XAGUSD trade ideas
Silver lining in Silver If you bought silver 13 years ago, you would probably break even minus the inflation costs that you have to bear. Now, if this trend continues, that is it stays above the 37.52 mark and remains bullish, then the next resistance it will revisit will be 43.49.
Do set aside 5-10% of your capital into Gold and/or Silver , this would be a good hedge in the coming months/years.
As usual, please DYODD
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60.
There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price.
Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver.
We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us.
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XAGUSDXAG/USD is currently exhibiting an increasingly bearish net position from major institutional players. Given this positioning, a continued bearish outlook is anticipated for the upcoming week.
Falling towards the pullback support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 37.29
1st Support: 36.29
1st Resistance: 39.10
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Silver Market Recap: Q2 2025 HighlightsSilver prices hit a 14-year peak in Q2 of 25 due to global uncertainties and a tight supply-demand balance. Although it shares some similar drivers with gold, silver has carved its own path, which one charged by robust industrial demand and its safe-haven appeal amid economic and geopolitical turbulence.
Silver’s Price Journey
The quarter kicked off with a dip, silver fell from $33.77 per ounce on April 2 to $29.57 by April 4. But then, it quickly regained traction, crossing $30 by April 9 and peaking at $33.63 on April 23. May brought volatility, with prices swinging between $32.05 on May 2 and $33.46 on May 23. June marked a turning point: silver surging to $36.76 by June 9 and reaching a year-to-date high of $37.12 on June 17. By the quarter’s end, prices stabilized between $36 and $37, holding strong into July.
Supply Squeeze Meets Rising Demand
Silver’s rally was underpinned by a persistent supply deficit. The Silver Institute’s World Silver Survey (April 16, 2025) reported record demand of 680.5 million ounces in 2024, driven by industries like solar energy, artificial intelligence, and electric vehicles. Meanwhile, mine production lagged, creating a 148.9-million-ounce shortfall-the fourth consecutive year of deficits. Some experts may say that we’re seeing flat supply and demand outpacing it by nearly 20%. Aboveground stockpiles have dwindled by 800 million ounces over four years-equivalent to a full year’s mine output. They call it a “perfect storm” for silver’s price trajectory.
Geopolitical and Economic Catalysts
Global tensions are having a very noticeable impact on the dynamics of silver. Escalating conflicts, including Israel’s June 12 and June 21 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, heightened fears of disrupted trade and energy flows, just boosting this way silver’s safe-haven appeal. Meanwhile, the BRICS bloc’s push to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar, including Russia’s proposal for a precious metals exchange, added further momentum. U.S. trade policies, particularly President Trump’s fluctuating tariffs, introduced volatility. The April 2 “Liberation Day” tariff announcement sparked fears of a recession, briefly pushing silver prices down due to its industrial exposure. I guess that any recession-driven dip would be short-lived, with silver buoyed by broader precious metals strength and a weaker U.S. dollar.
Industrial Demand in the Spotlight
Unlike gold, silver’s industrial role amplified its price movements. Its use in photovoltaics, military components, and energy infrastructure has surged, with national security priorities in the U.S. and elsewhere driving demand. Economist Dr. Nomi Prins states the following: “Silver’s industrial applications-especially in energy and defense-are outpacing supply. Geopolitical shifts are cementing its role beyond a traditional safe-haven asset.”
What’s Next for Silver?
Looking ahead, analysts remain optimistic. Some predicts, that silver will hold above $35, potentially reaching $40 by year-end, with a stronger dollar as a possible headwind. Speaking about long-term, they see the gold-silver ratio (currently 92:1, compared to a 50-year average of 60:1) narrowing to 40:1 or lower, potentially pushing silver past $100 per ounce in the next few years. Although a global recession could temper industrial demand, safe-haven buying and ongoing supply constraints are expected to provide support. Geopolitical tensions and trade disputes, particularly between the U.S. and China, are unlikely to fade, which will only increase the attractiveness of silver.
Silver's performance reflects the dynamic interplay between industrial demand, supply shortages, and global uncertainties. With favorable fundamentals and geopolitical conditions, silver is poised for continued strength in the second half of 2025, assuming recession risks remain manageable.
Silver Analysis – Strong Bulls and a Clean Setup AheadLast month, Silver printed a new multi-decade high, a major technical milestone.
Since then, price has entered a sideways consolidation, forming a rectangle — but what stands out is this:
👉 Silver bulls have absorbed every dip, even when Gold dropped.
That’s strength. And strength usually precedes breakout.
🔍 Current Situation
At the time of writing, price is trading around 37.20,
and from the current structure, it looks like nothing is standing in the way of an upside break.
We don’t predict — we prepare...
And this chart looks ready.
🎯 Next Target: 40.00 USD?
A push to 40.00 looks like the next “normal” target.
But don’t forget: that’s a 3,000 pip move.
This type of move will require patience
Plan your trade.
Respect your risk.
Let the bulls work. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Elliott Wave Analysis: XAGUSD (Silver) Poised to Extend Higher iThe cycle from the June 24, 2025 low in Silver (XAGUSD) is unfolding as a five-wave rally with an extended nested impulse structure. From the June 24 low, wave ((i)) peaked at $36.83. Wave ((ii)) pullback then followed o $35.39, as shown on the 1-hour chart. The metal then extended higher in wave ((iii)), subdivided as an impulse. From wave ((ii)), wave i ended at $36.61, with a wave ii pullback to $35.86. Wave iii reached $37.07 and wave iv corrected to $36.37. The final wave v concluded at $37.22, completing wave (i) in a higher degree.
The subsequent wave (ii) pullback ended at $36.14, structured as a double-three pattern. From wave (i), wave w declined to $36.34 and wave x recovered to $36.67. Wave y fell to $36.14, finalizing wave (ii). Silver then resumed its ascent in wave (iii). From wave (ii), wave i peaked at $36.87, wave ii corrected to $36.25, wave iii surged to $39.12, and wave iv pulled back to $38.05. The metal is expected to complete one more leg higher in wave v, concluding wave (iii) in a higher degree. A wave (iv) pullback should follow before the rally resumes.In the near term, as long as the pivot low at $35.38 holds, pullbacks are expected to find buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing sequence, supporting further upside in Silver.
SILVER ( XAGUSD ): Still Bullish! Take The Buy Setups!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the XAGUSD (SILVER) for the week of July 21-25th.
Silver remains a Strong Buy rating. There is no technical reason to look for shorts. Only buys right now, until we see a bearish break of structure. Then sells can be considered.
That having been said, like Gold, there is a 4H +FVG that we are watching. If it holds, higher prices will ensue. If it fails, the lows become the draw on liquidity.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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A temporary pause for silver!After its recent surge to reach the highest levels since September 2011, silver is showing short-to-medium-term negative signals on the 4-hour timeframe, before potentially resuming its upward trend on the daily chart.
As seen in the chart above, the price dropped quickly below the 38.37 level, forming a new low and shifting the 4-hour trend from bullish to bearish. The rebound to the 38.858 level appears to be a corrective move targeting the 38.1869 level.
The bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises again and forms a higher high on the 4-hour chart above the 39.119 level.
Silver H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 37.27 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 36.60 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 38.32 which is a swing-high resistance.
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The AI Boom's Unsung HeroThe rise of artificial intelligence isn’t just shaking up tech companies it’s quietly transforming the global silver market in a big way. As major players like NVIDIA, Google and others ramp up their AI infrastructure silver is becoming more critical than ever. Why? Because silver, thanks to its unmatched electrical conductivity, plays a key role in powering the hardware behind AI.
Silver is the most conductive metal on Earth. That makes it perfect for high-performance computing something AI needs a lot of. It’s especially important in data centers and advanced semiconductors, where both electrical and thermal performance are mission-critical.
What’s really interesting is that AI servers tend to use two to three times more silver than traditional data center servers. That’s because AI workloads are more power-hungry, generate more heat and require more complex cooling and electrical systems. Simply put, more AI means more silver.
If there’s one company at the heart of this trend it’s NVIDIA. Analysts at Morgan Stanley expect NVIDIA to consume a staggering 77% of all silicon wafers used for AI accelerators in 2025 up from 51% in 2024. That adds up to around 535,000 300-mm wafers a year each of which contains silver in key components.
All of this AI growth is showing up in the numbers. Industrial silver demand hit an all-time high of 680.5 million ounces in 2024. The electronics industry alone uses around 250 million ounces per year and AI is now the fastest-growing part of that.
Despite all this demand, silver supply just isn’t keeping up. The market’s been in deficit for four straight years, with a total shortfall of 678 million ounces between 2021 and 2024. That’s roughly ten months of global mine output gone missing from the balance sheet.
It’s no surprise, then, that silver prices have been climbing fast. As of July 2025 silver’s up nearly 30% for the year. Looking further ahead I see room for silver to keep climbing:
In the short term (2025): $36–$42 per ounce seems realistic
By 2026: Potential for $50+ as more AI growth stays strong
AI isn’t just changing how we work, communicate, or compute—it’s literally reshaping the commodities that make this technology possible. Silver, once thought of mainly in the context of jewelry or coins, is now a backbone material for the AI revolution.
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 38.281 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Holds Gains After 14-Year HighSilver traded around $38.10 during Tuesday’s Asian session after hitting a 14-year high of $39.13 on Monday. Safe-haven demand remained firm following Trump’s threat of severe tariffs on Russia unless a peace deal is reached within 50 days. Further fueling uncertainty, NATO confirmed a new weapons package for Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Powell’s comments on inflation risks tied to tariffs raised doubts over near-term Fed rate cuts, weighing slightly on silver. Trump’s renewed criticism of the Fed Chair also reignited concerns over central bank independence. Tariff negotiations with the EU continue, though tensions persist, especially after the U.S. slapped a 17% duty on fresh tomato imports from Mexico.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 38.00.
SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 38.253 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 38.151 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Bullish continuation breakout supported at 3686The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3686 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3686 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3814 – initial resistance
3865 – psychological and structural level
3920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3686 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3645 – minor support
3590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3686. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Skeptic | XAG/USD Analysis: Precision Triggers for Spot & FutureHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Ready to ride XAG/USD’s next wave? Let’s dive into XAG/USD (Silver) to uncover long and short triggers that can deliver solid profits. Currently trading around $ 36.31 , we’re analyzing Daily and 4-hour timeframes to pinpoint high-probability setups. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you sharp. 📊
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily timeframe, we saw a strong primary uptrend sparked by a V-pattern breakout at $ 33.68317 , which drove a 10% rally, as flagged in my previous analyses—hope you caught it! We’re now in a consolidation box, potentially acting as accumulation or distribution. Today’s candle faced a strong rejection from the box ceiling. If it closes this way in 9 hours, the odds of breaking the box floor increase significantly.
Key Supports: If the floor breaks, watch $ 34.78648 and $ 34.41291 as strong reaction zones for potential bounces.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour timeframe, let’s lock in long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 37.29163 , confirmed by RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide for how I optimize setups with RSI.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 35.59660 , with volume confirmation. Additional confirmation: RSI entering oversold.
Confirmation Timing: Choose your confirmation timeframe based on your style—4-hour, 1-hour, or even 15-minute. I typically confirm triggers on 15-minute closes for precision, but if 1-hour momentum kicks in, I use 1-hour candle closes. Focus on candle body closes, not just shadows, to avoid fakeouts.
Pro Tip: Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade for capital protection.
Final Vibe Check
This XAG/USD breakdown arms you with precise triggers: long at $37.29163, short at $35.59660, with volume and RSI as your allies. The Daily consolidation signals a big move is brewing—stay patient for the ceiling or floor break. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Silver trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
XAGUSD Holding Trendline With Support From Key Demand Zones📈 XAGUSD Holding Trendline Support, Eyes on Breakout
Silver continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, holding above a rising trendline and building pressure near recent highs. With support clearly defined and momentum intact, bulls are eyeing a potential breakout continuation. This update outlines the trend context, support zones, and fundamental backdrop.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
XAGUSD is respecting a steep ascending trendline from mid-June, holding structure despite multiple retests. Price recently bounced cleanly from trend support and is now pushing toward prior highs.
The bullish trend remains valid as long as this structure is defended. A close above recent resistance could unlock further upside potential.
🛡️ Support Zones (if pullback occurs):
🟢 Daily Support – Good Entry
Clearly respected zone labeled on your chart. Strong daily demand.
🟡 Weekly Support – Great Entry
Macro support area from prior consolidation. Viewed as a strong swing entry zone.
🔼 Resistance Zone:
🔴 Local High / Recent Resistance
No breakout yet — bulls must reclaim this zone to confirm continuation.
🧭 Outlook:
Bullish Case:
Holding the rising trendline + reclaiming highs would likely trigger further upside movement.
Bearish Case:
Break of the trendline + loss of daily support would open the door to deeper correction.
Bias:
Bullish while structure holds and daily/weekly support levels remain intact.
🌍 Fundamental Insight:
Silver is benefiting from firm industrial demand and a softening U.S. Dollar. Inflation hedging and ETF inflows also continue to support the bullish case. However, upcoming Fed commentary and CPI releases may trigger volatility, especially near resistance.
✅ Conclusion:
XAGUSD is maintaining its bullish trend, supported by well-defined daily and weekly demand zones. As long as the ascending trendline holds, the momentum favors further upside. Bears only take control if structure breaks and demand zones fail.
Not financial advice. Like & follow for more structured market updates.
Vertical spike to blow past 50 is imminent Vertical spike to blow past 50 is imminent. It may not stop maybe until $70. Banks is running out of SLV stocks to short silver. Get ready.... This moment will never happen again. Position position NOW.
Silver. The price has pulled backHi traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, the price has broken out of the sideways range through the upper boundary at 37.31.
The price has pulled back close to levels where potential buy patterns could form — 37.54, 37.47, and 37.31.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Silver Wave Analysis – 14 July 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 37.00
Silver recently reversed down from the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 39.00, upper weekly Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from 2023.
The downward reversal from resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star.
Given the strength of the nearby resistance zone and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Silver can be expected to fall to the next support level 37.00.
Silver Traces New Highs Last Seen in 2011As silver traces new 2025 records, surpassing 2012 highs above 37.50/ounce, it aligns further with the target of the inverted head and shoulders pattern that has extended on the chart between 2020 and 2024, within the 38–39 price zone.
This aligns with overbought momentum from the perspective of the monthly RSI, at levels last seen in 2020, strengthening the case for a potential pullback to recharge momentum—possibly back toward levels 35, or 32 and 29 in a steeper scenario.
Should the price trend hold above the 39-price zone, further gains can be forecasted toward 42, 46, and eventually the 50 high, in line with tech advancement.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
