XAGUSD01 trade ideas
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%.
In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Silver Holds Ground on Fed Inflation WarningsSilver is hovering near $38 during Thursday’s Asian session as markets digest U.S.-EU trade developments and Fed inflation commentary.
President Trump said deals with the EU and India are within reach, softening immediate trade fears. Still, the potential August 1 tariffs and inflationary risks continue to support silver’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Fed officials Williams and Bostic noted that although tariff impacts are modest now, they expect rising inflationary pressure in the coming months.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Silver Trades Above $38.3 Amid Safe-Haven Demand and Industrial NYSE:TVC : SILVER Silver is trading above $38.3, supported by safe-haven flows and resilience in industrial demand. The metal outpaces gold on the back of stronger relative momentum and inflation expectations.
Is it time for a correction for silver?
Hi my dears
It seems that silver, like gold, should spend a few months in a resting phase. Of course, this is a guess. There is a condition on the chart that, if it happens, we should probably see the conditions shown on the chart happen.
I would be happy to hear your opinion.
Silver H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 37.27 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 36.60 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 38.32 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Silver Holds Near $38.40 with Bullish MomentumAs of July 21, 2025, silver (XAG/USD) trades between $38.20 and $38.40, maintaining its upward trend. Key resistance is at $38.50; a break above could lead to $39.10–$40.00. Strong support is at $37.00 and $36.80. The RSI is nearing overbought, suggesting a possible short-term correction.
Upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI data may raise Fed rate cut expectations, supporting silver. Geopolitical risks and U.S. trade policies are supporting safe-haven demand, while strong industrial use in renewable energy and electronics also supports prices. The medium-term outlook remains positive.
Silver faces resistance at 38.50, with higher levels at 39.50 and 40.10. Support is found at 37.20, followed by 36.85 and 35.50.
Elliott Wave Analysis: XAGUSD (Silver) Poised to Extend Higher iThe cycle from the June 24, 2025 low in Silver (XAGUSD) is unfolding as a five-wave rally with an extended nested impulse structure. From the June 24 low, wave ((i)) peaked at $36.83. Wave ((ii)) pullback then followed o $35.39, as shown on the 1-hour chart. The metal then extended higher in wave ((iii)), subdivided as an impulse. From wave ((ii)), wave i ended at $36.61, with a wave ii pullback to $35.86. Wave iii reached $37.07 and wave iv corrected to $36.37. The final wave v concluded at $37.22, completing wave (i) in a higher degree.
The subsequent wave (ii) pullback ended at $36.14, structured as a double-three pattern. From wave (i), wave w declined to $36.34 and wave x recovered to $36.67. Wave y fell to $36.14, finalizing wave (ii). Silver then resumed its ascent in wave (iii). From wave (ii), wave i peaked at $36.87, wave ii corrected to $36.25, wave iii surged to $39.12, and wave iv pulled back to $38.05. The metal is expected to complete one more leg higher in wave v, concluding wave (iii) in a higher degree. A wave (iv) pullback should follow before the rally resumes.In the near term, as long as the pivot low at $35.38 holds, pullbacks are expected to find buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing sequence, supporting further upside in Silver.
XAGUSD is BullishPrice was in a downtrend on 15 min time frame, however a matured bullish divergence hints that bulls are re-assuming control of price action. If previous lower high is broken with good volume then we can expect a bullish reversal as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
Silver Wave Analysis – 14 July 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 37.00
Silver recently reversed down from the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 39.00, upper weekly Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from 2023.
The downward reversal from resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star.
Given the strength of the nearby resistance zone and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Silver can be expected to fall to the next support level 37.00.
Silver Traces New Highs Last Seen in 2011As silver traces new 2025 records, surpassing 2012 highs above 37.50/ounce, it aligns further with the target of the inverted head and shoulders pattern that has extended on the chart between 2020 and 2024, within the 38–39 price zone.
This aligns with overbought momentum from the perspective of the monthly RSI, at levels last seen in 2020, strengthening the case for a potential pullback to recharge momentum—possibly back toward levels 35, or 32 and 29 in a steeper scenario.
Should the price trend hold above the 39-price zone, further gains can be forecasted toward 42, 46, and eventually the 50 high, in line with tech advancement.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Silver Analysis – Strong Bulls and a Clean Setup AheadLast month, Silver printed a new multi-decade high, a major technical milestone.
Since then, price has entered a sideways consolidation, forming a rectangle — but what stands out is this:
👉 Silver bulls have absorbed every dip, even when Gold dropped.
That’s strength. And strength usually precedes breakout.
🔍 Current Situation
At the time of writing, price is trading around 37.20,
and from the current structure, it looks like nothing is standing in the way of an upside break.
We don’t predict — we prepare...
And this chart looks ready.
🎯 Next Target: 40.00 USD?
A push to 40.00 looks like the next “normal” target.
But don’t forget: that’s a 3,000 pip move.
This type of move will require patience
Plan your trade.
Respect your risk.
Let the bulls work. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Silver to Make $41 before the leaves change colorVery old cup and handle .. but will dance on $41 before passing thru 50
Silver Pushes HighsSilver broke out a month ago, and some traders may think the metal is ready to run.
The first pattern on today’s chart is last Friday’s last price of 36.93. It was the highest weekly close in 14 years, which may reflect buying pressure.
Second, XAGUSD has made higher lows while remaining trapped below resistance. That ascending triangle is a potentially bullish continuation pattern.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. Such configurations can be consistent with positive short-term momentum.
Finally, Bollinger Band Width recently dropped to a four-year low. Will that tight price compression give way to expansion?
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XAGUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) : Bullish Channel Toward Target🧠 1. Trend Shift Confirmed – Silver in Full Bullish Momentum
Silver has officially broken free from its multi-year sideways range and has entered a well-defined ascending channel, pushing toward higher highs week after week. The momentum is strong and supported by a combination of technical elements, structure shifts, and clean retests.
The trend is now clear: bullish, with the price aiming for the Next Reversal Zone between $46 and $48 — a level not seen since mid-2020.
🔷 2. Blue Ray Break – Start of the Rally
The breakout began with a clean move above the Blue Ray trendline, a key structure that had suppressed Silver’s growth for several years.
As the chart notes:
“Blue Ray Always Continue Trend” — until broken.
Once Silver broke above this resistance, it not only confirmed the trend reversal but also triggered the formation of a new bullish market structure, supported by aggressive buying.
🔁 3. SR – Interchange Zone Holding Strong
The SR Interchange zone (around $27 – $30) has played a critical role in this breakout. It acted as:
Resistance during the multi-year range.
Then Support after the breakout, confirming a classic Support-Resistance Flip (SRF).
This zone now serves as a solid demand base, giving the rally a stable foundation to push higher.
🪙 4. QFL Formation – Momentum Confirmation
The breakout also aligns with a QFL (Quick Flip Level) structure — a powerful bullish continuation pattern.
QFL setups form when price breaks above a former base, pulls back slightly, and then quickly resumes the upward trend.
This indicates that buyers are aggressive and unwilling to let price fall too far, fueling a rally.
Combined with the ascending channel, the QFL structure gives extra confidence that Silver is on track to reach the $46–$48 Reversal Zone.
📏 5. Trendline & Channel – Price Structure in Control
Silver is currently moving cleanly within an ascending parallel channel, respecting both upper resistance and lower support trendlines. The inner trendline has been tested multiple times, and price is now riding its upper half.
This shows:
Buyers are in control.
Each correction is shallow.
Market confidence is growing week after week.
Expect volatility to increase as Silver approaches the next target area.
🎯 6. Next Reversal Zone: $46 – $48
The green box at the top marks the Next Reversal Zone, where Silver might:
Stall temporarily and consolidate.
Or face a pullback back toward the mid-channel line or lower support.
This zone corresponds to:
Historical supply area (2020 highs)
Strong psychological resistance
Potential profit-taking by institutions or swing traders
🔭 Trade Scenarios to Watch
✅ Bullish Continuation:
If Silver maintains support above $36 and remains inside the ascending channel, we may see a smooth ride into the reversal zone. Look for:
Break-and-retest of the midline
Bullish candles with long wicks on dips
⚠️ Short-Term Rejection:
If price reaches $46–$48 and shows signs of exhaustion (like long upper wicks, evening star, or bearish engulfing), expect a healthy pullback toward $35–$36 or even $32.
As long as the ascending structure holds, bulls remain in control.
🧩 Key Technical Levels
Element Zone / Level Action
SR Interchange Support $27 – $30 Strong demand zone
Blue Ray Breakout Confirmed Trend reversal signal
QFL Zone Around $36 Retest and rally confirmation
Reversal Zone $46 – $48 High-probability reaction area
Trendline Support Dynamic ($35–$36) Bullish channel continuation
📌 Final Thoughts:
Silver is now playing in the big leagues again. With the Blue Ray broken, QFL confirmed, and price following a disciplined trendline channel, this rally looks both technically sound and fundamentally strong.
Watch the $46–$48 zone carefully. Whether price rejects or breaks through, there will be high-probability setups for both breakout traders and dip buyers.
Stay disciplined, don’t chase, and let price give you confirmation.
04.07.2025 #XAGUSDSELL 36.9000 | STOP 38.5000 | TAKE 34.7000 - 33.9500 | Medium-term investment forecast on silver deal for the next 2-3 months. On the D1 chart we observe the technical structure of the completion of the ascending wedge. Formation of double top of highs. We also consider a probable potential for the output of volumes in this instrument and a gradual decline to a pronounced support range on the background of growing interest and the potential of the US dollar until the end of summer.
Silver Analysis – Potential Top in Place?FXOPEN:XAGUSD
We've now reached the Fibonacci Extension Take-Profit zone from our (4) to (5) move – which is actually part of the larger Wave 3 structure.
The move up unfolded in an ABC structure, which itself formed a smaller 1-2-3-4 (with the 4 again as an ABC).
🚀 So technically, we may have already topped out.
⚠️ What to Watch For:
There may still be some upside volatility, which is why I’m currently watching the yellow trendline closely.
📉 A clean break below it would signal that Wave (5) is likely done, and we’ve started our next move:
➡️ (1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5)
This would be the start of corrective Wave (A) of a larger ABC move.
📈 If the yellow trendline holds, we could still see higher highs – but based on current chart structure and momentum…
📊 Indicators are extremely overbought and flashing bearish divergence, supporting the idea that a local top is already in.
SILVER - at cut n reverse area? what's next??#SILVER... market just reached at his resistance of the week and month.
that is around 38.20-25
keep close it and if market hold it then drop expected.
otherwise not
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 38.20-25 on confirmation.
GOOD LUCK
TRADE WISELY
Silver is pushing towards $40 !!!Silver is pushing towards $40 !!!
Looks like the breakout bulls have been waiting for ...
XAG/USD Eyes Upside Targets as Wave C MaturesXAG/USD is currently trading in a corrective phase where wave B appears to have completed, and wave C is currently forming. Based on the current price action, it doesn’t seem likely that this entire move will result in a full bullish recovery. The structure suggests that this could be sub-wave C of wave 4, potentially completing around the 26.79944 level. Going forward, if the 5th wave begins to unfold, potential targets could be in the range of 29.74182 to 30.57528.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,612.8
Target Level: 3,572.6
Stop Loss: 3,639.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 38.253 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 38.151 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
