Gold Surges Late Session – Targeting $3,345+📊 Market Overview:
• Gold has just broken higher to $3,339, extending its bullish move after clearing the $3,335 resistance zone.
• Market sentiment remains supportive as the USD weakens and U.S. bond yields stabilize, while the Fed still shows no signs of cutting rates soon.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Next resistance: $3,345 – $3,350
• Nearest support: $3,335 – $3,336
• EMA 09: Price remains above EMA 09 → confirms short-term uptrend
• Momentum: RSI stays bullish, and price continues to follow breakout momentum from the recent consolidation zone
📌 Outlook:
Gold is holding its bullish structure — if it stays above $3,335, a move toward $3,345–$3,350 is likely during the Asian session.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,336 – 3,338
🎯 TP: 3,350
❌ SL: 3,330
XAUUSD trade ideas
False breakout? Gold reverses sharply after news surgeBecause of the news that Trump hinted at firing Powell, gold surged strongly in the short term and passed to 3377, recovering the recent decline in one fell swoop. We went long on gold near 3323 in advance, and went long on gold near 3340 again after gold retreated, hitting TP: 3345 and 3355 respectively. The two long trades successfully made a profit of 370pips, with a profit of more than $18K.
Although gold has risen sharply in the short term and effectively destroyed the downward structure, it is mainly news that drives the market. After Trump denied firing Powell, gold rose fast and fell fast. So we can't chase long gold too much. First, the sustainability of the news-driven market needs to be examined, and second, the certainty of Trump's news is still unreliable. He always denies himself the next day.
After the gold price retreated quickly, a long upper shadow appeared in the candlestick chart, indicating that the upper resistance should not be underestimated. Therefore, we should not rush to buy gold. We can still consider shorting gold in the 3355-3365 area. We should first focus on the area around 3340. If gold falls below this area during the retreat, gold will return to the short trend and test the area around 3320 again, or even fall below this area after multiple tests and continue to the 3310-3300 area.
Psychology Is 80% of Trading SuccessPsychology Is 80% of Trading Success – But Most Traders Still Ignore It
Have you ever followed a perfect setup… and still lost money?
You entered at the right level.
The trend was clear.
Confirmation was solid.
But you closed the trade too early.
Or held onto a losing trade far too long.
Or took a revenge trade just to “get it back.”
This isn’t a strategy problem – it’s a psychological one.
💡 Most traders don’t fail due to poor analysis – they fail because they lose control of themselves
Let’s break down three real-world scenarios that almost every trader has experienced at some point:
🎯 1. Closing profitable trades too early – fear of giving it back
Example:
You long XAUUSD from 2360, targeting 2375.
As price hits 2366, you panic and exit early, fearing a reversal.
Later, the price hits 2375 without you.
➡️ This is classic loss aversion — where the fear of losing small gains outweighs the logic of sticking to your plan.
🎯 2. Holding onto losers – hoping the market will turn
Example:
You short EURUSD expecting a pullback, but price breaks resistance and climbs.
Instead of cutting your losses, you widen your stop and hold on.
The loss grows, and you exit in frustration.
➡️ This is denial – refusing to admit you're wrong, letting hope override discipline.
🎯 3. Increasing risk after a winning streak – “I can’t lose” mindset
Example:
After two wins, confidence spikes. You double your position size, despite a weaker setup.
One loss later – your previous gains are wiped out.
➡️ This is overconfidence bias – common after wins and extremely dangerous to consistency.
📊 Technical knowledge accounts for 20% of success – the remaining 80% lies in mindset and behaviour
You can:
Understand market structure
Use advanced indicators
Develop a robust strategy
But if you:
Ignore your stop-loss
Trade out of boredom or revenge
Break rules when under pressure
Then your edge disappears.
Your system becomes irrelevant if your psychology breaks down.
🧠 5 Practical Ways to Strengthen Your Trading Psychology
✅ Keep a trading journal – especially note your emotions
Ask yourself: “Was this trade part of my plan, or based on impulse?”
✅ Never adjust SL or TP mid-trade
Stick to your original parameters. Trust your plan, not your feelings.
✅ Use demo accounts to practise discipline, not just execution
Treat them like live accounts. Emotions will surface if you're honest.
✅ Pause trading after consecutive losses
Two losses in a row? Step away for 24 hours. Protect your decision-making clarity.
✅ Learn to wait – no trade is often the best trade
Patience is a trader’s secret weapon. Pros trade less, but with precision.
🔁 Trading isn’t about predicting the market – it’s about managing yourself within it
A 55% win-rate system can make you consistent profits
If you’re disciplined, calm, and structured.
But…
A 70% win-rate system can still blow your account
If your emotions are calling the shots.
🎯 Final Thought:
Financial markets don’t reward traders with the best strategy.
They reward those who stay rational under pressure.
You don’t need to be the smartest person in the room.
You don’t need a complex system.
But you do need emotional control, patience, and trust in your process.
Knowledge helps you spot the trade. Psychology helps you survive it.
🔔 If you found value in this, follow me for more content on trading mindset, discipline, and long-term consistency – because true success begins in the mind.
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3.324.79 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,317.96..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD Made Triple Top Pattern , Short Setup Very Clear !Here is my opinion on 15 Mins T.F On Gold , we have a triple Top Reversal Pattern , on 15 mins and 30 mins T.F , And we have a clear closure below neckline , so i think we can sell this pair for 100 pips at least to get this pattern target , we can sell from the current price or from m y best area for sell .
Why Swing Trading and Scalping Are Opposite Worlds"It's not about the strategy. It's about who you are when the market puts pressure on you."
Most traders fail not because they don’t learn “strategies” — but because they pick a style that doesn't match their temperament.
And nothing creates more damage than confusing swing trading with scalping/intraday trading.
Let’s break them down. For real...
________________________________________
🔵 1. Swing Trader – Chasing Direction, Not Noise
A swing trader does not touch choppy markets.
He’s not here for the sideways grind. He wants momentum.
If there’s no clear trend, he doesn’t trade.
He shifts between assets depending on where real movement is.
• USD weakens → he buys EUR/USD and waits
• Gold breaks → he enters and lets the move develop
Swing trading means positioning with the macro flow, not chasing bottoms and tops.
✅ He trades based on H4/Daily or even Weekly charts
✅ He holds for hundreds of pips.
✅ He accepts contrarian candles in the process.
________________________________________
🔴 2. Scalper/Intraday Trader – The Asset Specialist
A true scalper doesn’t chase trends.
He hunts inefficiencies — quick spikes, fakeouts, liquidity grabs.
✅ Loves range conditions
✅ Lives inside M5–M15
✅ Often trades only one asset he knows like the back of his hand
He doesn’t care what EUR/USD will do this week.
He cares what it does in the next 30 minutes after a breakout.
Scalping is not chaos. It's cold execution with a sniper mindset.
📡 He reacts to news in real time.
He doesn’t predict — he exploits.
________________________________________
🧾 Key Differences – Swing Trader vs. Scalper
________________________________________
🎯 Primary Objective
• Swing Trader: Captures large directional moves over several days.
• Scalper/Intraday: Exploits short-term volatility, aiming for quick, small gains.
________________________________________
🧭 Market Conditions Preference
• Swing Trader: Needs clean, trending markets with clear momentum.
• Scalper/Intraday: Feels comfortable in ranging markets with liquidity spikes and noise.
________________________________________
🔍 Number of Instruments Traded
• Swing Trader: Monitors and rotates through multiple assets (e.g. XAUUSD, EURUSD, indices, BTC, he's going where the money is).
• Scalper/Intraday: Specializes in 1–2 instruments only, knows their behavior in every session.
________________________________________
⏰ Time Spent in Front of the Charts
• Swing Trader: Waits for clean setups, may hold positions for days or weeks.
• Scalper/Intraday: Constant screen time, executes and manages trades actively.
________________________________________
📰 Reaction to News
• Swing Trader: Interprets the macro/fundamental impact and positions accordingly.
• Scalper/Intraday: Reacts live to data releases, wicks, and intraday volatility.
________________________________________
📉 When They Struggle
• Swing Trader: Fails in choppy or directionless markets.
• Scalper/Intraday: Loses edge when the market trends explosively.
________________________________________
🧠 Psychological Requirements
• Swing Trader: Needs patience, confidence in the big picture, and acceptance of drawdown.
• Scalper/Intraday: Needs absolute discipline, emotional detachment, and razor-sharp focus.
________________________________________
✅ Bottom line: They are two different games.
Don’t try to play both on the same chart with the same mindset.
________________________________________
✅ Final Thoughts – Your Edge Is in Alignment, Not Imitation
You don’t pick a trading style because it “sounds cool.”
You pick it because it aligns with:
• Your schedule
• Your attention span
• Your tolerance for uncertainty
If you hate watching candles all day – go swing.
If you hate waiting for days – go intraday.
If you keep switching between both – go journal your pain and come back later.
P.S. Recent Example:
I'm a swing trader. And this week, Gold has been stuck in a range.
What do I do? I wait. No rush, no overtrading. Just patience.
Once the range breaks, I’m ready — in either direction.
But I don’t close after a quick 50–100 pip move. That’s not my game.
I aim for 700+ pips whether it breaks up or down,because on both sides we have major support and resistance levels that matter.
That’s swing trading:
📍 Enter with structure, hold with confidence, exit at significance.
Not every move is worth trading — but the big ones are worth waiting for.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
xau next week mapDear all traders wish you bests and hope you were profitable.
clear breakout happend from trend line.
expect a retracement as it has strong movement i think 23.6 would be enough
then you can search for a buy levels in lower timeframe like 15min
if wanted to trade sell we have to find clear structure and good momentum in 1 min or 5min
keep your risk management stay in market
good weeknd "ITS JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Analysis for next week on GOLDThankyou guys for watching. From now on, I will just be posting ideas only and no longer post in minds, because I think it is a waste of time trying to help people who don't want to be helped. If you have any questions please leave it in the comments instead, thankyou.
My sell entry : 3368.54
SL : 3373.54
TP : 3308
Gold prices are on the rise again!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (July 18), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,336 per ounce. London gold prices staged a thrilling "deep V" market yesterday, hitting a daily low of $3,309 during the session and recovering to 3,339 at the end of the session. Strong US retail sales and employment data drove the dollar to rebound and US Treasury yields to rise, putting pressure on interest-free assets such as gold. Despite this, geopolitical tensions and rising tariff risks are still providing bottom support for the gold market. The international gold market is currently in a multi-game of Fed policies, US economic data, US dollar trends and tariff policies. The Fed's position of postponing interest rate cuts, strong retail and employment data, and the rise in the US dollar and US Treasury yields have suppressed gold prices in the short term. This trading day needs to pay attention to the preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in July and US real estate market data, pay attention to the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting hosted by South Africa, and pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow yesterday. Although it ended the continuous negative trend, it still faced sideways resistance below 3374, and the overall market still needs to be treated as a shock consolidation. From a large cycle perspective, gold has entered a convergent triangle consolidation phase of nearly three months. Among them, the lower track support line gradually moved up to above 3310. The support strength of this position continues to increase as the consolidation time lengthens. If the price touches or approaches this point, you can decisively try to buy the bottom layout.For two consecutive trading days, gold has been consolidating in a larger range of 3377/3310, and finally closed at the starting point of the daily Bollinger band middle track at the end of the trading day. Gold returned to the middle axis of the range at 3340. The daily chart Bollinger band middle track, the RSI indicator middle axis flattened, the four-hour chart hourly chart Bollinger band middle track, and the RSI indicator neutral middle axis. On Friday, the layout of the day will still be based on a wide range of fluctuations. Look at the 3320/3360 range first. Alternating buying and selling cycles, large range of wide fluctuations!
Today's analysis:
In the past two days, gold has always risen in the US market due to news. Last night, Trump called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and gold rose again. However, judging from the recent market, the market stimulated by the news is still unsustainable. Since gold has rebounded now, gold will continue to sell at a high level in the early trading.
Excluding yesterday's market affected by Trump, the gold price operation pattern this week is close to perfect, and it has been steadily operating under the suppression of the downward trend line. Therefore, the market has given a clear direction. It is OK to sell when the Asian market rebounds to the pressure level. Gold is still in a fluctuating downward trend in 1 hour!
The downward trend resistance of gold has moved down to around 3350. Before gold effectively breaks through 3350, gold is under pressure at 3350 and continues to sell at high prices. Today, Friday, the probability of gold having a big market is relatively high, and if there is a big market on Friday, it is basically weak throughout the day. If it is strong, it is strong throughout the day. As long as gold continues to be weak in the European market, it is likely that gold will continue to fall today.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3317-3320, stop loss at 3308, target at 3340-3360;
Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3330-3310;
Key points:
First support level: 3323, second support level: 3310, third support level: 3290
First resistance level: 3348, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3377
Powell's stay or departure affects the market, and gold is unlik
Yesterday, the Trump and Powell incident caused gold to rise strongly to around 3377. The rise of gold was just a moment. In the end, the gold daily line closed positive, but closed with a super long upper shadow line. In the end, the gold price quickly rose and broke through the 3377 mark, and then fell under pressure and fell into a shock closing. The daily K line closed high and fell back and fluctuated in the middle of the positive. Although the overall gold price repeatedly fluctuated and washed the market under the stimulation of the news, it ultimately failed to break through the recent large box shock range. Today we continue to pay attention to the support line of 3318-25 below. We will continue to go long if it falls back!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3318-25, the short-term pressure above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. The overall support range still maintains the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to the 3318-25 line and goes long, stop loss 3312, target 3340-45 line, and continues to hold if it breaks;
Gold OutlookGold took previous week high and gave bearish move. The gold overall scenario shows it is bullish. The possible move for the gold will be to touch FVG retrace and go towards supply zone and again retrace back. Or if buyers step in we may see good bullish move gold might touch supply zone retrace a little bit follow the bullish path.
Gold Weekly Analysis | Will $3,360 Break or Hold? [July 14–18]In this video, I break down the recent gold price action and what to expect in the coming week. We’ll review how gold responded to last week’s FOMC minutes, why $3,360 remains a key decision zone, and what upcoming U.S. economic data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) could mean for price movement.
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Vote, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis, #XAUUSD, #ForexTrading, #GoldForecast, #MarketOutlook, #TechnicalAnalysis, #FundamentalAnalysis, #GoldPrice, #FOMC, #CPIData, #PPIdata, #DollarIndex, #TradingStrategy, #WeeklyOutlook, #GoldTechnicalAnalysis, #TradeSmart, #Darcsherry
High sell probability on Gold!!! Don’t sleep on it!XAUUSD (Gold) previous bullish momentum that was currently developing slowed down in the early hours of New York trading session today around the resistance level of 3357.80 I sense a big correction coming on Gold especially as higher timeframe (monthly) is already showing multiple candlestick exhaustion which signals profit taking activities after a prolonged bullish trend that has been developing since the major breakout around the $2,000 level. A sell opportunity is Envisaged once our entry criteria is met.
Expect a significant drop in price!
Gold continues to test resistance levels for a breakoutThe global trend is bullish, with gold undergoing a local correction. The price is attempting to avoid the liquidation zones located below.
The fourth retest of the trend resistance over the past two weeks is forming.
Regarding the current situation, gold is consolidating near the resistance level of 3329, a break of which could trigger growth.
Buyers are interested in gold due to the current geopolitical circumstances...
Scenario : If the bullish pattern remains intact and gold stays within the 3329-3315 range and continues to move towards resistance, another retest of 3329-3330 could lead to a breakout and growth.
Gold Sees Mild Increase as USD WeakensGold ended Friday's session with a slight increase, regaining the 3350 USD level and recovering over 100 pips by the end of the day.
The weakening of the US Dollar (USD) allowed XAU/USD to rise modestly. Concerns about US President Donald Trump's erratic trade policies and their potential impact on the global economy further supported the precious metal.
In the short term, the technical chart shows gold breaking out of the downward channel and starting an upward wave. The price is currently adjusting at 3350 USD, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the EMA zone, suggesting the potential for further price increases from this level, with targets towards key resistance levels.
Key resistance levels: 3160, 3172, and 3378 USD.
Support zones: 3350, 3340, 3331 USD.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Elliott Wave Suggests Wave 5 Upside Starting!📊 Current Wave Count:
Wave 1 (Complete): Rally from to .
Wave 2 (Corrective): Pullback to (held 50%/61.8% Fib).
Wave 3 (Extended): Strong impulse to .
Wave 4 (Corrective): ABC pattern ending near (e.g., 38.2% Fib of Wave 3).
🎯 Wave 5 Projection:
Target: Typical 0.618–1.0 extension of Wave 1-3 → $ .
Invalidation: Break below Wave 4 low ($ ).
📈 Why Now?
Wave 4 completed as a shallow correction (flat/triangle).
MACD/RSI shows bullish divergence on lower timeframes.
Fundamental drivers (e.g., Fed dovishness, inflation) align.
⚡ Trading Plan:
Entry: Near current pullback (~$ ).
Stop Loss: Below Wave 4 low.
Take Profit: Scale out at 0.618 and 1.0 extensions.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Price delivered the rejection at the channel top, so our longer range gap at 3482 remains open overhead. The pullback rejection from channel top extended to 3281 axis precisely where buying interest stepped in, just before the rising channel mid-line, which is edging higher in tandem with price and keeping the broader structure intact.
Key take aways from the latest swing:
Support confirmed:
3281 held on a weekly closing basis, giving us the springboard we needed.
Bounce in motion:
We’ve already reclaimed the prior pivot zone and are now working on the 3387 gap fill; this is the near-term magnet before any attempt at the larger 3482 imbalance.
Structure unchanged:
The channel is still orderly, the EMA5 has curled but hasn’t locked bearishly, and the mid-line continues to ascend beneath price, favouring a measured, step wise climb.
Updated Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support 3281 Proven axis support
Resistance 1 3387 Gap fill target in progress; expect reaction.
Resistance 2 3482 Long standing weekly gap remains the bigger picture objective.
Plan: While 3281 holds, bias remains for a grind higher toward 3387 and ultimately 3482. Should 3281 fail, we reassess at the mid-line for the next structured long setup.
We remain patient and continue reacting to clean structure backed opportunities.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Market Clears 3330's — Eyes Set on 3380'sJust as analyzed, Gold market swept through the 3330's, validating prior projections. This move confirms bullish continuation, with price now poised to reach 3380's as momentum builds within the ongoing wedge structure. follow for more insights, comment , and boost idea
The 7.15 gold shock adjustment is not the top!7.15 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3370-3375, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3350-3345, break to see 3340 line;
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3340-3345, long (buy long) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3355-3365, break to see 3375 line;
I am a financial enthusiast. I may not have a 100% winning rate. If you are a novice or your account is about to be burned, you can ask me. I will give you free professional advice.
GOLD in narrow range, after sharp drop on US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply on Tuesday (July 15) as the US Dollar TVC:DXY gained significantly after the US CPI report was released. As of now (July 16), gold is trading at 3,326 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of only 2 USD in the day.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June was in line with expectations but higher than the previous value. The surge in the Dollar after the US released the June CPI is the main reason for the pressure on gold prices so far.
• Data released by the US on Tuesday showed that the US CPI increased by 2.7% compared to the same period last year in June, in line with expectations, but higher than the 2.4% in May.
• The US CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in June, in line with market expectations but up from a 0.1% increase, the largest increase since January this year.
• In addition, the US core CPI rose 2.9% year-on-year in June, up from 2.8% in May, while the core CPI in June rose 0.2% month-on-month.
The market generally believes that US President Trump's tariff policies have increased price pressures, prompting the Federal Reserve to wait and see what further action to take. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell previously said he expected prices to rise in the summer.
The market is still expecting the first rate cut in September. Investors are looking ahead to Wednesday's U.S. producer price index data for more information on the Federal Reserve's move.
Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments, whereas high-interest-rate environments or expectations of future rate hikes put pressure on gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is trading in a fairly narrow range after 2 sessions of downward adjustment, but the specific trend is still unclear, as sent to readers throughout last week, the technical conditions mainly show a sideways accumulation movement. After testing the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, gold was unable to overcome this resistance, and the decline from this position brought the gold price close to the support of 3,310 USD and then the area of the original price point of 3,300 USD with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
With the technical conditions not giving a specific trend as they are now, for gold to be able to have a new bullish cycle it needs to move the price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target would be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430. On the other hand, if gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it could be a good signal for an expectation of a bullish cycle, then the target would be around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The relative strength index is hovering around 50, indicating that the market is hesitant in terms of momentum and is not leaning towards a specific trend.
During the day, with the current sideways accumulation, gold will be noticed by the following technical levels.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,240 – 3,250 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3387
→Take Profit 1 3375
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318