabilizes above $123,000 with increased trading volume (at least 1.5 times the 20-day average volume)
4-hour chart closes above the previous high for three consecutive positive lines
Targets:
First target $128,000 (1.618 Fibonacci extension level)
Second target $135,000 (psychological barrier + upper channel track)
Stop loss setting:
Day trading: Falling below the $120,000 round mark
Swing trading: Falling below the $116,800 support platform
Conclusion: Bitcoin is writing a new chapter in history, but investors need to be wary of "extreme joy leads to sorrow". Remember: when others are fearful, I am greedy, and when others are greedy, I am fearful - this old saying always applies to the crypto market.
Cycle Top Theory: BTC 2025–2028 : The ₿ Line BreakoutCycle Top Theory: BTC 2025–2028" explores the probabilistic path of Bitcoin through the remainder of the current bull cycle. Combining historical market structure, halving-driven supply shocks, and volatility-based modeling, this thesis outlines potential top scenarios ranging from $xxxK to $xxxK.
BTC - Last Attempt at Predicting TopThis is my last attempt at predicting the top of this upwards move on the HTF.
Adjusting these trendlines to where BTC pumped to, which was a lot higher than initially anticipated, it does look to me that these trendlines are still respected.
There are 3 bearish ascending lines that price has been interacting with - I assume we are looking at a crossing intersection of them, per the chart here.
If BTC continues higher without a very fast, drastic free fall - I will be looking at other possibilities. If price moves above 122,000 again, I would consider this invalid - as I suspect the resistance level sits around 120,000 to 120,500 area.
I will be looking for a very fast drop to consider this possibility as valid and likely from here on.
BTC-----Buy around 121100, target 121800 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 14:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was above the moving average, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. The overall trend is still very obvious, and it can be seen from the overall trend that the retracement is very small. After the shock correction in the two trading days over the weekend, it rose strongly again during the day and broke through the previous high position, so we keep the main idea of buying on retracement in trading; the short-cycle hourly chart intraday price broke upward, the starting point was 118880 area, the current price is consolidating at a high level, the K-line pattern continued to rise, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. If we look at the continuation of the high closing today, two conditions must be met: the European market price broke through the intraday high; the retracement cannot break the starting point, otherwise it will be difficult to fall.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Trade in the 121100 area when retracement, stop loss in the 120500 area, and the target is the 121800 area;
Analysis of the Latest Bitcoin Market。On July 14, Bitcoin's price surged sharply, with the highest level reaching $123,100. This breakthrough ended its eight-month-long consolidation phase within the $90,000 - $110,000 range.
The U.S. House of Representatives designated the week of July 14 as "Crypto Week" and plans to deliberate on a number of key bills. Among them, the Guiding and Establishing America's Stablecoin National Innovation Act aims to formulate federal regulations for stablecoins and is regarded as a "landmark legislation" in the cryptocurrency sector. The market expects the cryptocurrency industry to usher in policy dividends.
Market analysts are relatively optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects. The $125,000 level is seen as the next key psychological threshold, and a breakthrough above it would open up greater upside potential. Standard Chartered Bank predicts that Bitcoin will challenge $200,000 by the end of the year. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at a high level, there is no obvious overbought signal. The moving average system is clearly aligned, and the support level has moved up to $112,000. The market consensus holds that "any pullback represents a buying opportunity."
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