Bullish bounce?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci reracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 64.89
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 63.08
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 69.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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WTICOUSD trade ideas
Crude oil extends fallsThe crude oil market has entered a fragile and uncertain phase, with prices retreating from recent highs. While WTI crude is still holding above the critical $65 mark on a closing basis, it was below this handle at the time of writing. So, the overall tone remains cautious, with a bearish tilt expected to persist in the near term.
Technical Outlook: WTI Breaks Key Support
The WTI crude chart shows a breakdown of a short-term bullish trend line, and lower lows. The price failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average and found strong resistance since. Currently, it is testing support around $65.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further bearish momentum, with the next support zones seen at $64, and then the next round handles below that. $60 per barrel could be reached if the macro backdrop doesn't improve.
Geopolitical Factors: Trump’s Tariff Threats Dismissed
Donald Trump’s threats of 100% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil sparked initial concern but were ultimately shrugged off by the market. Traders interpreted the 50-day delay in enforcement and Trump’s historical pattern of backing off such threats as signs that immediate supply disruptions were unlikely.
OPEC+ Strategy: Supply Returning to the Market
OPEC+ has announced a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 bpd for August, with another 550,000 bpd potentially coming in September. This roll-back of earlier voluntary cuts aims to recapture market share, especially as U.S. shale production slows. However, the added supply may cap price gains, particularly as demand is expected to ease after the peak U.S. driving season.
By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com
Crude oil awaits upward breakthrough
💡Message Strategy
Inventory data provides short-term support, but it is difficult to change the trend
Although oil prices are under pressure overall, inventory data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) show that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories have dropped significantly, while gasoline consumption has increased by 6% month-on-month to 9.2 million barrels per day, indicating that the summer driving peak has brought short-term positive factors.
In addition, global aviation demand has also become an important variable to boost market sentiment. JPMorgan Chase pointed out in a client report: "In the first eight days of July, the global daily number of flights reached an average of 107,600, a record high, among which aviation activities in Asian countries have recovered to the peak in nearly five months."
The bank also expects that the average daily global crude oil demand growth this year will be 970,000 barrels, which is basically consistent with its forecast of 1 million barrels at the beginning of the year, indicating that although the consumption end is under pressure, it has not yet experienced a cliff-like decline.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil breaks through the upper resistance of the range and runs in an upward trend. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. The MACD indicator opens upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. The oil price fluctuates in a narrow range, and it is expected that the crude oil will continue to rise.
In terms of operation, crude oil is mainly long at a low level. If it rises to the target point, the direction will be selected according to the pattern and continued attention will be paid.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:65.50-66.50,SL:64.00,Target:69.00-70.00
USOIL: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 68.669 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 67.925..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINEBRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINE?📉
USOIL has been trading bullish within the last couple of days, supported by prospects of tighter supply and an improved demand outlook. US crude inventories dropped last week, which indicates firm demand despite the rising output.
Still, technically, oil looks bearish. It has formed a bearish wedge and is currently testing the former trendline from below. The most probable scenario is that wee see the bearish impulse towards 6,500.00 with further decline. Another option is that the rise will continue towards 6,900.00 level.
CRUDE OIL BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL broke the rising
Support line which is now a resistance
And the price made a retest an a pullback
So we we are bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOILShort short short !!!
-65.69 TP
-64.72 TP2
As long as it's bearish and doesn't close above the red line, assume bearish. The green dotted lines also can suggest demand zones which could suggest a change in direction (bullish soldiers) will enter the battlefield. Trade with focus and follow your trading plan.
THOUGHTS???????
Strong USOIL Setup: Long from Support + 4.34 R/RHey Guys, hope you're all doing well!
I've placed a limit buy order on USOIL from a key support level. Below are the relevant levels for your reference:
- 🔵 Entry Level: 67.424
- 🔴 Stop Loss: 66.803
- 🟢 Target 1 (TP1): 67.908
- 🟢 Target 2 (TP2): 68.456
- 🟢 Target 3 (TP3): 70.036
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.34
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
WTI OIL Best scalping opportunity at the moment!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating inside a ranged trading set-up, with the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) as its Resistance and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support.
We saw this previously from May 13 to June 01 and it presents the best scaling opportunity in the market at the moment. That previous Ranged Trading pattern eventually broke upwards as the Higher Lows trend-line held.
As a result, after you get your scalping profits within this range, look for a clear break-out above the 4H MA100 (candle closing) in order to go long (Resistance 1) or a break-out below the Higher Lows (candle closing) in order to go short (Support 1).
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Will It Rise More?
Quick update for my yesterday's analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
As I predicted yesterday, the price went up to the target.
We got one more strong bullish confirmation after a New York
session opening:
the price violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
I think that the market may rise even more and reach 69.25 level.
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(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:
You have a clear triangle breakout happening.
The chart shows two bullish target positions marked with blue arrows.
Based on your chart:
Current Price Zone: Around 66.20 - 66.25
Target Levels:
✅ First Target: 67.00
✅ Second Target: 68.00 - 68.10
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Summary Trading Idea:
Breakout above resistance trendline confirmed.
First resistance and partial target at 67.00
Final target near 68.00 - 68.10, where the next significant resistance lies.
Let me know if you want stop-loss suggestions or a detailed entry strategy.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Move Up Ahead!
Last week, I already shared a bullish setup on WTI Crude Oil
on a daily time frame.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation today.
After a test of an underlined blue support area,
the price went up strongly and violated a resistance line
of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame.
The market is going to rise more.
Goal - 68.2
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USOIL:Today's Trading Strategy
Oil prices have signs of upward breakthrough at present, yesterday's trend broke the short - term narrow range of shock range, on the idea of retracting to do more. The more appropriate long point is 66-66.3, if short, the more appropriate point is 67-67.4, but the short position is recommended not to be too heavy, not to do less than the point.
Trading Strategy:
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TP: 66-66.3
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TP: 67.5-68
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Crude oil under pressure after OPEC+WTI Crude oil had rejected the 20-moving average area, having reversed off the $68 price area after the OPEC+ announcement about the upcoming production increase. The short-term energy outlook forecast from eia.org had lowered the expected fair price for CL futures based on supply and demand estimation for 2025 - the average price is projected around $60 with a possibility to drive lower.
COT reports show the increasing short position for commercial traders, which had almost reached the new bottom - a potential short signal for the oil.
Given the weak sentiment (we’ve seen the massive drop of oil futures after the resolution of Israel-Iran situation) and overall downtrend, we can project the downside move as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
WTI Oil Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan for Big Gains!🚨 Ultimate WTI Oil Heist Plan: Bullish Breakout Strategy for Big Profits! 🚀💰
🌟 Hello, Wealth Chasers & Market Mavericks! 🌟
Hola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🗺️
Get ready to execute the Ultimate WTI / US Oil Spot Heist using our 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥, blending sharp technicals with powerful fundamentals! 📈💡 This swing trade plan targets the energy market’s bullish potential, but stay sharp—volatility lurks! 🚨 Follow the chart setup for a long entry, and let’s aim for those juicy profits while dodging the high-risk ATR zone where the market “police” might trap overzealous traders. 🏦⚠️
📊 The Heist Plan: WTI / US Oil Spot (Swing Trade)
Entry 📈:
The breakout is your signal! 🎯 Wait for the Moving Average crossover and a confirmed pullback at $68.00 on the 2H timeframe. Once it triggers, go long and ride the bullish wave! 🐂 Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑:
Protect your capital like a pro! 💪 Place your stop loss below the recent swing low at $65.00 (2H timeframe, candle body wick). Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of positions. Rebels, beware—straying too far from this level could burn you! 🔥
Target 🎯:
Aim for $73.80 or exit early if momentum fades. Scalpers, stick to long-side trades and use a trailing stop to lock in gains. 💰 Swing traders, follow the plan and secure profits before the market consolidates or reverses. 🏴☠️
📊 Market Context & Key Drivers
The WTI / US Oil Spot market is currently consolidating with a bullish bias 🐂, driven by:
Fundamentals: Check macroeconomic data, seasonal trends, and intermarket correlations. 📉
COT Report: shows net-long positions increasing, signaling bullish sentiment. 📅
Sentiment & Quantitative Analysis: Market mood leans positive, but overbought risks loom near the ATR zone. ⚠️
Stay informed! 📰 Monitor news releases, as they can spike volatility. Avoid new trades during major announcements and use trailing stops to protect open positions. 🔒
📊 Pro Tips for the Heist
Scalpers: Go long with tight trailing stops to safeguard profits. 💸
Swing Traders: Stick to the plan, adjust stops based on risk, and exit before the high-risk ATR zone ($73.80+). 🚪
Risk Management: Never risk more than you can afford. Tailor your lot size and stop loss to your account size. 🛡️
Stay Updated: Market conditions shift fast—keep an eye on fundamentals and sentiment to stay ahead. 👀
📊 Why Join the Heist?
This Thief Trading Style plan is your ticket to navigating the WTI market with confidence! 💪 Boost this idea to strengthen our trading crew and share the wealth-making vibe. 🚀💥 Like, follow, and stay tuned for more high-octane strategies! 🤑🐱👤
Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis, not personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. Markets are dynamic—stay vigilant and adapt to new developments. 📡
Let’s make this heist legendary! 🌟💰 See you at the next breakout! 🤝🎉
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 68.26
Target Level: 63.78
Stop Loss: 71.23
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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TRADING IDEA - US CRUDE OIL - BEARISH FLAG, CONCERNS ON GLOBAL EFOREXCOM:USOIL
The US Crude Oil prices went down yesterday, mostly because of the tariffs and concerns on demand.
Here is what the Bloomberg is writing: " OPEC+ is discussing a pause in its oil production increases from October is fueling concerns about a slowdown in global energy demand. In addition, the intensification of US tariffs risks slowing global economic growth and energy demand after President Trump ramped up tariffs on numerous countries this week, including a 50% tariff on Brazil."
So, despite the pause in oil production increase, which is supposed to be bullish factor the oil prices, we may see the slowdown in global economy and supposedly a recession because of Trump's tariffs. This is a long-term bearish factor for the oil. I think that we will see another bearish impulse here, according to what we observe on the chart.
There is a nice bearish flag and i am planning to short it with a target nearby 6,540.00 support level.
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 6615.3 with
❌a stop loss at 6680.9 and
🤑a take profit at 6544.0
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!