Analysis for next week on GOLDThankyou guys for watching. From now on, I will just be posting ideas only and no longer post in minds, because I think it is a waste of time trying to help people who don't want to be helped. If you have any questions please leave it in the comments instead, thankyou.
My sell entry : 3368.54
SL : 3373.54
TP : 3308
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold continues to test resistance levels for a breakoutThe global trend is bullish, with gold undergoing a local correction. The price is attempting to avoid the liquidation zones located below.
The fourth retest of the trend resistance over the past two weeks is forming.
Regarding the current situation, gold is consolidating near the resistance level of 3329, a break of which could trigger growth.
Buyers are interested in gold due to the current geopolitical circumstances...
Scenario : If the bullish pattern remains intact and gold stays within the 3329-3315 range and continues to move towards resistance, another retest of 3329-3330 could lead to a breakout and growth.
XAUUSD Analysis – Smart Money Perspective XAUUSD Analysis – Smart Money Perspective
🧠 Market Structure & BOS (Break of Structure):
The chart clearly shows multiple Break of Structure (BOS), confirming bullish intent.
After the final BOS around 3,370, price aggressively broke above resistance, forming a new high at 3,397.
This indicates bullish market momentum backed by strong demand.
🔎 Key Zones Identified:
🔼 Strong Resistance (3,390 – 3,400 Zone)
This level has been tested and now shows potential exhaustion, possibly trapping late buyers.
Price currently rejecting this zone with a bearish reaction.
🔽 Support Zone (3,300 – 3,320)
Prior consolidation and BOS originate from here.
Strong bullish OB and demand lie here—key area for future long setups.
📉 Expected Short-Term Move:
The projection arrow indicates a potential retracement toward 3,360, a previous BOS + potential FVG area.
This aligns with Smart Money's tendency to rebalance inefficiencies before continuation.
🔺 Volume Analysis (VRVP - Volume Profile):
Notice how high volume nodes align with the support and resistance zones.
Price is currently sitting in a low-volume gap, supporting the idea of a retracement to a more balanced area.
⚡ Momentum Shift Signal:
The steep angle of the last move up suggests possible liquidity grab above resistance.
Expectation: Price may dip to mitigate demand or OB before resuming the uptrend.
✅ Conclusion:
This chart illustrates a textbook SMC scenario:
Bullish BOS confirms structure shift.
Liquidity sweep above resistance may lead to a retracement.
3,360 is a key price point to watch for FVG fills or bullish continuation.
XAUUSD 4H Golden Cross preparing a massive break-out.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading on a 3-week Channel Up, which is approaching its top but at the same time, it's been trading within a 3-month Triangle, which is also approaching its top.
The key here is the formation today of a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame, the first since May 28. Being at the end of the long-term Triangle pattern is technically translated to the structure's tendency to look for a decisive break-out above its top that attracts volume (buyers).
It is possible to see an initial rejection followed by a break-out that will re-test the top of the Triangle as Support and then follow the long-term trend dynamics. Those are technically bullish and previous break-out in April targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Our Target remains a little below it at $3770.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Golden Support Holds — Bulls Poised for Another Leg Higher"If gold cannot break through the 3365-3375 area, gold will fall under pressure again, or refresh the recent low of 3341, and continue to the 3335-3325 area." Gold's performance today is completely in line with my expectations. Gold just retreated to a low of around 3320, but soon recovered above 3325, proving that there is strong buying support below.
From the current gold structure, the short-term support below is mainly concentrated in the 3320-3310 area. If gold slows down its downward momentum and its volatility converges when it approaches this area, then after the gold bearish sentiment is vented, a large amount of off-site wait-and-see funds will flow into the gold market to form strong buying support, thereby helping gold regain its bullish trend again, thereby starting a retaliatory rebound, or a technical repair rebound.
Therefore, for short-term trading, I still insist on trying to go long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, first expecting gold to recover some of its lost ground and return to the 3340-3350 area.
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Setup : Triangle Ends, Impulse BeginsThe 8-hour XAU/USD chart presents an Elliott Wave structure, currently in the final stages of Wave 4 within a larger impulsive cycle. The complex correction in Wave 4 has unfolded as a WXYXZ (triple-three pattern), forming a contracting triangle (ABCDE) — a classic consolidation phase that typically precedes a sharp impulsive breakout.
Wave E has recently completed near the lower boundary of the triangle, supported by the ascending trendline drawn from the April low. This suggests the correction is mature and Wave 5 is ready to ignite.
Target 1 (T1) : 3434.845
Target 2 (T2) : 3500.535
Stop Loss (SL) : 3309.729
The triangle (Wave 4) breakout structure suggests bullish continuation.
Multiple internal WXY corrective waves have completed, signaling exhaustion.
Volume and candle structure support the possibility of impulsive buying in Wave 5.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/21/2025As explained in my weekly post, I am bearish in gold as long as 3373 resistance holds. For today's setup, there could be two scenarios for selling opportunity:
1. If price tests 3365-3373 resistance and it holds, I will sell towards 3345, and final target is 3330
2. If 3340 is broken, upon retest, I will sell towards 3320.
XAU/USD Eyes Deeper Decline After Corrective ABC Completion🔻 📊 Technical Structure (4H)
✅ 5-wave bearish impulse completed
✅ ABC correction likely completed
✅ Supply zone: 3,371–3,376
📌 Downside Targets
First: 3,302.47
Final: 3,221.78
🔻 Invalidation Zone
Above: 3,376.03 (Break above invalidates short scenario)
---
📈 Market Outlook
Macro Context: Gold faces pressure amid rising real yields and stronger dollar flows.
Technical Context: Price trapped within a long-term descending wedge; corrective rally meets resistance.
Risk Appetite: Risk-on tone limits safe-haven demand in short term.
---
⚠️ Risks to Watch
Breakout above 3,376 may trigger bullish breakout
Dovish Fed tone could reverse short-term USD strength
Geopolitical tension reviving gold demand
---
🧭 Summary: Bearish Structure in Play
XAU/USD has completed a textbook ABC retracement and now sits inside a key shorting zone. A rejection here opens space for significant downside toward 3,221. Traders should watch closely for bearish confirmation before committing to positions, with stops tightly placed above 3,376.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Price delivered the rejection at the channel top, so our longer range gap at 3482 remains open overhead. The pullback rejection from channel top extended to 3281 axis precisely where buying interest stepped in, just before the rising channel mid-line, which is edging higher in tandem with price and keeping the broader structure intact.
Key take aways from the latest swing:
Support confirmed:
3281 held on a weekly closing basis, giving us the springboard we needed.
Bounce in motion:
We’ve already reclaimed the prior pivot zone and are now working on the 3387 gap fill; this is the near-term magnet before any attempt at the larger 3482 imbalance.
Structure unchanged:
The channel is still orderly, the EMA5 has curled but hasn’t locked bearishly, and the mid-line continues to ascend beneath price, favouring a measured, step wise climb.
Updated Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support 3281 Proven axis support
Resistance 1 3387 Gap fill target in progress; expect reaction.
Resistance 2 3482 Long standing weekly gap remains the bigger picture objective.
Plan: While 3281 holds, bias remains for a grind higher toward 3387 and ultimately 3482. Should 3281 fail, we reassess at the mid-line for the next structured long setup.
We remain patient and continue reacting to clean structure backed opportunities.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
HOW - TO : Use Quantum EdgeX IndicatorQuantum EdgeX is a visual trading tool designed to help identify potential trend reversals to the downside based on RSI and price behavior. It works across different Instruments and timeframes
What It Does:
1.Quantum EdgeX monitors overall price behavior in relation to RSI dynamics and marks potential moments where weakness may be forming.
2.It plots a arrow above the bar when specific conditions are detected and highlights the relevant candle in the background to help you visually track the event.
3.The background highlight remains visible even after a arrow is shown, giving users a visual reference of the condition.
How to Use:
1.Apply Quantum EdgeX to any chart — works for all instruments.
2.Compatible with any timeframe.
3.Best used to support your existing trading analysis.
4. Use the indicator directly as all settings are locked and pre-configured, so there is no need to change anything.
Example Chart:
Access:
This is a Public Invite-Only indicator.
To request access, send a message through my Trading View profile.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always use your own analysis and risk management before entering any trade.
Will gold return to 3500?XAU/USD Head and Shoulders Breakdown Analysis
The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential bearish reversal setup.
Left Shoulder: Formed mid-May with a local high followed by a dip.
Head: A higher peak formed in mid-June.
Right Shoulder: Formed recently at a lower high compared to the head, completing the structure.
The neckline has been clearly defined, and price is currently hovering just above it. If the price breaks and closes below the neckline with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the pattern.
Target: The projected target from the breakdown is around 3163, calculated by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
Outlook:
A confirmed break below the neckline would open the door for further downside toward the target zone.
Bears will be in control if price sustains below the neckline with increasing volume.
Wait for confirmation on the neckline break before considering short entries.
If you are a newbie or your account is burning, don't trust any advice easily. Contact me. I will give you free advice.
uptrend, heading towards 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) climb toward $3,350 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, supported by renewed safe-haven demand after US President Donald Trump threatened sweeping 100% tariffs on Russia. Traders now shift focus to the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could offer further cues for the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Late Monday, Trump warned that unless Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to a peace deal to end the Ukraine conflict within 50 days, the US will impose 100% tariffs on Russian goods. The proposed sanctions, described as secondary tariffs, lack detailed clarification but have already fueled market anxiety. Heightened geopolitical tensions are likely to sustain near-term demand for gold as investors seek safety in the yellow metal
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Maintaining buying pressure above 3350, gold price in an uptrend, paying attention to CPI results to assess the inflation level of the world's number 1 economy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3400- 3402 SL 3407
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3330-$3328 SL $3323
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3360
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD | Testing Key Support at 3320 — Breakdown or Rebound Ahead?GOLD: Futures Dip as Dollar Strengthens, Eyes on 3320 Support
Gold futures declined as the U.S. dollar gained strength following President Trump’s denial of plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While concerns over central bank independence persist, gold remains up over 26% YTD, supported by strong central bank demand and ongoing macro uncertainty.
Technical Outlook:
The price is now approaching the 3320–3312 zone.
A break below 3312 would trigger a bearish move from 3315 toward 3297 and 3281.
However, if the price stabilizes above 3320 on a 4H close, a bullish rebound may follow toward 3333 and 3342.
Key Levels:
Support: 3312, 3297, 3281
Resistance: 3333, 3342, 3363
XAUUSD AND GOLD WAS GOES TO BEARISH
🔴 XAUUSD 15M Bearish Trading Idea – Smart Money Trap Unfolding 🩸
🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute
📉 Bias: Bearish
📊 Strategy: Smart Money Concepts – CHoCH | FVG | LH | LL | BMS | Liquidity Trap
---
📌 Market Context & Structure:
1. Price Action Breakdown:
Market ne Lower High (LH) aur Lower Low (LL) ka consistent bearish structure maintain kiya hai.
A recent CHoCH upward hua, lekin yeh likely a liquidity trap hai — price ne key supply zone ko tap kar ke rejection diya hai.
2. Key FVG Zones:
Multiple bearish FVGs upar exist karti hain (visible in red), jahan price ne react kiya.
Price ne bullish FVG fill karke ab lower timeframe supply zone mein stall karna start kiya hai.
3. EMA Confirmation:
Despite temporary crossover, EMAs still flat or indecisive — suggesting reversal or fakeout.
Price EMA ke around struggle kar raha hai, jo weak bullish attempt ka sign hai.
4. Order Block & Rejection Area:
Current resistance zone (3342–3348) pe strong selling pressure hua hai — potential mitigation + sell-off zone.
---
🔻 Trade Plan – Bearish Continuation Setup:
🔸 Entry Zone:
3342 – 3346 (After rejection confirmation in this zone)
🔻 Stop Loss:
Above 3349 (Above recent LH / supply trap)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 3333 (Recent support)
TP2: 3322 (Demand imbalance)
TP3: 3315 (Major liquidity pool)
📏 Risk:Reward: Targeting 1:2.5 to 1:3+ depending on entry accuracy
---
🧠 Why This Setup is Bearish?
✅ CHoCH bullish was likely a trap; no strong follow-through
✅ Price rejected from key FVG supply zone
✅ Bearish structure still intact — LHs and LLs dominate
✅ EMAs flattening near resistance shows weakness
✅ Liquidity above recent highs has likely been swept — sellers may now dominate
GOLD | Bullish Bias Amid Fed & Trade Policy UncertaintyGOLD | Bullish Bias Amid Fed & Trade Policy Uncertainty
Gold prices edge higher as markets weigh conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve and renewed trade policy uncertainty. Diverging opinions among Fed officials regarding the inflationary impact of President Trump's proposed tariffs have fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
While some members like Waller and Bowman appear open to rate cuts, others remain cautious about lingering inflation risks, adding to market volatility.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains bullish momentum above 3365. A break and hold above this pivot supports continuation toward 3375, and if momentum builds, toward 3385 and 3395.
However, any sustained move below 3365 may trigger a bearish correction toward the support zone between 3355 and 3342.
Pivot Line: 3365
Resistance Levels: 3375 · 3385 · 3395
Support Levels: 3355 · 3342
Bias: Bullish above 3365
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly.
A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold saw a sharp surge in price today, primarily driven by political headlines that temporarily shook market sentiment. To be specific:
📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 16:56 CET
CBS Reports: Trump asked Republican lawmakers whether he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This headline alone triggered an intraday spike of +$52/oz in gold as markets priced in increased macro and institutional risk.
As previously stated "Context Matters."
While the President cannot remove the Fed Chair without cause, even the suggestion introduces uncertainty and undermines confidence in the Fed’s independence especially ahead of a high-stakes election cycle.
However, further developments quickly followed: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 17:58 CET
Trump: “Firing Powell is highly unlikely.” 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 18:06 CET
Trump: “Reports on me firing Powell are not true.” With this clarification, the initial rally appears overstretched and sentiment-driven, leaving room for a corrective pullback as the market digests the full picture.
Trade Setup - Short Bias
Parameters:
Entry: 3356.40
Stop Loss: 3690.30
Take Profit: 3322.00
Key Notes:
- The spike was headline-driven and not supported by policy shift or macro data.
- Trump’s denial removes much of the political risk premium that had been briefly priced in.
- Watch for momentum fading near resistance and confirmation via intraday structure.
This remains a tactically driven setup. Manage risk appropriately and stay alert for any renewed political developments.
Gold trend analysis: bullish but not chasing the rise.Gold, last Thursday's daily line closed with a long lower shadow, bottomed out and stabilized, and once again stabilized at the lower track support point of the large convergence triangle. Combined with the cyclical movement after the two stabilizations at 3247 and 3282, it was three consecutive positive rises; therefore, last Friday, and at least these two days on Monday this week, there will be consecutive positive rises; today gold rose as expected, the Asian and European sessions continued to be strong, and there was a second rise in the U.S. session. Since the U.S. session went directly higher before and after, the current support below has moved up to the 3377-75 area, where a top and bottom conversion position will be formed. Therefore, if it falls back to 3375-77 in the evening, you can continue to go long and look to above 3400. If it falls below 3370, it will fluctuate. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches here for the first time, you can try to see a double top decline.
Gold Strategy: Long in 3320-3330 & TargetsDuring Friday’s (July 18th) US trading session, spot gold traded in a narrow range with a downward bias 😔, currently hovering around 3350.05. Thursday saw spot gold stage a heart-stopping "deep V" move 😲! Driven by the dual catalysts of the US June retail sales surging 0.6% (beating expectations) and initial jobless claims dropping to 221,000, the US Dollar Index once spiked to a monthly high of 98.95, instantly slamming spot gold to an intraday low of 3309.82. Surprisingly, however, gold prices then staged a strong rebound, closing at 3338.86 with a mere 0.25% decline.
This "fake dip" pattern reveals a deep-seated contradiction in the current market – while economic data temporarily supports dollar strength, investors’ inflation concerns triggered by tariffs are forming an "invisible buying force" for gold 💪. The concurrent rise in the dollar and US Treasury yields has indeed weighed on gold prices, yet robust buying interest emerges at every dip window. Behind this phenomenon lies shrewd capital quietly positioning itself. When the 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to a monthly high of 4.495%, gold refused to fall further – this divergence signals significant market 分歧 over the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory 😕.
Gold Trend Analysis:
Gold remains in a bullish trend 👍. From the daily chart perspective, gold continued its strong upward momentum today, closing with a positive candle. Technically, the MACD bullish energy bars have started to expand, and the KDJ is in a golden cross heading upward, indicating that the overall price is in a strong phase. As long as gold doesn’t break below 3320, the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, potentially targeting 3375-3400. If it fails to break through, gold may see a minor short-term pullback. If the pullback doesn’t break 3330, gold is likely to gather momentum again to attack 3375; a break below would shift focus to the 3310 support level. As long as 3310 holds, gold remains in a bullish rebound structure. Next week’s broad range is expected to be 3375-3310.
On the 4-hour chart, the KDJ indicator, after being oversold, has started to turn upward and is now in a golden cross. Notably, this upward move has been accompanied by clear medium bullish candles, making KDJ a more reliable indicator here – the potential for continued bullish candles remains high 😃. The MACD fast line is turning upward at a high level, on the verge of another golden cross, with green energy bars continuing to contract and poised to turn red by inertia. Overall, gold’s current trend is either consolidating or rising. Given the clear bullish bias, we can consider firmly going long first, and only observe the possibility of shorting when KDJ approaches the upper 100 level and the MACD fast/slow lines are about to cross.
Focus on buying on pullbacks. The short-term support levels lie at 3330-3320 – as long as these levels hold, they present buying opportunities. If gold rises during the US session, watch whether 3365 and 3375 are broken; a failure to break through could bring pullback space, offering opportunities for short-term short positions.
Gold Trading Strategy 😎: Go long decisively once on the first pullback to the 3320-3330 range 😏, with targets looking at the 3350-3360 range – just wait for profits to roll in 💰!
🚀 Buy @3320 - 3330
🚀 TP 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD has entered a NEW BULL CYCLE this month! GET LOADED now!GOLD, has been on a consistent ascend since 2k levels hitting a series of ATH taps week after week.
As with any parabolic event -- a trim down is warranted.
After hitting its ATH zone at 3500, gold significantly corrected back to 38.2 fib levels at 3100 area. 38.2 fib levels has been acting as a strong support for GOLD for quite a bit and as expected buyers has started to converge and positioned themselves back again for that upside continuation -- long term.
After hitting this fib key level gold has been making consistent higher lows on the daily conveying clear intentions on its directional narrative -- to go NORTH.
As of this present, July 2025, GOLD has seen renewed elevation in momentum metrics signifying definitive blueprint towards its next upside move.
Based on our diagram above. WE have now entered a new bull cycle that only transpires every 6 months. The last cycles happened on July 2024, January 2025, then presently July 2025 which is in progress. This is very special as we dont get to see this bullish setup on a regular basis.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current range of 3300-3350.
Mid-Long Term Target at 3400
TAYOR.
Trade safely. Market is Market.
Not financial advice.
XAU/USD) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown
---
Technical Breakdown:
1. Descending Channel:
Price is trading within a clearly defined downward-sloping channel (black trendlines).
This suggests a short-term bearish trend.
2. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box at 3,335–3,340):
Price recently rejected from this resistance area.
This zone aligns with both the 200 EMA and previous structure, strengthening its validity.
3. EMA Confluence:
The 200 EMA (3,336.798) is acting as dynamic resistance.
Price is currently below the EMA, confirming the bearish bias.
4. Support/Target Zone:
The projected target zone is around 3,313.266, labeled as a support level.
This level has acted as previous structure support, increasing its significance.
5. RSI Analysis:
RSI is at 37.18, close to the oversold region, but not yet fully exhausted.
Suggests there’s still room for a downside move before any potential bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Below the resistance zone (~3,335–3,340)
Target: 3,313 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,340–3,345
Risk Note: Watch for potential consolidation or fakeouts before continuation.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Wow, what a push up for gold today. I have marked my current area of interest. Gold usually takes a few days to carve out it's potential paths for the week, so let's see if we continue up or start pushing down for a retest after such a move up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Monday.