Gold Strategy: Long in 3320-3330 & TargetsDuring Friday’s (July 18th) US trading session, spot gold traded in a narrow range with a downward bias 😔, currently hovering around 3350.05. Thursday saw spot gold stage a heart-stopping "deep V" move 😲! Driven by the dual catalysts of the US June retail sales surging 0.6% (beating expectations) and initial jobless claims dropping to 221,000, the US Dollar Index once spiked to a monthly high of 98.95, instantly slamming spot gold to an intraday low of 3309.82. Surprisingly, however, gold prices then staged a strong rebound, closing at 3338.86 with a mere 0.25% decline.
This "fake dip" pattern reveals a deep-seated contradiction in the current market – while economic data temporarily supports dollar strength, investors’ inflation concerns triggered by tariffs are forming an "invisible buying force" for gold 💪. The concurrent rise in the dollar and US Treasury yields has indeed weighed on gold prices, yet robust buying interest emerges at every dip window. Behind this phenomenon lies shrewd capital quietly positioning itself. When the 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to a monthly high of 4.495%, gold refused to fall further – this divergence signals significant market 分歧 over the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory 😕.
Gold Trend Analysis:
Gold remains in a bullish trend 👍. From the daily chart perspective, gold continued its strong upward momentum today, closing with a positive candle. Technically, the MACD bullish energy bars have started to expand, and the KDJ is in a golden cross heading upward, indicating that the overall price is in a strong phase. As long as gold doesn’t break below 3320, the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, potentially targeting 3375-3400. If it fails to break through, gold may see a minor short-term pullback. If the pullback doesn’t break 3330, gold is likely to gather momentum again to attack 3375; a break below would shift focus to the 3310 support level. As long as 3310 holds, gold remains in a bullish rebound structure. Next week’s broad range is expected to be 3375-3310.
On the 4-hour chart, the KDJ indicator, after being oversold, has started to turn upward and is now in a golden cross. Notably, this upward move has been accompanied by clear medium bullish candles, making KDJ a more reliable indicator here – the potential for continued bullish candles remains high 😃. The MACD fast line is turning upward at a high level, on the verge of another golden cross, with green energy bars continuing to contract and poised to turn red by inertia. Overall, gold’s current trend is either consolidating or rising. Given the clear bullish bias, we can consider firmly going long first, and only observe the possibility of shorting when KDJ approaches the upper 100 level and the MACD fast/slow lines are about to cross.
Focus on buying on pullbacks. The short-term support levels lie at 3330-3320 – as long as these levels hold, they present buying opportunities. If gold rises during the US session, watch whether 3365 and 3375 are broken; a failure to break through could bring pullback space, offering opportunities for short-term short positions.
Gold Trading Strategy 😎: Go long decisively once on the first pullback to the 3320-3330 range 😏, with targets looking at the 3350-3360 range – just wait for profits to roll in 💰!
🚀 Buy @3320 - 3330
🚀 TP 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Descending Channel:
Price is trading within a clearly defined downward-sloping channel (black trendlines).
This suggests a short-term bearish trend.
2. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box at 3,335–3,340):
Price recently rejected from this resistance area.
This zone aligns with both the 200 EMA and previous structure, strengthening its validity.
3. EMA Confluence:
The 200 EMA (3,336.798) is acting as dynamic resistance.
Price is currently below the EMA, confirming the bearish bias.
4. Support/Target Zone:
The projected target zone is around 3,313.266, labeled as a support level.
This level has acted as previous structure support, increasing its significance.
5. RSI Analysis:
RSI is at 37.18, close to the oversold region, but not yet fully exhausted.
Suggests there’s still room for a downside move before any potential bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Below the resistance zone (~3,335–3,340)
Target: 3,313 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,340–3,345
Risk Note: Watch for potential consolidation or fakeouts before continuation.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD has entered a NEW BULL CYCLE this month! GET LOADED now!GOLD, has been on a consistent ascend since 2k levels hitting a series of ATH taps week after week.
As with any parabolic event -- a trim down is warranted.
After hitting its ATH zone at 3500, gold significantly corrected back to 38.2 fib levels at 3100 area. 38.2 fib levels has been acting as a strong support for GOLD for quite a bit and as expected buyers has started to converge and positioned themselves back again for that upside continuation -- long term.
After hitting this fib key level gold has been making consistent higher lows on the daily conveying clear intentions on its directional narrative -- to go NORTH.
As of this present, July 2025, GOLD has seen renewed elevation in momentum metrics signifying definitive blueprint towards its next upside move.
Based on our diagram above. WE have now entered a new bull cycle that only transpires every 6 months. The last cycles happened on July 2024, January 2025, then presently July 2025 which is in progress. This is very special as we dont get to see this bullish setup on a regular basis.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current range of 3300-3350.
Mid-Long Term Target at 3400
TAYOR.
Trade safely. Market is Market.
Not financial advice.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Wow, what a push up for gold today. I have marked my current area of interest. Gold usually takes a few days to carve out it's potential paths for the week, so let's see if we continue up or start pushing down for a retest after such a move up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Monday.
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3377.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above this strong res , so i`m waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade and we can targeting 200 pips , and if we have a 4H Closure Above This res this will increase the reasons for buyers , just wait the price to back a little to retest it and then we can buy it . if we have a daily closure below it this idea will not be valid anymore .
XAUUSD SIGNIFICANT CORRECTION ABOUT TO HAPPEN!!!Price is warming up to make a massive drop (correction) in higher Timeframe. We can spot a Wedge pattern that’s currently forming on the H4 timeframe which signals a bearish continuation. This would be the first significant correction since price broke out of the $2000 psychological level. A sell opportunity is what we await to capitalize on this market.
Gold: holding flat grounds Gold was traded relatively flat during the previous week, moving within a range of $3.370 and $3.313. The safe-haven asset was holding relatively steady on eased geopolitical and economic tensions. The US Dollar gained a bit last week on better than expected inflation and jobs data posted during the week. Analysts are in agreement that current concerns related to the U.S. debt growth and further trade tariffs updates will certainly support the price of gold in the near future period.
The RSI was holding relatively steady modestly above the level of 50. This indicates that investors are still not ready to take the move toward the oversold market side. The MA50 modestly slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, two lines are still holding a higher distance between them, in which sense, cross is certainly not in store for some time in the future.
Charts are indicating that the price of gold continues to be well supported around current levels. There is some potential for a small move toward the down side, till the levels around $3.310. Also, the $3.3K support line might be tested. On the opposite side, any news related to geopolitical or economic tensions might swiftly push the safe-haven asset toward the upside, at least till the level of $3.370.
Gold volatility intensifies.How to seize the golden opportunity?Gold is still in an upward trend. From the daily level, the KDJ indicator continues to diverge upward, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages form a golden cross, the MACD kinetic energy column continues to increase, and the fast and slow lines form a golden cross after bonding. The overall technical structure is strong, indicating that the market still has room to continue to rise. In terms of operation ideas, it is recommended to continue to focus on low-level longs. Today's market is dominated by a slow rise rhythm, and basically no obvious callback opportunities are given. From the 4-hour chart, KDJ continues to rise, the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross structure, the upper track of the Bollinger Band shows signs of opening, and the kinetic energy column of the MACD golden cross continues to expand, indicating that the current buying is active, the market sentiment is optimistic, and the short-term upward trend is still expected to continue. The hourly line structure shows that gold has entered an accelerated upward stage after breaking through the 3375 line, and has always been running in the upper and middle track area of the moving average without any obvious retracement. Currently, the 3360 area constitutes a strong short-term support. At the same time, 3375 as the previous high has also become the first support level. If it falls back and stabilizes in this area, it is still expected to continue the upward trend. In the short term, it is expected to test the previous highs of 3405 or even 3415. If it is touched for the first time, pay attention to the risk of a decline in the double top pattern.
Operation suggestion: If gold falls back to the 3375-3360 area, you can try to go long, with the target looking at 3390-3400.
Feed Your Ego or Feed Your Account- Your Choise🧭 From Rookie to Realization
I’ve been trading since 2002. That’s nearly a quarter of a century in the markets.
I’ve lived through it all:
• The early days, when the internet was slow and information was scarce
• The forums, the books, the overanalyzing
• The obsession with finding “the perfect system”
• And later… the dangerous phase: needing to be right, because I have a few years of experience and I KNOW
At one point, I thought that being a good trader meant calling the market in advance — proving I was smarter than the rest.
But the truth is: the market doesn't pay for being right. It pays for managing risk, always adapting and executing cleanly.
________________________________________
😤 The Psychological Trap Most Traders Fall Into
There’s one thing I’ve seen consistently over the last 25 years:
Most traders don’t trade to make money.
They trade to feel right.
And this need — this psychological craving to validate an opinion — is exactly what keeps them from growing.
You’ve seen it too:
• The guy who’s been screaming “altcoin season” for 2 years
• Who first called it when EGLD was at 80, TIA, and others that kept dropping
• But now that something finally moves, he says:
“See? I was right all along, altcoin season is here”
He’s not trading.
He’s rehearsing an ego story, ignoring every failed call, every drawdown, every frozen position.
He doesn’t remember the trades that didn’t work — only the one that eventually did.
This is not strategy.
It’s delusion dressed up as conviction.
________________________________________
📉 The Market Doesn’t Care What You Think
Here’s the reality:
You can be right in your analysis — and still lose money.
You can be wrong — and still come out profitable.
Because the market doesn’t reward your opinion.
It rewards how well you manage risk, entries, exits, expectations, and flexibility
I’ve seen traders who were “right” on direction but blew their accounts by overleveraging.
And I’ve seen others who were wrong on their first two trades — but adjusted quickly, cut losses, and ended green overall in the end.
This is what separates pros from opinionated amateurs.
________________________________________
📍 A Real Example: Today’s Gold Analysis
Let’s take a real, current example — my own Gold analysis from this morning.
I said:
• Short-term, Gold could go to 3450
• Long-term, the breakout from the weekly triangle could take us to 3800
Sounds “right,” right? But let’s dissect it:
Short-term:
✅ I identified 3370 as support
If I buy there, I also have a clear invalidation level (below 3350)
If it breaks that and hits my stop?
👉 I reassess — because being “right” means nothing if the trade setup is invalidated
And no, it doesn’t help my PnL if Gold eventually reaches 3450 after taking me out.
Long-term:
✅ The weekly chart shows a symmetrical triangle
Yes — if we break above, the measured move targets 3800
But…
If Gold goes below 3300, that long-term scenario is invalidated too.
And even worse — if Gold trades sideways between 3000 and 3500 for the next 5 years and finally hits 3800 in 2030, that “correct call” is worth nothing.
You can't build a career on "eventually I was right."
You need precision, timing, risk management, and the ability to say:
“This setup is no longer valid. I’m out.”
________________________________________
💡 The Shift That Changed Everything
It took me years to realize this.
The day I stopped needing to be right was the day I started making consistent money.
I stopped arguing with the market.
I stopped holding losers out of pride.
I stopped needing to "prove" anything to anyone — especially not myself.
Now, my job is simple:
• Protect capital
• Execute with discipline
• Let the edge do its job
• And never fall in love with my opinion
________________________________________
✅ Final Thought – Let Go of Being Right
If you’re still stuck in the “I knew it” mindset — let it go.
It’s not helping you. It’s costing you.
The best traders lose small, admit mistakes fast, and stay emotionally neutral.
The worst traders hold on to “being right” while their account burns.
The market doesn’t owe you respect.
It doesn’t care if you called the top, bottom, or middle.
It pays the ones who trade objectively, flexibly, and without ego.
After almost 25 years, this is the one thing I wish I had learned sooner:
Don’t try to win an argument with the market.
Just get paid.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold's Downtrend: Is a Breakout Imminent?Hello traders, what do you think about the gold trend?
Let's set aside the news factors for now and focus on short-term technical analysis with a bearish outlook.
In the current technical picture, gold continues to trade below the trendline, lacking upward momentum, forming a descending wedge pattern. The behavior around the convergence of EMA 34 and 89 also indicates that sellers still control the market.
A sell strategy is favored, with attention to the support zone around 3,315 – 3,320 USD. If this level breaks, stronger sell-offs are likely to follow.
What do you think about gold’s price today? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
Wait for the data release; do not chase short positions.The 4-hour timeframe remains in a range-bound consolidation. Only a decisive break below the 3320 level will truly open up substantial downward space. Let’s focus on today’s US Initial Jobless Claims data: while the indicator has been trending lower recently, the current market expectation is tilted toward a rebound.
Even though yesterday’s PPI data, after its release, was bullish for gold, its actual impact on prices was limited—far from comparable to core metrics like CPI.
In summary, all short positions have now closed out with profits. Waiting for the data release to trade in line with the trend is a more prudent approach: if prices hover around 3320 or 3310 ahead of the data and the figures come in bullish, you can decisively enter long positions once there’s a slight pullback. If the data turns bearish, avoid chasing the decline; instead, consider positioning around key integer levels such as 3290-3300, as a sharp bullish correction is likely to follow an oversold move. As for whether the bulls can achieve a full reversal, we’ll assess the broader picture then. Always remember: no market moves in one direction indefinitely—adaptability is key
🚀 Buy @3310 - 3320
🚀 TP 3330 - 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold price maintained above 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged over 1% on Monday as both the US Dollar and Treasury yields declined sharply, driven by ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade negotiations, despite a generally positive risk tone in broader markets. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,397, having rebounded from daily lows of $3,338.
While risk sentiment has improved ahead of upcoming US corporate earnings releases, anxiety lingers as the August 1 tariff deadline set by the White House approaches. Investors remain cautious about potential trade disruptions between the US and its key partners—the European Union (EU), Canada, and Mexico.
Meanwhile, reports from Bloomberg indicate that EU officials are preparing to convene this week to finalize a retaliation strategy, should trade talks with President Trump collapse. This backdrop of trade tension continues to support gold’s safe-haven appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to increase before FED's statement, market's expectation of early interest rate cut, setting new ATH in Q4/2025
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3450- 3452 SL 3457
TP1: $3435
TP2: $3422
TP3: $3405
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3332-$3330 SL $3325
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3358
TP3: $3370
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price maintains accumulation below 3400✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/21/2025 - 07/25/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices edge higher in Friday’s North American session as a softer US Dollar and pre-weekend profit-taking lend support. Dovish remarks from a Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor, hinting at a possible rate cut as early as July, further bolster the yellow metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,353, gaining 0.43%.
Improved market sentiment also underpins bullion, following the University of Michigan’s report showing that US consumers are growing more optimistic about the economy, with inflation expectations easing. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s call for rate cuts weighed on US Treasury yields, adding positive momentum to gold.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakens to 98.48, down 0.13%, making USD-priced gold more attractive to foreign buyers and helping sustain the current uptrend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price remains in the accumulation range of 3300 - 3400, the market awaits information on upcoming interest rate policy
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3367, $3392
Support: $3305, $3280, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Trading Update: What's Next for Gold This Week? Hello Traders! 👋
In my last post, I flagged two prime zones for selling Gold, and guess what? The first one has already delivered! 🎯 The Hourly IFVG (Inversion Fair Value Gap) between 3360-3365 triggered perfectly before today's CPI release, playing out like a charm. 💰
Now, all eyes are on the next level: the 4H FVG, which will act as an IFVG. This is our second potential entry point, and I’m targeting the Take Profit levels as outlined. Let’s see if this setup unfolds as beautifully as the first! 👀
What’s your take on Gold’s direction this week? Are you bullish, bearish, or sitting on the fence? 🧠 Drop your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s spark some lively discussion! 💬 Don’t forget to like, follow, and share your views to keep the trading community buzzing! 🚀
Beware of false decline and real rise of gold
💡Message Strategy
On Tuesday, the dollar index continued to rise, eventually closing at a high of 98.68, after a mild inflation report sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve might keep interest rates unchanged for the time being.
Spot gold gave up its intraday gains after the release of CPI data, once touching the $3,320 mark, falling for the second consecutive trading day.
📊Technical aspects
In the hourly chart, gold has already touched the support trend line overnight.
Therefore, at present, it may be inclined to rebound, and gold still maintains an upward trend as a whole.
However, the upper 3340-45 is a short-term suppression position. If it cannot stand firm and break through 3340-45 today, it is not ruled out that it will continue to maintain 3320-40 for consolidation.
On the contrary, as long as it can stand firm above 3345 today, then gold will really rise in the future.
It is very likely that the high point of 3375 at the beginning of this week may be refreshed.
Therefore, in terms of operation, I suggest paying more attention to 3320-30. After all, 3320 is the overnight low. As long as it is not broken again, the probability of gold rising is very high.
However, if it falls below 3320 again today, it is not ruled out that it will continue to refresh the low.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3305,Target: 3365
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Double Bottom Rejection - Bullish Confirmation PatternThere is currently a double bottom rejection pattern at play and price is reacting to an H4 TF demand zone. Confirmations to go long will be in this demand zone or the next one. But my money is on the current one.
Best thing to do is wait for an M15 supply to break to validate taking longs from the current demand. But the bulls are showing strength.
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. With the Gold market opening shortly, I wanted to publish my 2 hour chart analysis. I have marked my area of interes / no trade zone in orange. I can see the potential for scalp buy / sell trade set ups. I will post after the market is open for a bit, otherwise I will wait to see how the overnight sessions go. Big G gets all my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Be well and trade the trend. This is going to be a great week, I can feel it.
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.